市場調查報告書
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1438056
2030 年區域供冷市場預測:按來源、生產技術、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析District Cooling Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Source, Production Technique, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球區域供冷市場規模為 10.34 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 14.94 億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為 5.4%。
區域冷卻是一種集中供冷系統,為特定地區或區域內的多個建築物和設施提供空調和冷凍服務。區域冷卻具有多種優勢,包括能源效率、較低的環境影響以及較低的單一建築物的維護成本。
根據美國海洋暨大氣總署 (NOAA) 的數據,過去 100 年來全球平均氣溫上升了約 1.4°F (0.8 度C)。
能源效率
區域冷卻系統集中生產冷凍水,與分散冷卻方法相比可以最佳化能源消耗。此外,由於區域冷卻是集中式的,因此可以採用高效能冷卻器和蓄熱系統等先進技術,有助於降低消費量和營業成本。因此,能源效率已成為市場擴張的關鍵驅動力。
初始投資高
實施區域供冷系統需要在基礎設施、集中供冷設備和電網的建設和安裝方面進行大量初始投資。這些成本根據計劃的規模和複雜性以及當地的人事費用和材料成本而有所不同。但這些成本阻礙了開發商和業主的發展,尤其是在財政資源和預算有限的地區,並抑制了市場需求。
都市化和基礎設施發展
以城市發展和人口密度不斷增加為特徵的快速都市化導致對冷卻解決方案的需求急劇增加,特別是在人口稠密的地區。此外,現代化規劃城市基礎設施的發展為整合集中冷卻解決方案創造了機會。因此,都市化和基礎設施發展是採用區域供冷系統的主要驅動力。
季節性變化
在室外溫度較低或冷卻需求減少期間,區域冷卻系統可能會以低於最佳容量的速度運行,導致效率低下並增加營業成本。這種波動可能導致非高峰期間基礎設施的利用不足,進而影響區域供冷計劃的整體經濟效益。此外,季節性波動可能需要對熱能能源儲存解決方案進行大量投資,以儲存多餘的冷卻能力並確保在需求低迷期間穩定可靠的供應。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行對區域冷卻市場產生了重大影響。與這種病毒相關的健康和安全問題促使優先事項發生轉變,將注意力和資源從非必要計劃(包括區域舉措措施)上轉移開。此外,供應鏈中斷和勞動力短缺進一步阻礙了建築和維護活動,推遲了計劃,並影響了大流行期間的整體市場動態。
天然氣產業預計將在預測期內成為最大的產業
預計天然氣產業將佔據最大佔有率。天然氣作為冷凍水生產的初級能源發揮重要作用。該過程非常高效,有助於提高區域冷卻系統的整體能源效率。此外,天然氣燃氣渦輪機固有的彈性使其能夠快速響應不斷變化的冷卻需求,有助於提高整體系統的穩定性和效率。
預計電動式冷凍產業在預測期內年複合成長率最高
預計電動式冷凍領域在預測期內將出現良好成長。電動式冷凍是基本部件,在空調和冷凍用冷凍水的生產中發揮至關重要的作用。此外,隨著對冷卻解決方案的需求不斷增加,電動式冷凍仍然是可靠且必不可少的組件,增加了對高效冷卻的需求,並減少了都市區和工業環境中的能源消耗和環境影響,平衡考慮以促進市場需求。
由於都市化不斷加快、人口成長以及對節能和永續冷卻解決方案的需求不斷成長,亞太地區在預測期內佔據了最大的市場佔有率。該地區的主要城市擴大採用區域供冷作為應對高密度城市發展相關挑戰的策略方法。此外,該地區的熱帶和亞熱帶氣候以高溫高濕度為特徵,增加了對有效冷卻解決方案的需求。
由於重視永續城市發展和對高效冷卻解決方案的需求不斷增加,預計北美在預測期內將實現盈利成長。該地區氣候多樣,從北部寒冷的氣溫到南部炎熱潮濕的地區,凸顯了自適應冷卻解決方案的重要性。區域供冷憑藉其集中式工廠和靈活的技術,提供了應對氣候變遷的有效手段。隨著都市化的加速和對永續性的日益關注,北美仍然是區域供冷系統發展和成長的重要地區。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global District Cooling Market is accounted for $1034 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $1494 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.4% during the forecast period. District cooling is a centralized cooling system that provides air conditioning and refrigeration services to multiple buildings or facilities within a specific geographic area or district. District cooling offers several advantages, including energy efficiency, reduced environmental impact, and lower maintenance costs for individual buildings.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the average global temperature has increased by around 1.4° F (0.8° C) in the last 100 years.
