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全球熱泵市場：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Global Heat Pumps - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 164 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計 2025 年全球熱泵市場規模為 754.4 億美元，到 2030 年將達到 1,204 億美元，預測期內（2025-2030 年）的複合年成長率為 9.8%。

全球熱泵市場-IMG1

熱泵採用機械壓縮循環冷凍原理運行，也可以逆轉以加熱或冷卻設施中的所需空間。因此，冷卻和加熱應用的市場正在不斷擴大。

關鍵亮點

  • 熱泵可以從促進環境永續性中獲得策略性利益。此外，歐盟產業整合策略預測，到2030年，65%的商業建築將採用電力暖氣。資料顯示，由於建築物使用熱泵進行供暖和製冷，熱泵的銷售量預計會增加。
  • 此外，對節能電器日益成長的需求推動了熱泵等技術的應用，為最終用戶提供了為世界各地可再生能源和氣候目標做出貢獻的巨大潛力。
  • 此外，預計在預測期內，減少對石化燃料的依賴以及尋找更節能的爐子和空調替代品的需求將推動對熱泵的需求。由於熱泵移動熱量而不是產生熱量，因此它們可以提供相同水平的空間調節，而營業成本約為傳統加熱和冷卻設備的四分之一。
  • 對設施的某些區域進行加熱可以節省空氣處理機組 (AHU) 的材料成本。但是，如果您安裝熱泵作為主要的加熱和冷卻系統，這些因素可能會影響整體安裝成本。
  • 儘管可以預見，由於 COVID-19 疫情的影響，熱泵銷量將停滯甚至下降，但政府舉措和消費者需求預計將推動熱泵銷售。

熱泵市場趨勢

住宅熱泵預計將強勁成長

  • 各地區實施的旨在推廣近零能耗建築的法規指導住宅使用熱泵等高效能源來源來提高能源性能。熱泵通常用作獨立式住宅和聯排式住宅的熱源。多用戶住宅中熱泵的使用量也在增加。
  • 此外，加州能源委員會（CEC）通過的2022年建築能源效率標準（能源法規）將於2023年1月1日生效，對美國加州的建築物提出了幾項新要求。根據2022年能源法規，新建的獨棟住宅必須安裝水對空氣電熱泵。此外，所有新建多用戶住宅都必須配備電熱泵加熱。
  • 供應商也致力於住宅脫碳以減少二氧化碳排放。例如，大金最近宣布了一項改造住宅供暖和製冷的四階段計劃。據該公司稱，歐洲的建築存量約佔歐盟二氧化碳排放總量的36%。因此，在新建住宅中都安裝了熱泵，從而推動了該地區對熱泵的需求。
  • 儘管受到新冠疫情的影響，許多市場的住宅仍大幅增加，這也支持了市場的成長。例如，根據德國兩大建築協會ZDB和HDB的數據，預計2022年德國建築業的銷售額將達到1,510億歐元，比2021年成長5.5%。預計成長預測將受到該國住宅建築業強勁表現的推動，該行業在整個疫情期間一直保持著韌性。
  • 此外，2022年4月，大金宣布支援REPowerEU，目標是將熱泵的使用數量從2027年的1000萬台增加到2030年的3000萬台。該運動也將推動住宅脫碳，幫助歐盟實現2050年住宅領域脫碳目標。
  • 德國聯邦熱泵協會 (Bundesverband Warmepumpe) 表示，2023 年德國購買的大部分熱泵將是空氣加熱型，即從室外空氣中獲取能量。此外，用於加熱生活熱水的熱泵數量也在快速成長。

