市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1577190
2030 年可再生化學品市場預測:按產品類型、原料、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Bio Renewable Chemical Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Feedstock, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球可再生化學品市場規模將達36億美元,預計2030年將達到75億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為13%。
可再生化學品是由植物、生質能和有機廢棄物等生物資源生產的,使其成為傳統石化產品的永續替代品。許多行業都使用這些化學品,包括農業、包裝、製藥和個人護理。鼓勵環保生產方式,減少碳排放,減少對石化燃料的依賴。生物基聚合物、溶劑、界面活性劑和潤滑劑是可再生化學品的例子,它們支持環境永續性目標並促進各產業的循環經濟。
IEA預計,根據現行和規劃政策,到2030年,現代可再生能源佔最終能源消費量總量的比重預計將達到18%左右。
環保意識不斷增強
環保意識的提高是可再生化學品市場的關鍵促進因素。隨著消費者和產業越來越意識到傳統石化產品對環境的影響,對永續替代品的需求不斷增加。根據國際能源總署(IEA)預測,到2030年,再生能源在最終能源消耗中的比重預計將達到22%。這種趨勢延伸到了化學工業,生物基產品被視為減少碳排放和對石化燃料依賴的解決方案。促進永續實踐的政府法規和促進綠色技術的企業措施將進一步加速這一轉變。
取得永續原料的困難
生物基化學品的生產嚴重依賴玉米、甘蔗等生質能資源和其他農產品。然而,這些原料的可用性可能受到天氣、農作物產量以及與糧食生產的競爭等因素的影響。聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)表示,全球糧食安全仍令人擔憂,並可能限制工業用途作物的供應。此外,種植飼料原料需要大面積的土地,因此森林砍伐和土地利用變化可能是一個問題。以有競爭力的價格確保穩定和永續的原料供應的挑戰可能會阻礙成長。
發展中地區需求不斷成長
隨著新興國家快速工業化和都市化進程,各行業對永續化學解決方案的需求不斷增加。根據 OCED 和匯豐銀行的數據,到 2030 年,新興經濟體預計將佔全球 GDP 的 50-57%。經濟成長,加上環保意識的增強和法規的收緊,正在推動生物基化學品的採用。中國和印度等國家正在大力投資可再生技術,為市場擴張創造了有利條件。這些地區不斷壯大的中階也推動了對環保消費品的需求不斷成長。這一趨勢正在為包裝、紡織和個人護理等行業的可再生化學品開拓新市場,為市場相關人員提供巨大的成長潛力。
與石化產品的競爭
儘管對永續替代品的需求不斷成長,但石化產品由於其成熟的基礎設施、較低的生產成本和廣泛的應用,仍然在市場上佔據主導地位。石油價格的波動可能使石化產品比生物替代品更具成本競爭力。此外,某些生物可再生化學品的性能和品質可能無法在所有應用中與石化產品相媲美。隨著石化產業繼續努力透過碳捕獲等技術提高效率並減少對環境的影響,競爭可能會進一步加劇。
COVID-19 大流行最初擾亂了可再生化學品市場,導致供應鏈問題並減少了某些行業的需求。但它也加速了向永續和在地採購原料的轉變。這場大流行凸顯了減少對化石資源的依賴和建立有彈性的供應鏈的重要性。長期影響可能是人們更加關注醫療保健和包裝應用中的生物基材料,從而推動這些領域的市場成長。
預計生質能產業將成為預測期內最大的產業。
預計生質能產業將在整個預測期內獲得最大的市場佔有率。生質能包括農業殘留物、林業廢棄物和專用作物,是用於化學生產的多功能且豐富的可再生碳來源。生質能產業的優勢在於其廣泛的可用性、在地採購的可能性以及先進轉化技術的發展。生質能加工技術(例如轉化為木質纖維素系統)的研發進展將進一步提高生質能利用的效率和成本效益,並鞏固其作為可再生化學工業關鍵原料的地位。
個人護理和化妝品行業預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計個人護理和化妝品領域在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。這種快速成長是由於消費者對天然和永續美容產品的需求增加。可再生化學品為化妝品製造商提供了石化成分的替代品,並符合消費者對環保、植物來源產品的偏好。歐洲和北美等地區對個人保健產品中的化學成分有嚴格的規定,進一步支持了該行業的成長。清潔美容和成分採購透明度的趨勢預計將繼續推動可再生化學品在該領域的採用並推動市場擴張。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。這一優勢得益於該地區工業化的快速發展、人口的成長以及環保意識的不斷增強。中國和印度等國家正在大力投資可再生技術和生物基產業,作為其永續發展目標的一部分。該地區龐大的農業部門為可再生化學品生產提供了豐富的原料。此外,政府促進生物基產品使用的措施以及日本和韓國等主要市場參與者的存在也有助於該地區的市場領導地位。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率。這種快速成長是由環境法規收緊、消費者對永續產品意識的提高以及政府對生物基產業的支持等因素所推動的。在中國、印度、東南亞國家等國家,各產業對環保材料的需求正快速增加。該地區不斷壯大的中階和消費者對綠色產品偏好的變化正在推動市場成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio Renewable Chemical Market is accounted for $3.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $7.5 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13% during the forecast period. Bio renewable chemicals provide a sustainable substitute for conventional petrochemicals as they are produced from biological sources like plants, biomass, and organic waste. Numerous industries, including agriculture, packaging, pharmaceuticals, and personal care, use these chemicals. They encourage environmentally friendly production methods, cut carbon emissions, and lessen reliance on fossil fuels. Bio-based polymers, solvents, surfactants, and lubricants are examples of bio-renewable chemicals that support environmental sustainability objectives in a variety of industries and promote a circular economy.
