市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1494807
到 2030 年自動最後一哩配送市場預測:按車輛類型、解決方案類型、範圍、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Ground Delivery Vehicles, Aerial Delivery Drones and Other Vehicle Types), Solution Type, Range, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2024 年全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場規模達 53 億美元,預計預測期內年複合成長率為 25.7%,到 2030 年將達到 211 億美元。
自主最後一哩配送是指使用自動駕駛車輛或無人機將貨物從配送中心或交通樞紐運送到最終目的地,通常是消費者的家或企業。這一階段被稱為“最後一英里”,在物流中至關重要,因為它通常是交付過程中最耗時且成本最高的部分。自主解決方案旨在提高效率、縮短交貨時間並降低人事費用。這些系統利用 GPS、人工智慧、機器學習和各種感測器等先進技術來導航和操作,無需人工干涉。這是電子商務和物流領域的重要創新,滿足了人們對快速、可靠和經濟高效的配送服務日益成長的需求。
根據歐盟(EU)進行的一項調查顯示,過去三個月上網的個人比例從2013年的57%上升到2023年的75%。
電子商務的爆炸性成長
電子商務的激增對自動最後一哩配送市場產生了重大影響,推動了其快速成長和創新。隨著網路購物變得普及,對高效、快速和具有成本效益的運輸解決方案的需求不斷成長。無人機和自動駕駛汽車等自主最後一哩交付技術正在透過提供擴充性且可靠的選項來處理不斷增加的交付量來滿足這些需求。這些技術透過實現當日或當日送達來幫助降低營運成本、提高交貨速度並提高客戶滿意度。
技術限制
自動送貨車和無人機嚴重依賴 GPS 和感測器技術,但這些技術可能會受到高樓、雜草叢生和惡劣天氣等環境因素的阻礙。此外,人工智慧和機器學習的當前狀態可能還不夠先進,無法處理現實環境的複雜性和不可預測性,從而導致潛在的安全問題和交付錯誤。此外,電池壽命和能源效率也是重要的限制因素,特別是對於無人機和小型機器人而言,限制了範圍和運作,阻礙了市場成長。
交付缺乏促進因素
隨著電子商務和消費行為變化帶來的宅配需求的增加,物流業面臨確保充足司機的持續挑戰。這種短缺導致人事費用上升、交貨延遲和交貨網路緊張,影響客戶滿意度和業務效率。無人機和自動駕駛汽車等自主交付解決方案透過減少對人類協助者的依賴,提供了一個有前景的替代方案。這些技術可以連續運作而不會疲勞,從而減少交貨時間和成本。減少人工干涉的需求不僅可以解決勞動力短缺問題,還可以提高擴充性,使公司能夠更有效地管理尖峰時段需求。
負載容量有限
通常用於此類送貨的無人機和小型地面機器人通常重量輕,只能攜帶小包裹。這種限制限制了其在處理大型、笨重負載或同時處理多個負載時的實用性,從而降低了業務效率。如果公司無法滿足廣泛的交付需求,他們可能會發現很難證明投資自主交付系統是合理的。必須部署多輛車輛,而不是使用傳統方法進行單一交付,從而增加了營運成本和複雜性。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行顯著加速了自主最後一哩交付技術的採用。隨著關門和社交距離措施的到位,對電子商務和非接觸式交付解決方案的需求激增。自動駕駛車輛和無人機對於確保安全且有效率的送貨、同時最大限度地減少人際互動和降低病毒傳播的風險至關重要。因此,疫情起到了催化劑的作用,促進了自動駕駛最後一英里配送市場的快速創新和部署。
空中送貨無人機產業預計將在預測期內成為最大的產業
由於航空宅配無人機提供了更快、更有效的貨物運輸方式,特別是在基礎設施有限或地形複雜的地區,航空宅配無人機產業預計將出現良好的成長。這些無人機可以繞過交通堵塞並快速到達偏遠地點,從而縮短交貨時間並提高整體供應鏈效率。此外,無人機還有可能降低人事費用並解決與人類操作的運載工具相關的挑戰,例如缺乏協助者和安全問題。
預計醫療產品交付產業在預測期內年複合成長率最高
由於對藥品、個人防護設備和其他醫療保健相關商品的快速可靠交付的需求正在推動 ALMD 市場的成長,預計醫療用品交付領域在預測期內將出現最高的年複合成長率。自主配送機器人和無人機被用來運輸這些關鍵物資,確保及時、安全地運送到醫療機構和家庭。此外,ALMD與遠端醫療和遠距醫療保健服務的結合進一步擴展了該技術在醫療領域的應用。
由於技術進步和電子商務需求的增加,預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。在一個以精通技術的人口和都市化而聞名的地區,各大公司正在大力投資自主交付解決方案,包括無人機和地面機器人。中國、日本和韓國等國家憑藉其強大的高科技產業和支持性的法規環境處於領先地位。該市場的成長是由人口稠密的都市區對高效、快速和具有成本效益的配送系統的需求以及交通堵塞和勞動力短缺帶來的挑戰所推動的。
由於美國政府對無人機和自主地面車輛升級的投資增加,以及私人公司的舉措和自主最後一英里交付的推動,預計北美在預測期內將經歷最高的年複合成長率。此外,北美消費者在疫情期間更有可能在網路上購買日常必需品,例如雜貨和藥品,以便為與他人的互動和接觸做好準備。店主和其他生態系統參與者已同意與國內外無人機和地面配送機器人生產商合作並向其提供產品以履行訂單。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is accounted for $5.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $21.