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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1671371
全球LED照明市場:趨勢 - 資料庫和參與者策略(2025年)2025 Global LED Lighting Market Trend- Database and Player Strategies |
全球LED照明市場在通用照明市場呈現負成長,歐洲、美國、中國等重點地區需求低迷,拖累業績表現,導致主要企業整體獲利減少。相較之下,LED智慧照明和小眾LED園藝照明領域呈現逆勢成長。展望2025年,LED通用照明市場預計將復甦,主要受現有裝置改造的LED替換需求,以及對高品質LED、健康舒適的智慧照明產品的需求不斷成長的推動。同時,在垂直照明復甦的推動下,LED園藝照明預計將進入下一階段的成長。
2024年的市場規模(以美元計)大幅縮水。背後主要因素包括美國聯準會持續的高利率政策、中國嚴重的通貨緊縮、歐洲經濟持續停滯和地緣政治動盪、日本受到日圓疲軟的影響等。美國、歐洲和中國三大核心市場長期以來一直是照明需求的主要來源,但在2024年都面臨挑戰,拖累整體需求。這使得LED照明的市場價值受到壓抑。不過,隨著LED滲透率加速,市場需求略有改善,2024年第四季整體跌幅有所緩解。 LED照明市場規模衰退4.2%至560.58億美元。
邁入2025年,預計全球經濟將緩慢改善。與LED照明行業密切相關的建築業預計將出現逐步復甦的跡象。新建、改造計畫以及市政服務和體育領域逐步復甦等公共基礎設施計畫預計將推動 LED 照明產業的發展。預計現有市場對LED改造的替換需求將會增加,對高品質、健康、舒適和智慧照明產品的需求也會增加。儘管如此,隨著全球供應鏈從中國轉移以及全球製造產能不斷擴大,競爭可能會加劇。此外,預計2025年將有更多地區將LED照明納入其保障性關稅制度,這可能會抑制市場需求,尤其是在美國關稅政策變得更加嚴厲的情況下。整體來看,全球LED照明市場規模預計在2025年達到566.26億美元的正值。
從2026年後的中長期來看,住宅和非住宅建築市場(包括醫療保健、先進製造業和基礎設施等領域)預計將推動LED照明產業的顯著成長。這項成長將受到脫碳等永續發展措施、消費者對健康舒適照明環境的需求不斷成長以及LED產品升級為智慧控制系統的推動。然而,建議謹慎行事,因為世界各地保護性關稅的提高可能會抑制需求。因此,預計到2029年市場規模將達到 639.03億美元,2024年至2029年的年複合成長率為 2.7%。
本報告研究了全球LED照明市場,提供了市場的概述,以及市場參與者的收入排名和產品策略的摘要,以及未來的預測。
According to the latest TrendForce report "2025 Global LED Lighting Market Trend- Database and Player Strategies", in 2024, the LED general lighting market experienced negative growth as sluggish demand in key regions across Europe, the United States, and China weighed on performance, leading to overall revenue declines among leading lighting companies. In contrast, the LED smart lighting and niche LED horticultural lighting segments showed countertrend growth. Toward 2025, the LED general lighting market is expected to rebound, driven primarily by the demand for LED replacements during renovation of existing installations and by the increasing demand for high-quality LEDs as well as healthy, comfortable, and smart lighting products. Meanwhile, LED horticultural lighting is poised to enter its next growth phase, fueled by a resurgence in vertical.
According to TrendForce analysis, in 2024 the market size measured in USD contracted significantly. This was primarily due to several factors: the US Federal Reserve's continued high interest rate policy, severe deflation in China, persistent weakness in Europe amid economic and geopolitical turmoil, and the impact of yen depreciation in Japan. The three core markets-the US, Europe, and China-have long been the main sources of lighting demand, but all faced challenges in 2024 that dragged down overall LED lighting market value. However, as market demand improved somewhat in 4Q24 with accelerating LED penetration, the overall decline was slightly mitigated. The LED lighting market value fell by 4.2% to USD 56.058 billion.
