市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1542968
全球齒輪油市場 - 2024-2031Global Gear Oil Market - 2024-2031 |
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報告概述
2023年,全球齒輪油市場規模為1,401萬美元,預計到2031年將達到1,698萬美元,在預測期內(2024-2031年)複合年成長率為2.43%。
齒輪油是用於齒輪(齒輪箱)的潤滑劑,可減少齒輪齒面的摩擦和磨損,帶走運轉齒輪產生的熱量,保護齒輪零件免受腐蝕。雖然齒輪油最常見於汽車變速箱,但它設計用於幾乎任何有變速箱的地方。由於變速箱的各種材料和環境差異很大,因此它們需要多種品質。
由於齒輪在相互運轉時會產生大量熱量和摩擦,因此幾乎總是需要油來防止齒輪之間的磨損損壞,最終導致系統故障。市面上大部分的齒輪油都是為汽車設計的,特別是手排變速箱。它們通常被稱為“通用”齒輪油,雖然它們可用於工業過程,但它們經常含有可能損害機器的添加劑。另一方面,專用齒輪油專為工業流程而設計,包含添加劑和防護化學品的獨特組合。
礦物齒輪油合成技術的持續改進可能會進一步推動該產業的發展。最近,汽車需求急劇成長,特別是在亞太和拉丁美洲的發展中國家。預計這些因素將對齒輪油產業產生正面影響。
對高性能車輛的需求不斷成長
齒輪油是汽車的重要組成部分,因為它是保持變速箱平穩運行的第一道防線。為了使引擎更清潔、更有效地運作來提高車輛的性能,車主應定期或至少按規定的時間間隔更換齒輪油。
齒輪油可改善傳動系統性能,減少磨損並提高燃油效率。車主非常有興趣透過頻繁更換機油來升級他們的車輛,以體驗更好的駕駛體驗並節省汽油費用。預計將在整個預測期內推動全球齒輪油市場向前發展。
不斷成長的汽車工業
汽車齒輪油市場與汽車銷售密不可分。儘管近期經濟存在不確定性,但全球汽車產業仍保持了充足的成長。與工業化經濟體相比,預計新興經濟體將生產更多的汽車。預計該行業的擴張將主要受到輕型、乘用車和重型商用機動車輛需求不斷成長的推動。
預計汽車銷售和產量的增加將推動全球汽車齒輪油市場在預測期內向前發展。它可能與全球經濟穩定以及城市化進程的加速有關。預計公路車隊在預測期內將以適度的複合年成長率成長,這為汽車齒輪油市場提供了有限的成長機會。
自動變速箱系統的高成本和使用增加
齒輪油有幾個缺點,包括成本高和缺乏溶解度。它們的溶解度較低,這意味著它們不會溶解添加劑或礦物對應物。此外,形成清漆的分解副產物很難懸浮在合成齒輪油中。自動變速箱系統使用量的增加正在抑製手排變速箱系統的成長,預計這將阻礙齒輪油產業的成長,因為齒輪油缺乏自動變速箱正常工作所需的添加劑。
細分市場分析
依最終用戶分類,齒輪油市場分為發電、金屬生產、採礦、建築、石油和天然氣、汽車等。
發電佔最大佔有率
風力發電在全球迅速發展,風力發電機裝置容量逐年增加。海上工業價格的下降透過引入歐洲、北美和亞太地區海上工業的投資,促進了風力發電市場的擴張,這可能會增加預測期內對齒輪油的需求。
在風力渦輪機中,齒輪油用於潤滑主齒輪箱和輔助齒輪馬達零件。這是由於發電過程中的高溫、軸承磨損、腐蝕和氧化以及重負載造成的。由於合成油中使用了高性能添加劑,風力渦輪機對合成齒輪油的需求不斷成長,因為它們的品質優於礦物基齒輪油。
市場地域佔有率
亞太地區龐大的工業基礎
預計亞太地區的齒輪油市場將是最大的。該地區重要的發展中國家,如中國、印度和東協,推動了對齒輪油的需求。由於建築和人口成長,用電量一直在增加。到 2022 年,印度預計將透過熱電、水力發電、核電和再生能源項目在電力生產領域吸引大量投資。
該地區在這些關鍵領域正在經歷強勁成長。例如,世界鋼鐵協會報告稱,中國粗鋼產量領先世界。 2020年,中國粗鋼產量為10.648億噸,較2019年成長約7%。到 2022 年底,新設施的建設將於 2023 年底開始並完成。
韓國新化學工業工廠的建設促進了該國化學工業的擴張。例如,韓國浦項製鐵氫氧化鋰工廠於2021年開工,該工廠的建設將於2023年底完工。 。
市場競爭格局
全球齒輪油市場主要公司包括荷蘭皇家殼牌公司、埃克森美孚、英國石油公司、雪佛龍公司、道達爾公司、中國石油天然氣有限公司、中國石化股份有限公司、福克斯石油公司、盧克石油公司和出光興產株式會社。
COVID-19 大流行的爆發對全球齒輪油市場產生了重大影響。 COVID-19 疫情減緩了幾乎所有主要國家的經濟成長,改變了消費者的消費習慣。根據國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF) 的數據,COVID-19 的經濟影響導致多個國家的 GDP 成長下降,包括英國、德國、巴西、日本、美國、沙烏地阿拉伯、奈及利亞等。由於政府宣布採取嚴厲措施遏制冠狀病毒,地區經濟活動和國內生產總值下降,引發公眾擔憂,為齒輪油業務帶來財務困難。
由於各地缺乏資金,一些風電工程仍未完工。風能產業也面臨供應鏈風險、分包商和材料短缺以及為降低成本而解除合約等挑戰,這些挑戰在Covid-19相關的封鎖限制期間限制了齒輪油市場的成長。例如,2020 年,密西根州、新澤西州、紐約州和賓州的風電計畫工作被擱置。
俄羅斯-烏克蘭戰爭影響
作為全球第二大石油生產國和天然氣出口國,俄羅斯與烏克蘭的戰爭對能源市場產生了重大影響。戰爭及隨後發生的一系列事件透過商品市場、股票市場和貿易等多種途徑對世界經濟產生了負面影響。值得注意的是,能源產業受到的損害最為嚴重。
《美國石油與天然氣雜誌》發布的資料顯示,2021年全球石油產量為44.23億噸,其中俄羅斯產量為5.34億噸,佔全球石油總產量的12%,是僅次於美國的全球第二大石油生產國。 2022年3月7日,WTI原油期貨價格觸及133.460美元/桶,布蘭特原油期貨價格觸及139.130美元/桶,創2008年7月以來最高水準。
全球齒輪油市場報告將提供大約的資訊。 53個市場資料表,46張圖表,180頁。
2024 年目標受眾
Report Overview
The Global Gear Oil Market size was worth US$ 14.01 million in 2023 and is estimated to reach US$ 16.98 million by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 2.43% during the forecast period (2024-2031).
