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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1446823
全球鋰離子電池市場 - 2024-2031Global Lithium-Ion Battery Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
2023年,全球鋰離子電池市場規模達435億美元,預計2031年將達到1,244億美元,2024-2031年預測期間CAGR為13.5%。
隨著新的進步和趨勢的出現,鋰離子電池市場正在呈現顯著成長,從採礦到回收的整個鏈條預計也將經歷強勁成長。鋰離子電池市場的成長可歸因於這些電池在電動車中的使用增加。
例如,根據國際能源協會的報告,汽車鋰離子電池的需求量從上一年的2021年的330 GWh成長了約65%,達到550 GWh。這一成長主要歸因於銷量的成長電動乘用車的數量,與2021 年相比,2022 年新註冊量顯著增加55%。
到2022年,亞太地區預計將成為成長最快的地區,佔據全球鋰離子電池市場的1/3以上。中國、日本、印度等國家正在取得重大進展,在鋰離子電池替代品開發競賽中佔據主導地位。中國政府一直積極推動電動車的開發和採用,進一步推動了該國電池產業的成長。
動力學
電動車對鋰離子電池的需求不斷成長
隨著電動車需求的不斷成長,鋰離子電池的使用量也大幅增加。根據國際能源總署的數據,預計到 2031 年,全球電動車用鋰離子電池的需求量將達到每年約 2-4 TWh,相當於約 1-200 萬噸鋰和 300-500 噸鋰。千噸鈷。
此外,根據IEA 的數據,與2021 年相比,中國汽車電池需求增加了約65%,而電動車銷量成長了約78%。此外,在美國,汽車電池需求增加了約80%,超過了美國。到2022年,電動車銷量將成長55%左右,這是全球鋰離子電池消費量增加的一個主要因素。
政府激勵措施和法規
政府法規和行為在推動電動車和電池製造業發展方面發揮關鍵作用。其中一項重要法規是 2022 年底通過的《減少通貨膨脹法案》,該法案承諾為氣候和清潔能源計畫提供大量資金,特別關注電動車和電池製造。該立法預計將透過提高產能並鼓勵汽車製造商在美國及其自由貿易夥伴國內採購電池材料和生產電池來對該行業產生深遠影響。
此外,愛爾蘭共和軍也宣布投資約800億美元對電池供應鏈進行新投資,其中總計至少約3,700億美元分配給該國的清潔能源經濟。這是迄今為止加強美國電池供應鏈的最大努力
鋰離子電池運輸的風險
由於運輸相關問題,鋰離子電池進出口成長受到阻礙。鋰離子電池的運輸有電池故障和熱失控等潛在風險。當鋰離子電池發生故障時,它會迅速產生大量熱量,產生有毒和易燃氣體並造成爆炸情況。
此外,這些故障的速度和嚴重性往往被低估,導致海事界和物流供應鏈缺乏認知和準備。全球有數十億個鋰離子電池正在流通,此類火災的影響可能很大,特別是在運輸和港口,這進一步影響了鋰離子電池市場的成長。
Overview
Global Lithium-Ion Battery Market reached US$ 43.5 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 124.4 billion by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 13.5% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The lithium-ion battery market is showing significant growth with new advancements and trends, also chain encompassing activities from mining to recycling is projected to experience robust growth. The growth of the lithium-ion battery market can be attributed to the increased use of these batteries in electric vehicles.
For instance, according to the report given by International Energy Association, the demand for automotive lithium-ion batteries surged by approximately 65% to reach 550 GWh compared to 330 GWh in the previous year 2021. The growth can be attributed primarily to the rising sales of electric passenger cars, with new registrations experiencing a notable 55% increase in 2022 compared to 2021.
In 2022, Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest growing region holding more than 1/3rd of the global lithium-ion battery market. Countries such as China, Japan, India are taking significant strides to dominate the race for developing alternatives to lithium-ion batteries. Chinese government has been actively promoting the development and adoption of electric vehicles, which has further fueled the growth of the battery industry in the country.
Dynamics
Growing Demand for Li-ion Batteries in Electric Vehicle
The growing demand for electric vehicles has been accompanied by a significant rise in the adoption of Lithium-ion batteries. As per the International Energy Agency, the anticipated globally demand for Li-ion batteries for electric vehicles is projected to reach approximately 2-4 TWh per year by 2031, corresponding to a demand of around 1-2 million tons of lithium and 300-500 kilotons of cobalt.
Moreover, according to IEA, in China, the demand for batteries in vehicles grew by around 65%, while electric car sales increased by around 78% compared to 2021. Also, in U.S. The battery demand in vehicles grew by around 80% outpacing the growth in electric car sales which was around 55% in 2022, which is a major factor for increased consumption of lithium-ion batteries all around the globe.
