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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1627601
全球鈰市場:預測(2025-2030)Global Cerium Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
預計 2025 年至 2030 年期間全球鈰市場的複合年成長率為 3.56%。
鈰是一種稀土元素元素,當暴露在空氣中時會改變顏色。這種元素是從氟碳鈰礦石和獨居石礦石中提取的。鈰通常以氧化物粉末的形式出售。氧化鈰是鈰的重要產品,廣泛應用於各行各業。二氧化鈰用於製造玻璃和陶瓷,特別是作為金屬和陶瓷玻璃的添加劑、耐火陶瓷和玻璃拋光以及作為催化劑。其純淨形式用於鑄造合金,此外還用於鋁、鐵、電池、鎂和真空合金。推動市場成長的主要原因是玻璃、石油、精製和其他產業對二氧化鈰和陶瓷的應用越來越多。預計終端用戶產業的強勁成長將在預測期內支持市場成長。
鈰市場促進因素
推動鈰產業成長的主要原因之一是全球稀土元素開採量的增加。根據美國地理調查局2021年1月發布的報告,全球稀土金屬礦產量從2018年的19萬噸大幅增加至2020年的24萬噸。此外,根據美國地質調查局 2022 年 1 月發布的《礦產商品摘要》報告,美國2021 年進口的稀土化合物和金屬的估計價值較 2020 年有所增加;這比 2018 年的 1.09 億美元有所增加到2021 年將增至1.6 億美元。此外,稀土元素在催化劑中的分佈為74%,陶瓷和玻璃中的分佈為10%,冶金應用和合金中的分佈為6%,拋光中的分佈為4%,其他中的分佈為6%。
中國是最大的稀土生產國,其次是美國、緬甸和澳洲。預計稀土產量增加將對鈰產量做出重大貢獻,以支撐該產業的供應側市場。
此外,中國北方稀土公司獲得2024年2月輕稀土開採配額94,580噸、冶煉配額8,8010噸,總合開採配額為4,0420噸。其中,輕稀土元素30,280噸,離子吸附稀土元素(中稀土元素和重稀土元素)10,140噸,冶煉總合38,990噸。繼過去一年來中國稀土集團進一步整合稀土資源後,廈門鎢業和廣東稀土產業集團的稀土配額已納入中國稀土集團2024年的配額中。
鈰市場的地理展望
中國、日本、印度、韓國等主要經濟體佔據亞太地區主導地位。一些成長最快的新興經濟體都位於該地區,例如東南亞國協。
亞太地區 (APAC) 的鈰市場正在經歷大幅成長,這主要歸因於各行業對稀土元素的使用不斷增加。作為製造合金、催化劑和玻璃磨料的關鍵成分,鈰的用途正在擴大,特別是在電子和汽車領域。
此外,亞太地區的汽車產業也有望對鈰市場的成長做出重大貢獻。在世界各國努力減少車輛排放的當下,鈰具有催化性能,有助於控制車輛排放。隨著環保策略的推進,對清潔汽車戰略必不可少的鈰等更先進的稀土元素的需求變得不可避免。同樣,隨著製造商改變對低碳技術至關重要的元素的採購方式,從電子產品中回收鈰正成為一種趨勢,並引領新市場。
然而,這些有利的成長要素也伴隨著一些限制。採礦活動的增加可能導致鈰價格波動並破壞市場結構。中國是鈰的主要生產國,因此尋求從中國實現進口來源多元化的國家面臨新的風險。
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The global cerium market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.56% between 2025 to 2030.
Cerium is a Rare Earth metal element that tarnishes when exposed to atmospheric air. This element is extracted from the ores of Bastnasite and Monazite. It is generally sold in oxide powder form. Cerium oxide is the crucial outlet of cerium having wider adaptability across several industry verticals. The oxide is used in glass and ceramics production, particularly as an addition to glass metal and ceramic glasses, refractory ceramics and glass polishing, catalysts, and others. In pure form, the metal is used in casting alloys, in addition to aluminum, iron, battery, magnesium, and vacuum alloys. The prime reason driving the market growth is the increased adoption of cerium oxide and ceramics across the glass, petroleum, refinery, and other industries. Robust growth in the end-user industry is projected to support the market growth during the forecasted period.
Global cerium market drivers
One of the prime reasons driving the cerium industry's growth is the rising mining of rare earth metals globally. A report published by the US Geographical Survey in January 2021 states that the global mine production of Rare Earth metals increased significantly from 190,000 metric tons in 2018 to 240,000 in 2020. Furthermore, according to the report published by the US Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries in January 2022, the estimated value of rate-earth compounds and metals that were imported by the United States in 2021 increased from 2020, with their values increasing from US$ 109 million in 2020 to US$ 160 million in 2021. Furthermore, the rate earth was distributed in catalysts consisting of 74%, followed by ceramics and glass consisting of 10%, metallurgical applications and alloys with 6%, polishing with 4%, and others with 6%.
China accounts for the largest production of Rare Earth metals, followed by the USA, Myanmar, and Australia. Increased production of rare Earth metals is expected to significantly contribute towards the production of cerium and hence support the industry's supply side market.
Furthermore, China North Rare Earth Corp was allocated a mining quota for light rare earth of 94,580 tonnes and a smelting quota of 88,010 tonnes in February 2024, resulting in a total mining quota of 40,420 tonnes. This included 30,280 tonnes for light rare earth, 10,140 for ion-absorbed rare earth (medium and heavy rare earth), and a total smelting quota of 38,990 tonnes. Rare earth quotas for Xiamen Tungsten and Guangdong Rare Earth Industry Group have been included in the quotas of China Rare Earth Group for 2024 following moves by China Rare Earth Group to further integrate its rare earth resources over the past year.
Global cerium market geographical outlook
The major economies like China, Japan, India, and South Korea dominate the Asia-Pacific region. Some of the fastest-growing emerging economies are from this region, such as ASEAN countries.
The cerium market in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region is witnessing significant growth in great proportions, and this is mostly attributed to the growing use of rare earth elements in a range of industries. As a crucial component in the manufacturing of alloys, catalysts, and glass polishing agents, cerium's applications are expanding, particularly in the electronics and automotive sectors.
In addition, the automotive industry of the APAC region is also expected to be a significant contributor to the cerium's market growth. Cerium contains some catalytic properties that assist in the control of vehicular emissions when the world is striving for emission reduction. As the promotion of eco-friendly strategies takes root, the need for more advanced rare earth elements like cerium, which are essential in clean vehicle strategies, becomes inevitable. Likewise, cerium recycling from electronic products is becoming a trend that is leading to new markets as manufacturers are changing their ways of sourcing this essential component for low-carbon technologies.
There are, however, some constraints to these favorable growth factors. Due to increasing mining activities, there could be fluctuations in cerium prices, which could compromise market structures. Countries attempting to diversify their import sources away from China face a new danger because China is the primary producer of cerium.
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