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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1627784
全球杏仁市場:預測(2025-2030 年)Global Almond Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
預計預測期內杏仁市場複合年成長率為 3.45%,到 2030 年達到 135.22 億美元。這比 2025 年的 113.3 億美元有顯著成長。
推動全球杏仁市場發展的主要因素之一是人們越來越意識到杏仁的健康益處,同時由於杏仁含有健康脂肪、大量蛋白質和必需營養素,其需求量不斷增加。此外,都市化的快速發展和可支配收入的增加促使人們在飲食中加入更多營養豐富的堅果,而杏仁是乾果中的好選擇。
此外,食品和飲料領域對杏仁產品的需求不斷成長,也將推動杏仁市場在預期時間內的成長。例如,2023年12月,知名杏仁生產商和經銷商Blue Diamond在其Almond Breeze產品線中推出了新產品:Almond Breeze Original Almond & Oat Blend。根據該公司介紹,這種非乳製奶結合了杏仁和燕麥,比傳統乳製奶含有更多的鈣、更少的熱量和更少的糖。因此,預計此類新穎、原創的杏仁產品的推出將在預測期內推動市場擴張。
杏仁市場促進因素
如今,大部分人都喜歡美味又健康的零食。消費者偏好的改變正在推動杏仁產品市場的發展。近年來,對傳統牛奶和乳製品過敏的人數顯著增加。因此,這群人開始轉向豆奶、杏仁奶和米奶等替代奶。這種情況將為杏仁生產商提供更廣泛的選擇。
近年來,隨著世界各地越來越多的人開始採用素食飲食,純素牛奶變得越來越受歡迎。因此,杏仁奶因其眾多健康益處,包括低熱量、高維生素 D 和強化骨骼等特性,已成為純素最受歡迎的選擇之一。此外,杏仁奶和其他純素替代品也被認為蛋白質含量高。
據糧農組織稱,歐洲和北美的人均新鮮乳製品需求總體保持穩定或下降,但近年來需求結構已轉向全脂飲用乳和奶油等乳脂肪。最近的研究對乳脂肪攝取的健康益處給出了更積極的看法,這可能會對消費者產生影響。植物來源乳製品替代品(如大豆、杏仁、米和燕麥飲料)在北美、歐洲和東亞等許多地區越來越受歡迎。替代品的範圍已超出了傳統的選擇,包括各種堅果、豆類和其他作物。牛奶乳糖不耐症是預測期內杏仁奶需求增加的主要原因之一。例如,根據美國國家美國美國36% 的人患有乳糖不耐症。
此外,預計杏仁產量將快速增加,這將有助於預測期內杏仁市場的擴張。例如,根據 INC《2022/23 年堅果和乾果統計年鑑》,在 2022/23 年作物中,杏仁將佔乾果總產量的 27%,其他品種將分別佔 22%、20% 和 10%。核桃、腰果和開心果,後三者的佔比為14%。這些生產趨勢顯示杏仁的需求不斷成長。
根據印度國家堅果和乾果統計年鑑2022/23,杏仁預計2021年消費量最高,為15,705,890噸,佔總消費量的31%。其次是核桃(977,272 噸)、腰果(965,490 噸)和開心果(786,200 噸)。因此,隨著消費量的增加,開心果的消費量也會增加。
杏仁市場的地理概況
加州的杏仁產量大幅成長,成為世界上最大的堅果作物。杏仁是該地區用於出口和國內用途的進口作物,隨著越來越多的人選擇杏仁作為飲食選擇,杏仁的需求進一步增加。此外,杏仁種植者比種植其他作物的農民更需要授粉。這使得它成為國內養蜂人的主要需求來源。由於全年都需要養蜂,任何無法養蜂或養蜂人交付延遲都會增加總體生產成本,從而進一步對國內杏仁生產產生負面影響。
預計預測期內歐洲地區對素食和有機食品的需求不斷增加將推動杏仁市場的發展。此外,主要經濟體擴大其食品和飲料行業,加上該地區主要市場參與者增加投資以擴大市場佔有率,預計將推動市場成長機會。除此之外,由於素食主義的興起,消費者偏好的改變以及對肉類和替代產品的接受度不斷提高,預計將在未來幾年進一步推動成長。
例如,調查顯示,英國的純素人口在過去幾年大幅成長,預計在預測期內仍將繼續強勁成長。重點市場開發公司專注於杏仁健康定位和消費者行銷工作,以及為印度和中國等新興市場制定模式和策略。此外,英國電子商務行業的擴張正吸引新的市場參與者以先進和創新的產品進入市場,從而增加競爭並為製造商和銷售商創造進一步的市場成長機會,並正在推動中。
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The global almond market is expected to experience a CAGR of 3.45% throughout the forecast period, reaching a market size of US$13.522 billion by 2030. This represents a substantial increase from US$11.33 billion recorded in 2025.
