市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1438139
到 2030 年雙離合器變速箱市場預測:按車型、離合器類型、動力傳動系統類型、變速箱、銷售管道、技術和地區進行的全球分析Dual Clutch Transmission Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Clutch Type, Powertrain Type, Transmission, Sales Channel, Technology and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球雙離合器變速箱市場規模為 378.4 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 603.7 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 6.9%。
雙離合器變速箱是一種汽車變速箱技術,採用兩個獨立的離合器,可在檔位之間實現無縫、快速的換檔。 DCT 作為兩個獨立的手排變速箱運行,可以預先選擇下一個檔位,從而最大限度地減少換檔延遲並提高燃油效率。各種車輛中使用的雙離合器變速箱在手排變速箱的效率和自排變速箱的便利性之間取得了平衡,提供了響應靈敏且引人入勝的駕駛體驗。
根據 JSTOR 報告,與行星自動變速箱相比,雙離合器變速箱的燃油效率比手排變速箱高 15%,並提供傳統有級自排變速箱的全面換檔舒適性。
自動變速箱需求不斷成長
雙離合器變速箱因其更高的效率和平穩的換檔而變得越來越受歡迎,因為消費者為了方便而選擇自動變速箱。這種模式支持產業向更複雜的變速箱過渡,並鼓勵在更廣泛的車輛類別中使用 DCT。 DCT 的固有優勢,例如提高燃油效率和增強駕駛體驗,可以很好地滿足消費者對自動變速箱不斷成長的需求,從而促進市場的持續成長。
複雜性和維護
雙離合器變速箱的設計複雜,具有多個離合器和電子元件,這使得它們的製造成本昂貴且容易出現維護問題。消費者擔心潛在的可靠性問題和增加的維修成本。 DCT 的複雜性也為技術人員在維修和日常維護過程中帶來了挑戰,這可能會影響整體車輛擁有體驗。這些複雜性和維護問題阻礙了 DCT 的廣泛市場普及。
消費者對運動型車輛的偏好日益成長
雙離合器變速箱以提供快速、無縫的換檔、提高駕駛性能而聞名,這對於運動型汽車來說非常重要。愛好者欣賞配備 DCT 的車輛所提供的改進的加速度、反應能力和整體動態駕駛體驗。隨著汽車製造商透過為運動型車型配備雙離合器變速箱來滿足這一需求,雙離合器變速箱市場正在迅速擴大。符合消費者對高性能和運動駕駛的偏好,為雙離合器變速箱市場的擴張和成功做出了重大貢獻。
耐用性問題
對雙離合器變速箱耐用性的擔憂主要集中在與這些系統的複雜性相關的潛在問題上。一些消費者擔心長期可靠性,尤其是在重型應用和具有挑戰性的駕駛條件下。有關過熱和維護併發症的報告也讓人們對 DCT 的耐用性產生了懷疑。這些擔憂可能會增加消費者的猶豫並影響整體普及率,從而阻礙市場成長。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行擾亂了雙離合器變速箱市場,導致生產停頓、供應鏈中斷以及消費者在包括汽車在內的非必需品上的支出減少。汽車製造商在維持生產計劃方面面臨挑戰,影響了配備 DCT 的車輛的可用性。此外,經濟不確定性導致消費者購買力下降,影響整體汽車銷售。然而,隨著全球市場的復甦和消費者信心的改善,由於汽車需求的復甦和生產逐漸恢復到疫情前的水平,DCT市場有望復甦。
預計小客車市場在預測期內將是最大的市場
小客車市場預計將出現良好成長。在小客車領域,雙離合器變速箱 (DCT) 技術因其在提供更好駕駛體驗方面的作用而受到關注。 DCT 擴大安裝在小客車中,因為它可以實現快速、平穩的換檔,並有助於提高燃油效率和性能。隨著汽車製造商努力滿足消費者對先進變速箱系統的需求,雙離合器變速箱在小客車中的採用不斷成長,並正在塑造汽車技術的未來。
電動動力傳動系統總成領域預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計電動動力傳動系統總成領域在預測期內將出現最高的複合年成長率。將電動動力傳動系統與 DCT 技術結合可提高效率。電動DCT 提供無縫換檔並最佳化電動車輛的動力分配,有助於提高性能和續航里程。這種整合與行業增強電動車動力傳動系統技術的努力相一致,為消費者提供先進傳動功能和電力推進的引人注目的結合,以提供更永續動力,影響汽車市場向解決方案的發展。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。亞太地區 (APAC) 的雙離合器變速箱市場正在呈現顯著的成長和變革趨勢。在中國、日本、韓國、印度等國家的汽車產業,對先進變速箱技術的需求正在迅速成長,DCT成為人們關注的焦點。由於都市化不斷加快、交通堵塞以及轉向更便捷的駕駛體驗,人們對自動變速箱的偏好增加,這推動了 DCT 在該地區的採用。
由於主要市場參與者的存在,預計歐洲在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。該地區多樣化的景觀,以大眾汽車和豪華汽車為特徵,有助於 DCT 的多樣化應用。目標商標產品(OEM) 正在積極將 DCT 納入其車輛產品組合,以滿足消費者對提高燃油效率和性能的需求。此外,為滿足各地區消費者的多樣化需求而對研發和行銷進行的策略性投資正在推動市場成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dual Clutch Transmission Market is accounted for $37.84 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $60.37 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period. Dual Clutch Transmission is an automotive transmission technology that incorporates two separate clutches for seamless and rapid shifting between gears. Operating as two independent manual transmissions, DCT allows for pre-selecting the next gear, minimizing gear change lag and improving fuel efficiency. Found in a range of vehicles, dual clutch transmission offers a balance between the efficiency of manual transmissions and the convenience of automatic transmissions, providing drivers with a responsive and engaging driving experience.
