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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1610983
全球貿易轉型（2024-2035）Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035 |
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在貿易加速成長情境下，到2035年世界貿易額將超過105兆美元，國際貿易流向以區域化為軸心進行重組。
在快速的技術進步、新興經濟力量和不斷變化的地緣政治動態的支持下，到2035年，全球貿易格局將發生重大轉變。自2020年以來供應鏈的持續中斷導致了區域化的重大轉向，推動了回流和近岸外包的優先考慮，使已開發國家重返當地和區域市場。供應鏈的快速轉型改寫全球貿易流。
Frost & Sullivan 宏觀經濟思想領袖為2035年全球貿易總額提供了基於情境的預測。本報告在基準情境下對全球主要貿易促進因素進行了定性經濟影響評估，並確定了企業可以建立的潛在策略解決方案，以確保長期競爭力。本報告深入探討了全球貿易的大趨勢，包括亞洲、非洲和中東作為全球貿易中心的崛起、貿易區域化的興起以及服務貿易的轉型。也分析了決策者和產業領導者可以利用不斷變化的全球貿易格局中出現的成長機會。
目錄
成長環境：到2035年改變全球貿易
- 為什麼成長越來越困難？
- The Strategic Imperative 8（TM）
- 三大策略挑戰對全球貿易轉型的影響（2024-2035）
成長環境：2035年的全球貿易生態系統
- 全球貿易轉型（2024-2035）：概述
成長機會分析：全球貿易
- 全球貿易轉型（2024-2035）：促進因素與限制因素
- 世界貿易轉型（2024-2035）：總貿易指標
成長環境：基於情境的全球貿易預測
- 世界貿易展望（依情境）
- 情境假設概述
經濟影響分析及對策：基準情境
- 基準情境：影響分析
- 基準情境：對策
改變全球貿易的新大趨勢
- 亞洲、非洲、中東成為世界貿易重心
- 區域化支點重塑全球貿易流動
- 勞動力套利收益減少縮短了製成品的貿易路線
- 數位平台將成為全球服務貿易的基礎
成長機會領域
- 成長機會1：綠色科技與永續貨物貿易
- 成長機會2：數位貿易
- 成長機會3：製造業本土化
附錄
- 詳細的先決條件摘要
下一步
- 成長機會的好處和影響
- 行動項目和後續步驟
- 附件清單
- 免責聲明
Global Trade will Surpass $105 Trillion by 2035 in an Accelerated Trade Growth Scenario, Reorienting International Trade Flows Amidst a Regionalization Pivot
The global trade landscape is poised for significant transformation through 2035, underpinned by rapid technological advancements, emerging economic powers, and evolving geopolitical dynamics. The persistent disruptions in supply chains since 2020 have led to a sizable pivot towards regionalization, driving advanced nations to prioritize reshoring or nearshoring back to local or regional markets. This rapid transformation in supply chains is redrawing the global trade flows.
This Frost & Sullivan macroeconomic thought leadership showcases scenario-based global total trade forecasts through 2035. It offers a qualitative economic impact assessment of key global trade drivers in the baseline scenario and identifies potential strategy solutions that firms can craft to ensure long-term competitiveness. The report provides insights into the Megatrends in global trade, such as the emergence of Asia, Africa, and the Middle East as global trade hubs, the rising prominence of trade regionalization, and the transformation of services trade. The analysis also identifies the growth opportunities emerging from the changes in the global trade landscape for decision-makers and industry leaders to leverage.
Table of Contents
Growth Environment: Global Trade Transformation through 2035
- Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
- The Strategic Imperative 8™
- The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035
Growth Environment: Ecosystem in Global Trade through 2035
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: An Overview
Growth Opportunity Analysis: Global Trade
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: Drivers and Restraints
- Global Trade Transformation, 2024-2035: Total Trade Metrics
Growth Environment: Scenario-based Global Trade Forecasts
- Global Trade Outlook by Scenario
- Scenario Assumptions Overview
Economic Impact Analysis & Responsiveness Measures: Baseline Scenario
- Baseline Scenario: Impact Analysis
- Baseline Scenario: Responsiveness Measures
Emerging Megatrends Transforming Global Trade
- Asia, Africa, and the Middle East will be Global Trade's Center of Gravity
- Regionalization Pivot will Re-architect Global Trade Flows
- Falling Labor Arbitrage Benefits will Shorten Manufactured Goods' Trade Routes
- Digital Platforms will be the Bedrock of Global Services Trade
Growth Opportunity Universe
- Growth Opportunity 1: Green Technologies and Sustainable Commodities Trade
- Growth Opportunity 2: Digital Trade
- Growth Opportunity 3: Localized Manufacturing
Appendix
- Detailed Assumptions Overview
Next Steps
- Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
- Action Items & Next Steps
- List of Exhibits
- Legal Disclaimer
