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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1489479
全球空間碎片清除市場 - 2024-2031Global Space Debris Removal Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
2023年,全球太空碎片清除市場達1.012億美元,預計2031年將達到16.356億美元,2024-2031年預測期間複合年成長率為41.6%。
空間碎片維護市場主要是由軌道碰撞的危險所驅動的。為了維持太空活動的長期可行性和安全性,隨著在軌衛星、火箭級和其他太空物體數量的增加,處理太空碎片的需求日益成長。對空間碎片清除技術的市場需求是由促進空間永續性的國際框架和計劃推動的,例如聯合國和平利用外太空委員會關於減少空間碎片的建議。利害關係人承認負責任的太空運作和減少碎片嘗試的重要性。
主要參與者不斷推出的產品有助於推動預測期內的市場成長。例如,2023年5月10日,ClearSpace和阿麗亞娜航太公司簽署了一份契約,與阿麗亞娜航太公司一起啟動首次主動碎片清除任務。首次主動碎片清除任務可以捕捉重量超過100公斤的廢棄空間碎片物體並使其脫離軌道。 VESPA(織女星輔助有效載荷適配器)的頂部是本次任務清除的空間碎片,在 2013 年織女星發射器第二次飛行後留在漸進處置軌道上。
由於該地區不斷增加的產品發布和創新,北美是全球碎片清除市場的主導地區。例如,2021 年 9 月 21 日,全球發射服務和太空航太領導者 Rocket Lab USA, Inc. 與 Astroscale Japan Inc. 簽署了合約。開發機構(JAXA) 進行其商業性碎片清除示範計畫(CRD2) 第一階段,該計畫是從軌道上清除大型碎片的首批技術演示之一。 Electron 火箭計畫於 2023 年從火箭實驗室 1 號發射場發射。
動力學
衛星發射數量不斷增加
地球軌道上的太空碎片總量隨著太空任務、火箭級和衛星發射的數量而增加。垃圾數量不斷增加,這增加了對技術和碎片清除服務的需求,也增加了人們對迅速清除太空垃圾的緊迫性的認知。太空中發生碰撞的可能性隨著衛星和其他太空物體數量的增加而增加。凱斯勒症候群是太空碎片、失落的太空船和運作中的衛星墜毀時發生的一系列碰撞。衛星營運商尋求碎片清除技術來減少碰撞危險並保護重要資產。
航太機構和監管機構優先考慮增強空間態勢感知、碎片監測能力和避碰機動。太空碎片清除對於安全太空運作和軌道擁塞管理至關重要。根據Euroconsultant的資料估計,每年發射8艘太空船或超過2800顆質量為4噸的衛星。為了維持安全的太空運作和管理軌道堵塞,太空碎片清理至關重要。根據Euroconsultant提供的資訊預測,每年發射超過2800顆質量為4噸的衛星,或每天發射8顆太空船。
不斷增加的政府舉措
各國政府撥出大量資金和補助金來支持空間碎片清除研究、開發和營運措施。政府資金透過為資料分析、任務規劃、技術開發和發射操作提供財政資源來加速市場成長。機器人技術、推進系統、材料和太空碎片清除技術的進步是政府資助的研發(R&D)計畫的主要關注領域。研究與開發(R&D)努力鼓勵創造力,推動技術進步並擴大空間碎片清除解決方案的潛力,從而推動市場擴張。
各國政府透過公私夥伴關係與私部門公司、研究機構和學術組織合作,促進空間碎片減緩、清理和永續發展工作。 PPP 結合了兩個行業的資金、資源和經驗,鼓勵創新、資訊共享和市場成長。為了減少太空垃圾、維護軌道安全並促進太空永續性,各國政府制定了立法框架、政策和法規。鼓勵對碎片清除技術和服務的投資,創造市場確定性,並透過明確的法律和合規要求促進負責任的太空活動。例如,2024年3月25日,ISRO極地衛星運載火箭(PSLV)完成了零軌道碎片任務,並將其描述為「另一個里程碑」。在軌道上,PSLV-C58/XPoSat 任務基本上沒有留下任何浪費。
成本高
對於進入市場的新競爭對手來說,規劃、執行和管理空間碎片清除任務的高昂費用構成了障礙。如果資源有限,較小的企業或組織很難參與碎片清除專案和技術的競爭或投資。高價阻礙了對空間碎片清理工作的投資。由於所需的大量初始投資、持續的營運成本、技術複雜性以及市場需求和獲利能力的不可預測性,投資者認為該市場是危險的。
太空碎片清除任務的持續營運費用,包括太空船維護、地面運作、任務控制、資料分析和人員費用,導致整體成本較高。這些費用可能會導致預算緊張,並影響碎片清除計畫的財務可行性。與開發空間碎片收集、交會、推進、導航和處置尖端技術相關的研究、開發、測試和認證支出是巨大的。太空碎片清除系統的複雜性以及對強大、可靠和任務就緒技術的要求增加了整個經濟負擔。
Overview
Global Space Debris Removal Market reached US$ 101.2 Million in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 1,635.6 Million by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 41.6% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The market for space debris maintenance is mostly driven by the dangers of orbital collisions. To maintain the long-term viability and safety of space activities, there is a growing requirement for handling space debris as the number of satellites, rocket stages and other space objects in orbit increases. The market demand for space debris removal technologies is driven by international frameworks and programs that promote space sustainability, such as United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space recommendations on space debris reduction. The significance of responsible space operations and attempts to mitigate debris is acknowledged by stakeholders.
