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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1667043
自動駕駛巴士市場機會、成長動力、產業趨勢分析及 2025 - 2034 年預測Autonomous Bus Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034 |
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2024 年全球自動駕駛公車市場價值為 21 億美元，預計在 2025 年至 2034 年期間將實現 18.9% 的顯著複合年成長率，這得益於對高效和永續公共交通解決方案的需求不斷成長。隨著世界各國政府優先考慮智慧城市計畫以緩解交通堵塞和減少碳排放，自動駕駛公車的採用已獲得廣泛關注。這些無人駕駛汽車代表了城市交通的關鍵進步，透過最佳化路線效率、降低營運成本和提高安全性為公共交通提供了創新方法。
快速的城市化加上大都會人口密度的不斷上升，進一步增加了對先進交通解決方案的需求。配備尖端技術的自動駕駛公車正在透過與智慧交通管理系統無縫整合來改變傳統的交通系統，以改善連接性，最大限度地減少延誤並確保更順暢的通勤體驗。人們越來越關注減少溫室氣體排放和對化石燃料的依賴，也促使交通運輸機構採用這些環保替代品，進一步推動市場成長。
| 市場範圍 | |
|---|---|
| 起始年份 | 2024 |
| 預測年份 | 2025-2034 |
| 起始值 | 21億美元 |
| 預測值 | 124億美元 |
| 複合年成長率 | 18.9％ |
市場分為 1 級、2 級、3 級和 4 級自動化，每個級別都提供不同程度的自動化。 2024 年，1 級自動化佔據了 40% 的主導市場佔有率，預計到 2034 年先進駕駛輔助系統創造 40 億美元的市場價值。這些功能無需進行重大的基礎設施升級即可提高安全性和營運效率，使其成為廣泛部署的有吸引力的選擇。
就車輛類型而言，市場分為柴油、電動和混合動力公車，其中電動公車將佔據主導地位，到 2024 年將佔據 65% 的佔有率。在全球環境法規和電池技術進步的支持下，電動公車現在具有更大的續航里程、更高的效率和更實惠的價格，成為城市和區域交通網路的首選解決方案。
2024 年，美國自動駕駛公車市場佔有率高達 90%，預計到 2034 年將達到 30 億美元。美國完善的基礎設施和自動駕駛汽車測試的支持政策為在城市和郊區部署自動駕駛公車創造了有利的環境，鞏固了美國作為這一轉型市場的領先地位。
目錄
第 1 章：方法論與範圍
- 研究設計
- 研究方法
- 資料收集方法
- 基礎估計和計算
- 基準年計算
- 市場估計的主要趨勢
- 預測模型
- 初步研究與驗證
- 主要來源
- 資料探勘來源
- 市場定義
第 2 章：執行摘要
第 3 章：產業洞察
- 產業生態系統分析
- 供應商概況
- 技術提供者
- 服務提供者
- 經銷商
- 最終用途
- 利潤率分析
- 定價分析
- 成本明細
- 技術與創新格局
- 重要新聞及舉措
- 監管格局
- 衝擊力
- 成長動力
- 政府對智慧交通系統的舉措和資金
- 人工智慧和物聯網的進步使安全高效的自主導航成為可能
- 推動自動駕駛電動公車發展的環保法規
- 為解決城市交通擁擠問題，對高效公共交通的需求日益成長
- 產業陷阱與挑戰
- 自主技術開發與部署成本高
- 監管和安全問題阻礙了大規模採用
- 成長動力
- 成長潛力分析
- 波特的分析
- PESTEL 分析
第4章：競爭格局
- 介紹
- 公司市佔率分析
- 競爭定位矩陣
- 戰略展望矩陣
第5章：市場估計與預測：依自主性，2021 - 2034 年
- 主要趨勢
- 1級
- 2 級
- 3 級
- 4 級
第6章：市場估計與預測：按燃料，2021 - 2034 年
- 主要趨勢
- 柴油引擎
- 電的
- 混合
第 7 章：市場估計與預測：按應用，2021 - 2032 年
- 主要趨勢
- 城際
- 城內
第 8 章：市場估計與預測：按地區，2021 - 2034 年
- 主要趨勢
- 北美洲
- 美國
- 加拿大
- 歐洲
- 英國
- 德國
- 法國
- 西班牙
- 義大利
- 俄羅斯
- 北歐
- 亞太地區
- 中國
- 印度
- 日本
- 韓國
- 澳新銀行
- 東南亞
- 拉丁美洲
- 巴西
- 墨西哥
- 阿根廷
- 中東及非洲
- 阿拉伯聯合大公國
- 南非
- 沙烏地阿拉伯
第9章：公司簡介
- 客車製造商
- AB Volvo
- Apollo Baidu
- BYD Co. Ltd.
- Easymile
- MAN Truck & Bus
- Daimler AG
- Navya
- New Flyer
- Toyotas Motor Corporation
- Yutong Group Co. Ltd.
- 自動駕駛解決方案提供商
- Continental AG
- Denso Corporation
- Robert Bosch GmbH
- SB Drive Corp
- ST Engineering
The Global Autonomous Bus Market was valued at USD 2.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to witness a remarkable CAGR of 18.9% from 2025 to 2034, driven by the increasing demand for efficient and sustainable public transportation solutions. With governments worldwide prioritizing smart city initiatives to mitigate traffic congestion and curb carbon emissions, the adoption of autonomous buses has gained substantial traction. These driverless vehicles represent a pivotal advancement in urban mobility, offering an innovative approach to public transit by optimizing route efficiency, reducing operational costs, and enhancing safety.
