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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1520451
2024-2032 年按反應器類型(壓水反應器、沸水反應器、氣冷反應器等)、策略、容量和地區分類的核退役市場報告Nuclear Decommissioning Market Report by Reactor Type (Pressurized Water Reactor, Boiling Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor, and Others), Strategy, Capacity, and Region 2024-2032 |
IMARC Group年,全球核能退役市場規模達68億美元。再生能源利用率的提高、核反應器的關閉以及對放射性廢物管理的關注正在擴大市場的成長。
主要市場促進因素:對再生能源的需求和老化核電廠數量的增加正在推動市場的成長。
主要市場趨勢:對環境修復的日益關注,以及創新技術的持續採用,正在促進市場成長。
地理趨勢:由於嚴格的核安監管框架,歐洲佔了最大的市場。
競爭格局:核退役產業的一些主要市場參與者包括 Aecom、Babcock International Group PLC、Bechtel Corporation、Electricite de France SA、EnergySolutions、General Electric Company、James Fisher and Sons plc、Northstar Group Services Inc.、Ontario Power Generation Inc .、Orano SA、Studsvik AB 和Westinghouse Electric Company LLC. 等。
挑戰與機會:雖然市場面臨技術問題等影響市場的挑戰,但在開發有效且安全的退役過程中也遇到了機會。
對再生能源的需求不斷增加
太陽能、風能和水力發電等可再生能源現在比核能等傳統能源更具成本競爭力。因此,再生能源的趨勢日益增強,可在能源市場上與核電直接競爭。競爭會影響核電廠的獲利能力和生存能力,從而導致核電廠提前退役。除此之外,公眾對環境問題、核子安全和放射性廢棄物處理的認知不斷提高,這可能會影響公眾輿論和能源選擇,這也支持了市場的成長。與核能相比,再生能源通常被認為更清潔、更安全、更永續。這反過來又增加了公眾對再生能源計劃的支持和需求。公眾輿論的這種變化可能會給政策制定者帶來壓力,要求他們優先發展再生能源,同時逐步淘汰核電,從而導致核設施退役。核電廠的拆除正在導致再生能源等其他能源的採用。根據國際能源總署報告,預計到2028年,再生能源將佔全球發電量的42%以上,其中風能和太陽能光電發電的佔有率將加倍,達到25%。
關閉核反應爐
世界核能協會2024年報告稱,過去20年來,全球有107座核反應器被關閉。當核反應器達到使用壽命或在經濟上變得不可行時,它們將永久關閉。因此,世界各地核退役計畫的數量正在增加。隨著越來越多的反應器被關閉,對能夠安全、高效和經濟高效地管理複雜的退役過程的熟練專業人員和公司的需求不斷增加。除此之外,核反應器的關閉正在導致先進退役技術和方法的發展。公司正在研發(R&D)活動上投入資金,以找到更安全、更有效率和更具成本效益的拆除、淨化、廢棄物管理和現場修復方法,預計將影響核退役市場的成長。
放射性廢棄物管理日益受到關注
根據太平洋西北國家實驗室(PNNL)2022年報告,全球固體放射性廢棄物總量約為3,800萬立方米,其中81%被永久處置,另外19%被儲存等待處理。退役活動期間也會產生放射性廢棄物,這正成為一個重大挑戰。因此,對放射性廢棄物的創新廢棄物處理和一次性方法的需求不斷增加。此外,監管機構正在對退役活動期間產生的放射性廢棄物的安全管理和處置制定嚴格的規則。遵守這些規定對於獲得繼續退役專案的許可和批准至關重要。隨著處理環境和安全問題的規則不斷變化,參與核退役的公司正在投資廢棄物管理解決方案以遵守這些規則。此外,有效的放射性廢棄物管理是保護公眾健康和環境的關鍵。放射性廢棄物處理或丟棄不當會導致土壤、水和空氣污染,對人類健康和環境造成長期危害。此外,監管機構、當地社區和環境組織等利益相關者正在密切審查退役項目,以確保放射性廢物得到安全和負責任的處理。
IMARC Group提供了每個市場區隔市場的主要趨勢的分析,以及 2024-2032 年全球、區域和國家層級的核退役市場預測。我們的報告根據反應器類型、策略和容量對市場進行了分類。
壓水反應器(PWR)
沸水反應器 (BWR)
氣冷反應器 (GCR)
其他
壓水器(PWR)佔據大部分市場佔有率
該報告根據反應器類型對市場進行了詳細的細分和分析。這包括壓水器(PWR)、沸水器(BWR)、氣冷器(GCR)等。根據該報告,壓水器(PWR)代表了最大的部分。
