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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1432934

小型液化天然氣:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2024-2029)

Small-scale LNG - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 200 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計小型液化天然氣市場規模到2024年將達到107億美元,預計2029年將達到175.3億美元,在預測期內(2024-2029年)複合年成長率為10.38%。

小型液化天然氣市場

主要亮點

  • 從長遠來看,燃料庫、道路運輸和離網電力等方面對液化天然氣的需求不斷增加等因素預計將在未來幾年推動小型液化天然氣市場的發展。
  • 另一方面,在中東、非洲等地區,小型LNG營業成本高、配套基礎設施低度開發、投資回收期長(12年以上)、所需的資本投資額很高,預計有一些因素會阻礙所研究市場的成長。
  • 然而,由於小型液化天然氣基礎設施所需的資本支出較高,開發具有成本效益的小型液化天然氣基礎設施預計將為小型液化天然氣技術供應商和運輸商提供重大機會。
  • 亞太地區在市場上佔據主導地位,並且在預測期內也可能實現最高的複合年成長率。這一成長歸因於對液化天然氣的需求增加、淨零碳排放目標、政府開發液化天然氣相關基礎設施的舉措,以及日本、中國和韓國等國家私人公司投資的增加。

小型液化天然氣市場趨勢

交通運輸領域預計將主導市場

  • 液化天然氣主要用作卡車和船舶的燃料,主要是因為它在經濟和環境上都優於柴油和燃油。液化天然氣無腐蝕性且無毒,這意味著它可以將車輛的使用壽命延長三倍。此外,液化天然氣的沸點極低,因此在高壓下將其轉化為氣態所需的熱和機械能可以忽略不計。這使得液化天然氣成為一種高效率的運輸燃料。
  • 處理液化天然氣是一項艱鉅的任務,因為即使是最輕微的溫差也會導致燃料沸騰或蒸發,導致燃料浪費。因此,小客車的實用性遠不如商用卡車等大型車輛。因此,LNG在運輸領域的使用受到限制。
  • 使用液化天然氣作為運輸燃料正在世界各地蓬勃發展。中國、美國和歐洲已經開始部署液化天然氣動力卡車,主要用於遠距貨物運輸。這主要得益於政府政策以及脫碳和排放氣體監管政策,例如國六和歐洲綠色交易。
  • 歐盟委員會於 2019 年制定的《歐洲綠色新政》是一系列政策舉措,旨在到 2050 年使歐洲實現碳中和。該政策簡潔地強調了液化天然氣在實現這些目標中的重要性,並強調其作為卡車和船舶燃料的用途。
  • 據SEA-LNG稱,截至2022年2月,已有137艘液化天然氣運輸船在營運,350艘液化天然氣運輸船正在訂購。液化天然氣動力船舶的訂單成長速度比以往任何時候都快,越來越多的船東和營運商正在認知到液化天然氣的環境和氣候效益。
  • 2020 年 1 月,國際海事組織 (IMO) 開始實施新法規,規定船用燃料的硫含量上限為 0.5%。因此,與現有的石油基船用燃料油相比,液化天然氣的氮氧化物排放減少了近90%,並且幾乎不排放硫氧化物或顆粒物,使其成為更現實的船用燃料選擇。因此,液化天然氣將在這項清潔空氣舉措中發揮重要作用。預計這也將對小型液化天然氣市場產生重大正面影響。
  • 新興經濟體也計劃為未來液化天然氣運輸奠定基礎。例如,商船三井計劃到 2022 年 4 月至 2035 年,有 110 艘淨零排放遠洋船舶投入營運。此外,作為推動清潔能源普及的一部分,我們計劃在2030年投入使用90艘液化天然氣運輸船。
  • 因此,由於上述因素,交通運輸領域對小型液化天然氣基礎設施的需求可能會在預測期內成長,並顯著主導市場。

