市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1308647
2030 年變速箱油市場預測 - 按產品類型、基礎油、最終用戶和地區劃分的全球分析Transmission Fluid Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Base Oil, End User, and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球變速箱油市場規模將達到 126.5 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 187.7 億美元,預測期內復合年增長率為 5.8%。
傳動液是用於潤滑汽車傳動部件以確保最佳性能的油。這些油有助於在齒輪和軸承上保持潤滑膜,以防止磨損。變速箱油通常呈鮮紅色,以區別於汽車中使用的其他液體和油。汽車將變速箱油用於多種用途,包括制動帶摩擦、變矩器功能、閥門操作和齒輪潤滑。
變速箱油是一種粘稠、光滑的液體,可將動力從電機傳輸到變速箱,並用於冷卻和潤滑變速箱內的所有運動部件。在汽車領域,變速箱油是根據變速箱的特定需求量身定制的,例如變速箱潤滑、變矩器功能、制動帶摩擦和閥門驅動。強烈建議汽車使用變速箱油,以防止液壓泵磨損和汽車卡在空檔。出於上述考慮,預計整個預測期內變速箱油在汽車行業的使用將佔據主導地位。
該領域的領先國家包括美國、德國和日本,這些國家的乘用車市場已經成熟,大多數人至少擁有一輛汽車。因此,不存在拉動乘用車需求增加的大的波動因素。新興國家擁有龐大的車隊,導致發達國家對乘用車的需求穩定,影響變速箱油利用率並阻礙市場增長。
由於汽車變速器系列的進步,用於重型作業的越野車輛已經出現了大量的創新。拖拉機等農業多用途車輛和推土機等工程車輛需要高性能 ATF 和 MTF 產品。現代 ATF 中的成分包括石油顏料、粘度指數改進劑、腐蝕抑製劑和抗磨劑。根據車輛要求,使用該產品的 Dexron 和 Mercon 系列。還有一些合成 ATF 的售後市場製造商可以提供卓越的性能並延長車輛使用壽命,為未來的市場增長創造廣闊的機會。
例如,樹脂降解、銅繞組腐蝕以及連接聚合物的化學侵蝕都可能導致變速箱油洩漏或短路。流體的電特性也是一個必須解決的問題。由於電動機在高電壓下運行,流體必須保證其絕緣性,未來使用的流體的體積電阻率預計將成為一個重要因素。電阻率太低會導致斷電和停電,從而導致發動機故障。另一方面,如果電阻率太高,靜電就會積聚並最終形成電弧,從而損害或完全破壞傳動液系統。
COVID-19疫情對全球變速箱油市場產生了重大負面影響。COVID-19 疫情幾乎導致所有主要國家的經濟增長放緩,並影響了消費者的購買習慣。多國交通系統停運導致供需失衡擴大,給國內外供應鏈帶來不利影響。因此,原材料供應短缺預計將阻礙變速箱液壓油的生產,對市場的擴張產生不利影響。
手動變速箱油 (MTF) 領域將出現利潤豐厚的增長,因為由於運動部件比自動變速箱油更多,因此維修更容易。手動變速箱油的降解速度比手動變速箱中使用的潤滑油(齒輪油或發動機油)更快。作為一個主要好處,協調員經常提到可控性的提高。通過使用變速箱手動換檔,您不僅可以物理管理車速,還可以手動減慢車速。主要優點之一是成本。購買配備手動變速箱的汽車幾乎總是比購買配備自動變速箱或無級變速箱油的汽車便宜。
預計汽車行業在預測期內將出現最高的複合年增長率。由於其在傳動系統、變速箱油簡單性、發動機燃油流等方面的創新車載技術,該產品已在汽車行業得到廣泛採用。不同乘用車,如跑車、豪華車和經濟艙車的傳動液和發動機功率,需要使用不同成分的潤滑油。此外,隨著世界各地基礎設施的不斷發展,各種車輛對這些油的需求大大增加。
由於生產轉移到新興國家,特別是中國和印度,預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場份額。此外,該地區還有採礦、汽車和建築等許多快速發展的行業,為生產變速箱油的公司提供了巨大的機遇。未來幾年,由於對可持續基礎設施的需求而增加的建設投資預計將增加總產品需求。
北美市場高度整合,由於克萊斯勒有限責任公司、通用汽車和福特等多家國際汽車製造商的存在,預計在預測期內復合年增長率最高。該地區汽車工業的擴張是推動變速箱液壓油市場的主要因素。此外,北美的建築支出每年以 3% 的速度穩定增長,這表明市場前景廣闊,尤其是建築用越野車。由於客戶偏好從手動變速箱汽車轉向全地形車,北美對 ATF 的需求預計將增加。與標準手動車輛相比,全地形車易於駕駛、燃油效率高且產生的污染物更少。
2023 年 6 月,BASF將擴大其烷基多醣甘 (APG(R)) 的全球產能,在泰國 Bangpakong 和俄亥俄州辛辛那提進行兩次擴建。
2023年6月,ExxonMobil和Nucor Corporation簽署碳捕獲協議,達到5個MTA裡程碑,該工廠將生產直接還原鐵(DRI),這是汽車、電器和重型機械等優質鋼鐵產品的原料。
2023 年 5 月,BASF與 Beauty Streams 合作,進一步拓展 D'lite 個人護理行業的數字服務。美容流捕捉並轉化個人護理領域的最新趨勢,提供寶貴的見解,以跟上快速變化的市場動態。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Transmission Fluid Market is accounted for $12.65 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $18.77 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.8% during the forecast period. Transmission fluids are the oils used to lubricate a car's transmission parts for maximum performance. To prevent gears and bearings from wearing out, these fluids aid in keeping a lubricating coating in place. To set it apart from other fluids and oils used in automobiles, gearbox fluid is typically coloured a bright red colour. Vehicles utilise gearbox fluid for several purposes, including brake band friction, torque converter function, valve action, and gear lubrication.
