市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1438218
增強型地熱系統市場預測至 2030 年:按資源類型、深度、模擬方法、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Enhanced Geothermal System Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Resource Type (Sedimentary Basin, Hot Dry Rock, Radiogenic, Molten Magma and Other Resource Types), Depth (Deep and Shallow), Simulation Method, End User,and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球增強型地熱系統市場規模為 21 億美元,預計在預測期內年複合成長率為 7.2%,到 2030 年將達到 34 億美元。
增強型地熱系統(EGS)是一種透過在地球表面深處的高溫岩層中建立人工儲存來增強傳統地熱發電的技術。 EGS 將水注入現有裂縫中,形成相互連接的通道網路,從而提高滲透性。此外,EGS 將地熱的潛力擴展到沒有天然儲存的地區,使其成為一種有前景、永續且可靠的綠能,比傳統石化燃料對環境的影響更小。
根據 GeoVision 的報告,到 2050 年,美國可能會有 17,500 個地熱區域供暖 (GDH) 系統運作。
消費者意識不斷增強
消費者越來越了解傳統冷凍方法對環境的影響,包括某些冷媒對臭氧層的有害影響及其對全球暖化的影響。使用低全球升溫潛能值材料和提高能源效率等特性符合人們對環保解決方案日益成長的需求。此外,意識提升宣傳活動、教育措施和透明的溝通正在推動這個市場的發展。
初始成本高
大量鑽井和增產作業的需要是 EGS 初始成本較高的主要原因之一。這個過程需要深入地殼鑽探,需要專門的設備、熟練的勞動力和大量的投資,從而增加了整體成本。此外,這種不確定性是這個市場的主要障礙,因為它使潛在投資者望而卻步,並使他們不願意為結果不可預測的計劃提供資金。
技術進步
EGS利用地殼深處的地熱能,而傳統的地熱資源是有限的。水力碾碎和定向鑽探等鑽井技術的進步使得能夠在更高的溫度下到達更深的岩層,並擴大了可行的地熱計劃的地理範圍。此外,這些創新解決了與 EGS 相關的歷史挑戰,從而推動了該市場的發展。
缺乏標準化
缺乏標準化方法和技術是新參與企業和潛在投資者的進入障礙。由於缺乏標準化,很難比較和評估不同EGS計劃的績效。此外,標準化的缺乏阻礙了該市場相關人員之間的合作和知識共用。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 的疫情對增強型地熱系統 (EGS) 市場產生了負面影響,帶來了阻礙其成長的多項挑戰。封鎖、供應鏈中斷和經濟不確定性限制了計劃開發和資金籌措。此外,對短期健康和經濟問題的關注已從可再生能源項目轉移,政府和產業優先考慮短期經濟復甦而不是長期永續努力,這阻礙了市場的成長。
預計放射性部分在預測期內將是最大的
放射性部分估計佔最大佔有率,因為它擴大了地熱能的地理範圍,使其適用於放射性熱源較高的地區。這些地質構造含有鈾、釷和鉀等放射性元素,它們會隨著時間的推移而崩壞並釋放熱量。此外,我們正在推動將EGS技術普及到具有有利於放射性熱的特定地質特徵的地區,這體現了利用地球天然熱儲存的戰略方法。
預計液壓領域在預測期內年複合成長率最高。
預計水電領域在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。水力增產涉及將水注入深層岩層以增加滲透性並產生裂縫。這對於 EGS 開發至關重要,因為重點是最佳化地熱儲存內的傳熱效率。此外,這種方法提高了地熱能生產的整體可行性和擴充性,推動了該領域的成長。
在估計期間,歐洲佔了最大的市場佔有率。出於對永續和氣候行動的關注,這些國家正在增加對包括EGS在內的地熱技術的投資,以利用地球的熱量來生產清潔和可再生能源。義大利和德國等幾個歐洲國家處於 EGS探勘和部署的前沿。除了我們的能源轉型(Energiewende)努力之外,我們還在探索先進的地熱技術,為我們的可再生能源目標做出貢獻。
由於其多樣化的地質景觀和不斷成長的能源需求,預計亞太地區在預測期內將呈現最高的年複合成長率。該地區的主要公司包括 Calpine Corporation、AltaRock Energy Inc. 和 Ormat Technologies, Inc.。此外,減少碳排放和推廣永續能源來源的努力進一步推動了 EGS 技術的採用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Enhanced Geothermal System Market is accounted for $2.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $3.4 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) is a technology that enhances traditional geothermal power generation by creating artificial reservoirs in hot rock formations deep beneath the Earth's surface. It involves injecting water into existing fractures to create a network of interconnected channels, increasing permeability. In addition, EGS expands the potential of geothermal energy to regions lacking natural reservoirs, making it a promising, sustainable, and reliable source of clean power with reduced environmental impact compared to traditional fossil fuels.
