市場調查報告書
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1530705
2030 年量子運算市場預測:按組件、部署、應用程式、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Quantum Computing Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Component, Deployment, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球量子運算市場規模將達到16.6億美元,預計2030年將達到110.7億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為37.2%。
量子計算利用動態原理以與經典電腦完全不同的方式處理資訊。由於疊加和糾纏,量子位元可以同時具有 0、1 或兩者的狀態。這種能力使量子電腦能夠同時執行大量計算,這可能使它們在解決某些類型的問題上比傳統電腦更強大。量子電腦有望解決經典電腦無法達到的複雜計算,例如密碼學、最佳化問題以及量子系統本身的模擬。
顯著提高速度的可能性
量子電腦有可能變得更快,主要是因為它們利用了動態的基本特性。透過利用這項特性,量子電腦可以同時執行大量計算,從而可以以指數級的高速度處理特定問題。此外,量子位元可以糾纏。這意味著一個量子位元的狀態會立即影響另一個量子位元,從而可以並行處理複雜的計算。這些因素正在推動市場成長。
錯誤率
錯誤率是量子運算的關鍵問題,對其可靠性和有效性有重大影響。與傳統運算不同,傳統運算中的錯誤通常可以透過冗餘和錯誤檢查通訊協定輕鬆修正,而量子位元(qubit)很脆弱,容易受到各種來源(包括雜訊和退相干)的錯誤的影響。這些錯誤可能是由於對量子位元的控制不完善、環境干擾以及當前量子硬體技術的限制造成的。然而,高錯誤率阻礙了準確可靠地執行複雜計算的能力,限制了量子計算的潛在應用。
投資及增資
量子計算的投資和資金籌措正在顯著加速其發展。由於政府、私人公司和研究機構的大量資助,該領域近年來取得了顯著進展。這些投資對於支援量子演算法、硬體開發和基礎設施開發的基礎研究極為重要。此外,資金還有助於聘請頂尖人才並在世界各地建立專用的量子運算設施。
道德和社會影響
量子電腦的發展受到倫理和社會影響的阻礙,這主要是由於對隱私、安全以及先進運算能力可能被濫用的擔憂。量子電腦能夠比經典電腦以指數速度更快地解決複雜問題,這帶來了資料加密方法過時的問題。這可能會使個人資料或政府機密等敏感資訊面臨風險。然而,量子技術的不平等分佈可能會擴大現有的社會和經濟差距,造成“量子鴻溝”,只有某些個人或群體才能獲得強大的運算能力。
COVID-19大流行對量子計算領域產生了重大影響。它擾亂了世界各地的研究活動,關閉了實驗室,推遲了實驗,並擾亂了對量子計算技術進步至關重要的合作。許多對於共用研究成果至關重要的學術和產業會議已被取消或轉移到線上,限制了交流和合作的機會。疫情造成的財務不確定性也影響了量子運算舉措的資金投入,減緩了某些領域的進展。然而,這場大流行凸顯了量子計算在藥物發現、流行病學建模和供應鏈最佳化等領域的潛力。
預計軟體產業在預測期內將是最大的產業
預計軟體產業將在預測期內成為最大的產業。量子軟體開發專注於開發利用量子系統獨特屬性(例如疊加和糾纏)的演算法和應用程式,以比經典電腦更快的速度解決複雜問題。該領域不僅需要動態和電腦科學的專業知識,還需要演算法設計和最佳化的創新方法。關鍵進展包括Qiskit和Quipper等量子程式語言的開發,這些語言使開發人員能夠更有效地說明量子演算法。
預計本地產業在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率
預計本地細分市場在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。這部分使組織能夠更好地控制其量子運算資源,使他們能夠將敏感資料安全地保存在自己的基礎設施內。需要即時處理或嚴格的資料隱私合規性的應用程式可以減少延遲並提高效能。此外,量子運算可以無縫整合到現有的 IT 環境中,從而可以輕鬆地試驗和開發適合特定需求的量子演算法。
這種方法利用不同的專業知識和資源,透過促進研究機構、科技巨頭和政府機構之間的合作來加速創新。產學合作將理論知識與實際應用結合,促進穩健量子演算法和硬體解決方案的發展。政府支持此類夥伴關係的努力確保了有利的法規環境和對重要研究舉措的資助。這樣的協作生態系統不僅提高了北美公司在全球量子競賽中的競爭力,也使該地區成為量子運算研發的領導者。
預計歐洲地區在預測期內將實現盈利成長。歐洲申請量子運算相關專利的公司和研究機構數量不斷增加,反映出人們對歐洲在這一前沿領域的專業知識和創新的日益認可。這些專利不僅保護智慧財產權,還能刺激進一步的研發投資,培育強大的創新和商業化生態系統。此外,專利申請的增加顯示了歐洲公司在全球量子運算領域的戰略定位,旨在利用未來的經濟機會和技術領先地位。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Quantum Computing Market is accounted for $1.66 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $11.07 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 37.2% during the forecast period. Quantum computing leverages principles of quantum mechanics to process information in fundamentally different ways than classical computers. At its core, it uses quantum bits, or qubits, which can exist in states of 0, 1, or both simultaneously due to superposition and entanglement. This ability allows quantum computers to perform vast numbers of calculations simultaneously, making them potentially much more powerful for certain types of problems than classical computers. Quantum computing holds promise for tackling complex computations that are beyond the reach of classical computers, such as cryptography, optimization problems, and simulations of quantum systems themselves.