Government Incentives and Regulations
Government regulations and acts are playing a pivotal role in boosting the electric vehicle and battery manufacturing industries. One such significant regulation is the Inflation Reduction Act passed in late 2022, which promises substantial funding for climate and cleans energy initiatives, with a particular focus on EV and battery manufacturing. The legislation is expected to have a profound impact on the industry by increasing production capacity and encouraging automakers to procure battery materials and produce batteries within U.S. and its free-trade partners.
Furthermore, the IRA has announced to invest approximately US$ 80 billion in new investments into the battery supply chain with a total of at least around US$ 370 billion allocated to the country's clean energy economy. It represents the largest effort to date to strengthen the battery supply chain in U.S.
Risks in the Transport of Lithium-Ion Batteries
The Lithium-ion batteries export and import growth is hindered due to its transportation related problems. The transport of lithium-ion batteries presents potential risks including battery failure and thermal runaway. When a lithium-ion battery fails it can rapidly generate intense heat, produce toxic and flammable gases and create explosive situations.
Also, the speed and severity of these failures are often underestimated, leading to a lack of awareness and preparedness within the maritime community and logistics supply chain. With billions of lithium-ion batteries in circulation globally, the impact of such fires can be significant, particularly in transportation and ports, which furthermore impacting the lithium-ion batteries market growth.
The global lithium-ion battery market is segmented based on type, material, capacity, voltage, end-user and region.
Rising EVs Adoption Drives Automotive Segment
Automotive is expected to be the dominant segment with more than 30% of the market during the forecast period 2024-2031. The electric vehicle manufacturers have become the biggest consumers of lithium-ion batteries, owing to the growing sales of EVs. EVs do not emit CO2, NOX and have a lower environmental impact compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles.
Owing to this, many countries are encouraging the use of EVs by introducing subsidies and government programs. Major countries have announced plans to ban the sales of ICE vehicles in the future. Norway announced plans to ban the sales of ICE vehicles by 2025, France by 2040 and UK by 2050. India also planned to phase out ICE engines by 2031, while China's similar plan is currently under the relevant research phase.
Growing Electrification in Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific is the dominant region in the global lithium-ion battery market covering over 1/3rd of the market. As per IEA, in 2022, there was a significant increase of over 70% in the demand for batteries used in vehicles in China. During the same period, electric car sales experienced remarkable growth, rising by 80% compared to the previous year. Also, As per Invest India, the Indian government has established an ambitious goal of electrifying 30% of the nation's vehicle fleet by 2031.
To facilitate the growth of the electric vehicle industry, the government has implemented various incentives and policies. India has also made advancements in lithium resources, with the announcement of establishing lithium inferred resources of around 6 million Tons in the Reasi district of Jammu and Kashmir in 2023. In line with this growth there is a need for indigenous lithium-ion battery manufacturing in India.
The major global players in the market include LG Chem Ltd, Panasonic Corporation, Samsung SDI Co Ltd, BYD Co Ltd, BAK Group, A123 Systems, GS Yuasa Corporation, Hitachi Ltd, Johnsons Controls Inc. and Saft Groupe S.A.
The COVID-19 pandemic had affected the energy storage sector. Although there was a temporary slowdown in energy storage investments, it is expected to regain momentum in the future. The energy storage sector is projected to grow by around 30% in 2031, reaching 740 GWh. LIBs are expected to play a significant role in energy storage, particularly in the context of electric vehicles and related technologies.
COVID-19 pandemic has brought about changes in energy demand, transportation habits and energy storage. The adoption of electric micro-mobility devices, powered by lithium-ion batteries has increased due to their safety and affordability. The shift towards renewable energy sources and the growing importance of sustainability is driving the demand for energy storage technologies, including lithium-ion batteries in both stationary and non-stationary applications.
Russia-Ukraine War Impact
Preliminary estimates suggest that Ukraine holds a significant lithium reserve of around 500,000 tons, a crucial mineral for renewable energy and electric vehicle batteries. With skyrocketing global demand for lithium, which is estimated to grow by around 450% to 4,000%, there are concerns that supply won't meet the demand.
Russia and Ukraine ongoing war have a major impact on the global lithium-ion battery market. One of the main factors is the dependence on Russia and Ukraine as major suppliers of metals used in battery production like lithium, cobalt, nickel and copper. With geopolitical tensions and potential disruptions in the supply chain there are concerns about the availability and prices of these critical metals.
The war in Ukraine has highlighted the need for global energy security and the urgency of clean energy development. Europe's heavy reliance on Russian energy which includes oil and natural gas has prompted countries like Germany to seek alternative suppliers and invest in renewable energy to reduce dependence.
The global lithium-ion battery market report would provide approximately 78 tables, 83 figures and 207 pages.
Target Audience 2024
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE