![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1577171
2030 年綠色烯烴市場預測:按類型、原料、製程技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Green Olefins Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Ethylene, Propylene, Butadiene, Butylene and Other Types), Feedstock, Process Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球綠烯烴市場在預測期內將以 13.5% 的複合年成長率成長。
綠色烯烴是永續生產的不飽和碳氫化合物,通常由可再生質能而不是傳統石化燃料生產。這種環保方法包括最大限度地減少對環境影響並減少溫室氣體排放的創新流程。根據綠色化學原理,綠色烯烴是生產各種化學品、塑膠和燃料的重要組成部分。透過轉向可再生資源,綠色烯烴有助於打造更永續的化學工業,支持向循環經濟轉型,並促進環境管理。
根據國際能源公司的資料,烯烴佔石化工業總產量的 60% 以上,約 4 億噸,被認為是從聚合物到藥物化合物等多種化學產品的最重要成分。
技術創新
市場創新是由生物加工、催化作用和可再生原料的使用的進步所推動的。酵素轉化和微生物發酵等技術能夠利用生質能高效生產烯烴並減少碳足跡。此外,催化方法的突破正在提高選擇性和產量,使製程更加永續。這些創新不僅提高了經濟效益,也促進了綠色烯烴在各種應用中的採用。
原料的可用性和可變性
原料的可用性和波動性給市場帶來了重大挑戰。可再生質能供應不可靠可能導致生產不一致,進而影響定價和整體市場穩定性。季節變化、氣候條件和對農業資源的競爭需求可能會加劇這些問題並阻礙綠色烯烴生產的可擴展性。這種不確定性可能會阻礙投資並限制永續替代品的成長潛力,最終影響向綠色化學工業的轉型。
環境問題和永續性
市場上的環境問題集中在原料來源和生產過程的永續性。綠色烯烴旨在減少對石化燃料的依賴,但如果不負責任地管理,生質能種植可能會導致土地利用變化、森林砍伐和生物多樣性喪失。確保永續採購、最大限度地減少資源消耗和實施環保生產技術對於減輕這些影響和促進真正永續的化學品製造方法至關重要。
規模和基礎設施有限
有限的市場規模和基礎設施阻礙了成長和採用。許多生產設施尚未針對大規模生產進行最佳化,導致成本增加和效率降低。物流和分銷網路不足使供應鏈進一步複雜化,難以滿足不斷成長的需求。這些限制導致市場波動和投資限制,最終減緩化學工業向永續替代品的過渡。
COVID-19 大流行擾亂了供應鏈、推遲了生產並減少了各個行業的需求,對市場產生了重大影響。封鎖和監管影響了生質能採購和物流,導致生產延誤。此外,經濟的不確定性導致公司重新考慮對永續技術的投資。然而,這場流行病也提高了人們對環境問題的認知,並可能加速向綠色替代品的轉變,因為各行業在其營運中尋求彈性和永續性。
預計在預測期內丙烯細分市場將是最大的
預計丙烯領域在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。隨著環保意識的增強,它們的吸引力越來越大,因為它們可以用可再生原料永續生產。生物加工和催化劑方面的創新正在促進生質能向丙烯的轉化,並減少對石化燃料的依賴。隨著對永續材料的需求增加,綠色丙烯在促進循環經濟方面的作用將變得越來越重要。
預計汽車業在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計汽車業在預測期內複合年成長率最高。來自可再生資源的綠色烯烴擴大用於生產環保塑膠、潤滑油和燃料添加劑。這些材料可以減少對環境的影響,並有助於使汽車更輕、更有效率。隨著監管壓力和消費者對永續性的需求增加,綠色烯烴在汽車應用中的採用預計將大幅增加。
預計北美地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。生物加工的創新和可再生原料的使用正在推動環保烯烴的發展。包括汽車和包裝在內的主要行業擴大採用這些永續替代品來滿足消費者需求並遵守環境法規。研究和基礎設施投資進一步提振了市場,使該地區成為綠色烯烴的主要參與者。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將實現最高成長率。隨著各國不斷工業化,對塑膠和化學品等各種應用中使用的永續材料(包括綠色烯烴)的需求不斷增加。人們對環境問題的認知不斷提高,正在推動工業界尋求更環保的傳統石化燃料烯烴替代品。這項轉變得到了政府促進永續性措施的支持。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Green Olefins Market is growing at a CAGR of 13.5% during the forecast period. Green olefins are unsaturated hydrocarbons produced sustainably, often from renewable biomass instead of conventional fossil fuels. This eco-friendly approach involves innovative processes that minimize environmental impact and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Green olefins serve as vital building blocks in the production of various chemicals, plastics, and fuels, aligning with the principles of green chemistry. By shifting towards renewable sources, green olefins contribute to a more sustainable chemical industry, supporting the transition to a circular economy and promoting environmental stewardship.
According to the data of the International Energy Agency Olefins which form more than 60% of the total production of the petrochemical industry about 400 million tonnes are considered the most important building block of various chemical products from polymers to pharmaceutical compounds.
Innovation in technology
Innovation in the market is driven by advancements in bioprocessing, catalysis, and renewable feedstock utilization. Technologies such as enzymatic conversion and microbial fermentation enable efficient production of olefins from biomass, reducing carbon footprints. Additionally, breakthroughs in catalytic methods enhance selectivity and yield, making processes more sustainable. These innovations not only improve economic viability but also promote the adoption of green olefins in various applications.
Feedstock availability and fluctuations
Feedstock availability and fluctuations pose significant challenges in the market. Variability in the supply of renewable biomass can lead to production inconsistencies, affecting pricing and overall market stability. Seasonal changes, climate conditions, and competing demands for agricultural resources can exacerbate these issues, hindering the scalability of green olefin production. Such uncertainties may deter investment and limit the growth potential of sustainable alternatives, ultimately impacting the transition to a greener chemical industry.
Environmental concerns and sustainability
Environmental concerns in the market focus on the sustainability of feedstock sources and production processes. While green olefins aim to reduce reliance on fossil fuels, the cultivation of biomass can lead to land-use changes, deforestation, and biodiversity loss if not managed responsibly. Ensuring sustainable sourcing, minimizing resource consumption, and implementing eco-friendly production techniques are crucial for mitigating these impacts and promoting a truly sustainable approach to chemical manufacturing.
Limited scale and infrastructure
Limited scale and infrastructure in the market hinder its growth and adoption. Many production facilities are not yet optimized for large-scale output, resulting in higher costs and lower efficiency. Inadequate logistics and distribution networks further complicate the supply chain, making it difficult to meet increasing demand. These constraints can lead to market volatility and deter investment, ultimately slowing the transition to sustainable alternatives in the chemical industry.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the market by disrupting supply chains, causing delays in production, and reducing demand across various sectors. Lockdowns and restrictions affected biomass sourcing and logistics, leading to production slowdowns. Additionally, the economic uncertainty prompted companies to reevaluate investments in sustainable technologies. However, the pandemic also heightened awareness of environmental issues, potentially accelerating the shift toward greener alternatives as industries seek resilience and sustainability in their operations.
The propylene segment is projected to be the largest during the forecast period
The propylene segment is projected to account for the largest market share during the projection period. Its sustainable production from renewable feedstocks enhances its appeal in an increasingly eco-conscious landscape. Innovations in bioprocessing and catalysis are facilitating the conversion of biomass into propylene, reducing reliance on fossil fuels. As demand for sustainable materials grows, green propylene's role in advancing circular economy practices becomes increasingly significant.
The automotive segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The automotive segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the extrapolated period. Green olefins, derived from renewable sources, are increasingly used in the production of eco-friendly plastics, lubricants, and fuel additives. These materials contribute to lighter, more efficient vehicles with reduced environmental impact. As regulatory pressures and consumer demand for sustainability rise, the adoption of green olefins in automotive applications is expected to grow substantially.
North America region is projected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. Innovations in bioprocessing and renewable feedstock utilization are fostering the development of eco-friendly olefins. Major industries, including automotive and packaging, are increasingly adopting these sustainable alternatives to meet consumer demand and comply with environmental regulations. Investment in research and infrastructure is further propelling the market, positioning the region as a key player in green olefins.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the highest growth rate over the forecast period. The ongoing industrialization in nations is boosting demand for sustainable materials, including green olefins, which are used in various applications such as plastics and chemicals. There is a growing recognition of environmental issues, prompting industries to seek greener alternatives to traditional fossil fuel-derived olefins. This shift is supported by government initiatives promoting sustainability.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Green Olefins market include LyondellBasell Industries, BASF SE, Neste Corporation, Covestro AG, Braskem, Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation, SABIC, TotalEnergies, Clariant, Eastman Chemical Company, Shell, Cargill, DOW and Novozymes.
In May 2024, Dowopens and SCG Chemicalsopens in a new tab or SCGC, today announced the signing of a first-of-its kind memorandum of understanding (MOU) circularity partnership in the Asia Pacific region to transform 200KTA of plastic waste into circular products by 2030.
In March 2024, Dow announced the intent to invest in ethylene derivatives capacity on the U.S. Gulf Coast, including the production of carbonate solvents, critical components to the supply chain of lithium-ion batteries.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.