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 25.7% during the forecast period. Autonomous Last Mile Delivery refers to the use of self-driving vehicles or drones to transport goods from a distribution center or transportation hub to the final delivery destination, typically the consumer's home or business. This stage, known as the "last mile," is crucial in logistics as it is often the most time-consuming and costly part of the delivery process. Autonomous solutions aim to increase efficiency, reduce delivery times, and cut labor costs. These systems utilize advanced technologies such as GPS, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and various sensors to navigate and operate without human intervention. It is a key innovation in the e-commerce and logistics sectors, addressing the growing demand for fast, reliable, and cost-effective delivery services.
According to the European Union, In the survey conducted, the percentage of individuals accessing the internet in the three months prior increased to 75% in 2023, up from 57% in 2013.
Surge in E-commerce
The surge in e-commerce has profoundly impacted the autonomous last mile delivery market, driving its rapid growth and innovation. As online shopping becomes increasingly prevalent, there is a heightened demand for efficient, fast, and cost-effective delivery solutions. Autonomous last mile delivery technologies, such as drones and self-driving vehicles, address these needs by offering scalable and reliable options for handling the increased volume of deliveries. They help reduce operational costs, enhance delivery speed, and improve customer satisfaction by enabling same-day or even same-hour deliveries.
Technological limitations
Autonomous delivery vehicles and drones rely heavily on GPS and sensor technologies, which can be disrupted by environmental factors such as tall buildings, dense foliage, or adverse weather conditions. Additionally, the current state of AI and machine learning may not be advanced enough to handle the complexities and unpredictabilities of real-world environments, leading to potential safety concerns and delivery errors. Moreover Battery life and energy efficiency are also critical constraints, particularly for drones and smaller robots, limiting their range and operational time hampering the market growth
Shortage of delivery drivers
With increasing demand for home deliveries driven by e-commerce and shifting consumer behaviors, the logistics industry faces a persistent challenge in sourcing sufficient drivers. This shortage leads to higher labor costs, delayed deliveries, and strained delivery networks, impacting customer satisfaction and operational efficiency. Autonomous delivery solutions, such as drones and self-driving vehicles, offer a promising alternative by alleviating dependency on human drivers. These technologies can operate continuously without fatigue, reducing delivery times and costs. The reduced need for human intervention not only addresses the labor shortage but also enhances scalability, allowing companies to manage peak demand periods more effectively.
