全球電動客車市場：純電動和燃料電池大型客車市場預測（2025-2034）

The Global Electric Bus Market: Battery Electric and Fuel Cell Heavy Passenger Vehicles, Market Forecasts, 2025-2034

出版日期: 2024年05月28日 | 出版商:

Guidehouse Insights | 英文 40 Pages; 45 Tables, Charts & Figures | 訂單完成後即時交付

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簡介目錄圖表

公車在國際社會中發揮重要作用，促進了經濟發展和社會流動。大眾客運是世界各地的基本需求，而公車歷來提供並將繼續提供大部分所需的運輸能力。公車也提供了一種簡單但高效的電氣化脫碳手段。

全球客車市場已經成熟，但電動客車市場可能還不成熟。客運被視為脫碳的明顯機會，在過去十年中，人們對內燃機以外的替代推進方法的興趣不斷增長。本報告分析了未來10年全球大型電動客車市場。整個客車市場分為三類：公車、長途客車和校車，並對這三個細分市場的純電動（BE）和燃料電池（FC）客車的銷量進行了估算。

雖然 BE 巴士的採用已經開始，並且勢頭強勁，尤其是在公車和校車領域，但燃料電池巴士的前景正在發生變化，受到成本和適用性因素的不確定性影響。

本報告分析了全球電動客車市場，包括市場的基本結構和價值鏈、主要推動和限制、整體市場規模趨勢展望以及我們正在調查的細分市場和車型的詳細趨勢。

Buses play a fundamental role in global society, enabling both economic development and social mobility. Mass passenger transport is a fundamental necessity in every part of the world, and buses have historically provided much of the necessary capacity and will likely continue to do so. They also offer a simple yet highly effective decarbonization lever via electrification.

The global bus market is a mature one, but the same may not be said for the electric bus market. Passenger transport is regarded as a clear opportunity for decarbonization, and interest in non-internal combustion engine alternative propulsion methods has been developing over the last decade. This Guidehouse Insights report examines the global market for heavy electric buses over the next 10 years. It presents forecasts for the overall bus market segmented into three categories: transit buses, long-distance buses, and school buses. For these three segments, unit sales and adoption rates are presented for both battery electric (BE) and fuel cell (FC) vehicles.

The report concludes that, while the adoption of BE buses-most notably in the transit and school bus segments-is already well underway and developing momentum, the outlook for FC buses is far less assured, as a function of both cost and appropriateness.

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

2.1 Drivers
- 2.1.1 Incentivization
- 2.1.2 Regional Emissions Regulations
  - 2.1.2.1 North America
  - 2.1.2.2 Europe
  - 2.1.2.3 Asia Pacific
- 2.1.3 Local Regulations
- 2.1.4 Tendering and Procurement Criteria
- 2.1.5 Procurement Cost
2.2 Barriers
2.1 Cold Weather Impact
- 2.2.2 Lack of Reliability and Interchangeability
- 2.2.3 Lack of Trained Technicians
- 2.2.4 Charging Issues
2.3 Pricing

3. Industry Value Chain

3.1 Competitive Landscape
- 3.1.1 Mergers and Acquisitions
- 3.1.2 Business Model Evolution

4. Market Forecasts

4.1 Scope
4.2 Methodology
4.3 Limitations
4.4 Key Assumptions
4.5 Forecasts
- 4.5.1 Overall Bus Market
- 4.5.2 Electric Bus Market
- 4.5.3 Transit Bus Market
  - 4.5.3.1 Battery Electric Transit Buses
  - 4.5.3.2 Fuel Cell Transit Buses
- 4.5.4 Long-Distance Bus Market
  - 4.5.4.1 Battery Electric Long-Distance Buses
  - 4.5.4.2 Fuel Cell Long-Distance Buses
- 4.5.5 School Bus Market
  - 4.5.5.1 Battery Electric School Buses
  - 4.5.5.2 Fuel Cell School Buses