One major factor propelling the worldwide almond market is the growing recognition of its health advantages, coupled with an escalating demand due to its content of healthy fats, substantial protein, and essential nutrients. Furthermore, the swift pace of urbanization and the increasing disposable income are motivating individuals to incorporate more nutritious nuts into their diets, with almonds standing out as an excellent choice among dried fruits.
Moreover, the escalating consumer demand for almond-derived products within the food and beverage sector is driving the almond market's growth in the anticipated period. For instance, in December 2023, Blue Diamond, a prominent producer and distributor of almonds, unveiled a new addition to its Almond Breeze product line - the Almond Breeze Original Almond and Oat Blend. This dairy-free milk combines almonds and oats, boasting more calcium than traditional dairy milk, fewer calories, and reduced sugar, according to the company. Hence, the introduction of such novel and inventive almond-based products is expected to fuel market expansion in the projected period.
Almond market drivers
A large portion of the population today prefers tasty as well as healthy snack options. This shift in consumer preferences is driving the global almond products market. In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the number of people suffering from allergies to traditional milk and milk products. As a result, this customer base is increasingly preferring milk alternatives such as soy milk, almond milk, and rice milk. This scenario provides the almond manufacturers with a wider option for their produce.
Vegan milk has grown in popularity in recent years as an increasing number of people around the world have adopted veganism. As a result, almond milk is one of the most popular choices for vegans due to its numerous health benefits, including being low in calories, high in vitamin D, and having bone-strengthening properties, among others. Almond milk and other vegan alternatives are also thought to be high in protein.
According to FAO, overall per capita demand for fresh dairy products in Europe and North America is stable to declining, but the composition of demand has shifted in recent years toward dairy fat, such as full-fat drinking milk, and cream. Recent studies that have cast a more positive light on the health benefits of dairy fat consumption may influence consumers. Plant-based dairy substitutes (e.g., soya, almond, rice, and oat drinks) have grown in popularity in many regions, including North America, Europe, and East Asia. Alternatives have expanded beyond the more traditional options, including various nuts, legumes, and other crops. Lactose intolerance to dairy milk is one of the major reasons for the increasing demand for almond milk in the projected period. For instance, according to the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, in the United States, about 36% of people have lactose malabsorption.
Additionally, the anticipated surge in almond production is poised to contribute to the expansion of the global almond market in the forecasted period. For example, according to the INC Nuts and Dried Fruit Statistical Yearbook 2022/23, in the crop year 2022/23, almonds constituted 27% of the overall production of dry fruits, surpassing walnuts, cashews, and pistachios which accounted for 22%, 20%, and 14% respectively, among other varieties. This escalating production trend serves as an indicator of the growing demand for almonds.
According to the INC Nuts and Dried Fruits Statistical Yearbook 2022/23, the estimated consumption was highest for almonds in 2021, with 15,70,589 metric tons, and accounted for 31% of the total consumption in 2021. Followed by walnuts, cashews, and pistachios with 9,77,272 metric tons, 9,65,490 metric tons, and 7,86,200 metric tons respectively. Hence, with the rising consumption.
Global almond market geographical outlook
California's almond crop is growing significantly, and it has the largest tree nut crop globally. Almond is considered an imported crop in the region in terms of both export and domestic purposes, and with the growing adoption of almonds as a dietary solution option, its demand is further increasing. Furthermore, almond farmers need more pollination than any other crop. Therefore, they are also the major source of demand for beekeepers in the country. Since they are required all year round, unavailability of beekeeping or delay in beekeeper delivery increases the overall cost of production and further negatively impacts the production of almonds in the country.
Increasing demand for vegan and organic food in the European region is expected to drive the market for almonds during the forecast period. In addition, the major economies expanding the food and beverage industry coupled with the growing investments by big market players in the region to increase their market share, are anticipated to propel the market growth opportunities. In addition to this, changing consumer preferences and increasing adoption of meat alternatives and substitute products due to the rising vegan population are anticipated to further propel this growth in the coming years.
For instance, according to multiple surveys, the vegan population in the United Kingdom has increased substantially over the past few years, with strong growth still anticipated during the forecast period. Major market players are focusing on almond health positioning and consumer marketing efforts, as well as developing a model and strategy for developing markets such as India and China. Furthermore, the expansion of the e-commerce industry in the United Kingdom is attracting new market players to enter the market with advanced and innovative products, thus increasing competition and further propelling the market growth opportunities for manufacturers and vendors
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