According to the IEA, the share of modern renewables in total final energy consumption is expected to reach around 18% by 2030 under current and planned policies.
Growing environmental awareness
Growing environmental awareness is a significant driver for the biorenewable chemical market. As consumers and industries become increasingly conscious of the environmental impact of traditional petrochemicals, there is a rising demand for sustainable alternatives. According to the International Energy Agency, the share of renewables in final energy consumption is expected to reach 22% by 2030. This trend extends to the chemical industry, where bio-based products are seen as a solution to reduce carbon footprints and dependence on fossil fuels. Government regulations promoting sustainable practices and the corporate push for green technologies further accelerate this shift.
Limited availability of sustainable feedstocks
The production of bio-based chemicals relies heavily on biomass sources such as corn, sugarcane, and other agricultural products. However, the availability of these feedstocks can be affected by factors like weather conditions, crop yields, and competition with food production. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), global food security remains a concern, potentially limiting the use of food crops for industrial purposes. Additionally, the need for large land areas to cultivate feedstocks can lead to issues of deforestation and land-use changes. The challenge of securing a consistent and sustainable supply of raw materials at competitive prices can hinder the growth.
Expanding demand in developing regions
As emerging economies experience rapid industrialization and urbanization, there is a growing need for sustainable chemical solutions across various sectors. According to OCED and HSBC, developing countries are expected to account for 50-57% of global GDP by 2030. This economic growth is accompanied by increased environmental awareness and stricter regulations, driving the adoption of bio-based chemicals. Countries like China and India are investing heavily in renewable technologies, creating favorable conditions for market expansion. The rising middle class in these regions also contributes to increased demand for eco-friendly consumer products. This trend opens up new markets for bio-renewable chemicals in industries such as packaging, textiles, and personal care, offering substantial growth potential for market players.
Competition from petrochemicals
Despite the growing demand for sustainable alternatives, petrochemicals still dominate the market due to their established infrastructure, lower production costs, and wide range of applications. The volatility of oil prices can sometimes make petrochemicals more cost-competitive than biobased alternatives. Additionally, the performance and quality of some bio-renewable chemicals may not yet match their petrochemical counterparts in all applications. The petrochemical industry's ongoing efforts to improve efficiency and reduce environmental impact through technologies like carbon capture could further intensify competition.
The COVID-19 pandemic initially disrupted the bio renewable chemical market, causing supply chain issues and reduced demand in certain sectors. However, it also accelerated the shift towards sustainable and locally sourced materials. The pandemic highlighted the importance of reducing dependence on fossil-based resources and building resilient supply chains. Long-term impacts include increased focus on bio-based materials for healthcare and packaging applications, potentially boosting market growth in these sectors.
The biomass segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The biomass segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period. Biomass, which includes agricultural residues, forestry waste, and dedicated energy crops, offers a versatile and abundant source of renewable carbon for chemical production. The dominance of the biomass segment can be attributed to its wide availability, potential for local sourcing, and the development of advanced conversion technologies. The ongoing research and development in biomass processing techniques, such as lignocellulosic conversion, are further enhancing the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of biomass utilization, solidifying its position as the leading feedstock in the bio-renewable chemical industry.
The personal care & cosmetics segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The personal care & cosmetics segment is projected to have the highest CAGR during the extrapolated period. This rapid growth can be attributed to increasing consumer demand for natural and sustainable beauty products. Bio-renewable chemicals offer cosmetic manufacturers alternatives to petrochemical-derived ingredients, aligning with consumer preferences for eco-friendly and plant-based products. The segment's growth is further driven by stringent regulations on chemical ingredients in personal care products in regions like Europe and North America. The trend towards clean beauty and transparency in ingredient sourcing is expected to continue fueling the adoption of bio-renewable chemicals in this sector, driving market expansion.
The Asia Pacific region is projected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. This dominance can be attributed to rapid industrialization, increasing population, and growing environmental awareness in the region. Countries like China and India are investing heavily in renewable technologies and bio-based industries as part of their sustainable development goals. The region's large agricultural sector provides abundant feedstock for bio-renewable chemical production. Additionally, government initiatives promoting the use of bio-based products and the presence of key market players in countries like Japan and South Korea contribute to the region's market leadership.
The Asia Pacific region is projected to achieve the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This rapid growth is driven by factors such as increasing environmental regulations, rising consumer awareness of sustainable products, and government support for bio-based industries. Countries like China, India, and Southeast Asian nations are experiencing a surge in demand for eco-friendly materials across various industries. The region's expanding middle class and changing consumer preferences towards green products are fueling market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio Renewable Chemical Market include BASF SE, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), Amyris Inc., Braskem, Cargill Incorporated, DuPont de Nemours, Inc., Evonik Industries, Genomatica, Inc., Gevo, Inc., LanzaTech, NatureWorks LLC, Novamont S.P.A, Royal DSM N.V., Solvay, Toray Industries, Inc., Trucent, and Virent Energy Systems, Inc.
In May 2024, BASF SE Launched the first biomass balanced products for its ammonia and urea portfolio replacing fossil resources with certified biowaste raw materials to reduce emissions.
In July 2023, Archer Expanded its biopolymer production capacity by 30% following an $87 million investment in its bio-based ethylene plant in Brazil. The plant's capacity increased from 200,000 to 260,000 tons/year.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.