壓水器(PWR)是全世界核能發電中最常用的反應器技術。隨著許多反應爐的使用壽命即將結束,對退役服務的需求正在增加。此外,與其他反應器相比,壓水器規模龐大,這反過來又導致退役過程變得複雜,需要大量資源和專家。此外,壓水堆退役計畫通常涉及大量放射性廢棄物,需要複雜的廢棄物管理解決方案。
延期拆除
窀穸
立即拆除
即時拆解佔業界最大佔有率
報告還提供了基於該策略的詳細市場細分和分析。這包括延遲拆除、埋葬和立即拆除。報告顯示,即時拆解佔了最大的市場佔有率。
從退役核設施中立即清除放射性材料和結構就是立即拆除。這種方法允許釋放場地以供潛在的再利用或重新開發,從而最大限度地減少與維護退役設施相關的長期財務負債。除此之外,核退役市場最近技術和專業知識的發展使得立即拆除變得可行且具有成本效益,從而推動其廣泛採用。
高達 800 兆瓦
1000兆瓦以上
高達 800 MW 代表領先的細分市場
該報告根據產能對市場進行了詳細的細分和分析。其中包括 800 MW 以下、801 MW-1000 MW 以及 1000 MW 以上。根據該報告,最大的部分為 800 MW。
與更大、更現代化的工廠相比,這一領域的小型反應器往往更舊,運作的經濟可行性也較低。因此,它們更有可能退役。此外,無論核電廠規模如何,退役的監管要求和安全標準通常都是相似的,與小型反應器退役相關的複雜性和挑戰通常與大型反應器相當。因此,800兆瓦以下反應器的退役項目佔核退役整體需求的很大一部分。
北美洲
美國
加拿大
亞太
中國
日本
印度
韓國
澳洲
印尼
其他
歐洲
德國
法國
英國
義大利
西班牙
俄羅斯
其他
拉丁美洲
巴西
墨西哥
其他
中東和非洲
歐洲引領市場,佔最大的核退役市場佔有率
該報告還對所有主要區域市場進行了全面分析,其中包括北美(美國和加拿大);亞太地區(中國、日本、印度、韓國、澳洲、印尼等);歐洲(德國、法國、英國、義大利、西班牙、俄羅斯等);拉丁美洲(巴西、墨西哥等);以及中東和非洲。報告稱,歐洲是核退役最大的區域市場。
根據世界核能協會 2024 年報告,到 2024 年,英國將關閉 36 座核反應器。由於許多工廠是幾十年前建成的,因此退役它們已成為必然。其次,歐洲國家有嚴格的核安和退役監管框架,需要周密的規劃並遵守嚴格的標準。這些法規為退役活動創造了強而有力的框架,確保安全、負責任地進行這些活動。
市場研究報告也對市場競爭格局進行了全面分析。也提供了所有主要核退役公司的詳細資料。核退役產業的一些主要市場參與者包括 Aecom、Babcock International Group PLC、Bechtel Corporation、Electricite de France SA、EnergySolutions、General Electric Company、James Fisher and Sons plc、Northstar Group Services Inc.、Ontario Power Generation Inc.。 Orano SA、Studsvik AB 和Westinghouse Electric Company LLC。
(請注意,這只是關鍵參與者的部分列表,報告中提供了完整列表。)
公司正在不斷開發創新的退役解決方案,例如先進的機器人技術和遠端處理技術。他們還製造專門的設備和工藝,用於處理和處理退役活動期間產生的放射性廢物,以增加核退役市場收入。許多主要參與者正在提供一系列服務,包括拆除、淨化、廢棄物管理和場地修復。此外,許多領先企業正在提供全面的退役解決方案,包括反應爐拆除、廢棄物包裝和場地恢復。由於預期運作壽命老化,一些公司正在關閉其核電廠。例如,2022 年,Entergy 公司關閉了位於密西根湖的 Palisades 核電廠,該核電廠容量為 800 兆瓦。
2023 年 10 月 31 日:柏克德和西屋電氣擴大了與捷克共和國的合作夥伴關係,提供四台 AP1000 反應爐,這是最先進的核子技術。
2023 年 6 月 21 日:核工業主要服務供應商 EnergySolutions 宣布將提供經驗豐富的專案管理和監督,以支援美國核電廠延長壽命和新核電廠建設,並支援能源產業 2050 年淨零排放目標。
The global nuclear decommissioning market size reached US$ 6.8 Billion in 2023. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach US$ 10.6 Billion by 2032, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% during 2024-2032. Rising utilization of renewable energy sources, shutting down of nuclear reactors, and focus on radioactive waste management are expanding the market growth.
