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1444330

地熱能：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2024-2029）

Geothermal Energy - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 125 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

地熱能市場規模預計將從2024年的15.68吉瓦成長到2029年的17.91吉瓦，在預測期間（2024-2029年）裝機量年複合成長率為2.69%。

地熱能市場

主要亮點

  • 從中期來看，因素包括對清潔和環保資源的電力安全的日益擔憂。此外，對地熱熱泵和區域供暖等供暖和製冷系統的需求不斷成長正在推動地熱能源市場的成長。
  • 另一方面，太陽能和風能等替代清潔能源來源的有利市場可能會阻礙預測期內的市場成長。
  • 儘管如此，政府為促進永續能源生產而實施的財政優惠和退稅等措施預計將在預測期內為地熱能市場創造許多成長機會。
  • 預計北美將成為預測期內最大的市場，大部分需求來自美國、墨西哥等國家。

地熱能市場趨勢

雙回圈發電廠業務預計將顯著成長

  • 在雙回圈發電廠中，地下水或蒸氣不會與渦輪機直接接觸。相反，來自地熱儲存的水被泵入熱交換器，在熱交換器中加熱第二種液體形式的異丁烯（其沸點低於水）。
  • 第二種液體被加熱並轉化為蒸氣，為發電機的渦輪機提供動力。來自地下的熱水透過注入井回收到地下，第二液體透過渦輪機返回熱交換器，在那裡可以再次使用。
  • 乾蒸氣和閃蒸發電廠比二元發電廠產量更高，經濟效率更高，因為它們需要稀有的、熱的、淺的儲存。然而，二元裝置也可以在冷庫中運作，增加了合適地點的選擇。
  • 近年來宣布了許多新裝置，這可能會支持預測期內地熱能市場的成長。例如，2021年2月，三菱重工株式會社（MHI）集團公司Turboden SpA和三菱動力株式會社聯合雙回圈，三菱重工株式會社宣布已訂單。位於菲律賓巴拉望島的能源開發公司（EDC）營運的地熱發電廠。
  • 同樣，2023 年 1 月，AP Renewable Inc. 宣布舉行奠基儀式，標誌著在菲律賓 Tiwi 地熱站點開始建造 17 兆瓦二元地熱計劃。該計劃將從地熱鹽水中提取可回收熱量來產生17兆瓦的電力，該設施預計將於2023年終完工。
  • 2022 年全球裝置容量約為 14,877 兆瓦，高於 2021 年的 14,696 兆瓦。世界各地的產能正在顯著增加。
  • 因此，基於上述因素和最近的發展，雙回圈發電廠部分預計在預測期內將顯著成長。

預計北美將主導市場

  • 北美是世界領先的地熱能市場之一，其中美國在裝置容量方面領先於地區和全球市場。 2020 年，地熱發電廠發電量約為 170 億度 (kWh)，占美國公用事業規模發電量的 0.4%。
  • 美國大部分地熱發電廠位於西部各州和夏威夷大島，那裡的地熱能源資源靠近地球表面。儘管加州利用地熱發電最多，但北加州的間歇泉乾蒸氣儲存是世界上已知最大的乾蒸氣田。
  • 根據 IRENA 的數據，2022 年地熱總裝置容量約為 3,712 兆瓦，高於 2021 年的 3,656 兆瓦。美國、加拿大和墨西哥等國家正在增加地熱發電能力。
  • 此外，該地區還計劃新計劃，預計將支持該地區的市場成長。例如，2023 年 3 月，墨西哥政府透過名為「收購地熱井鑽探服務」的競標宣布了 CFE 下的一個新探勘計劃。該計劃將考慮位於墨西哥四個地區的六口地熱井。這些競標集中於與單一鑽井服務供應商簽訂的契約，該提供商擁有兩台可用於地熱井的鑽機，並包括來自美洲開發銀行（IDB）和世界銀行的競標，融資金額為5100萬美元。
  • 因此，基於上述因素，預計北美在預測期內將主導地熱能市場。

地熱能產業概況

地熱能市場是半分散的。市場主要企業包括（排名不分先後）Mitsubishi Power Ltd、Ormat Technologies Inc.、Engie SA、Tetra Tech Inc.、First Gen Corporation 等。

其他福利

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月分析師支持

目錄

第1章 簡介

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 調查先決條件

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章調查方法

第4章市場概況

  • 介紹
  • 2028年地熱能裝置容量及預測
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府政策法規
  • 市場動態
    • 促進因素
      • 清潔綠色資源引發電力安全擔憂
      • 包括地源熱泵在內的暖氣和冷氣系統的需求增加
    • 抑制因素
      • 太陽能和風能等替代清潔能源來源的有利市場機會
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵意強度

第5章市場區隔

  • 植物類型
    • 乾蒸氣設備
    • 閃化蒸氣裝置
    • 雙回圈發電廠
  • 地區（地區市場分析{2028年之前的市場規模與需求預測（僅限地區）}）
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 法國
      • 英國
      • 其他歐洲國家
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 南美洲其他地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 南非
      • 其他中東和非洲

第6章 競爭形勢

  • 併購、合資、合作與協議
  • 主要企業採取的策略
  • 公司簡介
    • Geothermal Power Plant Equipment Manufacturers
      • Toshiba Corporation
      • Ansaldo Energia SpA
      • Fuji Electric Co. Ltd.
      • Baker Hughes Company
      • Doosan Skoda Power
    • Geothermal Power Plant EPC Companies and Operators
      • Mitsubishi Power Ltd
      • Ormat Technologies Inc.
      • Kenya Electricity Generating Company（KenGen）
      • Sosian Energy Limited
      • Tetra Tech Inc.
      • Engie SA
      • First Gen Corporation
      • PT Pertamina Geothermal Energy
      • Enel SpA
      • Aboitiz Power Corporation

第7章市場機會與未來趨勢

  • 增加政府主導的舉措，例如財政轉移支付和退稅
簡介目錄
Product Code: 55756

The Geothermal Energy Market size in terms of installed base is expected to grow from 15.68 gigawatt in 2024 to 17.91 gigawatt by 2029, at a CAGR of 2.69% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Geothermal Energy - Market

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, factors such as the increasing electricity security concerns due to clean and eco-friendly resources. In addition, increasing demand for heating and cooling systems, including ground source heat pumps and district heating, are driving the growth of the geothermal energy market.
  • On the other hand, the lucrative market for alternative clean energy sources like solar and wind is likely to hinder the market growth during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, government-undertaken initiatives such as financial benefits and tax refunds to promote sustainable energy production are estimated to generate numerous growth opportunities for the geothermal energy market during the forecast period.
  • North America is expected to be the largest market during the forecast period, with most of the demand coming from countries like the United States, Mexico, etc.

Geothermal Energy Market Trends

The Binary Cycle Power Plants Segment is Expected to Witness Significant Growth

  • In binary cycle power plants, the water or steam below the earth never comes in direct contact with the turbines. Instead, water from geothermal reservoirs is pumped through a heat exchanger where it heats a second liquid-like isobutene (which boils at a lower temperature than water).
  • This second liquid is heated into steam, which powers the generator's turbines. The hot water from the earth is recycled into the earth through the injection well, and the second liquid is recycled through the turbine and back into the heat exchanger, where it can be used again.
  • Dry-steam and flash plants, which require rarer, high-temperature, shallow reservoirs, produce higher power output and are more economically efficient than binary plants. However, they offer more options for suitable locations because binary plants can operate at reservoirs with lower temperatures.
  • Many new installations have been announced in recent years, which may support the growth of the geothermal energy market during the forecast period. For instance, in February 2021, Turboden SpA, a group company of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd (MHI) and Mitsubishi Power Ltd, jointly announced that it had received an order for 29 megawatts (MW) binary cycle power generation equipment to be installed at the geothermal power plant operated in Palawan, in the Philippines, by Energy Development Corporation (EDC).
  • Similarly, In January 2023, AP Renewable Inc. announced a groundbreaking ceremony to indicate the beginning of the 17-MW binary geothermal project's construction in the Tiwi geothermal site in the Philippines. The project will extract recoverable heat from geothermal brine to produce 17 MW of electricity, and this facility is expected to be completed by the end of 2023.
  • In 2022, the total geothermal energy installed capacity globally was around 14,877 MW in 2022, increasing from 14,696 MW in 2021. The capacity is increasing significantly across the world.
  • Therefore, based on the abovementioned factors and recent developments, the binary cycle power plants segment is expected to grow significantly during the forecast period.

