市場調查報告書
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1446987
到 2030 年二甲醚市場預測:按原料、應用和地區分類的全球分析Dimethyl Ether Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Raw Material (Bio Based, Fossil Fuel Based and Other Raw Materials), Application, and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2023年全球二甲醚市場規模將達57億美元,預計2030年將達到147億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為14.4%。
二甲醚(DME)是一種無色氣體,具有微弱的醚氣味。從化學角度來說,它由兩個與氧原子鍵結的甲基組成。二甲醚通常用作氣溶膠推進劑、冷媒和清潔替代燃料。二甲醚是透過甲醇脫水反應除去水分子而產生的。它毒性低,可生物分解性,對環境友善。由於DME的特性,它是一種用途廣泛的化合物,有望應用於尋求清潔替代能源的各個行業。
根據中國國家統計局統計,2022年1月至10月累計生產液化石油氣41,071千噸,較去年同期的4,0009千噸增加。
能源安全和多樣化
二甲醚提供了多種能源來源,可以用多種原料生產,包括天然氣、煤炭、生質能和可再生能源。這種多樣性透過減少對單一能源來源的依賴並減輕供應鏈風險和脆弱性來加強能源安全。此外,不同原料的生產有助於能源組合多樣化,從而進一步推動該市場的發展。
高成本
將天然氣或煤炭轉化為二甲醚需要專門的設備和能源集中工藝,這會增加整體生產成本。有限的規模經濟將基礎設施和營運費用分攤到較小的生產量上,導致生產成本更高。此外,原料的供應和可近性也會影響二甲醚市場的成本。
技術進步
我們不斷開發創新技術,以增強各種原料(包括天然氣、煤炭、生質能和可再生資源)的二甲醚合成。合成氣發酵和生物甲醇合成等製程提供了生產二甲醚的永續途徑,符合全球永續性目標並減少對石化燃料的依賴,可用於各個領域。
消費者意識有限
與汽油和柴油等成熟燃料相比,二甲醚對於一般消費者來說仍然相對陌生。 DME 基礎設施(例如加油站和配送網路)的可用性和可近性有限。此外,如果沒有發達的基礎設施,消費者可能不願意投資 DME動力來源的車輛和家用電器,導致消費者意識進一步下降。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行對二甲醚 (DME) 市場產生了一些負面影響,擾亂了供應鏈,減少了需求,並影響了投資決策。疫情造成的經濟放緩導致工業活動和交通運輸下降,導致各行業二甲醚消費量下降。此外,物流和運輸延誤進一步加劇了供應鏈挑戰,導致供不應求和成本增加,阻礙了市場的發展。
預計在預測期內,基於石化燃料的細分市場將成為最大的細分市場
據估計,基於石化燃料的細分市場將佔據最大佔有率,因為它是傳統碳氫化合物(尤其是柴油)的有前途的替代品。二甲醚以煤和天然氣為原料,先將這些石化燃料轉化為合成氣,合成氣是氫氣和一氧化碳的化合物,然後合成甲醇,最後將產物脫水生產二甲醚。此外,其清潔燃燒特性符合嚴格的排放法規,推動了尋求改善空氣品質的地區的採用,並支持該領域的擴張。
液化石油氣混合領域預計在預測期內年複合成長率最高
液化石油氣混合產業預計在預測期內年複合成長率最高。液化石油氣主要由丙烷和丁烷組成,廣泛用於烹飪、取暖和運輸。透過將 DME 與 LPG 混合,可以增強燃燒特性,例如改善汽化和燃燒穩定性。此外,這種組合正在支持該細分市場的成長,因為它與世界向更清潔和更永續的能源來源過渡的努力相一致。
在估計期間,亞太地區佔據最大的市場佔有率。該地區工業化、都市化顯著,人口快速成長,導致對能源和替代燃料的需求增加。中國、日本和印度等國家正在投資二甲醚生產基礎設施和技術開發,以發揮其作為清潔燃燒燃料的潛力。此外,促進清潔能源解決方案、更嚴格的排放法規和改善替代燃料運輸基礎設施的措施正在推動該地區採用二甲醚。
由於監管舉措和對永續能源解決方案的日益關注等多種因素,預計歐洲在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。三菱公司、阿克蘇諾貝爾公司和韓國天然氣公司等主要企業擴大採用二甲醚作為清潔替代燃料,特別是在運輸和供暖應用領域。此外,不斷變化的能源格局,加上有利的監管條件和技術創新,正在推動該地區二甲醚市場的成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dimethyl Ether Market is accounted for $5.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $14.7 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 14.4% during the forecast period. Dimethyl ether (DME) is a colorless gas with a faint ethereal odor. Chemically, it consists of two methyl groups attached to an oxygen atom. It's commonly used as an aerosol propellant, refrigerant, and as a clean-burning alternative fuel. DME is produced through the dehydration of methanol, a process that involves removing water molecules. It exhibits low toxicity and is biodegradable, making it environmentally friendly. DME's properties make it a versatile compound with potential applications in various industries seeking cleaner energy alternatives.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the cumulative value of liquefied petroleum gas production in the first ten months of 2022 accounted for 41,071 kilotons, compared to 40,009 kilotons during the same period in the previous year.