亞太地區主導市場

  • 亞太地區最近成為全球實施小型液化天然氣計劃的先驅。近年來,隨著中國、印度、新加坡和日本等國家對天然氣的需求增加,人們對使用小型液化天然氣(SSLNG)的興趣增加。
  • 截至2021年,中國是全球引領液化天然氣需求成長的主要國家之一。 2022年液化天然氣進口量約6,440萬噸。需求的激增使中國成為世界上最大的液化天然氣進口國之一。需求的增加是由於中國液化天然氣買家簽署了每年超過2000萬噸的長期合約。
  • 中國的天然氣市場包括國內生產以及透過管道和液化天然氣接收站進口。在中國,工業、住宅和發電業對小型液化天然氣的需求正在成長,其中潛力最大的是交通運輸業。由於柴油價格高於天然氣,液化天然氣卡車數量的增加預計將成為中國小型液化天然氣設施增加的主要原因。
  • 在印度,小型液化天然氣還處於非常早期的階段,但有多個液化天然氣站,並且透過液化天然氣卡車進行液化天然氣運輸。印度的目標是到2030年將天然氣在其能源結構中的比例提高到15%,該國很可能會建設小型液化天然氣設施,向沒有管道基礎設施的偏遠地區供應天然氣。例如,2022年6月,天然氣探勘和生產公司GAIL Limited計劃在未連接液化天然氣管道的地區建立小型液化設施。此外,GAIL可能會試建兩座小型液化廠。
  • 新加坡的小型液化天然氣業務主要由新加坡港的液化天然氣燃料庫設施推動。新加坡是世界領先的貿易港口之一,也是國際航運的世界領導者。 2021年5月,FueLNG與新加坡海事及港務局(MPA)完成了新加坡首艘LNG燃料油輪Pacific Emerald的燃料庫。
  • 因此,鑑於上述幾點,亞太地區預計將在預測期內主導小型市場的成長。

小型液化天然氣產業概況

小規模液化天然氣市場較分散。市場上的主要企業(排名不分先後)包括 Linde plc、Wartsila Oyj ABP、Shell PLC、Engie SA 和 PJSC Gazprom。

其他福利:

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章簡介

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 研究場所

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章調查方法

第4章市場概況

  • 介紹
  • 2028年之前的市場規模與需求預測(單位:美元)
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府法規政策
  • 市場動態
    • 促進因素
      • 增加液化天然氣基礎設施投資
      • 燃料庫、道路運輸和離網電力對液化天然氣的需求增加
    • 抑制因素
      • 中東、非洲等地區基礎建設匱乏
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第5章市場區隔

  • 類型
    • 液化終端
    • 再氣化終端
  • 供貨型態
    • 卡車
    • 轉運和燃料庫
    • 管道和鐵路
  • 目的
    • 運輸
    • 工業原料
    • 發電
    • 其他用途
  • 區域市場分析:2028 年之前的市場規模和需求預測(僅限區域)
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 法國
      • 英國
      • 其他歐洲國家
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 南美洲其他地區
    • 中東/非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 南非
      • 其他中東和非洲

第6章 競爭形勢

  • 併購、合資、聯盟、協議
  • 主要企業策略
  • 公司簡介
    • Small-scale LNG Technology Providers
      • Linde plc
      • Wartsila Oyj ABP
      • Baker Hughes Company
      • Honeywell UoP
      • Chart Industries Inc.
      • Black & Veatch Holding Company
    • Small-scale LNG Marine Transporter
      • Anthony Veder Group NV
      • Engie SA
      • Evergas AS
    • Small-scale LNG Operators
      • Shell PLC
      • Eni SpA
      • PJSC Gazprom
      • TotalEnergies SE
      • Gasum Oy

第7章 市場機會及未來趨勢

  • 開發具有成本效益的小型液化天然氣基礎設施
簡介目錄
Product Code: 55955

The Small-scale LNG Market size is estimated at USD 10.70 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 17.53 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 10.38% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Small-scale LNG - Market

