市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1615879
全球自動駕駛列車市場規模:依列車類型、技術、自動化、地區、範圍和預測Global Autonomous Trains Market Size By Train Type (High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train, Light Rail), By Technology (Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC)), By Automation (GOA 1, GOA 2, GOA 3), By Geographic Scope And Forecast |
2021年自動駕駛列車市場規模為61億美元,預計2023年至2030年複合年增長率為5.7%,到2030年達到99.7億美元。透過整合先進的安全功能和自動駕駛,自動駕駛列車有可能徹底改變軌道運輸產業。人工智慧、雷射雷達、先進通訊系統等解決方案的運用將為軌道運輸提供更安全、更快捷、更有效率、更綠色的未來。自動駕駛列車可以透過減少對化石燃料的依賴並使用再生能源來創造更綠色的未來。
實現即時監控、方向追蹤和高效通訊的能力可能會促進自動駕駛列車的發展。
政府機構和製造商對減少碳排放的興趣日益濃厚,也推動了自動駕駛列車的採用。
塑造全球自動駕駛列車市場的關鍵市場動態
關鍵推動因素
對高效率、安全運輸的需求日益增長:
人口成長和快速城市化增加了對高效交通系統的需求。此外,當今的工作文化要求採用更快、更安全的解決方案。在此背景下,自動駕駛列車在城市之間行駛的需求持續存在。
自動化和通訊系統的進步:
將自動防撞系統、人工智慧和其他控制演算法整合到列車系統中,正在為未來幾年的自動駕駛鋪平道路。此外,利用 5G 網路在鐵路部門之間實現更快、更可靠的資料交換將有助於決策。這些先進技術為市場提供了新的成長途徑。
政府投資與政策措施:
國家經濟對運輸部門的日益依賴正促使世界各國政府在未來幾年探索自動駕駛列車的潛力。因此,對自動列車技術的研發、基礎設施和試點計畫的投資將為該市場的商業化鋪平道路。此外,針對資料隱私、安全和其他認證要求的有利監管和政策實施為自動駕駛列車市場提供了新的成長前景。
環境議題和實現永續發展目標的需求:
採用更綠色、更清潔的運輸系統正在推動全球對自動駕駛列車的需求,以減少碳排放並透過最大限度地減少對化石燃料的依賴來實現永續發展。
個人化旅遊體驗需求:
對個人化旅行體驗的需求不斷增長,例如按需服務、自動登機系統和車載通訊系統,可能會為自動駕駛列車市場提供利潤豐厚的機會。線上旅行預訂和智慧行動的日益普及也將推動需求,這些技術提供了便捷且用戶友好的體驗。
主要挑戰
高初始投資:
對研發和技術改進前期投資的需求不斷增加,這對預算有限的發展中國家來說是一個不利因素。
認證和監管問題:
自動列車系統的開發需要國際標準以及營運和安全認證,這可能會阻礙自動列車在發展中地區的採用。
社會接受度與安全問題:
對安全、高速和工作流動性的日益擔憂是限制自動駕駛列車接受度的主要因素。互聯自動列車系統中有關資料隱私和安全的道德問題需要強大的安全性。因此,安全問題阻礙了自動駕駛列車的社會接受度。
技術限制:
感測器在惡劣環境條件下無法運作、網路安全威脅以及網路之間無縫通訊的複雜性等挑戰可能會對市場成長產生負面影響。
基礎設施和遺留系統之間的相容性問題:
將傳統號誌系統與現代自動化系統整合的複雜性以及升級成本阻礙了自動駕駛列車的採用。除此之外,全球基礎設施開發缺乏標準化進一步阻礙了市場成長。
主要趨勢:
聚焦零碳排放:
開發可持續且環保的解決方案的趨勢日益明顯,例如使用自動駕駛火車來減少化石燃料的使用和能源浪費,這有望推動自動駕駛火車的採用。
技術進步與創新:
整合感測器、人工智慧、通訊系統和控制演算法等創新技術來提高自動駕駛列車的可靠性、性能和其他能力將促使市場擴張。
數位化趨勢:
快速的數位化正在增加自動駕駛系統的採用,刺激了對網路安全和資料保護措施的需求。因此,開發透明資料治理框架和解決道德問題的需求將推動市場成長。
Autonomous Trains Market size was valued at USD 6.1 Billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 9.97 Billion by 2030 , growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2023 to 2030. Autonomous trains can revolutionize the railway transportation sector with the integration of advanced safety features and automated operations. The use of artificial intelligence, LiDAR, advanced communication systems, and other solutions offer a safer, speedy, more efficient, and environmentally friendly future for rail travel. Autonomous trains help reduce dependency on fossil fuels and instead use renewable energy sources, thereby leading to a greener future.
The ability of real-time monitoring, tracking direction, and enabling efficient communication are abilities likely to enable the development of autonomous trains.
Also, the growing focus of government bodies and manufacturers on reducing carbon footprint is encouraging the adoption of autonomous trains.
The key market dynamics that are shaping the global Autonomous Trains Market include:
Key Drivers:
Rising Need for Efficient and Safe Transportation:
The growing population clubbed with rapid urbanization is increasing the demand for efficient transportation systems. Also, the current work culture is insisting on the adoption of faster and safer solutions. This continuous need for autonomous trains for mobility between urban and intercity.
Advancements in Automation and Communication Systems:
The integration of autonomous collision avoidance systems, artificial intelligence, and other control algorithms in the train systems is paving way for the autonomous operations in the coming years. Also, the use of 5G network for faster and reliable data exchange between railway authorities will help in the decision-making. These advanced technologies offer a new avenue of growth for the market.
