市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1574181
全球農藥市場-2024年至2029年預測Global Agrochemicals Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
農業化學品市場預計到 2029 年將達到 3,724.72 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 4.33%,而 2024 年估計值3,013.34 億美元。
農藥是指幫助作物生長以滿足世界糧食需求的殺蟲劑和化學肥料等化學物質。農藥可以保護作物免受各種可能損害作物或減緩其生長的微生物的侵害。全球人口的增加和耕地面積的穩定下降預計將在未來幾年推動農化市場的發展。此外,在世界各國政府有利的農業政策下,農民收入逐年相對增加。這進一步增加了市場參與者在預測期內的業務成長機會。對生物基農藥的日益關注預計將為市場參與者擴大其足跡提供多種新機會,從而進一步促進未來幾年農藥市場的成長。
補充農化市場成長的主要因素之一是世界人口的增加。世界各地的農業生產不斷增加,以滿足因人口成長而日益成長的糧食需求。根據聯合國2024年發布的新報告(資料來源:聯合國《世界人口展望》),世界人口將從760萬增至2030年的86億,2100年將增至112億。 。與此同時,全球都市化趨勢正穩步減少耕地。歐盟(EU)耕地面積預計將從2017年的1.065億公頃減少到2030年的1.04億公頃(資料來源:歐盟農業展望,歐盟委員會)。
因此,農業中化肥的使用量迅速增加,作物產量得以顯著提高。這意味著,根據世界銀行提供的統計資料(化肥消費量佔化肥生產的比重),化肥消費量佔化肥生產的比重將從2019年的87.6%上升到2021年的91.1%。這些因素對農化市場的成長產生了積極影響,並可能在未來幾年繼續推動市場成長。
農化市場的地域前景
從地理位置來看,由於農業活動支出的增加和化肥使用量的增加,預計北美地區將在農業化學品市場中佔據重要的市場佔有率。美國化肥產業受到多種因素的影響,包括作物需求和生產要求,這些因素可能受到現行法規和地方政府補貼的影響。此外,生產商的化肥採購決策受到某些作物(尤其是玉米和大豆)相關全球價格波動的影響。精密農業技術的發展也刺激了國內化肥需求,進一步推動農化市場的成長。
根據美國農業部預測,美國每千英畝作物面積將從2020年的291,429,000英畝增加到2021年的298,863,000英畝。 、大豆、花生、向日葵、棉花、乾食用豆、鷹嘴豆、馬鈴薯、雙低油菜、菜籽和甜菜,乾草、煙草和甘蔗的收穫面積包括雙季作物和未收穫的小粒穀物。
此外,根據美國2021 年的報告,大約 3,000 個水果和蔬菜種植企業使用 CEA 類型的保護措施。就美國作物總價值而言,這 2-3% 是重要部分。 CEA 種植的作物以高價值草本植物、葉類蔬菜、微型菜苗、漿果、藤本蔬菜(如黃瓜、番茄和辣椒)、花卉、蘑菇和苗圃作物為特色。據估計,美國有超過2000個垂直農場大規模使用化學肥料。所有這些都增加了對農藥的需求,以提高每公頃的產量,同時在肥料和農藥的支持下在作物生命週期中保護食品。
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The agrochemicals market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.33% over the forecast period to reach US$372.472 billion by 2029, increasing from estimated value of US$301.334 billion in 2024.
Agrochemicals refer to the chemicals such as pesticides and fertilizers that aid in crop cultivation to meet the global food demand. They provide crops from various organisms, which can potentially damage or slow the growth of the crops. The growing global population and the steady reduction in arable land are anticipated to drive the agrochemicals market in the coming years. Furthermore, farm income has improved relatively over the years, along with favorable agricultural policies by governments worldwide. This, in turn, further propels the market players' business growth opportunities over the forecast period. The growing focus on bio-based agrochemicals is anticipated to offer multiple new opportunities for the market players to expand their footprints, thus further leading to bolstering the agrochemicals market growth in the coming years.
One of the key factors supplementing the agrochemicals market growth includes the growing global population. Agricultural production is increasing globally to meet the rising food demand of the growing population. The global population of 7.6 million is anticipated to increase to 8.6 billion by 2030 and 11.2 billion by 2100, according to a new United Nations Report launched in 2024 (Source: The World Population Prospects, United Nations), which will further drive agriculture production activity. Simultaneously, the global trend of urbanization is steadily reducing the arable land available for cultivation. The arable land in the European Union is projected to fall from 106.5 million hectares in 2017 to 104 million hectares in 2030 (Source: EU Agriculture Outlook, European Commission).
As a result, the use of fertilizers in agriculture has increased rapidly because of their ability to significantly improve crop yield. This is indicated by the fact that fertilizer consumption as a percentage of fertilizer production has increased from 87.6% in 2019 to 91.1% in 2021, as per the statistical data provided by the World Bank (% of fertilizer production). These factors positively impact the agrochemicals market's growth and will continue bolstering the market growth in the coming years.
Agrochemicals Market Geographical Outlook
Geographically, the North American region is anticipated to hold a significant market share in the agrochemicals market owing to the increasing expenditure on agricultural activities and the rising use of fertilizers. The fertilizer industry in the United States is affected by various factors, such as crop demand and output requirements, that might depend on the current rules and subsidies of the local government. In addition, producers' fertilizer purchasing decisions are affected by fluctuations in the global prices that accompany specific crops, particularly maize and soybeans. Growth-enabling precision agricultural technological developments are also fueling the demand for fertilizers in the nation, further driving the agrochemicals market growth.
According to USDA, crop area harvested per 1,000 acres in the United States increased from 2,91,429 thousand acres in 2020 to 2,98,863 thousand acres in 2021, The list included crops like corn, sorghum, oats, barley, rye, winter wheat, Durum wheat, rice, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower, cotton, dry edible beans, chickpeas, potatoes, canola, proso millet, and sugarbeets, with harvested acreage for hay, tobacco, and sugarcane, including double cropped acres and unharvested small grains.
Furthermore, the 2021 USDA report shows that among the fruit and vegetable agricultural businesses, there are around 3,000 that use CEA-type protection. This 2-3% is a significant sector in the US regarding total crop value. CEA-grown crops are characterized by high-value herbs, leafy greens, microgreens, berries, vine vegetables (like cucumbers, tomatoes, and peppers), flowers, mushrooms, and nursery crops. As per the estimates, more than 2,000 vertical farming operations in the US utilize fertilizers on a large scale. All of these together, in turn, are boosting the demand for agrochemicals to increase yield per hectare while protecting food products during the crop lifecycle with the support of fertilizers and pesticides.
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