According to the JSTOR report, dual clutch transmissions provide full shift comfort of traditional step automatics with 15% better fuel efficiency than manual transmissions when compared to planetary ATs.
Growing demand for automatic transmissions
Dual clutch transmissions are growing in popularity due to their improved efficiency and smoother gear changes as consumers choose automatic transmissions for their convenience. This pattern supports the industry's transition to more sophisticated gearboxes, which encourages the use of DCTs in a wider range of car classes. The inherent advantages of DCTs, such as improved fuel efficiency and enhanced driving experience, position them favourably in meeting the rising consumer demand for automatic transmissions, contributing to the market's sustained growth.
Complexity & maintenance
The intricate design of DCTs, with multiple clutches and electronic components, contributes to higher manufacturing costs and increased susceptibility to maintenance issues. Consumers are concerned about potential reliability issues and elevated repair costs. The intricate nature of DCTs may also pose a challenge for technicians during repairs and routine maintenance, impacting overall vehicle ownership experience. These complexities and maintenance concerns, thus impedes the broader market adoption of DCTs.
Increasing consumer preference for sporty vehicles
Dual clutch transmissions are renowned for delivering rapid and seamless gear shifts, enhancing the driving performance crucial for sportier cars. Enthusiasts appreciate the improved acceleration, responsiveness, and overall dynamic driving experience offered by DCT-equipped vehicles. As automakers respond to this demand, integrating DCTs into their sporty vehicle models, the market experiences a surge in adoption. This alignment with consumer preferences for high-performance and sporty driving contributes significantly to the expansion and success of the dual clutch transmission market.
Durability concerns
Durability concerns with dual clutch transmissions center around potential issues related to the complex nature of these systems. Some consumers worry about long-term reliability, particularly in heavy-duty applications or challenging driving conditions. Reports of overheating and maintenance complexities also raise questions about DCT durability. These concerns can hinder market growth as they contribute to hesitancy among consumers, impacting overall adoption rates.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic disrupted the dual clutch transmission market as it led to production halts, supply chain disruptions, and reduced consumer spending on non-essential items, including automobiles. Automotive manufacturers faced challenges in maintaining production schedules, impacting the availability of DCT-equipped vehicles. Additionally, the economic uncertainty prompted a decline in consumer purchasing power, affecting overall automotive sales. However, as global markets recover and consumer confidence improves, the DCT market is expected to rebound, driven by resurgence in automotive demand and a gradual return to pre-pandemic production levels.
The passenger cars segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The passenger cars segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. In the realm of passenger cars, Dual Clutch Transmission (DCT) technology has gained prominence for its role in delivering enhanced driving experiences. DCTs are increasingly integrated into passenger cars due to their ability to provide quick and smooth gear shifts, contributing to improved fuel efficiency and performance. As automakers strive to meet consumer demands for advanced transmission systems, the adoption of DCTs in passenger cars continues to rise, shaping the future of automotive technology.
The electric powertrain segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The electric powertrain segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Efficiency is increased when electric powertrains are combined with DCT technology. Electric DCTs provide seamless gear changes and optimize power distribution in electrified vehicles, contributing to improved performance and range. This integration aligns with the industry's efforts to enhance EV drivetrain technologies, offering consumers a compelling blend of advanced transmission features and electric propulsion, thereby influencing the evolution of the automotive market toward more sustainable and high-performance solutions.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. The dual clutch transmission market in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region has exhibited significant growth and transformative trends. The automotive industry in countries like China, Japan, South Korea, and India has witnessed a surge in demand for advanced transmission technologies, with DCTs gaining prominence. The increasing preference for automatic transmissions, driven by the rising urbanization, traffic congestion, and a shift toward more convenient driving experiences, has bolstered the adoption of DCTs in the region.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the presence of major market players. The region's diverse landscape, featuring both mass-market and high-end vehicles, contributes to the varied applications of DCTs. Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are actively integrating DCTs into their vehicle portfolios to meet consumer demands for fuel efficiency and enhanced performance. Further, strategic investments in R&D and marketing to cater to the diverse demands of consumers across the region are fuelling the market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Dual Clutch Transmission Market include Allison Transmission, Audi, BorgWarner Inc, Continental AG, Daimler AG, Eaton Corporation, Getrag Corporate Group, Hofer Powertrain, Hyundai, Tata Motors, Magna International Inc, Mercedes, Mitsubishi, Nissan, Porsche, Renault Group, Schaeffler AG & Co. KG, Volkswagen Group, Volvo and ZF Friedrichshafen AG.
In October 2023, Allison Transmission launched the eGen Power® 85S, the newest addition to Allison's family of fully electric axles. In partnership with Anadolu Isuzu, Allison is pleased to present their integrated eGen Power 85S into the Isuzu Novo VOLT fully electric bus showcased at Busworld Europe in Brussels, Belgium.
In March 2022, Tata launched Altroz with dual-clutch automatic transmission and dubbed the variant DCA, launched at Rs 8.1 lakh ex-showroom. It is the world's first DCT with planetary gear arrangement and has 45 patents for innovative features of the transmission.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.