能源轉換的全球電力混合(2022年～2030年)

Global Power Mix in Transition - 2022 -2030

出版日期: 2024年06月19日 | 出版商:

GlobalData | 英文 30 Pages | 訂單完成後即時交付

價格

※ 本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。

簡介目錄

總體而言，到 2035 年，電力結構預計將發生重大變化。強有力的政策支持、財政激勵和改進的技術將提高再生能源相對於傳統火力發電的競爭力。因此，再生能源在電力結構中的份額預計將大幅增加，到 2035 年將達到 49%。

太陽能已成為最大的單一再生電力來源，預計到 2035 年將佔電力結構的 20%。然而，風力發電也將成長，2023年至2035年離岸風電領域的複合年增長率為18%。然而，儘管存在這些成長趨勢，預計到 2035 年火力發電將佔發電總量的 42%。

經濟從火力發電轉向的速度預計會因地區而異。 2023年至2035年，拉丁美洲再生能源發電率將維持在70%以上，並持續擁有最乾淨的地區能源結構。歐洲、北美和亞太地區也將在增加再生能源發電份額方面取得重大進展。然而，預計到2035年，中東和非洲將繼續嚴重依賴火力發電。

氫和儲能等技術將促進再生能源的採用。預計這兩種技術將在本世紀末呈現強勁成長，但與再生能源發電一樣，市場准入預計因地區而異。

本報告提供全球電力混合調查分析，提供各地區的能源混合，及各電力技術趨勢等資訊。

主要亮點

儘管技術不斷發展，效率不斷提高，但從 2023 年到 2035 年，全球能源需求仍將以 3.4% 的複合年增長率繼續增長。
再生能源在全球電力結構中的份額將繼續增加，預計 2023 年至 2035 年發電量將以 4.1% 的複合年增長率增長。
然而，儘管再生能源發電有所增加，但到 2035 年，煤炭仍將是最主要的單一能源，預計將佔全球電力結構的 21%，而太陽能預計將略高於此。
預計亞太地區發電量將呈現強勁成長，2023 年至 2035 年複合年增長率為 4.5%。造成這現象的主要因素是人口成長。
太陽能、地熱能和生物發電仍然是每千瓦計畫成本最高的領域。
預計2027年天然氣發電容量增幅最大，今年新增發電容量106吉瓦。

Overall, the power mix is expected to undergo significant changes in the run up to 2035. Strong policy support, financial incentives and technology improvement will improve the competitiveness of renewable energy compared to traditional thermal power. As a result, the presence of renewables in the power mix is expected to increase dramatically, reaching 49% by 2035.

Solar PV will emerge as the largest single source of renewable power, alone accounting for 20% of the power mix in 2035. However, wind power will also experience growth, with the offshore wind power segment experiencing a CAGR of 18% between 2023 and 2035. However, despite these growth trends, thermal power is still expected to account for 42% of the generation mix in 2035.

The rate at which economies shift away from thermal power will vary strongly by region. South and Central America will continue to have the cleanest regional energy mix, maintaining renewable generation rates of over 70% between 2023 and 2035. Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific will also make significant progress towards increasing their share of renewable generation. However, the Middle East & Africa (MEA) region will remain largely reliant on thermal power through to 2035.

The adoption of renewables will be facilitated by technologies such as hydrogen and energy storage, which will both help to tackle the challenge of renewable intermittency. Both of these technologies are expected to experience strong growth before the end of the decade, but similarly to renewable generation, market participation will vary strongly with region.

Key Highlights

Despite technological development and increasing efficiency, global energy demand will continue to rise between 2023 and 2035, increasing at a CAGR of 3.4% between 2023 and 2035.
Renewables will continue to hold an increasing share of the global power mix, with generation increasing at a CAGR of 4.1% between 2023 and 2035.
However, despite the ramp up of renewable generation, coal will still remain the most dominant single source of energy into 2035, where it will marginally exceed solar, with an expected 21% share of the global power mix.
APAC will experience a strong growth in its power generation, increasing at a CAGR of 4.5% between 2023 and 2035. This will be chiefly driven by its increasing population.
Solar thermal, geothermal, and biopower will continue to have some of the highest project costs per kW.
2027 is currently expected to see the biggest rise in natural gas generation capacity, with an addition of 106GW of capacity being added in this year.

Scope

Global power generation analysis
Regional power generation analysis
Generation trends by sub-technology
Average project costs and investment by technology
Generation trend analysis by technology
Upcoming thermal capacity and decommissioning
Emerging technologies such as energy storage and hydrogen

Reasons to Buy

Identify the market trends globally and by region by each of the power technologies.
Develop market insight of current, in development and announced capacity and latest trends of the sector.
Understand the region's different power landscapes by 2035.
Understand technology by technology macroeconomics and market.
Facilitate the understanding on how and where the market is growing as it is rapidly scaling up to position as one of the main topics of the international and regional agenda.