Key Highlights

  • Over the long term, the factors such as increasing demand for LNG in bunkering, road transportation, and off-grid power, are expected to drive the small-scale LNG market in the coming years.
  • On the other hand, factors such as the high operation cost of small-scale LNG and lack of supporting infrastructure in the regions such as the Middle East and Africa, and high CAPEX requirements, along with a long payback period of more than 12 years, are expected to hinder the growth of the market studied.
  • Nevertheless, owing to the high capital expenditure required for a small-scale LNG infrastructure, the development of cost-efficient small-scale LNG infrastructure is expected to provide significant opportunities to the small-scale LNG technology providers and transporters in the future.
  • The Asia-Pacific region dominates the market and is also likely to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This growth is attributed to the increased demand for LNG, the net-zero carbon emission targets, the government's initiative to develop the LNG-related infrastructure and rise in investment from private companies coming from countries such as Japan, China, and South Korea.

Small Scale LNG Market Trends

Transportation Segment Expected to Dominate the Market

  • LNG is primarily used to fuel trucks and ships, mainly due to its economic and environmental benefits, as compared to diesel and fuel oil. Since LNG is non-corrosive and non-toxic in nature, it can extend the life of a vehicle by up to three times. Moreover, since LNG has an extremely low boiling point, very little heat is required to convert it into a gaseous form at high pressure, with negligible mechanical energy. This makes LNG an efficient fuel for transportation.
  • Handling LNG is an immense task since even a slight difference in the temperature can lead to the boiling and vaporization of fuel, which, in turn, leads to fuel wastage. Therefore, it makes passenger cars far less viable than heavy vehicles, such as commercial trucks. This has limited the application of LNG in the transportation segment.
  • The use of LNG as a transportation fuel is gaining momentum across the world. China, the United States, and Europe have already started deploying LNG-powered trucks, mainly for long-distance freight carriage. This is mainly due to the government policies and regulations on decarbonizing and emission control, such as China VI and European Green Deal.
  • Formed in 2019 by the European Commission, the European Green Deal is a set of policy initiatives with an aim to make Europe carbon-neutral by 2050. The policies briefly underline the importance of LNG in reaching the aim, and they emphasize the usage of LNG as fuel for trucks and marine vessels.
  • According to SEA-LNG, as of February 2022, there were 137 LNG-fueled ships in operation, and 350 LNG-fueled ships were on order. The rapidly growing order book for LNG-fuelled vessels has witnessed rapid growth compared to previous years and increasing numbers of ship owners and operators apprehend LNG's environmental and climate benefits.
  • In January 2020, the International Maritime Organization began implementing a new regulation by placing a 0.5% global sulfur cap on marine fuels. Thus, LNG has become a more viable option as a marine fuel since it emits almost 90% lower NOx and virtually no SOx and particulate matter in comparison to the existing petroleum-based marine fuel oils. Therefore, in this clean air initiative, LNG will play a key role. This will also have a significantly positive impact on the small-scale LNG market.
  • New emerging economies are also planning to lay foundation for the future of LNG for transportation. For instance, in April 2022, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (MOL) plans to launch 110 net zero emission oceangoing vessels by 2035. In addition to promoting the wide adoption of clean energy, the Japanese carrier plans to launch 90 LNG-powered vessels by 2030 as part of its goal to promote widespread adoption of clean energy.
  • Hence, owing to the above-mentioned factors, the demand for small-scale LNG infrastructure for the transportation segment is likely to grow and significantly dominate the market during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific to Dominate the Market