Gear oil is a lubricant used in gears (gearboxes) to reduce friction and wear on the gear tooth surfaces, remove heat generated by the operating gear and protect the gear parts from corrosion. While gear oil is most commonly found in automotive transmissions, it is designed to be utilized almost anyplace a gearbox can be found. Because gearboxes' various materials and circumstances can vary quite a bit, they need a wide variety of qualities.
As gears generate a lot of heat and friction as they operate against each other, oil is almost always required to prevent abrasive damage between the gears, eventually leading to system failure. The bulk of gear oils on the market are designed for automobiles, specifically manual gearboxes. They are commonly referred to as "universal" gear oils and while they can be utilized in industrial processes, they frequently contain additives that might harm machines. On the other hand, Dedicated gear oils are designed exclusively for industrial processes and include a unique combination of additives and protective chemicals.
Ongoing improvements in synthetic technology over mineral-based gear oil are likely to propel the industry even further. Automobile demand has risen dramatically recently, particularly in Asia-Pacific and Latin America's developing countries. The factors are expected to impact the gear oil industry positively.
Rising demand for high-performance vehicles
Gear oil is a critical component of a car since it acts as the first line of defense in keeping the transmission running smoothly. To improve the performance of their vehicles by making the engine operate cleaner and more effectively, car owners should replace gear oil at regular intervals or at least at specified intervals.
Gear oil improves transmission system performance, reduces wear and tear and improves fuel efficiency. Vehicle owners are strongly interested in upgrading their vehicles with frequent oil changes to experience better driving and save money on gas. It is expected to propel the global gear oil market forward throughout the forecast period.
Growing automotive industry
The market for automobile gear oil is inextricably linked to vehicle sales. The global automotive industry has had sufficient growth despite the recent economic uncertainty. Emerging economies are predicted to produce more automobiles compared to industrialized economies. The sector's expansion is anticipated to be primarily fueled by rising demand for light, passenger and heavy-duty commercial motor vehicles.
Increasing automobile sales and production is expected to propel the global automotive gear oil market forward over the forecast period. It can be related to global economic stability as well as increased urbanization. The on-road fleet is predicted to grow at a modest CAGR over the forecast period, giving borderline chances for the automotive gear oil market to grow.
