市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1587599
2030 年汽車齒輪市場預測:按齒輪類型、車輛類型、材料、生產流程、技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Automotive Gears Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Gear Type, Vehicle Type, Material, Production Process, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2024 年全球汽車齒輪市場規模為 425.8 億美元,預計預測期內複合年成長率為 5.2%,到 2030 年將達到 526.3 億美元。
汽車齒輪是在汽車傳動系統內傳輸動力和運動的機械部件。它將引擎旋轉功率轉換為可用扭矩,從而實現加速和速度調節。它們有多種形式,包括正齒輪、斜齒輪、錐齒輪和行星齒輪,每種形式都旨在最佳化效率、減少磨損並確保各種駕駛條件下的可靠性。
IEA預計,2023年歐洲將註冊1,400萬輛新電動車,中國將生產810萬輛電動車,美國將生產140萬輛電動車。
擴大汽車生產
隨著全球汽車產量的擴大,對可靠、高性能齒輪來提高車輛效率、性能和安全性的需求變得至關重要。產量增加導致銷售量增加,使製造商能夠擴大業務並投資創新齒輪技術。此外,消費者對汽車先進功能的日益偏好,例如提高燃油效率和增強駕駛動力,將進一步推動對專用齒輪系統的需求,最終導致齒輪設計和製造的市場成長和技術創新。
設計複雜性
汽車齒輪設計的複雜性源自於現代車輛對更高性能、效率和適應性的需求。隨著製造商採用混合和電力傳動系統等先進技術,齒輪系統變得更加複雜,需要精密工程和專用材料。這種複雜性延長了開發時間,增加了生產成本,並增加了設計錯誤的風險,最終阻礙了市場的成長。
擴大轉向電動車 (EV)
加速向電動車 (EV) 的轉變需要開發用於電動傳動系統的專用齒輪系統。與傳統內燃機不同,電動車需要不同的齒輪配置來最佳化扭力傳遞並提高效率。這種轉變促使製造商創新並開發更輕、更高性能的齒輪,以提高電動車的整體性能。隨著電動車普及率的提高,汽車齒輪市場可能會擴大,以滿足該細分市場不斷變化的需求。
與替代技術的競爭
來自電動車和氫燃料電池車等替代技術的競爭正在減少對傳統機械齒輪系統的依賴。此外,直接驅動系統和電子控制變速箱等技術創新消除了對複雜齒輪裝置的需求,進一步威脅傳統齒輪製造商。這種轉變可能會導致齒輪技術開發和生產的投資減少,從而為公司在快速發展的汽車領域保持競爭力帶來挑戰。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19 大流行擾亂了生產和供應鏈,導致延誤和短缺,對汽車齒輪市場產生了重大影響。停產和消費者需求減少導致汽車銷售下降,進而減少了齒輪產量。然而,隨著製造商尋求適應新的傳動系統要求,向電動車 (EV) 的轉變刺激了齒輪技術的創新。隨著市場復甦,對永續性和先進製造流程的關注預計將塑造汽車裝備的未來。
智慧裝備領域預計將在預測期內成為最大的領域
由於智慧齒輪領域提高了汽車的性能和效率,預計將在預測期內獲得最大的市場佔有率。這些齒輪提供溫度、磨損和負載等參數的即時資料,從而實現預測性維護並減少停機時間。與其他車輛系統通訊的能力將支援增強的功能,有助於開拓自動駕駛和聯網汽車汽車市場,並最終徹底改變汽車裝備市場。
預計汽車齒輪產業在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計汽車齒輪領域在預測期內複合年成長率最高。汽車齒輪在傳動系統中起著重要作用,有助於將引擎動力傳輸到車輪。這些齒輪可以實現平穩的換檔,使汽車能夠有效加速並在各種駕駛條件下保持最佳速度。它採用創新的齒輪設計,提高燃油效率,提高性能,並確保無縫的駕駛體驗。
在汽車產量增加和消費者需求增加的推動下,亞太地區預計將在預測期內創下最大的市場佔有率。中國、日本和印度等國家是主要參與者,它們在製造技術方面取得了進步,並轉向電動和混合動力汽車,從而改善了齒輪設計和效率。此外,政府促進汽車創新和基礎設施投資的措施也進一步提振了市場前景。此外,對燃油效率的日益關注使亞太地區成為汽車齒輪生產和創新的重要中心。
由於汽車產業蓬勃發展,預計北美地區在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。美國和加拿大引領市場,專注於支援電動車和自動化系統的齒輪設計創新。主要汽車製造商的存在以及對永續性的日益關注正在刺激更輕、更強的齒輪的發展。此外,減少排放的研發投資和監管支持正在推動該地區的市場成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Gears Market is accounted for $42.58 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $52.63 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. Automotive gears are mechanical components that transmit power and motion within a vehicle's drivetrain. They enable the engine's rotational force to be converted into usable torque, allowing for acceleration and speed regulation. They come in various forms, such as spur, helical, bevel, and planetary gears, each designed to optimize efficiency, reduce wear, and ensure reliability under different driving conditions.
