市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1530835
2030 年商用車市場預測:按車輛類型、推進類型、動力來源、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Commercial Vehicles Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Propulsion Type, Power Source, End User and by Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球商用車市場價值將達到12,827.3億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為9.3%,到2030年將達到21,870.4億美元。
商用車輛主要促進商業環境中人員和產品的移動。此類別包括各種車輛,包括卡車、貨車、巴士和計程車,每種車輛都是為了滿足特定行業的需求而設計的。商用車輛對於物流和運輸行業至關重要,因為它們可以讓產品輕鬆地從生產商轉移到經銷商再到最終客戶。此外,它們是大眾交通工具不可或缺的一部分,提供可靠且有效的交通方式。
根據美國卡車運輸協會 (ATA) 的數據,卡車運輸業運輸了美國近 70% 的貨運噸位,這表明商用車在美國經濟中發揮重要作用。
最後一哩配送的需求不斷增加
最後一英里交付(將貨物從配送中心運送到最終客戶的交付的最後階段)的重要性隨著網路購物的興起而凸顯。在這個階段確保客戶滿意度至關重要,因為快速、準確的交付至關重要。此外,對最後一哩交付解決方案不斷成長的需求增加了對靈活、高效且能夠在城市環境中按時交付貨物的輕型商用車的需求。
燃料成本波動
商用車營運成本可能會受到燃油價格極端波動的顯著影響。隨著燃料價格上漲,運輸成本也會上漲,可能會損害物流和快遞公司的利潤率。這種波動可能會使公司難以正確規劃和預算,並可能導致機隊更新和擴張延遲。此外,某些地區燃油價格的不可預測性可能會阻礙公司投資新的商用車,並鼓勵他們尋找其他交通選擇。
電動商用車的成長
隨著永續性和減少碳排放變得越來越重要,商用車銷售面臨著巨大的機會。隨著公司尋求減少對環境的影響並滿足嚴格的排放標準,電動商用車 (ECV) 的使用越來越受歡迎。由於電池技術和可靠的充電基礎設施的進步,ECV 變得更加實用和實惠。此外,各國政府也提供稅收減免和補貼等獎勵,以鼓勵電動車的使用。由於這一趨勢,製造商有巨大的機會來製造和銷售各種電動卡車、貨車和巴士。
網路安全風險與技術顛覆
雖然技術進步帶來許多好處,但商用車市場也面臨新的威脅。科技的快速進步需要對新設備和員工培訓的持續投資,這可能會導致財務資源緊張。商用車中數位技術和連接的日益融合也引發了人們對網路安全的擔憂。資料外洩和網路攻擊可能會嚴重擾亂業務、危及安全,並使企業損失數百萬美元。此外,製造商和營運商還面臨確保聯網汽車和自動駕駛車輛的安全性以維持客戶信任和監管合規性的挑戰。
COVID-19 大流行對需求、供應鏈和生產造成了重大干擾,對商用車市場產生了重大影響。由於封鎖和限制,汽車銷量下降,製造設施暫時關閉,零件交付延遲。這場大流行加速了向網路購物的轉變,增加了對最後一英里送貨服務的需求,同時由於工業活動下降而減少了對遠距運輸的需求。
重型商用卡車市場預計將在預測期內成為最大的市場
重型商用卡車細分市場在商用車中佔據最大的市場佔有率,主要是由於其遠距運輸的本質特徵以及能夠承載大負載的能力。這些卡車對於採礦、建築和物流等許多行業至關重要,因為它們可以有效地遠距運輸重物。此外,國際貿易的增加、基礎設施的擴大以及對有效供應鏈管理的需求不斷增加是推動重型卡車需求的主要因素。
電動車 (EV) 領域預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高
在商用車市場中,電動車 (EV) 細分市場的複合年成長率最高。電池技術的進步、更嚴格的排放法規以及對環境問題的日益關注是這種快速成長的主要原因。世界各國政府制定政策並提供獎勵以鼓勵電動車的採用,進一步支持了這種成長。與傳統內燃機汽車相比,電動車 (EV) 具有許多優勢,包括營業成本更低、排放氣體更低、運行更安靜。
亞太地區佔據商用車市場的最大佔有率。中國、印度等主要經濟體正在快速工業化和都市化,導致商用車需求大幅成長,並佔據主導地位。龐大且不斷成長的人口、不斷壯大的中階以及基礎設施發展的進步進一步推動了該地區的市場擴張。此外,亞太地區在商用車行業中佔據了重要的市場佔有率,這主要是由於主要汽車製造商的存在和具有競爭力的定價策略。
拉丁美洲地區商用車市場的複合年成長率最高。物流和運輸投資的增加、基礎設施發展措施和經濟復甦計畫是這項成長的主要驅動力。主要參與者是巴西和墨西哥,受益於客運和貨運需求的增加以及政府升級道路網路的努力。此外,該地區不斷發展的大都會圈和不斷改善的經濟環境也促進了商用車銷售的高成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Commercial Vehicles Market is accounted for $1282.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2187.04 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.3% during the forecast period. Commercial vehicles primarily facilitate the movement of people and products in a commercial setting. A vast variety of vehicles, including trucks, vans, buses, and taxis, are included in this category; each is designed to satisfy the demands of a particular industry. Commercial vehicles are essential to the logistics and transportation industries because they make it easier for products to be moved from producers to distributors and final customers. Moreover, they are an essential component of public transportation, offering dependable and effective ways to get around.
According to the American Trucking Associations (ATA), the trucking industry is responsible for moving nearly 70% of all freight tonnage in the United States, underscoring the critical role that commercial vehicles play in the nation's economy.
