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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1636770
2030 年黃金市場預測:按類型、形狀、分銷管道、克拉、用途和地區進行全球分析Gold Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Jewellery, Bullion, Technological Applications, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), Central Bank Reserves and Other Types), Form, Distribution Channel, Carat, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預測期內全球黃金市場以 9.38% 的複合年成長率成長。
黃金是一種貴金屬,以其光澤的黃色外觀、高延展性和抗腐蝕性而聞名。數千年來,黃金一直被視為交換媒介、財富的象徵以及珠寶飾品、技術和工業應用的關鍵材料。它的稀有性、耐用性和導電性使其成為電子和航太應用中不可或缺的材料。此外,黃金是一種安全的資產,廣泛用於投資並被中央銀行作為持有。
珠寶飾品需求不斷成長
人口、經濟和文化等多種因素共同推動了黃金市場對珠寶飾品的需求不斷成長。在中國和印度等國家,黃金具有重要的文化和禮儀意義,尤其是在宗教儀式、節慶和婚禮期間。這些國家的都市化進程加快和可支配收入增加,使得黃金首飾越來越普及,也越來越受歡迎。此外,時尚潮流的變化和珠寶設計的進步也幫助年輕的顧客發現黃金的魅力。奢侈品公司的國際行銷努力進一步提升了黃金作為財富和聲望的象徵的地位。由於季節性和節日需求激增,黃金市場的這一領域不斷成長。
黃金交易中的投機與操縱
黃金交易的投機和操縱嚴重影響黃金市場的穩定性和投資者信心。大型機構投資者和避險基金是眾多投機者之一,他們經常影響黃金價格,並利用市場和經濟趨勢賺錢。波動性也可能是由於故意抬高或壓低價格的行為造成的,例如欺騙或發送虛假的市場訊號。由於監管薄弱和結構分散,黃金交易很容易受到此類騙局的攻擊。個人和機構投資者都可能受到操縱,從而削弱投資者信心並阻礙公平的價格發現。
擴大數位黃金平台
數位黃金平台的成長正在改變黃金市場,使其更容易獲得並吸引更廣泛的消費者。這些服務允許用戶輕鬆且經濟地在線上購買、出售和儲存輔幣黃金,從而消除了對實體所有權的需求。金融科技的興起和智慧型手機的廣泛使用正在加速其普及,尤其是在都市區的年輕、精通科技的消費者中。透明度、即時交易以及與投資應用程式整合等功能提高了用戶的便利性和信任度。此外,與電子商務網站和金融機構的合作正在擴大數位黃金的覆蓋範圍。
工業需求有限
由於金價高企且有較便宜的替代品出現,黃金市場的工業需求較低。黃金優異的導電性和耐腐蝕性使其在電子、醫療設備和航太非常有用,但其高成本阻礙了它在這些應用中的廣泛應用。在需要考慮成本的應用中,人們經常選擇銅和銀等替代品。技術發展也不斷致力於在不犧牲功能的前提下減少黃金的使用量。由於道德和環境的考慮,工業化採金受到進一步限制。工業需求僅佔整個黃金市場的一小部分,珠寶和投資需求占主導地位。
COVID-19 的影響
新冠肺炎疫情對黃金市場產生了重大影響,由於投資者在全球經濟不確定的情況下尋求避險資產,黃金價格創下歷史新高。採礦、提煉和供應鏈的中斷暫時限制了黃金產量。然而,通膨擔憂和股市動盪推動的投資需求上升抵消了這些挑戰。央行政策和獎勵策略進一步支撐了黃金的吸引力。同時,由於消費者珠寶飾品支出下降,黃金的實體需求暫時減弱,尤其是在印度和中國等主要市場。
預計預測期內數位黃金市場規模將達到最大。
由於智慧型手機使用量的增加、金融科技解決方案的興起以及對線上投資平台的偏好日益增加,數位黃金市場估計將成為最大的市場。數位黃金允許用戶投資少量黃金而無需實體存儲,從而提供了更大的可訪問性,吸引了小投資者。低進入門檻、即時交易和高透明度使其成為千禧世代和精通技術的個人的熱門選擇。此外,將數位黃金與其他投資組合相結合的便利性進一步加速了其在世界各地的採用。
預計預測期內工業應用領域將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
由於其優異的電導性、耐腐蝕性和延展性,預計工業應用領域在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。黃金廣泛用於電子工業,製造連接器、開關和電路基板。在醫學領域,黃金用於牙科治療、醫療植入和診斷設備。此外,航太和國防工業也依賴黃金來承受惡劣條件及其在衛星中的反射特性。此外,黃金也用於可再生能源技術和精密儀器,進一步增強了其工業相關性。
預計亞太地區將在市場佔有率,而且人們對黃金具有很強的文化親和性。這些國家的可支配收入不斷提高、都市化加快以及中產階級人口不斷成長,推動了黃金珠寶飾品和投資的需求。此外,黃金被視為對沖通膨和經濟不確定性的工具,進一步吸引了投資者。數位黃金平台的擴張和零售投資的增加也促進了該地區黃金市場的成長。
在預測期內,由於經濟不確定性、通膨擔憂以及對避險資產的需求不斷增加,預計北美將實現最高的複合年成長率。作為對沖市場波動的工具,黃金尤其在地緣政治不穩定和金融危機時期吸引投資者。此外,該地區擁有大量金礦開採公司和交易所交易基金(ETF),為市場准入提供了便利。數位黃金平台的日益普及以及人們對黃金投資潛力的認知不斷提高也推動了該地區對貴金屬的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Gold Market is growing at a CAGR of 9.38% during the forecast period. Gold is a precious metal known for its lustrous yellow appearance, high malleability, and resistance to corrosion. Gold has been valued for millennia as a medium of exchange, a symbol of wealth, and a key material in jewellery, technology, and industrial applications. Its rarity, durability, and conductivity make it indispensable in electronics and aerospace. Additionally, gold is a safe-haven asset, widely used in investments and held by central banks as reserves.
Rising Demand in Jewelry
A mix of demographic, economic, and cultural factors is driving the growing demand for jewellery in the gold market. Gold has great cultural and ceremonial significance in places like China and India, especially during religious rites, festivals, and weddings. In these nations, rising urbanization and disposable affluence have increased the accessibility and allure of gold jewellery. Additionally, younger clients are discovering gold to be more appealing due to shifting fashion trends and advancements in jewellery design. Gold's standing as a symbol of wealth and prestige is further enhanced by international marketing initiatives by luxury firms. This area of the gold market consistently grows as a result of seasonal and festive demand spikes.
Speculation and manipulation in gold trading
The stability of the gold market and investor confidence are greatly impacted by speculation and manipulation in gold trading. Large institutional investors and hedge funds are among the many speculators who frequently affect gold prices by taking advantage of market and economic movements in order to make money. Volatility can occasionally result from coordinated acts that intentionally raise or deflate prices, such as spoofing or producing false market signals. Gold trade is vulnerable to such tactics due to regulatory weaknesses and its decentralized structure. Both retail and institutional participants are impacted by manipulation, which damages investor trust and interferes with fair price discovery.
Expansion of digital gold platforms
The growth of digital gold platforms is transforming the gold market by increasing its accessibility and appeal to a wider range of consumers. These services remove the need for physical ownership by enabling users to easily and affordably buy, sell, and store fractional gold online. Adoption has been fuelled by the rise of fintech and smartphone penetration, especially among younger, tech-savvy consumers in both urban and rural locations. User convenience and confidence have increased due to features including transparency, real-time transactions, and connectivity with investment apps. Additionally, collaborations with e-commerce sites and financial institutions have expanded the reach of digital gold.
Limited industrial demand
The high price of the metal and the availability of less expensive substitutes result in low industrial demand in the gold market. Although gold is useful in electronics, medical devices, and aerospace due to its exceptional conductivity and resistance to corrosion, its high cost prevents broad use in these sectors. For applications where cost is a concern, substitutes like copper and silver are frequently chosen. Technological developments also constantly aim to reduce the amount of gold used without sacrificing functionality. Gold mining's industrial adoption is further limited by ethical and environmental issues. Due to the dominance of jewellery and investment demand, industrial demand continues to represent a very modest portion of the total gold market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the gold market, driving prices to record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets amidst global economic uncertainty. Disruptions in mining, refining, and supply chains temporarily constrained gold production. However, increased investment demand, fueled by inflation fears and volatile stock markets, offset these challenges. Central bank policies and stimulus measures further supported gold's appeal. Meanwhile, reduced consumer spending on jewellery, especially in key markets like India and China, led to a temporary decline in physical gold demand.
The digital gold segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The digital gold segment is estimated to be the largest, driven by increasing smartphone usage, the rise of fintech solutions, and the growing preference for online investment platforms. Digital gold provides accessibility, allowing users to invest in fractional gold without the need for physical storage, appealing to smaller investors. Low entry barriers, real-time transactions, and enhanced transparency have made it a popular choice among millennials and tech-savvy individuals. Additionally, the convenience of integrating digital gold with other investment portfolios further accelerates its adoption globally.
The industrial applications segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The industrial applications segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, due to its excellent conductivity, corrosion resistance, and malleability. It is widely used in electronics for manufacturing connectors, switches, and circuit boards. In the medical field, gold is used in dental work, medical implants, and diagnostic equipment. Aerospace and defense industries also rely on gold for its ability to withstand harsh conditions and its reflective properties in satellites. Additionally, gold is utilized in renewable energy technologies and high-precision instruments, further enhancing its industrial significance.
Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to strong cultural affinity for gold, particularly in countries like India and China, where gold is integral to weddings, festivals, and wealth preservation. Rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and growing middle-class populations in these countries boost demand for gold jewellery and investment. Additionally, gold is seen as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, which further attracts investors. The expanding digital gold platforms and increasing retail investment also contribute to the region's growing gold market.
During the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to register the highest CAGR, owing to economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and the growing demand for safe-haven assets. As a hedge against market volatility, gold attracts investors, especially during periods of geopolitical instability or financial crises. Additionally, the strong presence of gold mining companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the region facilitates market accessibility. The rising popularity of digital gold platforms and increasing awareness of gold's investment potential also contribute to the region's demand for the precious metal.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Gold Market include Gold Fields Limited, Kinross Gold Corporation, Barrick Gold Corporation, Polyus Gold International, Newmont Corporation, Metalor Technologies International SA, Valcambi SA, PAMP SA, Rand Refinery, Johnson Matthey, GoldMoney Inc., Royal Canadian Mint, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited, Sibanye Stillwater Limited, and Newcrest Mining Limited.
In December 2024, Bonterra Resources Inc. is pleased to announce additional assay results from the Moss target and the restart of drilling by a 100% indirect subsidiary of Gold Fields Ltd at the Phoenix JV. The Project is under a definitive earn-in and joint venture agreement with Osisko Mining Inc., which is now gold Fields.
In November 2024, Newmont Corporation announced that it has agreed to sell its Eleonore operation in Northern Quebec, Canada, to Dhilmar Ltd for $795 million in cash consideration. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, subject to certain conditions being satisfied.
In November 2023, Kinross Gold Corporation announced that it has acquired deemed beneficial ownership of 5,018,017 common shares of Allegiant Gold Ltd. issuable upon exercise of common share purchase warrants previously acquired by Kinross.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.