North America is Expected to Dominate the Market

  • North America is one of the leading markets for geothermal energy worldwide, with the United States leading the regional and global markets regarding installed capacity. In 2020, geothermal power plants produced about 17 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh), up to 0.4% of US utility-scale electricity generation.
  • Most of the geothermal power plants in the United States are in the western states and the island state of Hawaii, where geothermal energy resources are close to the Earth's surface. California generates the most electricity from geothermal energy, whereas Northern California's Geysers dry steam reservoir is the world's largest known dry steam field.
  • According to the IRENA, the total geothermal installed capacity was around 3,712 MW in 2022, increased from 3,656 MW in 2021. The countries such as the United States, Canada, and Mexico are increasing the capacities of geothermal energy.
  • Moreover, new projects are also planned in the region, which is expected to support the region's market growth. For example, in March 2023, The government in Mexico announced a new exploratory project under CFE through a tender called 'Acquisition of Geothermal Well Drilling Services.' This project will consider 6 geothermal wells in four areas in Mexico. These tenders focus on contracting a single drilling services provider with 2 drilling rigs available for geothermal wells, and this tender will be financed with USD 51 million from the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and World Bank.
  • Therefore, based on the above factors, North America is expected to dominate the geothermal energy market during the forecast period.

Geothermal Energy Industry Overview

The geothermal energy market is semi fragmented. Some of the major players in the market (in no particular order) include Mitsubishi Power Ltd, Ormat Technologies Inc., Engie SA, Tetra Tech Inc., and First Gen Corporation, among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Geothermal Energy Installed Capacity and Forecast, till 2028
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
      • 4.5.1.1 Increasing Electricity Security Concerns Due to Clean and Eco-Friendly Resources
      • 4.5.1.2 Increasing Demand for Heating and Cooling Systems, Including Ground Source Heat Pumps
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
      • 4.5.2.1 Lucrative Market Opportunities for Alternative Clean Energy Sources Like Solar and Wind
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Plant Type
    • 5.1.1 Dry Steam Plants
    • 5.1.2 Flash Steam Plants
    • 5.1.3 Binary Cycle Power Plants
  • 5.2 Geography (Regional Market Analysis {Market Size and Demand Forecast till 2028 (for regions only)})
    • 5.2.1 North America
      • 5.2.1.1 United States
      • 5.2.1.2 Canada
      • 5.2.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.2.2 Europe
      • 5.2.2.1 Germany
      • 5.2.2.2 France
      • 5.2.2.3 United Kingdom
      • 5.2.2.4 Rest of Europe
    • 5.2.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.2.3.1 China
      • 5.2.3.2 India
      • 5.2.3.3 Japan
      • 5.2.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.2.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.2.4 South America
      • 5.2.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.2.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.2.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.2.5 Middle-East and Africa
      • 5.2.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.2.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.2.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.2.5.4 Rest of Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Geothermal Power Plant Equipment Manufacturers
      • 6.3.1.1 Toshiba Corporation
      • 6.3.1.2 Ansaldo Energia SpA
      • 6.3.1.3 Fuji Electric Co. Ltd.
      • 6.3.1.4 Baker Hughes Company
      • 6.3.1.5 Doosan Skoda Power
    • 6.3.2 Geothermal Power Plant EPC Companies and Operators
      • 6.3.2.1 Mitsubishi Power Ltd
      • 6.3.2.2 Ormat Technologies Inc.
      • 6.3.2.3 Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen)
      • 6.3.2.4 Sosian Energy Limited
      • 6.3.2.5 Tetra Tech Inc.
      • 6.3.2.6 Engie SA
      • 6.3.2.7 First Gen Corporation
      • 6.3.2.8 PT Pertamina Geothermal Energy
      • 6.3.2.9 Enel SpA
      • 6.3.2.10 Aboitiz Power Corporation

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

  • 7.1 Rising Government-Undertaken Initiatives such as Financial Benefits and Tax Refunds