亞太地區可望主導市場

  • 中國是熱泵的主要市場之一，因為中國政府大力支持節能基礎建設，這將促進市場成長。中國幅員遼闊，官方將其分類為五大氣候區，每個氣候區都有不同的熱設計要求。可以為這些地區量身定做供暖解決方案，以滿足巨大的市場機會。
  • 在日本，熱泵是私人和商業環境中眾所周知的產品。熱泵也正在被廣泛應用於各種行業。這項發展始於幾十年前，並透過節能措施得到了進一步推動。這是由自然資源和能源局製定的，要求在2013年至2030年期間實現節能5,030萬立方公尺原油當量。這樣的案例可能會刺激該國對熱泵的需求。
  • 在印度，飯店、商場、劇院等場所對熱泵的使用逐漸增加。此外，印度擁有豐富的太陽能。根據韓國新可再生能源部統計，截至2022年11月30日，太陽能發電裝置容量已達約6,197千萬瓦。上年度，該國的太陽能發電能力位居世界第四。太陽能集熱器和熱泵組合系統可能成為增加全球可再生能源用於空間加熱和生活熱水使用的一個有吸引力的選擇。
  • 在韓國，政府在節能解決方案方面的措施正在推動市場成長。例如，韓國環境部對現代科納電動車和起亞尼羅電動車進行的一項研究發現，熱泵可顯著降低寒冷條件下的電池消耗。
  • 在澳大利亞，澳洲綠建築委員會（GBCA）於2003年推出了綠星認證。澳洲政府也計劃在2030年將溫室氣體排放在2005年的水平上減少26-28%。這些案例顯示預測期內市場存在巨大的成長機會。
  • 其他亞太地區包括印尼、新加坡和泰國。印尼是世界領先的地熱能源國家之一，並有志於採用可再生能源進一步發展地熱能源產業。例如，在2022年第八屆印尼國際地熱大會暨展覽會（IIGCE）上，印尼政府宣布，透過其電力供應總體規劃，已設定了2030年地熱開發裝置容量容量達到330萬千瓦的目標。這些舉措預計將為所研究的市場帶來積極的前景。

熱泵產業概況

由於特靈公司、美的集團、松下公司、三菱電機公司和大金工業株式會社等主要參與者的存在，全球熱泵市場的競爭態勢處於較高水平。

  • 2022 年 11 月 - TRANE 宣布將透過從領先供應商 Nucor Corporation Econiq 購買低碳鋼並從美國 Steel verdeX 獲得額外配給來減少其耐用 HVAC 解決方案的碳影響。該鋼材將用於美國製造流程，生產特靈的家用高效熱泵和空調，以及學校和資料中心等商業建築的溫度控管系統。
  • 2022 年 11 月 - 三菱推出一款連鎖空氣源熱泵，可產生 7.8kW 至 640kW 的熱量。此熱泵無需增壓加熱器即可產生高達 70°C 的熱水。三菱電機推出了這款空氣源熱泵，供學校、醫院等業務用途使用。

其他福利

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 研究範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場洞察

  • 市場概覽
  • 產業價值鏈分析
  • 產業吸引力-波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買家的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭程度
  • COVID-19 市場影響

第5章市場動態

  • 市場促進因素
    • 對節能解決方案的需求不斷增加
    • 政府加大力度控制碳排放
  • 市場限制
    • 熱泵安裝成本高

第6章市場區隔

  • 按類型
    • 空氣熱源
    • 水熱源
    • 地熱（表面）熱源
  • 按行業
    • 工業的
    • 商業的
    • 設施
    • 住宅
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
    • 歐洲
      • 西班牙
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 德國
      • 荷蘭
    • 亞洲
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
    • 澳洲和紐西蘭
    • 拉丁美洲
    • 中東和非洲

第7章競爭格局

  • 公司簡介
    • Trane Inc.（Trane Technologies）
    • Midea Group
    • NIBE Group
    • Panasonic Corporation
    • Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
    • Daikin Industries Ltd
    • Stiebel Eltron GmbH & Co. KG（De）
    • Glen Dimplex Group
    • Viessmann Werke GmbH & Co. KG
    • Flamingo Heat Pumps（Flamingo Chillers）
    • WOLF GMBH（ARISTON GROUP）
    • Efficiency Maine

第8章投資分析

第9章：市場的未來

簡介目錄
Product Code: 67372

The Global Heat Pumps Market size is estimated at USD 75.44 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 120.40 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 9.8% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Global Heat Pumps - Market - IMG1

The heat pump works on the principle of mechanical-compression cycle refrigeration that can even be reversed to heat or cool the desired space of a facility. Hence, the market studied is growing for cooling applications and space heating.