Growing product launches by the major players help to boost market growth over the forecast period. For instance, on May 10, 2023, ClearSpace and Arianespace signed a contract to launch the first active debris removal mission with Arianespace. The first active debris removal mission can capture and deorbit a derelict space debris object of more than 100kg. The top portion of a VESPA (Vega Secondary Payload Adapter), which was left in a progressive disposal orbit after a Vega launcher's second flight in 2013, is the space debris item that this mission is removing.
North America is a dominating region in the global debris removal market due to the growing product launches and innovations in the region. For instance, on September 21, 2021, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. a global leader in launch services and space systems signed a contract with Astroscale Japan Inc. The Active Debris Removal by Astroscale-Japan (ADRAS-J) satellite has been chosen by the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) for Phase I of its Commercial Removal of Debris Demonstration Project (CRD2), which is one of the first technological demonstrations of removing large-scale debris from orbit. The Electron rocket is scheduled to launch from Rocket Lab Launch Complex 1 in 2023.
Dynamics
Growing Number of Satellite Launches
The overall amount of space debris in Earth's orbit grows with the number of space missions, rocket stages and satellite launches. The population of garbage is growing, which increases the demand for technology and debris removal services as well as awareness of the urgency of removing space rubbish swiftly. The probability of collisions in space increases with the number of satellites and other space objects. The Kessler Syndrome is a sequence of collisions that occur when space debris, lost spacecraft and operating satellites crash. Satellite operators look for debris removal technologies to reduce the danger of collisions and safeguard important assets.
Space agencies and regulatory bodies prioritize enhancing space situational awareness, debris monitoring capabilities and collision avoidance maneuvers. Space debris removal is crucial for safe space operations and orbital congestion management. According to data from Euroconsultant estimate, 8 spacecraft or more than 2,800 satellites with a mass of 4 Tons, are launched annually. To maintain safe space operations and manage orbital congestion, space debris cleanup is essential. Based on the information provided by Euroconsultant projection, over 2,800 satellites with a mass of 4 Tons are launched per year or 8 spacecraft every day.
Growing Government Initiatives
Governments allocate significant funding and grants to support space debris removal research, development and operational initiatives. Government funding accelerates market growth by providing financial resources for data analysis, mission planning, technological development and launch operations. The advancement of robotics, propulsion systems, materials and space debris removal technologies are the main areas of concentration for government-funded research and development (R&D) programs. Research and development (R&D) endeavors encourage creativity, propel technical progress and amplify the potential of space debris removal solutions, hence propelling market expansion.
Governments collaborate with private sector companies, research institutions and academic organizations through PPPs to promote space debris mitigation, cleanup and sustainability efforts. PPPs combine funds, resources and experience from both industries to encourage innovation, information sharing and market growth. To reduce space trash, maintain orbital safety and promote space sustainability, governments set legislative frameworks, policies and regulations. Investment in debris removal technology and services is encouraged, market certainty is created and responsible space activities are promoted by well-defined laws and compliance requirements. For instance, on March 25, 2024, the ISRO Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV), accomplished zero orbital debris mission and described it as "another milestone". In orbit, the PSLV-C58/XPoSat mission has essentially left no waste behind.
High Costs
For new rivals entering the market, the high expenses of planning, executing and managing space debris removal missions provide a barrier. It is difficult for smaller businesses or organizations to compete or undertake investments in projects and technology for debris removal if they have limited resources. Investments in space debris cleaning efforts are discouraged by high prices. Due to the large initial investment needed, ongoing operating costs, technical complexity and unpredictability in market demand and profitability, investors see the market as hazardous.