Major Market Drivers: The demand for renewable energy and rising number of ageing nuclear power plants is contributing to the growth of the market.
Key Market Trends: The rising focus on environmental remediation, along with the ongoing adoption of innovative technologies, are facilitating the market growth.
Geographical Trends: Europe holds the largest segment because of stringent regulatory frameworks for nuclear safety.
Competitive Landscape: Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC., among many others.
Challenges and Opportunities: While the market faces challenges like technical issues, which impacts the market, it also encounters opportunities in the development of effective and safe decommissioning process.
Increasing demand for renewable energy sources
Renewable energy sources like solar, wind, and hydropower are now becoming more cost-competitive with the traditional sources such as nuclear power. Therefore, the trend of renewable energy is increasing, which can directly compete with nuclear power in the energy market. The competition can affect the profitability and viability of the nuclear power plants, which results in their early decommissioning. Besides this, the rising public awareness about environmental issues and nuclear safety and radioactive waste disposal that can affect public opinion and choices on energy sources is supporting the market growth. Renewable energy is usually recognized as cleaner, safer, and more sustainable compared to nuclear power. This, in turn, is increasing the public support and demand for renewable energy initiatives. This change in the public opinion can create a pressure on the policymakers to prioritize the development of renewable energy and at the same time phase out the nuclear power, which is leading to the decommissioning of the nuclear facilities. The dismantlement of nuclear power plants is leading to the adoption of other energy sources like the renewable energy. According to the International Energy Agency report, it is expected that the renewable energy sources will account for over 42% of global electricity generation in 2028, with the share of wind and solar PV doubling to 25%.
Shutting down of nuclear reactors
The World Nuclear Association report of 2024 claims that over the past 20 years, 107 nuclear reactors were shut down across the globe. As nuclear reactors reach the end of their operational lifespans or become economically unviable, they are shut down permanently. Thus the number of nuclear decommissioning projects is rising around the world. With the growing number of reactors being shut down, there is an increasing demand for skilled professionals and firms that can manage the complex decommissioning process safely, efficiently, and cost-effectively. Besides this, the shutdown of nuclear reactors is leading to the development of advanced decommissioning technologies and methods. Companies are spending on research and development (R&D) activities to come up with the safer, more efficient, and cost-effective ways of dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site remediation, which is anticipated to influence the nuclear decommissioning market growth.
Rising focus on radioactive waste management
As per the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report of 2022, the total global inventory of solid radioactive waste was approximately 38 million m3, of which 81% of the total waste was disposed of permanently and a further 19% was in storage awaiting for final disposal. Radioactive waste is also generated during decommissioning activities, which is becoming a significant challenge. As a result, there is an increasing demand for innovative waste treatment and disposable methods for radioactive waste. Moreover, regulatory agencies are imposing strict rules for the safe management and disposal of radioactive waste that is produced during decommissioning activities. The compliance with these regulations is vital for getting the permits and the approvals to proceed with the decommissioning projects. As rules are changing to deal with the environmental and safety issues, firms participating in nuclear decommissioning are investing in waste management solutions to comply with these rules. In addition, effective radioactive waste management is the key to the protection of public health and the environment. Improper handling or throwing away the radioactive waste can cause the pollution of the soil, water, and air, which is leading long-term dangers to human health and the environment. Furthermore, stakeholders, among which regulatory authorities, local communities, and environmental organizations, are closely examining decommissioning projects to make sure that the radioactive waste is handled safely and responsibly.