Government Investments and Policy Initiatives:
The increasing dependency of national economy on the transportation sector is encouraging the government worldwide to explore the potentials of autonomous trains in the upcoming years. Thus, the investments in the research and development, infrastructure, and pilot projects of autonomous train technology will create a commercialized environment for this market. Also, the implementation of favorable regulations and policies addressing data privacy, safety, and other certification requirements offer new growth prospects for the Autonomous Trains Market.
Need to Address Environmental Concerns and Sustainability Goals:
The adoption of greener and cleaner transportation systems to attain sustainability by lowering carbon footprint and negligible dependence on fossil fuels align with the global demand for autonomous trains.
Demand for Personalized Travel Experience:
Increasing demand for personalized travel experience included on-demand services, automated boarding systems, and onboard communication systems are likely to create lucrative opportunities for the autonomous train market. Also, the growing popularity of online travel booking and smart mobility for convenient and user-friendly experience will drive the demand.
Key Challenges:
High Initial investments:
Growing demand for upfront investments in the research and development and upgrading technologies are proving unfavorable for developing countries with limited budgets.
Certification and Regulatory Issues:
The demand for international standards for development of autonomous train systems along with operational and safety certifications are likely to hinder the adoption of autonomous trains in developing regions.
Public Acceptance and Safety Concerns:
Growing concerns related to safety, high-speed, and job displacement are major factors limiting the acceptance of autonomous trains. The ethical issues concerning data privacy and security in interconnected autonomous train systems demand for robust safety. Thus, the safety concerns are hindering the public acceptance of autonomous trains.
Technological Limitations:
The challenges such as sensors inability to work in harsh environmental conditions, cybersecurity threats, and complexity associated with seamless communication between networks are factors likely to have a negative impact on the growth of the market.
Compatibility Problems between Infrastructure and Legacy Systems:
The complexity associated with the integration between conventional signaling and latest automated systems along with the costing when upgrading are restraining the adoption of autonomous trains. In addition to the this, lack of standardization in infrastructure development across globe will further hinder the growth of the market.
Key Trends:
Focus on Zero Carbon Emission:
The growing trend of developing sustainable and greener solutions such as use of autonomous trains to reduce use of fossil fuels and energy wastage is anticipated to bolster the adoption of autonomous trains.
Technological Advancements and Innovation:
The integration of innovative technologies such as sensors, AI, communication systems, and control algorithms for improving the reliability, performance, and other capabilities of autonomous trains will lead to expansion of the market.
Growing Trend of Digitalization:
Rapid digitalization is increasing the adoption of autonomous systems which is spurring the demand for cybersecurity and data protection measures. Thus, the need for developing transparent data governance frameworks and addressing ethical considerations will fuel the growth of the market.
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Here is a more detailed regional analysis of the global Autonomous Trains Market:
Asia Pacific:
Promising work culture in the region is driving the demand for public transportation such as autonomous trains for easy and safe commutation. Thereby, creating lucrative opportunities for such trains in the region.
Also, the increasing government investment in the transportation sector supporting the ongoing and upcoming railway projects in the region will fuel the growth of the market.
In May 2023, Mumbai got a safety approval for its first underground metro line in December. The plan is to start driverless operations after the commissioning of Phase 1 (Bandra Kurla Complex to Aarey). Such developments are projected to accelerate the adoption of autonomous trains in the region in the coming years.
The popularity and increased application of metros in the developing countries like India create immense prospects of growth for the autonomous trains in Asia Pacific. All these promising factors are expected to enable the region experience significant growth in the market.
North America:
As per the analysts, North America is expected to dominate the global Autonomous Trains Market from 2023 to 2030. The integration of advanced technologies including artificial intelligence, security systems, and autonomous systems in the railway sector in the region is likely to offer immense opportunities for expansion of Autonomous Trains Market.
For instance, in June 2023, Hitachi Rail completed and started the passenger service for the first phase of Honolulu's 'Skyline'. It is the first fully autonomous metro system in the United States.
Moreover, rising demand for freight transportation to improve its trading or supply activities is encouraging the government and private authorities in the region to invest in the railway transportation. Thereby, offering sustainable growth during the forecast period.
The Global Autonomous Trains Market is segmented on the basis of Type, Technology, Automation, and Geography.
Based on Type, the market is bifurcated into High-Speed Rail/Bullet Train, Light Rail, and Metro/Monorail. The market share that belonged to Metro/Monorail was the greatest. The advantages offered by the segment, including affordability, dependability, safety, and efficiency in Metro/Monorail operation, are among the reasons for the category's larger market share. Additionally, these serve as the ideal substitute for short-distance, high-capacity transit in urban settings.
Based on Technology, the market is bifurcated into Automatic Train Control (ATC), Communication-Based Train Control (CBTC), European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS), and Positive Train Control (PTC). Due to its various advantages over competing technologies, such as simpler maintenance, simpler implementation, cost-effectiveness, and advanced features, CBTC currently retains the biggest share. Contrarily, ERTMS is anticipated to expand at the greatest CAGR because of its dependability, increased capacity, and security features.
Based on Automation, the market is bifurcated into GOA 1, GOA 2, GOA 3, and GOA 4. The GOA 4 segment is anticipated to experience the highest CAGR growth. The advantages of GOA 4 technology, such as reduced wear and tear, low power consumption, and better capacity, among others, can be acknowledged for the strong growth.
Our market analysis also entails a section solely dedicated to such major players wherein our analysts provide an insight into the financial statements of all the major players, along with product benchmarking and SWOT analysis. The competitive landscape section also includes key development strategies, market share, and market ranking analysis of the above-mentioned players globally.