  • Asia-Pacific, in recent years, has been a pioneer in the implementation of small-scale LNG projects across the globe. Interest in the use of small-scale LNG (SSLNG) has increased in recent years, as the demand for natural gas continues to increase in countries like China, India, Singapore, Japan, and others.
  • As of 2021, China is one of the major countries in the world that led to the growth in LNG demand. The LNG import was around 64.4 million tons in 2022. Due to this surge in demand, China became the one of the world's largest LNG importer. The increased demand is due to Chinese LNG buyers signing long-term contracts for more than 20 million tons a year.
  • China's natural gas market includes domestic production and import via pipelines and LNG terminals. In China, the rising demand for small-scale LNG is from industrial, residential, and power generation sectors, with the highest potential being in the transportation sector. Growth in the number of LNG trucks due to the higher price of diesel, as compared to natural gas, is expected to be the prime reason for which small LNG facilities are growing in China.
  • While in India, Small-scale LNG is in a very nascent stage, however, there are a few LNG stations, for which LNG transportation through LNG trucks is taking place. With the intention of increasing the share of natural gas to 15% in its energy mix by 2030, India is likely to construct small-scale LNG facilities for natural gas supply to remote places, with no pipeline infrastructure. For instance, in June 2022, GAIL Limited, a government-owned natural gas explorer and producer company, aimed to set up small liquefaction facilities for areas not connected to LNG pipelines. Furthermore, GAIL is likely to set up two small-scale liquefaction plants on a pilot basis.
  • Small-scale LNG business in Singapore is majorly driven by the LNG bunkering facilities in the ports of Singapore. Singapore has one of the leading trade ports and is one of the global leaders in international marine shipping. In May 2021, FueLNG and the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) completed Singapore's first bunkering of an LNG-fueled oil tanker, Pacific Emerald.
  • Therefore, owing to the above points, Asia-Pacific is expected to dominate the growth of the small-scale market during the forecast period.

Small Scale LNG Industry Overview

The small-scale LNG market is semi-fragmented. Some of the major players in the market (in no particular order) include Linde plc, Wartsila Oyj ABP, Shell PLC, Engie SA, and PJSC Gazprom among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD, till 2028
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
      • 4.5.1.1 Increasing Investment in LNG Infrastructure
      • 4.5.1.2 Rising Demand for LNG in Bunkering, Road Transportation, and Off-grid Power
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
      • 4.5.2.1 Lack of Supporting Infrastructure in the Regions such as the Middle East and Africa
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Type
    • 5.1.1 Liquefaction Terminal
    • 5.1.2 Regasification Terminal
  • 5.2 Mode of Supply
    • 5.2.1 Truck
    • 5.2.2 Transshipment and Bunkering
    • 5.2.3 Pipeline and Rail
  • 5.3 Application
    • 5.3.1 Transportation
    • 5.3.2 Industrial Feedstock
    • 5.3.3 Power Generation
    • 5.3.4 Other Applications
  • 5.4 Geography (Regional Market Analysis {Market Size and Demand Forecast till 2028 (for regions only)})
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 France
      • 5.4.2.3 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.4 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 China
      • 5.4.3.2 India
      • 5.4.3.3 Japan
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle-East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.4.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.4.5.4 Rest of Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Small-scale LNG Technology Providers
      • 6.3.1.1 Linde plc
      • 6.3.1.2 Wartsila Oyj ABP
      • 6.3.1.3 Baker Hughes Company
      • 6.3.1.4 Honeywell UoP
      • 6.3.1.5 Chart Industries Inc.
      • 6.3.1.6 Black & Veatch Holding Company
    • 6.3.2 Small-scale LNG Marine Transporter
      • 6.3.2.1 Anthony Veder Group NV
      • 6.3.2.2 Engie SA
      • 6.3.2.3 Evergas AS
    • 6.3.3 Small-scale LNG Operators
      • 6.3.3.1 Shell PLC
      • 6.3.3.2 Eni SpA
      • 6.3.3.3 PJSC Gazprom
      • 6.3.3.4 TotalEnergies SE
      • 6.3.3.5 Gasum Oy

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

  • 7.1 The Development of Cost-efficient Small-scale LNG Infrastructure