According to IEA, 14 million new electric vehicles were registered in Europe in 2023, China produced 8.1 million electric vehicles, and the US reached 1.4 million in 2023.
Growing vehicle production
As global automotive manufacturing ramps up, the need for reliable, high-performance gears becomes critical for enhancing vehicle efficiency, performance, and safety. Increased production leads to higher sales volumes, allowing manufacturers to scale operations and invest in innovative gear technologies. Additionally, the rise in consumer preference for advanced features in vehicles, such as improved fuel efficiency and enhanced driving dynamics, further fuels the demand for specialized gear systems, ultimately contributing to market growth and innovation in gear design and manufacturing.
Design complexities
Design complexities in automotive gears arise from the need for higher performance, efficiency, and adaptability in modern vehicles. As manufacturers incorporate advanced technologies, such as hybrid and electric drive trains, the intricacies of gear systems increase, necessitating precise engineering and specialized materials. These complexities can lead to longer development times, higher production costs, and increased risk of design errors, ultimately hampering market growth.
Mounting shift towards electric vehicles (EVs)
The mounting shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates the development of specialized gear systems tailored for electric drive trains. Unlike traditional internal combustion engines, EVs require different gear configurations to optimize torque delivery and improve efficiency. This transition encourages manufacturers to innovate and develop lightweight, high-performance gears that enhance the overall performance of electric vehicles. As EV adoption continues to rise, the automotive gears market will expand to meet evolving requirements in this segment.
Competition from alternative technologies
Competition from alternative technologies, such as electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, reduces the reliance on traditional mechanical gear systems. Additionally, innovations like direct-drive systems and electronically controlled transmissions eliminate the need for complex gear arrangements, further threatening traditional gear manufacturers. This shift can lead to decreased investment in gear technology development and production, creating challenges for companies to maintain competitiveness in a rapidly evolving automotive landscape.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic significantly impacted the automotive gears market by disrupting production and supply chains, leading to delays and shortages. Lockdowns and reduced consumer demand caused a decline in vehicle sales, resulting in decreased gear production. However, the shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) spurred innovation in gear technology, as manufacturers sought to adapt to new drivetrain requirements. As the market recovers, a focus on sustainability and advanced manufacturing processes is expected to shape the future of automotive gears.
The smart gears segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The smart gears segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period owing to its enhanced vehicle performance and efficiency. These gears provide real-time data on parameters like temperature, wear, and load, enabling predictive maintenance and reducing downtime. Their ability to communicate with other vehicle systems supports enhanced functionality, contributing to the development of autonomous and connected vehicles, ultimately revolutionizing the automotive gears market.
The automotive gears segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The automotive gears segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Automotive gears play a crucial role in transmission systems, facilitating the transfer of engine power to the wheels. They enable smooth gear shifts, allowing vehicles to accelerate efficiently and maintain optimal speed across various driving conditions. They leverage innovative gear designs to enhance fuel efficiency, improve performance, and ensure a seamless driving experience.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the largest market share during the forecast period driven by increasing vehicle production and rising consumer demand. Countries like China, Japan, and India are major players, with advancements in manufacturing technologies and a shift towards electric and hybrid vehicles enhancing gear design and efficiency. Additionally, government initiatives promoting automotive innovations and investments in infrastructure further boost market prospects. Further, growing focus on fuel efficiency is making the Asia-Pacific region a key hub for automotive gear production and innovation.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period characterized by a strong automotive industry. The United States and Canada lead the market, focusing on innovations in gear design to support electric vehicles and automated systems. The presence of major automotive manufacturers and a growing emphasis on sustainability are fueling the development of lightweight and high-strength gears. Additionally, investments in research and development, along with regulatory support for emissions reduction, are propelling market growth in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Automotive Gears Market include Robert Bosch GmbH, Magna International Inc., ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Eaton Corporation plc, Schaeffler AG, Bharat Gears Ltd., Univance Corporation, Linamar Corporation, SHOWA Corporation, Mando Corporation, Oerlikon Group, NSK Limited, GKN Automotive, BorgWarner Inc., American Axle & Manufacturing Inc. and Dana Incorporated.
In May 2024, Dana Incorporated launched a new line of high-efficiency gear systems designed specifically for commercial electric vehicles (EVs), with a focus on heavy-duty applications such as trucks and buses. This development aims to enhance the overall energy efficiency and performance of electric drivetrains, addressing the growing demand for sustainable solutions in the transportation sector.
In April 2024, ZF Friedrichshafen AG introduced a new range of gear systems aimed at optimizing the performance of electric vehicle (EV) drive trains. These innovative gear systems are specifically designed to address key challenges in electric mobility, such as energy efficiency and driving range, which are critical for the success of electric vehicles.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.