Energy efficiency
District cooling systems centralize the production of chilled water, allowing for optimized energy consumption compared to decentralized cooling methods. Moreover, the centralized nature of district cooling enables the use of advanced technologies, such as high-efficiency chillers and thermal storage systems, contributing to reduced energy consumption and operating costs. Therefore, energy efficiency is a significant factor propelling market expansion.
High initial investment
Implementing a district cooling system requires substantial upfront capital for infrastructure development, construction, and installation of centralized cooling plants and distribution networks. These costs can vary depending on the size and complexity of the project, as well as the local labor and material costs. However, these costs can be a deterrent for developers and building owners, particularly in regions with limited financial resources or budget constraints, which hampers market demand.
Urbanization and infrastructure development
Rapid urbanization, characterized by the growth of cities and increased population density, has led to a surge in the demand for cooling solutions, especially in densely populated areas. Additionally, the establishment of modern, well-planned urban infrastructure provides opportunities for integrating centralized cooling solutions. Therefore, urbanization and infrastructure development act as key drivers for the adoption of district cooling systems.
Seasonal variations
In periods of low ambient temperatures or reduced cooling needs, district cooling systems may operate at suboptimal capacities, leading to inefficiencies and increased operational costs. These variations can result in underutilization of infrastructure during off-peak seasons, impacting the overall economic viability of district cooling projects. Additionally, seasonal variations may require significant investment in thermal energy storage solutions to store excess cooling capacity during periods of low demand, ensuring a consistent and reliable supply.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the district cooling market. The health and safety concerns associated with the virus prompted a shift in priorities, diverting attention and resources away from non-essential projects, including district cooling initiatives. Moreover, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages further hampered construction and maintenance activities, delaying projects and affecting overall market dynamics during the pandemic.
The natural gas segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The natural gas segment is estimated to hold the largest share. Natural gas plays a significant role as a primary energy source for the production of chilled water. This process is highly efficient and contributes to the overall energy efficiency of district cooling systems. Additionally, the inherent flexibility of natural gas turbines allows for quick response to varying cooling demands, contributing to the stability and efficiency of the overall system.
The electric chillers segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The electric chillers segment is anticipated to have lucrative growth during the forecast period. Electric chillers are a fundamental component playing a pivotal role in the production of chilled water for air conditioning and refrigeration purposes. Moreover, as the demand for cooling solutions continues to rise, electric chillers remain a reliable and integral component, balancing the need for efficient cooling with considerations for energy consumption and environmental impact in urban and industrial settings, which propels the market demand.
Asia Pacific commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to increasing urbanization, population growth, and a rising demand for energy-efficient and sustainable cooling solutions. In major cities across the region, the adoption of district cooling has gained prominence as a strategic approach to address the challenges associated with high-density urban development. Furthermore, the region's tropical and subtropical climates, characterized by high temperatures and humidity, amplify the need for effective cooling solutions.
North America is expected to witness profitable growth over the projection period, owing to growing emphasis on sustainable urban development and a need for efficient cooling solutions. The region's diverse climate, ranging from extreme cold in northern areas to hot and humid conditions in the south underscores the importance of adaptable cooling solutions. District cooling, with its centralized plants and flexible technologies, offers an effective means to address these climate variations. As urbanization continues and the focus on sustainability intensifies, North America remains a key region for the development and growth of district cooling systems.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the District Cooling Market include Siemens AG, Emirates Central Cooling Systems Corporation, Keppel DHCS. Pte. Ltd., ADC Energy Systems, Emirates District Cooling LLC, Ramboll Group A/S, Stellar Energy, Shinryo Corporation, Dalkia, ABB Ltd., ADC Energy Systems and Veolia.
In August 2023, Stella Energy Solutions, a utility-scale solar and storage developer, has entered into a multi-year agreement with Empact Technologies, which provides software and services for clean energy tax incentive management.
In April 2023, Veolia Water Technologies & Solutions and Locus Performance Ingredients (Locus PI) announced their exclusive collaboration that will focus on developing new biobased solutions tailored to address process, water and wastewater sustainability and performance challenges.