Key Highlights

  • Heat pumps are strategically placed to benefit from the drive to environmental sustainability. Furthermore, the European Union's strategy of sector integration suggests that 65% of all commercial buildings will be heated by electricity in 2030. The data indicate that heat pump sales are only expected to grow with buildings depending on them for heating and cooling.
  • Furthermore, The growing demand for energy-efficient devices has been driving the deployment of technology, such as heat pumps, to provide end users with significant potential to contribute to renewable energy and climate targets across various regions worldwide.
  • Moreover, The growing need to curb dependence on fossil fuels and look for an energy-efficient alternative to furnaces and air conditioners is expected to boost the demand for heat pumps over the forecast period. As heat pumps transfer heat rather than generate heat, they can offer equivalent space conditioning at as little as one-quarter of the operating costs of conventional heating or cooling appliances.
  • Heating a few areas of the facility may save money on material costs for the air handler unit (AHU). However, these factors may affect the overall installation costs if heat pumps are installed as the main heating and cooling system.
  • While it is realistic to expect slow growth or even a decline in heat pump sales owing to the COVID-19 pandemic, government policies and consumer demand are expected to drive the sales of heat pumps.

Heat Pump Market Trends

Residential Heat Pumps are Expected to Witness Significant Growth

  • The regulations implemented in different regions aimed at promoting nearly zero energy buildings are directing residential buildings to improve energy performance through efficient energy sources, such as heat pumps. Heat pumps are often used as heat sources in single-family and terraced houses. Heat pumps are also increasingly used in apartment buildings.
  • Further, the 2022 Building Energy Efficiency Standards (Energy Code) adopted by the California Energy Commission (CEC), which goes into effect January 1, 2023, introduced some new requirements for buildings in California, United States. According to the 2022 Energy Code, new single-family homes must have electric heat pumps for water and air. Electric heat pumps for space heating are also needed in all new multi-family residences.
  • Vendors are also focusing on residential decarbonizing to decrease CO2 emissions. For instance, in recent years, Daikin announced a four-step plan to transform residential heating and cooling. According to the company, the European building stock is responsible for approximately 36 % of all CO2 emissions in the European Union. Therefore, heat pumps are being deployed in new residential constructions, thus, driving the need for heat pumps in the region.
  • Residential construction has seen a considerable boost in many markets despite the impact of COVID-19, which also supports market growth. For instance, the German construction sector was expected to bring in sales of EUR 151 billion in 2022, up 5.5% from 2021, according to figures from the country's two leading construction associations, ZDB and HDB. The growth projection was anticipated to be led by the strong performance of the country's residential construction sector, which has remained resilient throughout the pandemic.
  • Further, in April 2022, Daikin announced its support for the REPowerEU, which has set a goal to boost the rollout of heat pumps from 10 million units in 2027 to 30 million units in 2030. This is further associated with residential decarbonization as the movement can help the European Union achieve the residential sector's decarbonization goals by 2050.
  • As stated by Bundesverband Warmepumpe, the majority of heat pumps purchased in Germany in 2023 were aerothermal, meaning they draw energy from the external air. Moreover, the quantity of heat pumps being utilized for heating household water is rapidly rising.

Asia Pacific Expected to Dominate the Market

  • China is one of the significant markets for heat pumps, owing to the government's policies to support more energy-efficient infrastructure in the country, thereby augmenting the market growth. China's vast geographic area is officially divided into five primary climate zones with different thermal design requirements. Heating solutions for these regions can be tailor-made to meet the huge market opportunities.
  • In Japan, heat pumps are well-known products in private and commercial settings. Various types of industries have also embraced them. This development began several decades ago and has been further pushed by energy conservation measures. These were formulated by the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, stipulating energy conservation of 50.3 million m3 crude oil equivalent between 2013 and 2030. Such instances are likely to boost the demand for heat pumps in the country.
  • Applications of heat pumps in hotels, malls, theatres, etc., are gradually gaining traction in India. Moreover, a tremendous amount of solar energy is available in the country. According to the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, solar power installed capacity reached around 61.97 GW as of 30th November 2022. The country stood 4th in solar PV deployment across the globe in the previous year. The system combination of solar thermal collectors and heat pumps can be an attractive option for increasing renewable energy usage worldwide for heating and domestic hot water preparation.
  • In South Korea, government initiatives concerning energy-efficient solutions are driving the market growth. For instance, a study carried out by Korea's Ministry of the Environment on the Hyundai Kona Electric, and Kia Niro EV found that the heat pump significantly reduced battery consumption in cold conditions.
  • In Australia, the Green Building Council of Australia (GBCA) launched the Green Star certification in 2003. Additionally, the Australian Government is focused on a 26-28% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 2005 levels by 2030. Such instances demonstrate a significant market growth opportunity over the forecast period.
  • The countries considered under the rest of Asia-Pacific include Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand. Indonesia is one of the leading geothermal energy powers in the world and has set ambitions to grow the sector further as the country embraces renewable energy sources. For instance, During the 8th Indonesia International Geothermal Convention & Exhibition (IIGCE) 2022, the Indonesian government announced that, through the General Plan for the Provision of Electricity, it had set a geothermal development target of 3.3 GW installed capacity by 2030. Such initiatives are likely to create a positive outlook for the studied market.