IMARC Group provides an analysis of the key trends in each segment of the market, along with nuclear decommissioning market forecasts at the global, regional, and country levels for 2024-2032. Our report has categorized the market based on reactor type, strategy, and capacity.
Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)
Others
Pressurized water reactor (PWR) accounts for the majority of the market share
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the reactor type. This includes pressurized water reactor (PWR), boiling water reactor (BWR), gas cooled reactor (GCR), and others. According to the report, pressurized water reactor (PWR) represents the largest segment.
Pressure water reactor (PWR) is the most used reactor technology for nuclear power generation around the world. As many of these reactors are approaching the end of their operational life spans, the need for decommissioning services is increasing. Additionally, PWRs are huge in size in comparison to other reactors, which, in turn, causes the decommissioning processes to be complicated and requires a lot of resources and experts. Moreover, PWR decommissioning projects usually involve large amounts of radioactive waste, requiring sophisticated waste management solutions.
Deferred Dismantling
Entombment
Immediate Dismantling
Immediate dismantling holds the largest share of the industry
A detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the strategy have also been provided in the report. This includes deferred dismantling, entombment, and immediate dismantling. According to the report, immediate dismantling accounts for the largest market share.
The instant removal of the radioactive materials and structures from a decommissioned nuclear facility is the immediate dismantling. This approach allows for the release of the site for potential reuse or redevelopment, minimizing the long-term financial liabilities associated with maintaining a decommissioned facility. Besides this, nuclear decommissioning market recent development of the technology and expertise is making the immediate dismantling feasible and cost-effective, thereby driving its widespread adoption.
Upto 800 MW
Above 1000 MW
Upto 800 MW represents the leading market segment
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the capacity. This includes upto 800 MW, 801 MW-1000 MW, and above 1000 MW. According to the report, upto 800 MW represents the largest segment.
Smaller reactors within this segment tend to be older and less economically viable to operate compared to larger and more modern plants. Consequently, they are more likely to be decommissioned. Furthermore, regulatory requirements and safety standards for decommissioning are generally similar regardless of plant size, and complexities and challenges associated with decommissioning smaller reactors are often comparable to those of larger ones. As a result, decommissioning projects for reactors up to 800 MW represent a substantial portion of the overall nuclear decommissioning demand.
North America
United States
Canada
Asia-Pacific
China
Japan
India
South Korea
Australia
Indonesia
Others
Europe
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Spain
Russia
Others
Latin America
Brazil
Mexico
Others
Middle East and Africa
Europe leads the market, accounting for the largest nuclear decommissioning market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, Europe represents the largest regional market for nuclear decommissioning.
According to the World Nuclear Association report of 2024, in UK 36 nuclear reactors were shut down by 2024. Europe has a notable number of ageing nuclear power plants that are reaching the end of their operational lifespans. As many of these plants were built several decades ago and decommissioning them are becoming a necessity. Secondly, European countries have stringent regulatory frameworks governing nuclear safety and decommissioning, which necessitate thorough planning and compliance with rigorous standards. These regulations create a robust framework for decommissioning activities, ensuring that they are carried out safely and responsibly.
The market research report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of the competitive landscape in the market. Detailed profiles of all major nuclear decommissioning companies have also been provided. Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC.
(Please note that this is only a partial list of the key players, and the complete list is provided in the report.)
Companies are continuously developing innovative decommissioning solutions, such as advanced robotics and remote handling technologies. They are also manufacturing specialized equipment and processes for handling and treating radioactive waste generated during decommissioning activities to increase the nuclear decommissioning market revenue. Many key players are providing a range of services, including dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site restoration. In addition, many leading players are offering comprehensive decommissioning solutions, including reactor dismantling, waste packaging, and site restoration. Several companies are shutting down their nuclear plants due to their aging intended operational lifespans. For instance, in 2022, Entergy Corporation shut down its Palisades nuclear plant on Lake Michigan, which was an 800-megawatt facility.
October 31, 2023: Bechtel and Westinghouse expanded their partnership with Czech Republic to supply four AP1000 reactors, which is the most advanced nuclear technology.
June 21, 2023: EnergySolutions, a major supplier of services to the nuclear industry announced that it will deliver experienced project management and supervision in support of U.S. nuclear plant life extension and new plant construction, and it is also supporting the energy industry's 2050 net zero goals.