High costs and rising use of automatic transmission systems
Gear oils have several disadvantages, including high cost and a lack of solubility. They have low solubility, meaning they don't dissolve additives or mineral counterparts. In addition, varnish-forming breakdown byproducts are difficult to suspend in synthetic gear oils. The increased usage of automatic transmission systems is stifling the growth of manual transmission systems, which is predicted to hamper the growth of the gear oil industry because gear oils lack the additives needed for automated transmissions to work properly.
Market Segment Analysis
By end-user, the gear oil market is segmented into power generation, metal production, mining, construction, oil & gas, automotive and others.
Power generation to hold the lions' share
Wind energy generation is developing rapidly worldwide, with the installed capacity of wind turbines increasing every year. Reduced prices in the offshore industry have contributed to the expansion of the wind power generation market by bringing in investments in the offshore industries in Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific, which is likely to enhance gear oil demand over the forecast period.
In wind turbines, gear oils are used to lubricate the primary gearbox and auxiliary gear motor components. It is due to the high temperatures, bearing wear, corrosion & oxidation and the heavy loads involved in the power generation process. Due to the performance additives utilized during synthetic oils, there is a growing demand for synthetic gear oils in wind turbines owing to their superior qualities over their mineral-based counterparts.
Market Geographical Share
A huge industrial base in Asia-Pacific
The gear oil market in Asia-Pacific is predicted to be the largest. The need for gear oils is driven by the region's important developing countries, such as China, India and ASEAN. Electricity usage has increased throughout time due to construction and population growth. By 2022, India is expected to draw significant investment in the power production sector with thermal, hydro, nuclear and renewables projects.
The region is experiencing strong growth in these key sectors. For instance, the World Steel Association reports that China leads the world in crude steel production. China produced 1 064.8 Million Tons of crude steel in 2020, an increase of roughly 7 percent from 2019. Airbus and Tata Airplanes joined together in September 2021 to manufacture aircraft in India. By the end of 2022, construction on the new facility will start and finish by the end of 2023.
The expansion of the country's chemical industry is facilitated by the construction of new chemical industry factories in South Korea. For instance, work on the Posco lithium hydroxide factory in South Korea began in 2021. The building of this plant will be finished by the end of 2023. The development of a wind farm near Melbourne, Australia, received US$2.25 billion in funding from the Australian government in December 2021. A new coal mine was being built in Australia in 2019. In the upcoming years, the variables will increase demand for gear oil.
Market Competitive Landscape
Major global gear oil market companies include Royal Dutch Shell Plc., ExxonMobil Corporation, BP PLC, Chevron Corporation, Total S.A., PetroChina Company Limited, Sinopec Limited, Fuchs Petrolub SE, Lukoil and Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd.
The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak has considerably impacted the global market for gear oil. The COVID-19 epidemic slowed economic growth in almost all major nations, changing consumer spending habits. The economic effects of COVID-19, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led to a drop in GDP growth in several nations, including UK, Germany, Brazil, Japan, U.S., Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and more. Due to the government's announcement of stringent measures to stop the coronavirus, regional economic activity and GDP decreased, raising public worry and creating financial difficulty for the gear oil business.
Due to various regions' lack of finance, several wind energy projects were still unfinished. The wind energy sector also faced challenges such as supply chain risks, shortages of subcontractors and materials and contract dismissals to reduce costs, which restrained the growth of the gear oil market during Covid-19-related lockdown restrictions. For instance, in 2020, work on wind projects was put on hold in Michigan, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania.
Russia-Ukraine War Impact
As the world's second-largest oil producer and natural gas exporter, Russia's war with Ukraine has had a significant influence on the energy market. The war and the subsequent chain of events have had a negative influence on the world economy via a variety of avenues, including the commodity market, stock market and trade. Notably, the energy sector has been the hardest damaged.
According to data released by the American Oil and Gas Journal, global oil production in 2021 was 4.423 billion tons, with Russia accounting for 534 million tons or 12% of total global oil production, making it the world's second-largest oil producer after U.S. The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war and the accompanying U.S. energy sanctions imposed on Russia have resulted in a considerable increase in crude oil prices. On March 7, 2022, the WTI crude oil futures price reached US$ 133.460/barrel, while the Brent crude oil futures price hit US$ 139.130/barrel, the highest since July 2008.
The global gear oil market report would provide access to an approx. 53 market data tables, 46 figures and 180 pages.
Target Audience 2024