Rapid urbanization, coupled with rising population density in metropolitan areas, has further escalated the need for advanced transit solutions. Autonomous buses, equipped with cutting-edge technologies, are transforming traditional transportation systems by seamlessly integrating with smart traffic management systems to improve connectivity, minimize delays, and ensure a smoother commuting experience. The increasing focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and dependency on fossil fuels is also pushing transit agencies to adopt these eco-friendly alternatives, further driving market growth.
| Market Scope | |
|---|---|
| Start Year | 2024 |
| Forecast Year | 2025-2034 |
| Start Value | $2.1 Billion |
| Forecast Value | $12.4 Billion |
| CAGR | 18.9% |
The market is segmented into Level 1, Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4 autonomy, each offering varying degrees of automation. In 2024, Level 1 automation accounted for a dominant 40% market share and is projected to generate USD 4 billion by 2034. Level 1 autonomy, which includes advanced driver assistance systems like adaptive cruise control and lane-keeping assistance, has become a preferred choice for transit agencies due to its cost-effectiveness and seamless integration into existing vehicles. These features enhance safety and operational efficiency without requiring significant infrastructure upgrades, making them an attractive option for widespread deployment.
In terms of vehicle type, the market is categorized into diesel, electric, and hybrid buses, with electric buses leading the pack at a commanding 65% share in 2024. The adoption of electric buses has surged as governments and transit operators worldwide emphasize sustainability and carbon neutrality. Supported by global environmental regulations and advancements in battery technology, electric buses now offer improved range, efficiency, and affordability, making them the go-to solution for urban and regional transportation networks.
The United States autonomous bus market held an impressive 90% share in 2024 and is forecast to reach USD 3 billion by 2034. This growth is fueled by robust investments in research and development, combined with a strong commitment to technological innovation. The country's well-established infrastructure and supportive policies for autonomous vehicle testing have created a conducive environment for the deployment of autonomous buses in both urban and suburban areas, cementing the US as a leader in this transformative market.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope
- 1.1 Research design
- 1.1.1 Research approach
- 1.1.2 Data collection methods
- 1.2 Base estimates and calculations
- 1.2.1 Base year calculation
- 1.2.2 Key trends for market estimates
- 1.3 Forecast model
- 1.4 Primary research & validation
- 1.4.1 Primary sources
- 1.4.2 Data mining sources
- 1.5 Market definitions
Chapter 2 Executive Summary
- 2.1 Industry 3600 synopsis, 2021 - 2034
Chapter 3 Industry Insights
- 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
- 3.2 Supplier landscape
- 3.2.1 Technology providers
- 3.2.2 Service providers
- 3.2.3 Distributors
- 3.2.4 End use
- 3.3 Profit margin analysis
- 3.4 Pricing analysis
- 3.5 Cost Breakdown
- 3.6 Technology & innovation landscape
- 3.7 Key news & initiatives
- 3.8 Regulatory landscape
- 3.9 Impact forces
- 3.9.1 Growth drivers
- 3.9.1.1 Government Initiatives and Funding for smart transportation systems
- 3.9.1.2 Advancements in AI and IoT enabling safe and efficient autonomous navigation
- 3.9.1.3 Environmental regulations promoting autonomous electric buses
- 3.9.1.4 Growing demand for efficient public transit to address urban congestion
- 3.9.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
- 3.9.2.1 High development and deployment costs of autonomous technology
- 3.9.2.2 Regulatory and safety concerns delaying large-scale adoption
- 3.9.1 Growth drivers
- 3.10 Growth potential analysis
- 3.11 Porter’s analysis
- 3.12 PESTEL analysis
Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Company market share analysis
- 4.3 Competitive positioning matrix
- 4.4 Strategic outlook matrix
Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Autonomy, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)
- 5.1 Key trends
- 5.2 Level 1
- 5.3 Level 2
- 5.4 Level 3
- 5.5 Level 4
Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Fuel, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)
- 6.1 Key trends
- 6.2 Diesel
- 6.3 Electric
- 6.4 Hybrid
Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application, 2021 - 2032 ($Bn, Units)
- 7.1 Key trends
- 7.2 Intercity
- 7.3 Intracity
Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)
- 8.1 Key trends
- 8.2 North America
- 8.2.1 U.S.
- 8.2.2 Canada
- 8.3 Europe
- 8.3.1 UK
- 8.3.2 Germany
- 8.3.3 France
- 8.3.4 Spain
- 8.3.5 Italy
- 8.3.6 Russia
- 8.3.7 Nordics
- 8.4 Asia Pacific
- 8.4.1 China
- 8.4.2 India
- 8.4.3 Japan
- 8.4.4 South Korea
- 8.4.5 ANZ
- 8.4.6 Southeast Asia
- 8.5 Latin America
- 8.5.1 Brazil
- 8.5.2 Mexico
- 8.5.3 Argentina
- 8.6 MEA
- 8.6.1 UAE
- 8.6.2 South Africa
- 8.6.3 Saudi Arabia
Chapter 9 Company Profiles
- 9.1 Bus Manufacturers
- 9.1.1 AB Volvo
- 9.1.2 Apollo Baidu
- 9.1.3 BYD Co. Ltd.
- 9.1.4 Easymile
- 9.1.5 MAN Truck & Bus
- 9.1.6 Daimler AG
- 9.1.7 Navya
- 9.1.8 New Flyer
- 9.1.9 Toyotas Motor Corporation
- 9.1.10 Yutong Group Co. Ltd.
- 9.2 Autonomous driving solution providers
- 9.2.1 Continental AG
- 9.2.2 Denso Corporation
- 9.2.3 Robert Bosch GmbH
- 9.2.4 SB Drive Corp
- 9.2.5 ST Engineering
