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全球高超音速武器市場 - 2023-2030Global Hypersonic Weapons Market - 2023-2030 |
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全球高超音速武器市場在2022年達到71億美元,預計2030年將達到166億美元,2023-2030年預測期間CAGR為11.2%。
隨著全球政府投資的激增,全球高超音速武器市場正經歷顯著成長。雖然美國在部署高超音速武器方面落後於俄羅斯、中國和朝鮮,但它為研究分配了大量預算。五角大廈2023財政年度預算要求為高超音速研究提供47億美元,飛彈防禦局則要求為高超音速防禦提供2.255億美元。投資激增的目的是應對來自俄羅斯和中國等已成功研發高超音速飛彈的國家日益增加的威脅。
此外,澳洲、印度、法國、德國、韓國、日本等多個國家也積極研發高超音波技術,為全球高超音波武器市場的成長做出了貢獻。美國與其中一些國家合作,進一步推動市場擴張。然而,美國對建立官方高超音速計畫持謹慎態度,並等待這些武器的可部署性得到明確。全球高超音速武器競賽引發了關於軍備控制和風險緩解措施的討論。
由於中國和俄羅斯在具有進入近地軌道能力的高超音速飛彈方面的先進發展,亞太地區在高超音速武器市場中佔有最大佔有率。中國的高超音速進展超出了美國的預期,印度和日本等其他國家也投資於國防力量,這進一步推動了高超音速市場的成長。
全球高超音速武器市場正引起軍隊、政府和國際機構的高度關注。包括美國、中國和俄羅斯等大國在內的許多國家都在積極尋求高超音速武器計劃,導致研發力度不斷增加。北約建議這些武器可以在預測期內部署,可能在五年內。
全球高超音速武器市場正在迅速擴大,國防部將其視為現代化的首要任務。 7700億美元的國防授權法案將高超音速研究和開發列為優先事項,要求大量投資。高超音速技術的飛行速度超過 5 馬赫(約 3,800 英里/小時),在軍事和商業用途方面具有巨大潛力,可實現快速空中旅行。中國、俄羅斯和北韓均報告成功進行了高超音速飛彈試射。
政府投資在推動高超音速武器市場方面發揮重要作用。美國、中國和俄羅斯等國家正在撥出大量資金來開發、測試和部署高超音速飛彈系統。這些投資是出於日益成長的安全擔憂和應對新威脅的需要。隨著國防機構與產業領導者合作加速研發,市場不斷擴大,導致高超音速武器及其相關防禦系統先進技術的支出增加。
美國將投資13億美元開發28顆先進衛星,以改善高超音速飛彈威脅的追蹤。美國太空發展局局長德里克·圖爾尼爾透露,這些衛星旨在增強美國防禦俄羅斯和中國高超音速威脅的能力。各國在高超音速飛彈技術方面取得了重大進展,由於其機動性,追蹤和攔截具有挑戰性。這些衛星將專注於探測和追蹤高超音速機動飛行器,以幫助預測其撞擊點。該計畫授予 L3Harris Technologies 和諾斯羅普·格魯曼公司,是轉向更廣泛、重疊的衛星系統的一部分。
高超音速武器正在對國際穩定、安全與和平產生影響。高超音速技術的發展具有深遠的影響,包括可能破壞軍備控制和裁軍努力,因此更需要多邊控制機制。為了應對這些挑戰,人們提出了各種建議,包括禁止試驗、瞄準禁令和出口管制,但有效管理高超音速武器的風險和擴散需要國際共識和政治意願。如果不採取此類措施,可能會加劇軍備競賽並加劇全球緊張局勢。
高超音速技術的擴散正在推動防禦技術的進步,以對抗這些武器,包括動能攔截器、電磁軌道炮和高功率雷射。這些技術雖然旨在防禦,但也具有潛在的進攻應用。高超音速武器的速度和反應時間的縮短引起了人們對時間壓力下的決策以及先發制人打擊、事故、誤算和衝突不穩定的可能性的擔憂。
Global Hypersonic Weapons Market reached US$ 7.1 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 16.6 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 11.2% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The global hypersonic weapon market is experiencing significant growth, with a surge in government investments globally. While U.S. lags behind Russia, China and North Korea in deploying hypersonic weapons, it allocates substantial budgets for research. The Pentagon's FY2023 budget requests US$ 4.7 billion for hypersonic research and the Missile Defense Agency has requested US$ 225.5 million for hypersonic defense. The investment surge aims to counter increasing threats from nations like Russia and China, which have successfully developed hypersonic missiles.
Furthermore, a variety of countries, including Australia, India, France, Germany, South Korea and Japan, are also actively pursuing hypersonic technology, contributing to the global growth of the hypersonic weapon market. The U.S. cooperates with some of these nations, further driving market expansion. However, US is cautious about establishing official hypersonic programs and awaits clarity on the deployability of these weapons. The global hypersonic weapons race has led to discussions on arms control and risk mitigation measures.
Asia-Pacific holds the largest share in the hypersonic weapon market due to China and Russia's advanced developments in hypersonic missiles with capabilities to enter low-earth orbit. China's hypersonic progress outpaced U.S. expectations, other countries like India and Japan also investing in their defense power which further driving the hypersonic market growth.
The globally hypersonic weapon market is driving significant attention among militaries, governments and international institutions. Many countries, including major powers like U.S., China and Russia, are actively seeking hypersonic weapon programs, leading to growing efforts in research and development. NATO suggests that these weapons could be fielded during the forecast period, potentially within five years.
