市場調查報告書
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1587746
2030 年加氫裂解裝置市場預測:按類型、催化劑類型、原料、應用和地區進行的全球分析Hydrocracker Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis by Type, Catalyst Type, Feedstock, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2024年全球加氫裂解裝置市場規模將達到718.9億美元,預計2030年將達到1,179億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為8.6%。
加氫裂解器是重要的精製設備,可將重質碳氫化合物轉化為更輕、更高價值的產品,例如柴油、噴射機燃料和汽油。這個過程稱為加氫裂解,在催化劑存在下使用高壓、高溫和氫氣。為了滿足環保要求,加氫裂解器被製造用於將重油餾分(例如減壓瓦斯油和渣油)轉化為更清潔的低硫燃料。
對清潔燃料的需求不斷成長
旨在減少排放的更嚴格的環境法規,例如超低硫柴油和汽油標準,正在推動對清潔燃料的需求。這項變更迫使煉油廠實現營運現代化,而加氫裂解裝置對於此過程至關重要,因為它們將重質原油轉化為高品質、低硫燃料。加氫裂解裝置的投資是由市場需求和滿足監管要求的需求所驅動的。隨著各國優先考慮燃料效率和脫碳,加氫裂解裝置成為永續精製的必需品,市場正在擴大。
資本和營業成本高
加氫裂解裝置的高營運和資本成本可能會阻礙對新措施和改進的投資,從而阻礙市場擴張。較小的煉油廠可能會因高昂的初始安裝成本以及持續的維護和營業成本而被推遲。這種成本障礙可能會減緩加氫裂解技術的採用,並影響整個市場的產能成長。結果,這將阻礙市場的擴張。
能源消耗增加
能源消耗的增加,特別是在開發中國家,正在推動對運輸燃料和石化產品的需求。持續的工業活動和人口成長將增加對高效燃料生產的需求。在這種情況下,加氫裂解裝置至關重要,因為它們使煉油廠能夠將較重的原油轉化為更輕、更適銷的產品,如汽油和柴油。加氫裂解技術的投資是受這一趨勢推動的,也將提高煉油廠的產能和效率,以滿足市場需求,同時維持環境法規,推動市場擴張。結果是,有利於市場擴張。
原油價格波動
原油價格波動為煉油廠帶來財務不確定性,進而對市場產生負面影響。油價下跌導致淨利率下降,迫使煉油廠縮減加氫裂解技術和維護投資。因此,計劃進度可能會被推遲,產能擴張可能會受到阻礙。此外,價格波動使長期規劃變得複雜,並使煉油廠難以進行昂貴的加氫裂解器升級,阻礙了市場成長。
由於關門和旅行限制,運輸燃料的需求減少,COVID-19 大流行擾亂了加氫裂解器市場。煉油廠運作放緩,導致加氫裂解裝置計劃及維修延誤。然而,隨著疫情後燃料消耗的恢復,市場有所復甦。這場危機也加速了向清潔燃料的轉變,促使煉油廠升級加氫裂解裝置,以提高效率並滿足環保要求。
沸石催化劑產業預計在預測期內規模最大
沸石催化劑能夠將重質碳氫化合物轉化為柴油、噴射機燃料和石化原料等有價值的產品,因此沸石催化劑領域預計將成為預測期內最大的領域。沸石催化劑的高熱穩定性和酸性可促進更深的裂解並最佳化煉油廠產量。此外,沸石催化劑透過促進硫和其他雜質的去除來支持清潔燃料的生產。隨著煉油廠致力於滿足更嚴格的環境法規並最大限度地提高盈利,對先進沸石催化劑的需求持續成長。
剩餘升級部分預計在預測期內複合年成長率最高。
渣油提質領域預計在預測期內將出現最高的複合年成長率,因為它透過最大限度地利用資源、減少廢棄物和將渣油轉化為低品位燃料來提高盈利。加氫裂解殘渣升級還可透過減少硫和碳排放來支援環境合規性。隨著煉油廠應對原油品質的變化和收緊燃料規格,對具有渣油升級能力的加氫裂解裝置的需求持續成長。
預計北美地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為煉油廠能夠將重質原油轉化為柴油和噴射機燃料等高價值產品,從而提高營運效率和盈利。對清潔燃料的需求不斷增加以及向石化生產的轉變進一步推動了加氫裂解裝置的採用。由於北美專注於能源轉型和精製升級,加氫裂解器幫助煉油廠保持競爭力,同時確保遵守更嚴格的燃料標準並支援國內能源需求。
預計亞太地區在預測期內的複合年成長率最高,因為對運輸燃料的需求,特別是中國和印度等國家的需求,正在推動市場擴張。此外,加氫裂解裝置可協助煉油廠最佳化重質原油加工,提高盈利。此外,隨著煉油廠產量多樣化,向石化產品的轉變也推動了加氫裂解裝置的採用。市場對於提高燃料品質、保障地區能源安全扮演重要角色。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Hydrocracker Market is accounted for $71.89 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $117.9 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.6% during the forecast period. A hydrocracker is an essential refinery unit that converts heavy hydrocarbons into lighter, higher-value products such as diesel, jet fuel, and gasoline. High pressure, high temperatures, and hydrogen gas in the presence of catalysts are all used in the process, which is called hydro cracking. In order to comply with environmental requirements, hydrocrackers are made to transform heavy oil fractions, such as vacuum gas oil and residue, into cleaner, low-sulfur fuels.
