印尼地熱能 -市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2025-2030）

Indonesia Geothermal Energy - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

出版日期: 2025年01月05日 | 出版商:

Mordor Intelligence | 英文 90 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

價格

※ 本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。

簡介目錄

預計印尼地熱能市場在預測期內將維持5.5%以上的複合年成長率。

COVID-19 對市場產生了負面影響。目前市場處於大流行前的水平。

主要亮點

從長遠來看，政府為減少對石化燃料的依賴從而減少二氧化碳排放所做的努力將成為市場的關鍵驅動力。預計電力需求的增加將在預測期內推動市場。
另一方面，由於地熱能比石化燃料電力更昂貴，且與太陽能和風能等其他可再生能源的競爭更加激烈，預計預測期內市場成長將放緩。

到2030年，預計人口將達到2.96億，都市化將上升至71%，電力需求預計將增加。印尼政府希望在 2030 年將二氧化碳排放減少 29%。這可能透過增加可再生能源的使用來滿足不斷成長的電力需求來實現。預計這將在不久的將來為地熱市場提供成長機會。

印尼地熱能市場趨勢

電力需求的增加可能會推動市場

隨著印尼人口和城市的成長，對電力的需求逐年增加。 2021年，印尼電力消耗量將達到16,838萬桶油當量。
2021年，印尼居民電力消耗量總量約為70,289,000桶油當量。家庭電力消耗量最大，約佔總電力消耗量的41.7%。
印尼的住宅用電需求預計將增加至 350 太瓦時。同時，工業和商業部門的需求預計將分別增加至約80TWh和70TWh。
家庭電器產品的使用預計將成為電力消耗量增加的主要因素。相較之下，金屬、化學、食品和紡織業預計將成為工業電力消耗的主要驅動力。

隨著人口成長，預計到 2050 年印尼家庭數量將增加到近 8,000 萬戶。因此，未來幾年用電量可能會增加。隨著各國政府尋求增加可再生能源的發電量，地熱能作為潛在的電力源預計將在未來幾年內成長。

即將建成的燃煤發電廠可能會限制市場成長

2021年，印尼電站裝置容量增加至近74,532.94MW，較2020年容量約72,750.73MW。 2021年蒸氣電廠在電廠產業中佔據主導地位，裝置容量約佔總設備容量的51.8%。
2021年以燃料計算的初級能源消費量為8.31艾焦耳，其中煤炭佔39%，天然氣佔16%，石油占34%，可再生能源佔7.5%。
該國高度依賴燃煤電廠，並計劃在建造新電廠的同時保持現有燃煤電廠的運作。 2021年煤炭能源消費量為8,782萬桶油當量。
2022年11月，印尼政府批准興建總容量13吉瓦的新燃煤電廠，並已提交競標。該國2021-2030年十年能源計畫明確闡述了這項戰略。值得注意的是，佐科威總統於 2022 年簽署了一項允許開發「專屬式燃煤電廠」的法律。
增加燃煤發電廠的容量預計將成為電力生產的重要組成部分。預計將滿足未來幾年成長的大部分電力需求。因此，印尼地熱能和其他再生能源來源的成長預計將放緩。

印尼地熱能產業概況

印尼地熱能市場適度整合。市場主要參與企業包括（排名不分先後）：Enal SpA、東芝能源系統與解決方案公司、BCPG Public Company Limited、PT Supreme Energy 和 Sarulla Operations Ltd。

其他好處

Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
3 個月分析師支持

Key Highlights

Over the long term, the primary driver for the market will be the government's efforts to reduce the country's dependency on fossil fuels and thereby reduce CO2 emissions. Increasing electricity demand is likely to drive the market during the forecast period.
On the other hand, geothermal energy is more expensive than power from fossil fuels, and there is more competition from other renewable energy sources, like solar and wind, which is expected to slow market growth during the forecast period.

Nevertheless, with an estimated population of 296 million and an increased urbanization rate of 71% by 2030, electricity demand is expected to grow. The Indonesian government wants to cut CO2 emissions by 29% by 2030. This is most likely to be done by increasing the use of renewable energy to meet the growing electricity demand. This is likely to give the geothermal market a chance to grow in the near future.

Indonesia Geothermal Energy Market Trends

Increasing Demand for Electricity is Likely to Drive the Market

Indonesia's need for electricity has grown over the years as the country's population and cities have grown. In 2021, the electricity consumption in Indonesia accounted for 168.38 million BOE (barrel oil equivalent).
In 2021, the total electricity consumption of the household sector in Indonesia was nearly 70,289 thousand BOE. Households consumed the highest percentage of electricity, with almost 41.7% of the total electricity consumed.
It is estimated that the household electricity demand in Indonesia is likely to increase to 350 TWh. In contrast, demand in the industrial and commercial sectors is expected to rise to about 80 TWh and 70 TWh, respectively.
The use of electronic appliances in the household sector is expected to be the primary driver of the increase in electricity consumption. In contrast, the metal, chemical, food, and textile industries are expected to be the major drivers for industrial electricity consumption.

With a growing population, Indonesian households will likely grow to almost 80 million by 2050. This will likely increase the amount of electricity used in the coming years. Geothermal energy as a possible source of electricity is expected to grow over the next few years because the government is trying to increase the amount of electricity made from renewable energy.

Upcoming Coal Fired Power Plant is Likely to Restrict the Market Growth

In 2021, Indonesia's power plant installed capacity increased to nearly 74,532.94 MW, which was around 72,750.73 MW compared to the capacity in 2020. With a total installed capacity of about 51.8%, steam power plants dominated the power plant industry in 2021.
In 2021, primary energy consumption by fuel accounted for 8.31 exajoules, which were generated from 39% coal, 16% natural gas, 34% oil, and 7.5% renewables.
The country has a high reliance on coal-based power plants; thus, there are plans to build new coal power plants with existing coal power plants in operation. In 2021, energy consumption from coal accounted for 87.82 million BOE (barrel oil equivalent).
In November 2022, the Indonesian government permitted the building new coal plants that had already been bid out and had a total capacity of 13 gigawatts. The country's 10-year energy plan for 2021-2030 lays out the strategy. Notably, President Joko Widodo signed legislation into law in 2022, allowing the development of "captive coal plants."
Increasing the capacity of coal-fired power plants is expected to make up a big part of how electricity is made. It will likely meet most of the growing demand for electricity over the next few years. This is expected to slow the growth of the country's geothermal energy and other renewable sources.

Indonesia Geothermal Energy Industry Overview

The Indonesia geothermal energy market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in the market ( not in particular order ) include Enal SpA, Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation, BCPG Public Company Limited, PT Supreme Energy, and Sarulla Operations Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
3 months of analyst support

1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Scope of the Study
1.2 Market Definition
1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Installed Capacity and Forecast in MW, till 2027
4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
4.5 Market Dynamics
- 4.5.1 Drivers
- 4.5.2 Restraints
4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
4.7 PESTLE Analysis

5 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

5.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
5.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
5.3 Company Profiles
- 5.3.1 Enal SpA
- 5.3.2 Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
- 5.3.3 BCPG Public Company Limited
- 5.3.4 PT Supreme Energy
- 5.3.5 Sarulla Operations Ltd.