The global hypersonic weapons market is rapidly expanding, with the Defense Department highlighting it as a top modernization priority. The US$770 billion National Defense Authorization Act had prioritized hypersonic research and development, calling for substantial investments. Hypersonic technology, which traveled above Mach 5 (around 3,800 mph), made the major potential for both military and commercial use, enabling rapid air travel. China, Russia and North Korea had reported successful hypersonic missile tests.
Government investments are playing a major role in driving the market for hypersonic weapons. Countries, including U.S., China and Russia, are allocating significant funds to develop, test and deploy hypersonic missile systems. The investments are driven by growing security concerns and the need to counter emerging threats. The market is expanding as defense agencies collaborate with industry leaders to accelerate research and development, leading to increased spending on advanced technologies for hypersonic weapons and their associated defense systems.
U.S. will invest US$ 1.3 billion in developing 28 advanced satellites for improved tracking of hypersonic missile threats. The Space Development Agency's director, Derek Tournear, revealed that these satellites aim to enhance US's defense capabilities against hypersonic threats posed by Russia and China. The nations have made significant advancements in hypersonic missile technology, which are challenging to track and intercept due to their maneuverability. The satellites will focus on detecting and tracking hypersonic maneuvering vehicles, helping predict their impact points. The project, awarded to L3Harris Technologies and Northrop Grumman, is part of a shift towards a more extensive, overlapping satellite system.
Hypersonic weapons are creating implications for international stability, security and peace. The development of hypersonic technology has far-reaching consequences, including the potential to undermine arms control and disarmament efforts, heightening the need for multilateral control mechanisms. Various proposals, including a test ban, targeting bans and export controls, have been suggested to address these challenges, but international consensus and political will are required to effectively manage the risks and proliferation of hypersonic weapons. The absence of such measures could exacerbate arms races and increase global tensions.
The proliferation of hypersonic technology is driving advancements in defense technologies to counter these weapons, including kinetic interceptors, electromagnetic railguns and high-power lasers. The technologies, while aimed at defense, also have potential offensive applications. The speed and reduced response time of hypersonic weapons raise concerns about decision-making under time pressure and the potential for pre-emptive strikes, accidents, miscalculations and conflict instability.
The global hypersonic weapons platforms market is segmented based on type, domain, range and region.
Hypersonic missiles dominate the hypersonic weapon market due to their versatility and strategic importance. It offer unmatched speed and maneuverability, making them challenging to intercept and can be used for both offensive and defensive purposes. Nations are heavily investing in hypersonic missile development, driving market growth. Its applications in military operations, including precision strikes and anti-ship capabilities, ensure their significant share in the hypersonic weapon market, with continuous advancements and deployments globally.
In October 2023, North Korea declared the first successful test-launch of a newly developed hypersonic missile with "strategic significance" for its self-defense capabilities. The North's Academy of Defence Science launched the Hwasong-8 missile from Toyang-ri, Ryongrim County. The test confirmed the stability of the engine and missile fuel ampoule, which would expedite missile readiness. While not explicitly stated, experts believe the missile is liquid-fueled and likely a ballistic missile. The test demonstrated advancements in defense science and technology, enhancing the nation's self-defense capabilities.
Asia-Pacific leads the global hypersonic weapons market with its rapid advancements in hypersonic technology and increasing security concerns. China, with its significant investments in hypersonic capabilities, is at the forefront, deploying hypersonic missiles such as the DF-17 and air-launched variants. Japan is also actively pursuing hypersonic cruise missiles and gliding projectiles, driven by regional security dynamics.
In South Korea, the desire for viable missile strike capabilities in response to North Korea's ballistic missile arsenal fuels the development of hypersonic weapons. Australia has allocated substantial funding for hypersonic weapons development in response to evolving regional power dynamics. India, too, is advancing in the field with its hypersonic technology demonstrator vehicle and high-energy laser systems.
The impact of COVID-19 on the hypersonic weapon market has exposed vulnerabilities in United States' deterrence and power projection abilities. The pandemic's strain on U.S. military's operational capabilities has drawn attention to the importance of hypersonic weapons, which offer rapid response and strategic advantages.
While U.S. tested a major part of its hypersonic missile program amid the pandemic, concerns about readiness have emerged. Hypersonic weapons, traveling at Mach 5 to Mach 10, provide a time-sensitive means of power projection, but U.S. defense currently lacks comprehensive systems to counter them. Russia and China have advanced their hypersonic programs, increasing the urgency for U.S. development.
The Russia-Ukraine war has affected the hypersonic weapon market by showcasing the use of these advanced weapons in the conflict. Russia deployed hypersonic missiles, including the Kinzhal, in attacks on Ukrainian targets. The hypersonic missiles are challenging for air defenses, combining high speed with maneuverability that evades interception. Hypersonics, like the Kinzhal, accelerate to Mach 4 or faster, making them difficult to detect and capable of unpredictable course changes.
The conflict has highlighted the operational use of hypersonic technology in warfare. While there's debate over their game-changing impact, the Pentagon and experts have emphasized the need for missile defense systems to counter this emerging threat, indicating potential growth in the hypersonic weapon market.
The major global players in the market include: Raytheon Technologies Corporation, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, L3Harris Technologies Inc., Leidos, Thales Group, General Dynamics Corporation, Boeing, Israel Aerospace Industries, Bae Systems.
The global hypersonic weapons platforms market report would provide approximately 61 tables, 56 figures and 182 Pages.
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