Limited payload capacity
Drones and small ground-based robots, which are commonly used for these deliveries, can typically carry only lightweight and small packages. This constraint limits their utility in handling larger, bulkier items or multiple packages simultaneously, reducing their operational efficiency. Businesses may find it challenging to justify the investment in autonomous delivery systems when they cannot serve a broad range of delivery needs. The necessity to deploy multiple vehicles for what could be a single delivery with traditional methods increases operational costs and complexity.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly accelerated the adoption of autonomous last mile delivery technologies. With lockdowns and social distancing measures in place, there was a sharp increase in e-commerce and the demand for contactless delivery solutions. Autonomous vehicles and drones became essential in ensuring safe, efficient deliveries while minimizing human interaction and reducing the risk of virus transmission. Consequently, the pandemic has acted as a catalyst, driving rapid innovation and deployment in the autonomous last mile delivery market.
The aerial delivery drones segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The aerial delivery drones segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because aerial delivery drones provide a faster and more efficient means of transporting goods, particularly in areas with limited infrastructure or difficult terrain. These unmanned aerial vehicles can bypass traffic congestion and reach remote locations quickly, enabling quicker delivery times and improving overall supplies chain efficiency. Furthermore, drones have the potential to reduce labor costs and address the challenges associated with human-operated delivery vehicles, such as driver shortages and safety concerns.
The medical supplies delivery segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The medical supplies delivery segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to the need for rapid and reliable delivery of medications, personal protective equipment, and other healthcare-related goods has driven the growth of the ALMD market. Autonomous delivery robots and drones have been utilized to transport these critical supplies, ensuring timely and safe delivery to healthcare facilities and individual households. Furthermore, the integration of ALMD with telemedicine and remote healthcare services has further expanded the applications of this technology in the medical domain.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the advancements in technology and increasing e-commerce demand. This region, known for its tech-savvy population and urbanization, is witnessing substantial investments from major players in autonomous delivery solutions, including drones and ground-based robots. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are at the forefront, leveraging their strong tech industries and supportive regulatory environments. The market's growth is fuelled by the need for efficient, fast, and cost-effective delivery systems in densely populated urban areas, as well as the challenges posed by traffic congestion and labour shortages.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the US government's increasing investment on drone and autonomous ground vehicle upgrades, as well as the efforts of private companies and the introduction of autonomous last-mile delivery solutions. In addition, consumers in North America are more likely to purchase online for everyday needs like food, medications, and other items during the pandemic as a precaution against interacting with or coming into touch with other people. Shop owners and other ecosystem participants have so partnered and agreed with local and international drone and ground delivery bot producers to provide their products in order to fulfill the orders.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market include Airbus S.A.S., Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Amazon.com, DHL International GmbH, DPD, Drone Delivery Canada, Flirtey, Flytrex, JD.com Inc., Kiwi Campus, Marble Robot, Matternet, Nuro, Inc., Refraction AI, Savioke, Shenzhen Yiqing Innovation Technology Co., Ltd., Starship Technologies, Udelv Inc., United Parcel Service of America, Inc. and Wing Aviation LLC
In May 2024, the Airbus-built EarthCARE climate monitoring satellite has been successfully launched from Vandenberg military base, California. EarthCARE (Earth Cloud Aerosol and Radiation Explorer) is a joint undertaking between the European and Japanese Space Agencies (ESA and JAXA).
In May 2024, AURA AERO and Airbus Protect signed a cooperation agreement in view of the certification of ERA, the next regional transport 19-seater hybrid-electric aircraft developed by AURA AERO.
In May 2024, Alibaba Group Holding Limited and "Alibaba," "Alibaba Group" or the "Company") today announced the completion of its private offering of US$5 billion aggregate principal amount of 0.50%
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.