Growing Demand for Cleaner Fuels
Stringent environmental rules aimed at decreasing emissions, such as standards for ultra-low sulfur diesel and gasoline, are driving up demand for cleaner fuel. This change forces refineries to modernize their operations, and hydrocrackers are essential in this process since they transform heavy crude into high-quality, low-sulfur fuels. Investment in hydrocracker units is encouraged by the demand in order to satisfy market demands and regulatory requirements. The market is expanding because hydrocrackers are becoming necessary for sustainable refining as nations prioritize fuel economy and decarbonization.
High Capital and Operating Costs
Hydrocrackers' high operating and capital expenses can impede market expansion by discouraging investment in new initiatives and improvements. Smaller refiners may be put off by the high initial installation costs as well as continuing maintenance and operating costs. This cost barrier might cause hydrocracking technology to be adopted more slowly, which would affect the market's overall capacity increase. As a result, it prevents the market from expanding.
Rising Energy Consumption
Rising energy consumption, particularly in developing nations, has driven up demand for transportation fuels and petrochemicals. The requirement for efficient fuel production increases as industrial activity and population growth continue. In this situation, hydrocrackers are essential because they allow refineries to transform heavier crude oils into lighter, more marketable goods like gasoline and diesel. Investment in hydro cracking technology is fueled by this trend, which also increases refinery capacity and efficiency to satisfy market demands while maintaining environmental regulations, thus promoting market expansion. As a result, it promotes market expansion.
Fluctuating Crude Oil Prices
Fluctuating crude oil prices negatively impact the market by creating financial uncertainty for refiners. Low prices may lead to reduced margins, prompting refineries to scale back investments in hydro cracking technology and maintenance. This can delay project timelines and hinder capacity expansion. Additionally, volatility complicates long-term planning, making it difficult for refiners to commit to costly hydrocracker upgrades, thus it hampers the growth of the market.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the hydrocracker market due to reduced demand for transportation fuels amid lockdowns and travel restrictions. Refinery operations slowed, leading to delays in hydrocracker projects and maintenance. However, the market rebounded as fuel consumption recovered post-pandemic. The crisis also accelerated the shift toward cleaner fuels, prompting refineries to upgrade hydrocrackers for enhanced efficiency and environmental compliance.
The zeolite-based catalysts segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The zeolite-based catalysts segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period as these catalysts enable better conversion of heavy hydrocarbons into valuable products like diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feed stocks. Their high thermal stability and acidity facilitate deeper cracking, optimizing refinery yields. Additionally, zeolite catalysts support the production of cleaner fuels by promoting the removal of sulfur and other impurities. As refineries aim to meet stricter environmental regulations and maximize profitability, the demand for advanced zeolite-based catalysts continues to grow.
The residue upgrading segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The residue upgrading segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period because it maximizes resource utilization, reduces waste, and enhances profitability by converting residues that would otherwise be used as low-grade fuel. Residue upgrading through hydro cracking also supports environmental compliance by lowering sulfur and carbon emissions. As refineries adapt to shifting crude oil qualities and stricter fuel standards, the demand for hydrocrackers with residue upgrading capabilities continues to grow.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period as it enables refineries to convert heavy crude into higher-value products like diesel and jet fuel, improving operational efficiency and profitability. The growing demand for cleaner fuels and the shift toward petrochemical production further drive hydrocracker adoption. As North America focuses on energy transition and refining upgrades, hydrocrackers help refineries remain competitive while ensuring compliance with stricter fuel standards and supporting domestic energy needs.
Asia Pacific is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to demand for transportation fuels, especially in countries like China and India, drives market expansion. Additionally, hydrocrackers help refineries optimize heavy crude processing, enhancing profitability. The shift toward petrochemicals as refineries diversify their outputs also boosts hydrocracker adoption. This market plays a key role in improving fuel quality and ensuring energy security in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Hydrocracker Market include Albemarle Corporation, Arkema, Axens, BASF SE, BP plc, Chevron Corporation, Clariant, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Haldor Topsoe A/S, Honeywell International Inc., Indian Oil Corporation Limited, JGC Corporation, Johnson Matthey, PetroChina Company Limited, Royal Dutch Shell plc, Saudi Aramco, Sinopec Corporation, TotalEnergies SE, Valero Energy Corporation and W. R. Grace & Co.-Conn.
In July 2024, BASF and 'Pragati' extended full transparency & traceability to bio-based footwear solutions with SuCCESS code. The footwear segment has been at the forefront of implementing sustainable solutions at BASF.
In June 2024, CPGC and BASF signed Framework Agreement on actual ship application of Onboard Carbon Capture System. OASE blue is BASF's gas treatment technology designed for CO2 capture application in flue gas, with low energy consumption, low solvent losses, and an exceptionally flexible operating range.
In Oct 2023, Honeywell announced Honeywell Product Quality Review, an innovative software solution for manufacturers of medical products. The solution is designed to automate and streamline the annual product quality review (APQR) process.
Table (2022-2030) ($MN)