Heat Pump Industry Overview

The competitive rivalry in the global heat pumps market is high owing to the presence of some major players such as Trane Inc., Midea Group, Panasonic Corporation, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, and Daikin Industries Ltd, amongst others. Their ability to continually innovate their offerings has enabled them to gain a competitive advantage over other players in the market. These players have expanded their market footprint through R&D activities, mergers & acquisitions.

  • November 2022 - TRANE announced that it would reduce the carbon impact of its endurable HVAC solutions by buying low-carbon steel from major supplier Nucor Corporation Econiq, with an additional allotment from US Steel verdeX. The steel will be utilized in US manufacturing processes to build Trane high-efficiency heat pumps and air conditioners for homes and thermal management systems for commercial buildings such as schools and data centers.
  • November 2022 - Mitsubishi launched a cascaded air source heat pump that can produce between 7.8 kW and 640 kW of heat. The heat pump can generate hot water at a temperature of up to 70 C without boost heaters. Mitsubishi Electric released the air source heat pump for commercial applications, including schools and hospitals.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET INSIGHTS

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Industry Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.3.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Degree of Competition
  • 4.4 Impact of COVID-19 on the Market

5 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 5.1 Market Drivers
    • 5.1.1 Increasing Demand for Energy Efficient Solutions
    • 5.1.2 Increasing Government Initiatives to Curb Carbon Emission
  • 5.2 Market Restraints
    • 5.2.1 High Installation Cost of Heat Pumps

6 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 6.1 By Type
    • 6.1.1 Air-Source
    • 6.1.2 Water-Source
    • 6.1.3 Geothermal (Ground) Source
  • 6.2 By End-User Vertical
    • 6.2.1 Industrial
    • 6.2.2 Commercial
    • 6.2.3 Institutional
    • 6.2.4 Residential
  • 6.3 By Geography
    • 6.3.1 North America
      • 6.3.1.1 United States
      • 6.3.1.2 Canada
    • 6.3.2 Europe
      • 6.3.2.1 Spain
      • 6.3.2.2 France
      • 6.3.2.3 Italy
      • 6.3.2.4 Germany
      • 6.3.2.5 Netherlands
    • 6.3.3 Asia
      • 6.3.3.1 China
      • 6.3.3.2 Japan
      • 6.3.3.3 India
      • 6.3.3.4 South Korea
    • 6.3.4 Australia and New Zealand
    • 6.3.5 Latin America
    • 6.3.6 Middle East and Africa

7 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 7.1 Company Profiles
    • 7.1.1 Trane Inc. (Trane Technologies)
    • 7.1.2 Midea Group
    • 7.1.3 NIBE Group
    • 7.1.4 Panasonic Corporation
    • 7.1.5 Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
    • 7.1.6 Daikin Industries Ltd
    • 7.1.7 Stiebel Eltron GmbH & Co. KG (De)
    • 7.1.8 Glen Dimplex Group
    • 7.1.9 Viessmann Werke GmbH & Co. KG
    • 7.1.10 Flamingo Heat Pumps (Flamingo Chillers)
    • 7.1.11 WOLF GMBH (ARISTON GROUP)
    • 7.1.12 Efficiency Maine

8 INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

9 FUTURE OF THE MARKET