Entering 2025, the global economy is expected to improve moderately. The construction sector-closely linked to the LED lighting industry-is projected to show signs of a gentle recovery. New installations, renovation projects, and public infrastructure initiatives, including those in the slowly recovering municipal affairs and sports segments, are anticipated to boost the LED lighting industry. The demand for LED replacements in existing markets requiring renovations, as well as that for high-quality, healthy, comfortable, and smart lighting products, are expected to rise. That being said, as the global supply chain shifts away from China and global production capacity continues to expand, competition is likely to intensify. In addition, more regions are expected to include LED lighting within their protective tariff schemes in 2025-particularly with intensified US tariff policies-which could suppress market demand. Overall, TrendForce estimates the global LED lighting market size to positively return to USD 56.626 billion in 2025.
From the product perspective, TrendForce maintains that increased investments in infrastructure, municipal affairs, sports, and entertainment projects, along with a rising number of electric vehicle charging stations, will create opportunities to reconfigure the outdoor lighting sector. Therefore, outdoor lighting products-including LED street lights, LED floodlights, and LED parking lot lights-are forecast to witness an upward growth trend.
In the mid-to-long term, beyond 2026, the residential and non-residential construction markets-including segments such as healthcare, advanced manufacturing, and infrastructure-are expected to drive significant growth in the LED lighting industry. This growth will be fueled by sustainable development initiatives like decarbonization, increasing consumer demand for healthy and comfortable lighting environments, and the upgrade of LED products to smart control systems. However, caution is advised as emerging protective tariffs worldwide could suppress demand. Consequently, TrendForce remains cautiously optimistic about the future, forecasting the market size to reach USD 63.903 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 2.7% from 2024 to 2029.
In 2024, driven by the demand for energy savings, LED lighting products have increasingly incorporated dimming, color tuning, and smart control systems. According to the latest data from TrendForce, the global smart lighting market size grew by 17.6% in 2024.
Broken down by application, the growth was primarily driven by lower costs of smart lighting products and steadily increasing energy-saving demand in the professional lighting market (including commercial, outdoor, and industrial segments) which spurred growth in IoT lighting, particularly in the outdoor and industrial sectors. In 2025, improved consumer demand is expected to stimulate a rebound in smart household lighting, covering products such as bulbs, filament lamps, and ceiling lights. Additionally, spotlights, downlights, and LED strips are gradually penetrating the smart household lighting market, experiencing rapid growth.
According to the latest data from TrendForce, the global LED horticultural lighting market size reached USD 1.315 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6%. TrendForce's analysis indicates that this recovery is not simply due to downstream restocking; rather, it represents a genuine and sustainable resurgence in demand.
Forecasting for 2025, a new round of cannabis lighting replacements is expected. During the peak period of cannabis applications in 2020-2021, the lighting solutions used featured lower lifespans, luminous efficacy, and light intensity. The anticipated transition to products with higher photosynthetic photon flux (PPF) and photosynthetic photon efficacy (PPE), as well as dimmable multi-channel models, is expected to stimulate further demand. Additionally, ongoing LED penetration to replace traditional high-energy-consuming products, combined with renewed heavy investments in vertical farming across Asia, the Middle East, North America, and Europe-where crop varieties are diversifying towards higher-value produce and research institutions are intensifying their involvement-will inevitably drive rapid growth in the LED horticultural lighting market.
According to TrendForce, the global lighting market demand remained weak in 2024, especially due to sluggish new installations. Aside from a few companies that have managed to grow revenue through unique operating strategies, most firms experienced varying degrees of decline due to weak revenue. European and the US brands, in particular, suffered from project suspensions or delays, which further deepened their revenue falls; meanwhile, Chinese OEMs faced fierce competition as both shipments and prices dropped. The top 20 lighting companies achieved a combined revenue of USD 24.134 billion in 2024-a 4.7% year-on-year decline that continues a downward trend. Nevertheless, the ranking of the top five remained unchanged, namely Signify, Acuity Brands, Panasonic, LEDVANCE/MLS Lighting, and Zumtobel, reflecting a stable industry structure.
TrendForce further analyzes that the lighting market is mature, highly fragmented, and extremely competitive, making economies of scale particularly important. Additionally, niche lighting segments with relatively high barriers-such as horticultural lighting, marine lighting, and healthcare lighting-are emerging as key areas for future competition and market penetration. For example, the North American leader Acuity Brands is actively entering the gas station lighting market, which it had not previously explored, in an effort to capture additional market share. This indicates that resources will increasingly concentrate on larger companies, leading to a "big gets bigger" trend. Furthermore, digital transformation continues to be a focus for companies, and the integration of LED lighting with smart control systems is expected to be widely adopted, thus unlocking new opportunities for second-round replacement demand growth.