![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1462597
2030 年乾散貨航運市場預測:按船舶類型、船舶尺寸、商品、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Dry Bulk Shipping Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vessel Type (Conventional Bulkers, Combined Bulk Carriers, Gearless Bulk Carriers, Self-dischargers, Bulker Lakers and Other Vessel Types), Vessel Size, Commodity, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2023年全球乾散貨航運市場規模為44.2億美元,預計到2030年將達到66.8億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為6.1%。
乾散貨運輸運輸大量未包裝的均質貨物,例如煤炭、鐵礦石、穀物和水泥。它在全球貿易中發揮重要作用,並支持建築、製造業和農業等行業。為此,需要使用稱為散貨船的特殊船舶,其尺寸和設計針對不同類型的貨物進行了最佳化。
根據世界鋼鐵協會2021年報告,預計2024年亞洲鋼鐵需求將持續成長3-5%,支撐中國、日本和韓國的鋼鐵出口。
全球經濟成長
經濟擴張,尤其是發展中地區的經濟擴張,增加了對煤炭、鐵礦石和穀物等原料的需求,從而需要乾散貨運輸。隨著經濟成長,對建築材料和生活必需品的需求增加,對高效航運服務的需求也隨之增加。經濟成長與促進因素陸大宗商品需求之間的相關性凸顯了全球經濟狀況在塑造乾散貨航運業軌跡中所扮演的重要角色。
地緣政治風險
幹散裝貨運的地緣政治風險源自於關鍵航運地區的領土爭端、制裁、海盜和政治不穩定等因素。這些風險可能會擾亂航線、增加保險費並導致貨物交付延誤或中斷。這種不確定性抑制了投資,阻礙了航線規劃,並增加了航運公司的營運成本。因此,由於投資者和相關人員認為乾散貨運輸存在高風險,市場成長受到阻礙,導致採取謹慎態度並可能減少貿易量。
加大基礎建設計劃投資
道路、橋樑和港口等基礎設施計劃投資的增加,創造了對鋼鐵、水泥和骨料等原料的需求,而這些原料需要散裝貨船運輸。隨著各國繼續優先發展基礎設施以支持經濟成長和都市化,乾散貨航運服務的需求預計將保持強勁,為航運公司提供利用貨運量增加的機會。
產品價格波動
乾散貨運輸與需求直接相關。全球供需波動、地緣政治緊張局勢、不利天氣和經濟因素都可能導致價格快速波動。價格急劇下跌降低了盈利和投資興趣,導致船隊擴張和基礎設施投資延遲。它還影響長期規劃和業務決策,使公司難以有效最佳化其資源,最終阻礙市場擴張。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19大流行最初擾亂了乾散貨航運市場,導致全球貿易和工業活動下降,導致商品需求下降。封鎖措施、貿易模式波動和港口限制進一步阻礙了航運業務,並帶來了物流挑戰。但隨著經濟逐步重新開放和刺激獎勵策略的實施,原料需求回升,支撐乾散貨航運市場的復甦。
預計傳統型散裝船業在預測期內將是最大的
預計傳統型散裝貨船產業將出現良好成長。傳統型散裝貨船是乾散貨運輸的基石,是設計用於運輸未包裝散裝貨物(例如穀物、煤炭、礦石)的船舶。這些船舶通常具有大型貨艙,尺寸從靈便型到海岬型。傳統散裝貨船以其在全球海洋運輸散裝貨物方面的多功能性和效率而聞名。它對於促進全球貿易至關重要,並且仍然是航運業的關鍵組成部分。
預計大宗商品貿易產業在預測期內年複合成長率最高
預計大宗商品交易產業在預測期內將出現最高的年複合成長率。商品貿易商在該領域發揮著重要作用,他們在世界各地買賣需要高效運輸物流的商品。分析市場趨勢、談判合約並管理與運輸成本和交貨日期相關的風險。透過了解供需動態,大宗商品貿易商可以最佳化運輸路線、船舶選擇和運價,以確保及時且經濟有效地交付貨物,透過促進因素促進全球貨物貿易的正常運作。
亞太地區在全球貿易和工業生產中發揮關鍵作用,是乾散貨航運市場的重要樞紐。中國、印度、日本和韓國等國家是煤炭、鐵礦石、穀物和礦產等商品的主要進出口國。該地區快速的都市化、基礎設施發展和工業化推動了對原料的需求,這需要散裝貨船的高效運輸。儘管如此,亞太地區持續的經濟成長和貿易擴張仍繼續為乾散貨航運業帶來機會。
預計歐洲在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。德國、荷蘭和英國是主要出口國。該地區先進的工業基礎和廣泛的基礎設施推動了對原料的需求,並需要高效的海上運輸。此外,歐洲也出口鋼鐵和農產品等商品。然而,持續的永續性努力和技術創新正在為歐洲乾散貨運輸市場創造成長機會。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dry Bulk Shipping Market is accounted for $4.42 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $6.68 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period. Dry bulk shipping involves the transportation of unpackaged, homogeneous cargo commodities, such as coal, iron ore, grains, and cement, in large quantities. It plays a crucial role in global trade, supporting industries like construction, manufacturing, and agriculture. Specialized vessels called bulk carriers are employed for this purpose, with varying sizes and designs optimized for different types of cargo.