Growing requirement for delivery in the last mile
The importance of last-mile delivery, which is the last stage of delivery where products are transported from a distribution center to the final customer, has been brought to light by the rise in online shopping. Ensuring customer satisfaction during this phase is crucial because prompt and precise deliveries are essential. Additionally, the need for light commercial vehicles that are nimble, effective, and able to maneuver through urban settings in order to deliver goods on time has increased due to the growing demand for last-mile delivery solutions.
Varying costs of fuel
The operating costs of commercial vehicles can be greatly impacted by the extreme volatility of fuel prices. The cost of transportation goes up with rising fuel prices, which can hurt logistics and delivery companies' profit margins. Businesses find it difficult to properly plan and budget because of this volatility, which could cause delays in fleet renewal or expansion. Furthermore, the unpredictability of fuel prices in certain areas can discourage businesses from investing in new commercial vehicles and push them to look for other forms of transportation.
Growth of electric commercial automobiles
Commercial vehicle sales have a big chance as sustainability and cutting carbon emissions become more and more important. The use of electric commercial vehicles (ECVs) is growing in popularity as companies look to reduce their environmental impact and meet strict emission standards. ECVs are becoming more practical and affordable thanks to developments in battery technology and a reliable charging infrastructure. Additionally, governments everywhere are providing incentives to encourage the use of electric vehicles, including tax breaks and subsidies. Manufacturers have a great chance to create and sell a variety of electric trucks, vans, and buses thanks to this trend.
Cybersecurity risks and technological disruption
While there are many benefits to technological advancements, the market for commercial vehicles also faces new threats. Quick advances in technology necessitate ongoing investments in new equipment and employee training, which can put strain on financial resources. Concerns about cybersecurity are also raised by the growing integration of digital technologies and connectivity features in commercial vehicles. Data breaches and cyberattacks have the potential to seriously impair operations, jeopardize security, and cost a large amount of money. Furthermore, manufacturers and operators are facing an increasing challenge in ensuring the security of connected and autonomous vehicles in order to uphold customer confidence and regulatory compliance.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions in demand, supply chains, and production, which had a profound effect on the commercial vehicle market. Vehicle sales decreased, manufacturing facilities experienced temporary shutdowns, and component deliveries were delayed as a result of lockdowns and restrictions. The pandemic hastened the transition to online shopping, increasing the need for last-mile delivery services while decreasing the need for long-distance transportation as a result of a decline in industrial activity.
The Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The heavy-duty commercial truck segment commands the largest market share among commercial vehicles, mainly because of its indispensable function in long-distance transportation and ability to tow large loads. Because they can move heavy loads over long distances with efficiency, these trucks are vital to many industries, such as mining, construction, and logistics. Additionally, the rise in international trade, the expansion of infrastructure, and the growing demand for effective supply chain management are the main factors driving the demand for heavy trucks.
The Electric Vehicle (EV) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the commercial vehicle market, the electric vehicle (EV) segment is growing at the highest CAGR. Advances in battery technology, stricter emission regulations, and growing environmental concerns are the main causes of this surge. This growth is being further fuelled by governments around the world enacting policies and offering incentives to encourage the adoption of electric vehicles. Compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles, electric vehicles (EVs) have a number of benefits, such as lower operating costs, lower emissions, and quieter operating vehicles.
Within the commercial vehicle market, the Asia-Pacific region has the largest share. Major economies like China and India are rapidly industrializing and becoming more urbanized, which has greatly increased demand for commercial vehicles and contributed to their dominance. Further supporting market expansion in the area is its sizable and expanding population, growing middle class, and increased infrastructure development. Moreover, Asia-Pacific has a significant market share in the commercial vehicle industry, which is largely due to the presence of major vehicle manufacturers and competitive pricing strategies.
The commercial vehicle market is growing at the highest CAGR in the Latin America region. Increased investments in logistics and transportation, infrastructure development initiatives, and economic recovery programs are the main drivers of this growth. Key players include Brazil and Mexico, which gain from increased demand for both passenger and freight transportation as well as from government initiatives to upgrade road networks. Additionally, the region's growing metropolitan areas and improving economic climate are also factors in the strong growth rate of commercial vehicle sales.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Commercial Vehicles market include Tata Motors Limited, General Motors Company, Bosch Rexroth AG, Volkswagen AG, Ford Motor Company, AB Volvo, Toyota Motor Corporation, Mitsubishi Motors Corporation, Daimler AG, Navistar International Corporation, Mercedes-Benz Group AG, Ashok Leyland Limited, Hyundai Motor Company, Robert Bosch GmbH, Mahindra & Mahindra Limited and Isuzu Motors Limited.
In February 2024, Volkswagen Group and Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) have signed the first supply agreement on components of Volkswagen's MEB for Mahindra's purpose-built electric platform INGLO, taking a definitive step further on their joint vision for e-mobility collaboration. The deal covers the supply of certain electric components as well as unified cells.
In October 2023, General Motors and the United Auto Workers union have reached a tentative contract agreement that could end a six-week-old strike against Detroit automakers, a person briefed on the deal. The deal follows the pattern set with Ford last week and Jeep maker Stellantis over the weekend.
In October 2023, Tata Motors and Freight Commerce Solutions Private Limited ('Freight Tiger') have signed a Securities Subscription Agreement (SSA) and a Shareholders Agreement (SHA) for the acquisition of 26.79% stake in 'Freight Tiger' for a consideration of Rs 150 Crores. The SSA also includes a provision enabling Tata Motors to further invest Rs 100 Crores over the next two years, at the then prevailing market value.