Potential for exponential speedup
Quantum computing holds the potential for exponential speedup primarily due to its harnessing of quantum mechanics' fundamental properties. This property allows quantum computers to perform vast numbers of calculations simultaneously, leading to exponentially faster processing for certain problems. Moreover, qubits can be entangled, meaning the state of one qubit instantaneously affects another, enabling complex computations to be handled in parallel. These elements are boosting the market growth.
Error rates
Error rates are a critical challenge in quantum computing, significantly impacting its reliability and effectiveness. Unlike classical computing where errors can often be easily corrected through redundancy and error-checking protocols, quantum bits (qubits) are fragile and susceptible to errors from various sources such as noise and decoherence. These errors can arise due to imperfect control over qubits, environmental interference, and limitations in current quantum hardware technology. However, high error rates hinder the ability to perform complex calculations accurately and reliably, limiting the potential applications of quantum computing.
Increasing investments and funding
Investments and funding in quantum computing have accelerated its development significantly. With substantial financial backing from governments, private companies, and research institutions, the field has made remarkable strides in recent years. These investments are crucial as they support fundamental research into quantum algorithms, hardware development, and infrastructure. Additionally, funding allows for the recruitment of top talent and the establishment of dedicated quantum computing facilities worldwide.
Ethical and social implications
The development of quantum computing is hindered by ethical and social implications primarily due to concerns over privacy, security, and the potential for misuse of advanced computational power. Quantum computers have the capability to solve complex problems exponentially faster than classical computers, which raises issues about data encryption methods becoming obsolete. This could compromise sensitive information, such as personal data or classified government intelligence. However, the unequal distribution of quantum technology could widen existing social and economic disparities, creating a "quantum divide" where only certain individuals or entities have access to powerful computing capabilities.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected the field of quantum computing. It disrupted research activities globally, causing lab closures, delays in experiments, and interruptions in collaborative efforts essential for advancing quantum computing technology. Many academic and industry conferences crucial for sharing advancements were either canceled or moved online, limiting networking and collaboration opportunities. Financial uncertainties due to the pandemic also impacted funding for quantum computing initiatives, slowing down progress in some sectors. However, the pandemic also highlighted the potential of quantum computing in areas such as drug discovery, epidemiology modeling, and optimization of supply chains-issues critical during a global health crisis.
The Software segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Software segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Quantum software development focuses on creating algorithms and applications that harness the unique properties of quantum systems, such as superposition and entanglement, to solve complex problems exponentially faster than classical computers. This field not only requires expertise in quantum mechanics and computer science but also demands innovative approaches to algorithm design and optimization. Key areas of progress include the development of quantum programming languages like Qiskit and Quipper, which enable developers to write quantum algorithms more efficiently.
The On-premise segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
On-premise segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This segment provides organizations with greater control over their quantum computing resources, ensuring sensitive data remains secure within their own infrastructure. It can reduce latency and improve performance for applications that require real-time processing or strict data privacy compliance. Additionally, it enables organizations to integrate quantum computing seamlessly into their existing IT environments, facilitating easier experimentation and development of quantum algorithms tailored to specific needs.
By fostering alliances between research institutions, tech giants, and governmental bodies, this approach leverages diverse expertise and resources to accelerate innovation, North America region commanded the largest share of the market over the projected period. Academic-industry partnerships bring together theoretical insights with practical applications, driving the development of robust quantum algorithms and hardware solutions. Government initiatives supporting these partnerships ensure a conducive regulatory environment and provide funding for critical research initiatives. This collaborative ecosystem not only enhances the competitiveness of North American companies in the global quantum race but also positions the region as a leader in quantum computing research and development.
Europe region is estimated to witness profitable growth during the extrapolated period. As more companies and research institutions in Europe file patents in quantum computing, it reflects a growing recognition of the region's expertise and innovation in this cutting-edge field. These patents not only protect intellectual property but also stimulate further research and development investments, fostering a robust ecosystem of innovation and commercialization. Moreover, the increase in patent filings indicates a strategic positioning of European entities in the global quantum computing landscape, aiming to capitalize on future economic opportunities and technological leadership.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Quantum Computing market include Accenture Plc, Amazon Web Services, Inc, D-WaveSystem Inc, Fujitsu Limited, Google LLC, IBM Corporation, Intel Corporation, Microsoft Corporation, Rigetti Computing, Inc and Zapata Computing.
In November 2023, Terra Quantum, a quantum service provider, collaborated with NVIDIA to develop quantum-accelerated applications. The deal would help bridge the gap between classical and quantum computing, leveraging hybrid algorithms.
In April 2023, IBM Corporation in collaboration with Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company developing messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines under which Moderna invests in developing quantum computing skills and artificial intelligence technology to bring advancement in mRNA research and science.
In January 2023, Multiverse Computing and PINQ2 announced a partnership aimed at merging their expertise in quantum and classical computing. This collaboration is designed to advance industrial projects by combining knowledge from both academia and industry to promote innovation in the field.
In November 2022, IBM entered a collaboration with Vodafone on quantum-safe cybersecurity by joining the IBM Quantum Network. This collaboration would help validate and progress potential quantum use cases in telecommunications.