市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1530794
到 2030 年乘用車市場預測:按類型、燃料類型、變速箱類型、價格分佈、應用、最終用戶和地區進行全球分析Passenger Vehicles Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Sedans, Hatchbacks, Coupes, Convertibles, SUVs, MPVs (Multi-Purpose Vehicles) and Other Types), Fuel Type, Transmission Type, Price Range, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球乘用車市場規模將達到1.7兆美元,預計2030年將達到2.8兆美元,預測期內複合年成長率為8.5%。
客車是主要用於運輸乘客的機動車輛,最多可容納八人,包括駕駛人。有轎車、掀背車、旅行車、SUV、小型貨車和敞篷車等多種類型。它們有別於運載貨物的商用車和摩托車。乘用車配備了舒適、安全和便利的設施,例如空調、安全氣囊、安全帶和資訊娛樂系統。由於環境考量和技術進步,電動和混合型通常由內燃機動力來源,變得越來越受歡迎。
人口從農村地區向都市區流動
隨著都市化的加快,由於都市區經濟機會的增加和可支配收入的增加,對乘用車的需求往往會增加。由於居住者通常尋求適合城市駕駛的較小、較省油且環保的車輛,小型汽車、電動車 (EV) 和混合動力汽車的銷售將飆升。此外,都市區人口密度的增加將鼓勵對道路和停車場等基礎設施的投資,使持有汽車變得更容易。
景氣衰退和經濟不穩定
在景氣衰退時期,潛在買家經常推遲或取消購車,導致需求下降。失業和對未來收入的擔憂使消費者對承擔汽車貸款等巨額經濟負擔持謹慎態度。因此,新乘用車的銷售將下降,影響汽車製造商的收益和利潤率。因此,經濟不穩定會擾亂供應鏈,增加生產成本,提高汽車價格,加劇銷售下降,並阻礙市場成長。
經濟成長和可支配所得增加
隨著經濟擴張,就業率上升,家庭收入增加,公共財政變得更穩定。這將使更多的個人和家庭能夠購買新車,從而增加從廉價車到豪華車等各個領域的需求。隨著可支配收入的增加,消費者更有可能投資具有先進功能、更高安全性和更高性能的汽車。這一趨勢可能會導致高階車型和最新技術(包括電動和混合動力汽車)銷量的增加。
應對嚴格的廢氣法規
為了遵守這些嚴格的排放氣體法規,製造商必須大力投資研發,開發更省油、低排放氣體,例如電動車和混合動力汽車。這通常會導致新車價格上漲,從而阻止對價格敏感的消費者並減少整體需求。它還可能需要逐步淘汰流行但效率較低的模式,限制消費者的選擇並可能疏遠某些細分市場。
由於經濟不確定性和封鎖措施,COVID-19 大流行擾亂了供應鏈、停止了生產並減少了消費者需求,嚴重影響了乘用車市場。經銷商關閉和遠端工作的轉變進一步減少了汽車銷售。然而,疫情加速了銷售管道的採用,以及對個人行動解決方案的興趣增加,部分抵消了經濟下滑的影響。隨著經濟重新開放並適應新的消費行為,市場目前正在逐步復甦。
預計轎車市場在預測期內將是最大的市場
轎車銷售量預計將在預測期內達到最高水平,因為它們通常被視為舒適度、風格和性能的基準。轎車以其平衡的設計、寬敞的內部空間和燃油效率而聞名,吸引了從家庭到專業人士的廣泛消費者。轎車正在推動安全和技術創新,並影響其他汽車領域的趨勢。
預計柴油機領域在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。
柴油引擎預計在預測期內將出現最高的複合年成長率,因為與汽油引擎相比,柴油引擎具有更高的燃油效率和扭矩,並且在遠距駕駛和重型車輛中很受歡迎。然而,由於擔心廢氣排放和環境影響而收緊法規,柴油的市場佔有率正在下降。柴油門等醜聞也損害了柴油引擎的聲譽,促使消費者和製造商轉向電動和混合動力汽車等更清潔的替代品。
由於消費者偏好、法規環境和技術進步的多樣性,預計北美在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。主要趨勢包括對 SUV、跨界車和卡車的強勁需求,反映出消費者對更大、更多功能車輛的偏好。由於環保意識的提高以及稅收優惠和排放法規等政府支持的政策,電動車(EV)和混合動力汽車正在推動該地區的市場成長。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內保持最高的複合年成長率,汽車製造商將大力投資電動車技術、自動駕駛和連接功能,以滿足消費者對創新和永續性的需求。該市場也受到經濟因素、燃油價格以及消費行為變化的影響,例如線上銷售和共乘服務的重要性日益增加。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Passenger Vehicles Market is accounted for $1.7 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2.8 trillion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.5% during the forecast period. Passenger vehicles are motor vehicles designed primarily for the transportation of passengers, with seating for up to eight people, including the driver. They include various types such as sedans, hatchbacks, station wagons, SUVs, minivans, and convertibles. These vehicles are distinct from commercial vehicles, which are designed for transporting goods, and from motorcycles. Passenger vehicles are equipped with features for comfort, safety, and convenience, such as air conditioning, airbags, seatbelts, and infotainment systems. They are typically powered by internal combustion engines, though electric and hybrid models are becoming increasingly popular due to environmental concerns and advancements in technology.
Shift of population from rural to urban areas
As urbanization increases, the demand for passenger vehicles often rises due to greater economic opportunities and higher disposable incomes in cities. Urban dwellers typically seek more compact, fuel-efficient, and environmentally friendly vehicles suited for city driving, leading to a surge in sales of small cars, electric vehicles (EVs), and hybrids. Moreover, the increased urban population density can spur investments in infrastructure, like roads and parking facilities, facilitating vehicle ownership.
Recessions and economic instability
During economic downturns, potential buyers often defer or cancel vehicle purchases, leading to a decline in demand. Unemployment and uncertainty about future income make consumers more cautious about taking on significant financial commitments, such as auto loans. Consequently, sales of new passenger vehicles drop, affecting automakers' revenues and profitability. Thus, economic instability can disrupt supply chains, increase production costs, and lead to higher vehicle prices, exacerbating the decline in sales hampering the growth of the market.
Economic growth and rising disposable income
Employment rates rise, as economies expand, leading to higher household incomes and greater financial stability. This enables more individuals and families to afford new vehicles, boosting demand across various segments, from budget to luxury cars. With higher disposable incomes, consumers are more likely to invest in vehicles with advanced features, better safety, and enhanced performance. This trend can lead to increased sales of premium models and the latest technology, including electric and hybrid vehicles.
Adherence to stringent emission standards
To comply with these stringent emission standards, manufacturers must invest heavily in research and development to create more fuel-efficient and lower-emission vehicles, such as electric and hybrid models. This often leads to higher prices for new vehicles, which can deter price-sensitive consumers and reduce overall demand and they may necessitate the phasing out of popular but less efficient models, limiting consumer choices and potentially alienating certain market segments.
The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted the passenger vehicle market by disrupting supply chains, halting production, and reducing consumer demand due to economic uncertainty and lockdown measures. Dealership closures and a shift towards remote work further decreased vehicle sales. However, the pandemic also accelerated the adoption of digital sales channels and increased interest in personal mobility solutions, partially offsetting the downturn. The market is now gradually recovering as economies reopen and adapt to new consumer behaviors.
The sedans segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sedans is expected to be the largest during the forecast period as they often serving as a benchmark for comfort, style, and performance. Known for their balanced design, spacious interiors, and fuel efficiency, sedans appeal to a wide range of consumers, from families to professionals. They drive innovation in safety and technology, influencing trends across other vehicle segments.
The diesel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The diesel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period as offering greater fuel efficiency and torque compared to gasoline engines, making them popular for long-distance driving and larger vehicles. However, concerns over emissions and environmental impact have led to stricter regulations and a decline in diesel's market share. Scandals like Dieselgate have also tarnished diesel's reputation, prompting consumers and manufacturers to shift towards cleaner alternatives like electric and hybrid vehicles.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period because diverse consumer preferences, regulatory environments, and technological advancements. Key trends include a strong demand for SUVs, crossovers, and trucks, reflecting consumer preference for larger, versatile vehicles. Electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrids are gaining traction due to increasing environmental awareness and supportive government policies, such as tax incentives and emissions regulations boosts the market growth in this region.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to automakers who are investing heavily in EV technology, autonomous driving, and connectivity features to meet consumer demand for innovation and sustainability. The market is also influenced by economic factors, fuel prices, and shifts in consumer behavior, such as the growing importance of online sales and ride-sharing services.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Passenger Vehicles market include AB Volvo , AUDI AG, BMW AG, BYD Company Ltd., Continental AG, Daimler AG, Ford Motor Company , General Motors, Groupe PSA, Groupe Renault , Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Hyundai Motor Company, Kia Motors Corporation, Nissan Motor Co. LTD., SAIC Motor Corporation Limited, Tesla, TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION and Volkswagen AG
In July 2024, Hyundai Motor announced the sale of the made-in-singapore electric vehicle sedan, Hyundai IONIQ 6, out of Hyundai Motor group innovation center Singapore and With more enhanced charging solutions
In July 2024, Hyundai Motor and Hilton Grand vacations agreed to collaborate on expanding customer EV experience. Collaboration to offer premium customer experiences and sustainable mobility solutions in major tourist destinations
In July 2024, Suzuki approves continental tire for new S-Cross. EcoContact 6 ensures lower energy consumption and high noise comfort thanks to its tire technology
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.