According to the GeoVision report, the U.S. has the potential for 17,500 Geothermal District Heating (GDH) systems to operate by 2050.
Increasing consumer awareness
Consumers are increasingly informed about the environmental impact of traditional refrigeration methods, including the harmful effects of certain refrigerants on the ozone layer and their contribution to global warming. Characteristics such as the use of low-GWP materials and improved energy efficiency align with this growing demand for eco-friendly solutions. Furthermore, awareness campaigns, educational initiatives, and transparent communication have thereby propelled this market.
High initial costs
The need for extensive drilling and well stimulation operations is one of the primary reasons for the high initial costs of EGS. The process involves drilling deep into the earth's crust, which requires specialized equipment, skilled labor, and substantial investment, contributing to the overall expenses. Furthermore, this uncertainty discourages potential investors who may be hesitant to fund projects with unpredictable outcomes, thereby significantly hindering this market.
Technological advancements
EGS involves harnessing geothermal energy from deep within the Earth's crust, where traditional geothermal resources are limited. Developments in drilling technologies, like hydraulic fracturing and directed drilling, have made it possible to reach hotter and deeper rock formations, increasing the geographic reach of feasible geothermal projects. Moreover, these technological innovations have addressed historical challenges associated with EGS, which is driving this market.
Lack of standardization
The absence of standardized practices and technologies creates barriers to entry for new players and potential investors who may be hesitant to participate in a market where there are no established benchmarks or best practices. The absence of standardization makes it difficult to compare and assess the performance of different EGS projects. Furthermore, the absence of standardization hampers collaboration and knowledge sharing among stakeholders in this market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected the Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) market, introducing several challenges that impede its growth. Lockdowns, supply chain disruptions, and economic uncertainties have limited project development and financing. Furthermore, the focus on immediate health and economic concerns has shifted attention away from renewable energy projects, with governments and industries prioritizing short-term recovery over long-term sustainable initiatives that have hampered market growth.
The radiogenic segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The radiogenic segment is estimated to hold the largest share because it broadens the geographical scope of geothermal energy, making it applicable in regions with higher radiogenic heat sources. These formations contain radioactive elements such as uranium, thorium, and potassium, which decay and release heat over time. Furthermore, it reflects a strategic approach to harnessing Earth's natural heat reservoirs and propelling the reach of EGS technology to areas with specific geological characteristics conducive to radiogenic heat production.
The hydraulic segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The hydraulic segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period. Hydraulic stimulation involves injecting water into deep rock formations to enhance permeability and create fractures. It is crucial to EGS development as it focuses on optimizing the efficiency of heat transfer within the geothermal reservoir. Moreover, this approach enhances the overall viability and scalability of geothermal energy production, which is boosting this segment's growth.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period. Due to a focus on sustainable development and combating climate change, these countries are increasingly investing in geothermal technologies, including EGS, to harness the Earth's heat for clean and renewable energy. Several European nations, such as Italy and Germany, are at the forefront of EGS exploration and implementation. In addition to its commitment to the Energiewende (energy transition), it is also exploring advanced geothermal technologies to contribute to its renewable energy goals.
Asia Pacific is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to its diverse geological landscape and increasing energy demand. This region is home to some of the major players, such as Calpine Corporation, AltaRock Energy Inc., and Ormat Technologies, Inc. Moreover, initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy sources further drive the adoption of EGS technologies.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Enhanced Geothermal System Market include Enel SpA, Aboitiz Power Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd, AltaRock Energy, Inc., Energy Development Corporation, Schlumberger, Quaise Energy, Toshiba Corporation, Ormat Technologies, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Kenya Electricity Generating Company Limited, Greenfire Energy, Geodynamics Limited, Siemens AG and Calpine Corporation.
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