The ongoing operational expenses for space debris removal missions, including spacecraft maintenance, ground operations, mission control, data analysis and personnel costs, contribute to the overall high costs. The expenses can strain budgets and impact the financial viability of debris removal initiatives. The research, development, testing and certification expenditures associated with developing cutting-edge technology for space debris collection, rendezvous, propulsion, navigation and disposal are substantial. The entire economic burden is increased by the complexity of space debris removal systems and the requirement for strong, dependable and mission-ready technology.
The global space debris removal market is segmented based on debris size, orbit, technique, end-user and region.
Commercial End-User is Dominating in the Space Debris Removal Market
Based on the end-user the space debris removal market is segmented into commercial and government.
The industrialization of space activities, such as satellite constellations, space tourism and communication networks, has resulted in an enormous increase in the quantity of commercial space resources. The considerable interest that commercial operators have in protecting their assets and ensuring the sustainability of their space operations is driving the need for services related to cleaning up space debris. Collisions with space debris present a concern to commercial satellite operators and can affect the longevity, operation and success of satellite missions. By actively addressing collision risks, reducing debris dangers and guaranteeing the safe operation of commercial satellite fleets, space debris removal services provide risk management solutions.
Companies are paying increasing attention to following space sustainability policies, rules and best practices concerning space debris reduction. Initiatives for eliminating space debris show a dedication to ethical space operations, environmental conservation and respect for international space debris mitigation standards. Commercial operators make large financial investments in Earth observation systems, communications networks, satellite infrastructure and other space assets. By lowering the risk of accidents, minimizing operational delays and guaranteeing the long-term profitability of commercial space endeavors, space debris removal services help safeguard these priceless assets.
North America is Dominating the Space Debris Removal Market
The space industry ecosystem in North America and especially in United States, is highly developed and advanced. Major space organizations like NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) as well as top aerospace companies, academic institutions and technology suppliers with expertise in space exploration, satellite production and space debris mitigation are based in the region. Whether it comes to the development of robots, autonomous systems and space technology, North America is ideally placed. Effective missions and techniques for the cleanup of space debris are made possible by the region's expertise in the construction and deployment of advanced satellites and spacecraft.
Initiatives for the exploration of space, research and development including those to remove space debris are heavily financed and supported by US government. Organizations like NASA and the Department of Defense (DoD) allocate funds for debris monitoring, cleanup and space situational awareness, which propels regional investment and market expansion. Private sector initiatives aid government endeavors and position the sector as a leader in technology and services for cleaning up space debris.
The major global players in the market include Astroscale, ClearSpace, Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd, Northrop Grumman, Kall Morris Incorporated, Obruta Space Solutions Corp., Lockheed Martin Corporation, Share My Space SAS, Electro Optic Systems and OrbitGuardians.
Global supply chains were disrupted by the pandemic, which had an impact on the availability of components, supplies and machinery required for space debris cleaning technology. Space debris cleanup mission deployment schedules and project timeframes have been affected by delays in production, shipping and logistics. The pandemic's budget reallocations and economic worries caused delays and financing difficulties for several space-related initiatives and notably to remove space debris. Due to the prioritization of vital services and programs by governments, space agencies and commercial businesses, space debris clearance efforts have been delayed or decreased.
Collaboration, coordination and project execution in space debris cleanup were impacted by remote work arrangements and limitations on travel and in-person activities. Due to restricted access to the facilities, labs and testing environments needed for space technology development and validation, engineering, testing and operational operations have been challenging. Funding availability for space debris clearance projects was impacted by investor confidence and market concern brought on by the epidemic. There may have been an influence on venture capital investments, financing for startups and commercial collaborations in the space sector, which would have slowed down innovation and market expansion.
Geopolitical tensions and regulatory uncertainties are caused by the war, particularly in the space sector. Market dynamics are impacted by modifications to export regulations, trade restrictions and international cooperation agreements affecting the flow of technology, equipment and services linked to the clearance of space debris. Global supply chains for systems, resources and components related to space technology might be disrupted by the war. Disruptions in the supply chain cause a delay in the development and implementation of technology for removing space debris, such as robotic arms, propulsion systems and satellite maintenance vehicles, which impacts project timetables and market timeframes.
Political disputes have an impact on international cooperation and collaborations in the space debris authorization industry. Collaborations in research, joint ventures and shared efforts between nations and space agencies encounter difficulties or be shelved, which might affect market innovation, information sharing and technological advancement. Changes in national space policy, budget allocations and priorities may result from the dispute. Investments in space debris prevention and cleaning projects are impacted if governments and space agencies divert funds to goals related to geopolitics, national security and defense.
The global space debris removal market report would provide approximately 62 tables, 51 figures and 180 Pages.
Target Audience 2024
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE