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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1700094
2032 年汽車排放控制市場預測:按技術、車輛類型、燃料類型、銷售管道和地區進行的全球分析Automotive Emission Control Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Technology, Vehicle Type, Fuel Type, Sales Channel and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球汽車排放控制市場預計在 2025 年達到 536 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 755 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 5%。
為減少汽車引擎排放的危險排放氣體採取的方法和策略稱為汽車排放控制。它由選擇性觸媒還原(SCR)系統、柴油顆粒過濾器(DPF)、廢氣再循環(EGR)、觸媒轉換器等組成。透過減少一氧化碳(CO)、氮氧化物(NOx)、碳氫化合物(HC)和顆粒物(PM)的排放,這些系統有助於改善空氣品質和環境合規性。
根據標普全球移動出行預測,2025年全球汽車銷售量將達8,960萬輛。
環保意識不斷增強
日益增強的環保意識正在推動排放控制系統的需求。世界各國政府正在推出更嚴格的法規,如歐7和國6,以減少排放氣體。這項監管舉措,加上消費者對環保汽車的偏好,正在刺激對先進排放氣體技術的投資。此外,公共宣傳活動和教育活動強調了永續交通的重要性,並鼓勵製造商創新和遵守環境標準。
向電動車(EV)的過渡
向電動車的轉變對汽車排放控制市場構成了重大限制。由於電動車不依賴內燃機,因此不需要傳統的排放氣體控制系統。這種轉變將減少對觸媒轉換器和柴油微粒過濾器等零件的需求。此外,電動車市場的成長,尤其是在已開發地區,正在挑戰製造商向混合動力和替代燃料的排放氣體控制系統多元化發展,以保持相關性。
混合動力汽車排放控制的發展
小型觸媒轉換器和溫度控管技術等創新技術正變得越來越普遍,以最佳化混合動力汽車的效率。此外,豐田和本田等汽車製造商正在投資混合動力專用解決方案,以滿足排放控制要求,同時延長電動續航里程。政府為混合動力汽車的採用提供補貼進一步擴大了這種需求。開發混合動力自適應系統的公司可以開拓這個市場並彌合傳統市場和純電動市場之間的差距。
原物料價格波動
鉑、鈀、銠等貴金屬是觸媒轉換器不可或缺的材料,其價格波動威脅市場穩定。供應鏈中斷、地緣政治緊張局勢和採礦瓶頸將加劇成本波動並擠壓製造商的利潤率。 2018年至2022年間,鈀金價格飆漲超過200%,對生產預算造成壓力。此外,汽車製造商可能會尋求替代方案,例如節儉(減少金屬含量)或採用合成催化劑,但這可能會降低性能。這種不確定性使長期規劃和定價策略變得複雜,尤其是對於較小的供應商。
COVID-19 疫情擾亂了汽車排放控制領域的供應鏈和製造業務。停工導致生產停止,經濟衰退減緩了對新技術的投資。但隨著政府和消費者越來越重視環境健康,疫情也加速了向永續、環保解決方案的轉變。
觸媒轉換器市場預計將成為預測期內最大的市場
觸媒轉換器部分預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為它在減少內燃機排放的有害廢氣方面發揮著至關重要的作用。這些設備對於滿足全球嚴格的排放標準至關重要。此外,觸媒轉換器技術的進步(例如減少鉑族金屬的使用)正在提高其效率和吸引力。因此,在可預見的未來,觸媒轉換器可能仍將是排放控制系統的關鍵組成部分。
預計在預測期內,售後市場銷售部門將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
由於嚴格的定期排放氣體測試和車輛老化,預計售後市場銷售部門將在預測期內見證最高的成長率。觸媒轉換器和微粒過濾器會隨著時間的劣化而老化,必須更換才能符合規定。此外,亞太和拉丁美洲等開發中地區的汽車持有不斷成長也推動了需求。獨立服務中心和線上零件銷售的興起進一步提高了可近性。全球道路上行駛的內燃機汽車超過 14 億輛,即使電動車的普及率不斷提高,售後市場仍將保持彈性,從而確保供應商獲得永續的收益來源。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這是由於中國、印度和日本的汽車產量高,以及排放控制嚴格。中國的國六法規和印度的巴拉特第六階段法規都要求採用先進的觸媒轉換器和 SCR 系統。此外,快速的都市化和不斷壯大的中產階級正在推動汽車銷售。該地區強大的製造業基礎以及現代和塔塔汽車等主要供應商的存在進一步鞏固了其地位。政府在德里和北京等大城市推行的改善空氣品質的舉措也刺激了人們的採用。
受汽車持有增加、經濟成長和排放控制加強的推動,預計亞太地區將在預測期內出現最高的複合年成長率。泰國、印尼等東南亞國家已實施歐4/5同等標準,推動了對後處理系統的需求。此外,汽車售後市場的擴張和農村地區環保意識的增強也推動了這一成長。全球OEM和本地製造商之間的合資企業正在促進技術轉讓,而對混合動力汽車的投資正在創造雙重需求。這些因素使亞太地區成為未來預期成長的中心。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Emission Control Market is accounted for $53.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $75.5 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period. The methods and tactics employed to lessen the dangerous emissions that automobile engines emit are referred to as automotive emission control. It consists of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) systems, diesel particulate filters (DPF), exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), and catalytic converters. By reducing emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), hydrocarbons (HC), and particulate matter (PM), these systems contribute to better air quality and environmental compliance.
According to S&P Global Mobility, global auto sales are forecasted to reach 89.6 million units in 2025.
Increasing environmental awareness
Growing environmental awareness is driving demand for emission control systems. Governments worldwide are implementing stricter regulations, such as Euro 7 and China VI, to reduce emissions. This regulatory push, combined with consumer preference for eco-friendly vehicles, fuels investment in advanced emission technologies. Furthermore, public campaigns and educational initiatives highlight the importance of sustainable transportation, encouraging manufacturers to innovate and comply with environmental standards.
Transition to electric vehicles (EVs)
The transition to electric vehicles poses a significant restraint on the automotive emission control market. EVs eliminate the need for traditional emission control systems, as they do not rely on internal combustion engines. This shift reduces demand for components like catalytic converters and diesel particulate filters. Moreover, the growth of the EV market, particularly in developed regions, challenges manufacturers to diversify into hybrid and alternative fuel-based emission control systems to maintain relevance.
Development of hybrid vehicle emission control
Innovations such as compact catalytic converters and thermal management technologies are gaining traction to optimize hybrid efficiency. Moreover, automakers like Toyota and Honda are investing in hybrid-specific solutions to meet emission norms while extending electric range. Governments offering subsidies for hybrid adoption further amplify this demand. Companies developing adaptive systems for hybrids can tap into this niche, bridging the gap between conventional and fully electric markets.
Changes in raw material prices
Fluctuating prices of precious metals like platinum, palladium, and rhodium critical for catalytic converters threaten market stability. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and mining bottlenecks exacerbate cost volatility, squeezing profit margins for manufacturers. Palladium prices surged by over 200% between 2018 and 2022, straining production budgets. Additionally, automakers may seek alternatives, such as thrifting (reducing metal content) or adopting synthetic catalysts, risking performance compromises. This uncertainty complicates long-term planning and pricing strategies, particularly for smaller suppliers.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains and manufacturing operations in the automotive emission control sector. Lockdowns halted production, while economic downturns delayed investments in new technologies. However, the pandemic also accelerated the shift towards sustainable and eco-friendly solutions, as governments and consumers increasingly prioritize environmental health.
The catalytic converters segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The catalytic converters segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, driven by their crucial role in reducing harmful emissions from internal combustion engines. These devices are essential for meeting stringent emission standards worldwide. Furthermore, advancements in catalytic converter technology, such as reducing platinum group metals usage, enhance their efficiency and appeal. As a result, catalytic converters will continue to be a vital component in emission control systems.
The aftermarket sales segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the aftermarket sales segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by stringent periodic emission testing and aging vehicle fleets. As catalytic converters and particulate filters degrade over time, replacements become necessary to comply with regulations. Additionally, rising vehicle ownership in developing regions like Asia-Pacific and Latin America fuels demand. The proliferation of independent service centers and online part sales further boosts accessibility. With over 1.4 billion ICE vehicles globally, the aftermarket remains resilient even as EV adoption grows, ensuring sustained revenue streams for suppliers.
During the forecast period, the Asia pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by high vehicle production in China, India, and Japan, coupled with stringent emission standards. China's China 6 norms and India's Bharat Stage VI regulations necessitate advanced catalytic converters and SCR systems. Additionally, rapid urbanization and expanding middle-class populations increase automotive sales. The region's robust manufacturing base and presence of key suppliers like Hyundai and Tata Motors further solidify its dominance. Government initiatives promoting cleaner air in megacities like Delhi and Beijing also accelerate adoption.
Over the forecast period, the Asia pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, fueled by rising vehicle ownership, economic growth, and tightening emission laws. Southeast Asian nations like Thailand and Indonesia are implementing Euro 4/5-equivalent standards, boosting demand for after-treatment systems. Moreover, expanding automotive aftermarkets and increasing environmental awareness in rural areas drive growth. Collaborative ventures between global OEMs and local manufacturers enhance technology transfer, while investments in hybrid vehicles create dual demand. These factors position Asia-Pacific as the epicenter of future growth potential.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Automotive Emission Control Market include Johnson Matthey, SGL Carbon, ElringKlinger, Hella, Mahle GmbH, Faurecia, Tenneco, BASF, Corning Incorporated, Umicore, NGK Insulators, Denso Corporation, Continental AG, BorgWarner, Eberspacher, Delphi Technologies, Cummins Inc. and Robert Bosch GmbH.
In December 2021, Tenneco is putting its 100-plus years of powertrain expertise in improving vehicle fuel efficiency and reducing emissions to work to explore synthetic fuels (e-fuels), a viable near-term solution to further maximize the efficiency and minimize the carbon footprint of internal combustion engines (ICE). Tenneco's Powertrain business group is partnering with key academic and industry experts to examine the technical possibilities and commercial feasibility of synthetic fuels as a key technology to help the industry transition to climate-neutral transportation. This collaborative effort is referred to as the NAMOSYN project.
In July 2021, BASF to carve out mobile emissions catalysts business and invest up to €4.5 billion in battery materials and recycling. As the largest chemicals supplier to the automotive industry, BASF will further strengthen its focus on battery materials and recycling and will establish a separate mobile emissions catalysts, automotive catalysts recycling and associated precious metal services entity. The new entity will be named BASF Automotive Catalysts and Recycling.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.