Energy security and diversification
DME offers a diversified energy source that can be produced from a wide range of feedstocks, including natural gas, coal, biomass, and renewable sources. This versatility reduces reliance on a single energy source, enhancing energy security by mitigating supply chain risks and vulnerabilities. Moreover, production from diverse feedstocks helps to diversify energy portfolios, which is driving this market further.
High cost
The conversion of natural gas or coal into DME requires specialized equipment and energy-intensive processes, which contribute to the overall production costs. Limited economies of scale result in higher production costs as infrastructure and operational expenses are distributed over a smaller output volume. In addition, the availability and accessibility of raw materials also impact the cost of the DME market.
Technological advancements
Innovative technologies are continually being developed to enhance DME synthesis from various feedstocks, including natural gas, coal, biomass, and renewable sources. Processes like syngas fermentation and bio-methanol synthesis offer sustainable pathways to produce DME, aligning with global sustainability goals and reducing reliance on fossil fuels, driving its acceptance and adoption across various sectors.
Limited consumer awareness
Compared to well-established fuels like gasoline and diesel, DME is still relatively unknown to the general public. The availability and accessibility of DME infrastructure, such as refueling stations or distribution networks, have been limited. Furthermore, without a well-developed infrastructure, consumers may be hesitant to invest in DME-powered vehicles or appliances, further contributing to the limited consumer awareness.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has had several negative impacts on the Dimethyl Ether (DME) market, disrupting supply chains, reducing demand, and affecting investment decisions. The pandemic-induced economic slowdown led to decreased industrial activity and transportation, resulting in a decline in DME consumption across various sectors. Furthermore, delays in logistics and transportation further exacerbated supply chain challenges, leading to supply shortages and increased costs, thereby hampering this market.
The fossil fuel based segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The fossil fuel based segment is estimated to hold the largest share because it serves as a promising alternative to traditional hydrocarbon fuels, particularly diesel. Originating from coal or natural gas, DME is produced by first turning these fossil fuels into syngas, which is a combination of hydrogen and carbon monoxide; subsequently, methanol is synthesized; and finally, the product is dehydrated to produce DME. Additionally, its clean-burning characteristics align with tightening emissions regulations, fostering its adoption in regions aiming to improve air quality, which is driving this segment's expansion.
The LPG blending segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The LPG blending segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period. LPG, primarily composed of propane and butane, is widely used for cooking, heating, and transportation. By blending DME with LPG, the resulting fuel gains enhanced combustion characteristics, including improved vaporization and combustion stability. Furthermore, this blending aligns with global efforts to transition towards cleaner and more sustainable energy sources, which thereby boosts this segment's growth.
Asia Pacific commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period. This region boasts significant industrialization, urbanization, and a burgeoning population, which has led to a rising demand for energy and fuel alternatives. Countries like China, Japan, and India are investing in DME production infrastructure and technology development to capitalize on its potential as a clean-burning fuel. In addition, initiatives promoting cleaner energy solutions, stringent emissions regulations, and the development of transportation infrastructure for alternative fuels are driving the adoption of DME in the region.
Europe is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to various factors, including regulatory initiatives and an increasing focus on sustainable energy solutions. Key players such as Mitsubishi Corporation, Akzo Nobel N.V., and Korea Gas Corporation are increasingly embracing DME as a clean-burning alternative fuel, particularly in transportation and heating applications. Moreover, the evolving energy landscape, coupled with favorable regulatory frameworks and technological innovations, is fueling the growth of the DME market in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Dimethyl Ether Market include China Energy Limited, Akzo Nobel N.V., The Chemours Company, Jiutai Energy Group, Zagros Petrochemical Company, Oberon Fuels, Mitsubishi Corporation, Grillo Werke AG, Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Ferrostaal GmbH.
In January 2024, Mitsubishi Corporation (MC) is pleased to announce that Isuzu Motors Ltd. (Isuzu) became a new signatory to an agreement previously reached by MC and four other interests to collaborate on digital transformations (DX) in regional public transportation.
In January 2024, Shell has reached an agreement to sell its Nigerian onshore subsidiary The Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited (SPDC) to Renaissance, a consortium of five companies comprising four exploration and production companies based in Nigeria and an international energy group.