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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1679325
量子戰爭市場至2030年的預測:按產品類型、組件、量子PNT、量子計算與模擬、應用、最終用戶、地區的全球分析Quantum Warfare Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Hardware, Software, and Services), Component, Quantum PNT, Quantum Computing & Simulations, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的資料,全球量子戰市場在2024年達到 17.2億美元,預計到2030年將達到 46.7億美元,預測期內的年複合成長率為 18.1%。
「量子戰」指將量子運算、密碼學、感測器、通訊系統等量子技術應用於軍事和國防活動。這包括開發用於先進監視的量子感測器、用於發現隱形飛機的量子雷達以及高度安全的加密技術。透過利用動態的概念來提高安全性和作戰效率,量子戰爭可望改善軍事系統、網路安全和情報收集能力,為各國在現代衝突中提供競爭優勢。
根據 IBM 的最新研究,到2023年,資料外洩的平均總成本將達到 445萬美元,凸顯了對高階安全解決方案的需求。根據最近的資料,2022年全球偵測到的網路威脅分佈以勒索軟體為主,為主要攻擊手法,佔 68.42%,其次是網路入侵,佔 18.42%,資料外洩佔 3.95%。
對國家安全的擔憂日益加劇
世界各國政府都強調需要採取強而有力的措施來抵禦潛在的威脅。網路戰、間諜活動和日益加劇的地緣政治緊張局勢加速對量子戰技術的投資。開發先進的量子感測器和通訊系統以增強軍事能力。國家安全戰略擴大採用量子技術來保持競爭力。
開發和營運成本高
開發和部署量子戰爭技術需要大量的資金投入。這些技術非常複雜,需要大量的研究和開發。此外,維護和升級量子系統需要高昂的營運成本。這些成本可能會成為中小型國防相關企業進入該領域的障礙。政府和組織必須撥出大量預算來支持量子戰爭技術的應用。
太空資產的重要性日益增加
衛星等太空資產在通訊、導航和監視方面發揮著非常重要的作用,使其成為先進量子加密和防禦系統的理想目標。量子技術可以透過超安全的量子金鑰分發來確保衛星通訊的安全,防止竊聽和駭客攻擊。此外,太空量子感測器和雷達系統可以增強全球監視、偵測和情報收集能力。隨著外太空成為一個競爭日益激烈的領域,各國優先考慮整合量子技術,以保護其太空資產並保持國防和國家安全的戰略優勢。
熟練勞動力有限
量子技術需要量子運算、密碼學和量子物理學等高度專業化的知識。訓練有素的專業人員的短缺阻礙了國防承包商、政府和科技公司有效設計、開發和實施基於量子的解決方案的能力。這種技能差距將導致關鍵量子系統的研究、測試和部署的延遲,減緩先進量子技術在國防應用中的採用。此外,缺乏強大的人才庫可能會阻礙各國在日益重要的量子戰爭領域保持競爭力。
COVID-19的影響
COVID-19 疫情擾亂供應鏈並減緩量子戰技術的發展。封鎖和限制影響了研究和測試活動。但這場疫情也凸顯了先進防禦機制的必要性。作為疫情後復甦計畫的一部分,各國政府可能會增加對量子技術的投資。 COVID-19 對量子戰爭市場的整體影響是挑戰與機會並存的。
預計在預測期內,感測器區隔將成為最大的。
由於對先進檢測和監控系統的需求不斷增加,預計感測器區隔將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。量子感測器具有無與倫比的精度和靈敏度,使其成為軍事應用的理想選擇。這些感測器能夠偵測物理特性的微小變化,增強情境察覺和威脅偵測能力。人們對加強防禦機制的日益關注推動了量子感測器的採用。
預測期內航空業將以最高年複合成長率成長
由於機載平台擴大採用量子技術,預計空中領域將在預測期內見證最高的成長率。飛機上安裝量子通訊系統和感測器以增強其性能。提供安全通訊和先進監控的能力推動該成長。對現代化防空系統的投資進一步推動了這一領域的擴張。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這是因為中國和印度等國家大力投資國防和量子技術。該地區致力於軍事力量現代化,並加速採用量子戰爭技術。政府舉措和與研究機構的合作進一步推動了市場成長。該地區主要國防相關企業的存在也佔據了最大佔有率。
預計北美地區在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。這是因為美國主要科技公司和國防組織的存在推動量子戰爭的創新。政府對先進國防計劃的資助和支持進一步推動了市場成長。軍民合作加速最尖端科技發展。北美保持其技術優勢的努力推動該地區的快速成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Quantum Warfare Market is accounted for $1.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $4.67 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.1% during the forecast period. The term "quantum warfare" describes the application of quantum technologies-such as advances in quantum computing, cryptography, sensors, and communication systems-in military and defense activities. This includes the creation of quantum sensors for sophisticated surveillance, quantum radar for spotting stealth aircraft, and extremely secure encryption techniques. By utilizing the concepts of quantum mechanics for increased security and operational efficacy, quantum warfare seeks to improve military systems, cybersecurity, and intelligence collection capabilities, giving countries a competitive advantage in contemporary conflict.
According to IBM's latest research, the average total cost of a data breach reached USD 4.45 million in 2023, highlighting the critical need for advanced security solutions. According to recent data, the distribution of detected cyber threats worldwide in 2022 revealed ransomware as the dominant threat vector at 68.42%, followed by network breaches at 18.42% and data exfiltration at 3.95%.
Increased focus on national security
The necessity of strong defences against possible threats is being emphasized by governments. The rise in cyber warfare, espionage, and geopolitical tensions has accelerated investments in quantum warfare technologies. Advanced quantum sensors and communication systems are being developed to enhance military capabilities. National security strategies are increasingly incorporating quantum technologies to maintain a competitive edge.
High development and operational costs
The development and implementation of quantum warfare technologies require substantial financial investments. The complexity of these technologies necessitates extensive research and development efforts. High operational costs are also associated with maintaining and upgrading quantum systems. These costs can be a barrier to entry for smaller defense contractors. Governments and organizations must allocate significant budgets to support the adoption of quantum warfare technologies.
Growing importance of Space-based assets
Space-based assets, such as satellites, play a crucial role in communication, navigation, and surveillance, making them prime targets for advanced quantum encryption and defense systems. Quantum technologies offer the potential to secure satellite communications through ultra-secure quantum key distribution, preventing interception or hacking. Additionally, quantum sensors and radar systems deployed in space can enhance global surveillance, detection, and intelligence-gathering capabilities. As space becomes a more contested domain, nations are prioritizing the integration of quantum technologies to protect their space-based assets and maintain a strategic edge in defense and national security.
Limited skilled workforce
Quantum technologies require highly specialized knowledge in fields like quantum computing, cryptography, and quantum physics, which are still emerging and evolving. A shortage of trained professionals hampers the ability of defense contractors, governments, and tech firms to effectively design, develop, and implement quantum-based solutions. This skills gap can lead to delays in research, testing, and deployment of critical quantum systems, slowing the adoption of advanced quantum technologies in defense applications. Additionally, the lack of a robust talent pool could prevent nations from staying competitive in the increasingly important field of quantum warfare.
Covid-19 Impact
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted supply chains and delayed the development of quantum warfare technologies. Lockdowns and restrictions have affected research and testing activities. However, the pandemic has also highlighted the need for advanced defense mechanisms. Governments are likely to increase investments in quantum technologies as part of their post-pandemic recovery plans. The overall impact of Covid-19 on the quantum warfare market is a mix of challenges and opportunities.
The sensor segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sensor segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to the increasing demand for advanced detection and monitoring systems. Quantum sensors offer unparalleled precision and sensitivity, making them ideal for military applications. These sensors can detect minute changes in physical properties, enhancing situational awareness and threat detection capabilities. The growing focus on enhancing defense mechanisms is driving the adoption of quantum sensors.
The airborne segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the airborne segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the rising adoption of quantum technologies in aerial platforms. Quantum communication systems and sensors are being integrated into aircraft to enhance their capabilities. The ability to conduct secures communications and advanced surveillance is driving this growth. Investments in modernizing aerial defense systems are further supporting the segment's expansion.
During the forecast period, Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to significant investments in defense and quantum technologies by countries like China and India. The region's focus on modernizing its military capabilities is driving the adoption of quantum warfare technologies. Government initiatives and collaborations with research institutions are further supporting market growth. The presence of major defense contractors in the region also contributes to the largest share.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to the presence of leading tech companies and defense organizations in the United States is driving innovation in quantum warfare. Government funding and support for advanced defense projects are further boosting market growth. Collaborations between the military and private sector are accelerating the development of cutting-edge technologies. North America's commitment to maintaining technological superiority is fueling the region's rapid growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Quantum Warfare Market include IBM, Microsoft, Google, Intel, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Alibaba Group, CRON Systems, Zyvex Labs, QuTech, SAAB AB, Terra Quantum, AT&T, and Airbus.
In February 2025, Lockheed Martin announced the delivery of the first F-16 Block 70 jet to Bulgaria, marking a major step forward in the country's efforts to modernize its air force. F-16s are built by the Lockheed Martin team in Greenville. Bulgaria has ordered 16 total aircraft.
In January 2025, Telefonica Tech and IBM announced a collaboration agreement to develop and deliver security solutions that address security challenges posed by future cryptographically relevant quantum computers.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.