According to World Steel Association 2021 report, steel demand in Asia is expected to continue growing by 3-5% in 2024, supporting steel exports from China, Japan, and Korea.
Global economic growth
Economic expansion, particularly in developing regions, escalates the demand for raw materials like coal, iron ore, and grains, necessitating their transportation via dry bulk shipping. As economies grow, there is a heightened requirement for construction materials and commodities, thereby driving the need for efficient shipping services. The correlation between economic growth and demand for dry bulk commodities underscores the vital role played by global economic conditions in shaping the trajectory of the dry bulk shipping industry.
Geopolitical risks
Geopolitical risks in dry bulk shipping arise from factors such as territorial disputes, sanctions, piracy, and political instability in key shipping regions. These risks can disrupt shipping routes, increase insurance premiums, and lead to delays or interruptions in cargo delivery. Such uncertainties deter investment, hinder route planning, and raise operational costs for shipping companies. Consequently, market growth is hampered as investors and stakeholders perceive higher risks associated with dry bulk shipping, leading to a cautious approach and potentially reduced trade volumes.
Rising investments in infrastructure projects
Rising investments in infrastructure projects, including the construction of roads, bridges, and ports, generate demand for raw materials such as steel, cement, and aggregates, necessitating transportation through bulk carriers. As countries continue to prioritize infrastructure development to support economic growth and urbanization, the demand for dry bulk shipping services is expected to remain robust, presenting opportunities for shipping companies to capitalize on increased freight volumes.
Volatility in commodity prices
Dry bulk shipping has direct correlation with demand. Fluctuations in global supply and demand, geopolitical tensions, weather events, and economic factors can cause rapid price changes. Sudden price drops can reduce profitability and investment incentives, leading to delays in fleet expansions and infrastructure investments. Moreover, it affects long-term planning and operational decisions, making it challenging for companies to optimize their resources efficiently, ultimately hindering market expansion.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic initially disrupted the dry bulk shipping market, causing a decline in global trade and industrial activity, leading to reduced demand for commodities. Lockdown measures, fluctuating trade patterns and port restrictions further hampered shipping operations, causing logistical challenges. However, as economies gradually reopened and stimulus measures were implemented, demand for raw materials rebounded, supporting a recovery in the dry bulk shipping market.
The conventional bulkers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The conventional bulkers segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. Conventional bulkers, a cornerstone of dry bulk shipping, are vessels designed to transport unpackaged bulk cargo such as grains, coal, and ores. These ships typically feature large cargo holds and can range in size from handysize to capesize vessels. Conventional bulkers are known for their versatility and efficiency in transporting bulk commodities across the world's oceans. They remain essential in facilitating global trade and are a vital component of the maritime shipping industry.
The commodity traders segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The commodity traders segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Commodity traders play a vital role in this sector by buying and selling these goods globally, necessitating efficient shipping logistics. They analyze market trends, negotiate contracts, and manage risks associated with transportation costs and delivery timelines. By understanding supply and demand dynamics, commodity traders optimize shipping routes, vessel selection, and freight rates to ensure timely and cost-effective delivery of goods, thereby facilitating the smooth functioning of global trade in dry bulk commodities.
The Asia-Pacific region is a vital hub for the dry bulk shipping market due to its significant role in global trade and industrial production. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea are major importers and exporters of commodities like coal, iron ore, grains, and minerals. Rapid urbanization, infrastructure development and industrialization in the region drive demand for raw materials, necessitating efficient transportation via bulk carriers. Nonetheless, ongoing economic growth and trade expansion in the Asia-Pacific region continue to fuel opportunities for the dry bulk shipping industry.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Countries like Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom being major importers and exporters. The region's advanced industrial base and extensive infrastructure drive demand for raw materials, necessitating efficient maritime transportation. Additionally, Europe exports commodities like steel and agricultural products. However, ongoing efforts towards sustainability and technological innovation present opportunities for growth in the European dry bulk shipping market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market include Golden Ocean Group Limited, COSCO Shipping Corporation Limited, Star Bulk Carriers Corporation, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Safe Bulkers Inc., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Navios Maritime Holdings Inc., Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, DryShips Inc., Pacific Basin Shipping Limited, Oldendorff Carriers, Diana Shipping Inc., Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc., Thoresen Thai Agencies, U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation and Baltic & International Maritime Council (BIMCO).
In June 2023, Golden Ocean Group (GOGL) announced that it had entered into agreements to acquire 16 modern dry bulk vessels in an all-share transaction valued at $412 million. Growing its fleet enables GOGL to compete more effectively in the dry bulk shipping market, potentially attracting new business and strengthening its relationships with existing customers.
In January 2023, MOL and Mitsui announced that they had acquired an approval in principle (AiP) for a large ammonia-powered bulk carrier. The 210,000-dwt capesize bulker is a joint development between Mitsui OSK Lines (MOL) and Mitsui. MOL and Mitsui have also jointly determined the ship's size and specifications.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.