Transmission fluid is a thick, slick liquid that transports power from the motor to the transmission and serves as a coolant and lubrication for all of the moving components inside transmission. In the automotive sector, the gearbox fluid is tailored for the special needs of a gearbox, including gear lubrication, torque converter function, and brake band friction and valve operation. In order to prevent hydraulic pump wear out and the gear from being stuck in neutral, which results in the car becoming immobile, Transmission fluids are strongly advised for motor vehicles. As a result of the aforementioned considerations, the use of transmission fluid in the automotive sector is projected to predominate throughout the forecast period.
The developed nations in this area include the US, Germany, and Japan, and the passenger vehicle market there is mature due to the fact that the majority of people possess at least one automobile each. Therefore, there are no significant variables that drive rising demand for passenger automobiles. As a result, it has an impact on the market for gearbox fluid, developed countries have a disproportionately large number of automobiles, and as a result, the demand for passenger cars in developed countries has remained consistent which in turn effected the transmission fluid utilization thus hindering the market growth.
Off-road vehicles, which are used for heavy-duty tasks, have seen a significant amount of innovation as a result of advancements in the gearbox series of vehicles. High-performance ATF and MTF products are required by agricultural utility vehicles like tractors and construction vehicles like earthmovers. The ingredients in contemporary ATFs include petroleum dye, viscosity index improvers, corrosion inhibitors, anti-wear additives, and more. Depending on the requirements of the vehicle, the Dexron and Mercon series of the product are utilised. There are a few aftermarket manufacturers of synthetic ATFs that offer superior performance and extend the lifespan of the vehicles creating wide range of opportunities in the future market growth.
For instance, resin deterioration, copper winding corrosion, and chemical assaults on connecting polymers can all result in transmission fluid leaks of electric current or even short circuits. The fluid's electrical characteristics are another issue that has to be addressed. Since the electric motor operates at high voltages, the fluid must ensure its isolation, and anticipate that the volumetric resistivity of upcoming fluids will be a key factor. If the resistivity is too low, there may be a loss of power and/or power outage, which might lead to an engine malfunction. On the other hand, if it is too high, it can cause electrostatic charges to build up and eventually form an electric arc, which can harm or even completely destroy the transmission fluid system.
The COVID-19 pandemic epidemic has had a significant negative influence on the global market for gearbox fluids. The COVID-19 pandemic caused economic growth to slow down in practically all major nations, which had an impact on consumer buying habits. The supply-demand imbalance has widened as a result of the lockdown that has been enacted in a number of nations' transportation systems, which has adversely affected both domestic and international supply chains. Thus, inadequate raw material supply is anticipated to hinder the manufacture of gearbox fluids, which would have a detrimental effect on the market's expansion.
The manual transmission fluid (MTF) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to easier to fix than an automated transmission fluid since the latter has more moving components. Transmission fluid degrades more quickly than the lubricants used in manual gearboxes, which are either gear oil or engine oil. The major benefit is frequently cited by drivers as increased control. The gearbox may be used to manually change gears, allowing you to physically manage the vehicle's speed as well as to manually slow it down. One of the main advantages is cost. It is nearly always less expensive to buy a car with a manual gearbox than one with an automatic or continuously variable transmission fluid.
The automotive industry segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to the innovative in-vehicle technology regarding drive trains, transmission fluid simplicity, fuel flow to the engine, and other factors, the product is widely employed in the automotive industry. The transmission fluid and engine power of various passenger cars, including those in the sports car, luxury and economy class automobile classes, necessitates the use of lubricants with various compositions. Additionally, as infrastructure throughout the world continues to grow, there is a huge rise in the need for these oils in a variety of vehicles.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to shift in the manufacturing landscape in favour of developing nations, especially China and India. Additionally, the area is home to a number of quickly developing sectors, including mining, automotive, and construction, all of which provide tremendous opportunity for companies that make gearbox fluid. In the upcoming couple of years, it is anticipated that rising construction investment due to the demand for sustainable infrastructure would increase total product demand.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the existence of multiple international automakers, including Chrysler LLC, General Motors, and Ford, the market in North America is highly consolidated. The expansion of the region's automotive industry is the main factor fueling the market for gearbox fluids. Additionally, expenditure on construction in North America is increasing at a stable 3% yearly pace, indicating a promising market trajectory, especially for off-road vehicles employed in construction. Due to the movement in customer preference from manual gearbox automobiles to ATVs, the need for ATF is anticipated to increase in North America. ATVs are easier to drive, have better fuel efficiency, and emit fewer pollutants than standard manual cars.
Some of the key players profiled in the Transmission Fluid Market include BASF SE, Amalie Oil Co., BP PLC, CRP Industries Inc., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, CASTROL LIMITED, Ford Motor Company, Kemipex, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd, Royal Dutch Shell plc, American Hitech Petroleum & Chemicals Inc., China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, PetroCanada Lubricants Inc., Evonik Industries AG, Petroliam Nasional Berhad and The Lubrizol Corporation
In June 2023, BASF will expand its global alkyl polyglucosides (APG®s) production capacity with two expansions at its sites in Bangpakong, Thailand, and Cincinnati, Ohio.
In June 2023, ExxonMobil signs carbon capture agreement with Nucor Corporation, reaching 5 MTA milestones, the site produces direct reduced iron (DRI), a raw material used to make high-quality steel products including automobiles, appliances and heavy equipment.
In May 2023, BASF partners with Beauty streams to further expand its D'lite digital service for the personal care industry, by highlighting and translating current trends in personal care, Beauty streams offers valuable insights to stay abreast of the rapidly changing market dynamics.