市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1445434
貨運:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2024-2029)Freight Forwarding - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029) |
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2024年貨運市場規模預計為1760.2億美元,預計到2029年將達到2158.1億美元,在預測期內(2024-2029年)年複合成長率為4.16%成長。
由於多重衝擊對全球經濟帶來壓力,預計全球貿易將在 2022 年下半年失去動力,並在 2023 年保持疲軟。世貿組織經濟學家目前預計 2022 年全球商品貿易量將成長 3.5%,高於 4 月的 3.0%。不過,預計2023年將成長1.0%,較先前預測的3.4%大幅下降。由於多種原因,主要國家的成長預計將放緩,進口需求預計將放緩。俄羅斯和烏克蘭衝突造成的能源價格上漲可能會減少歐洲家庭支出並增加製造成本。美國的金融緊縮可能會影響對利率敏感的支出,例如住宅、汽車和固定投資。
加拿大商品進口繼 2022 年 1 月下降 7.5% 後,2022 年 2 月成長 3.9%。同時,2022年2月出口成長2.8%,主要是由於能源產品出口增加。受此影響,加拿大全球商品貿易順差從1月的31億美元降至2月的27億美元。 2月基礎化學品、工業化學品、塑膠和橡膠產品進口成長5.6%,其中化肥、農藥和其他化學品進口創紀錄(成長18.4%)是推動因素。最近發生的一系列事件影響了該行業,包括中國產量下降、俄羅斯新的化肥出口配額以及烏克蘭衝突。這些事件引起了人們對這些產品的可用性和成本的擔憂,從而導致加拿大化肥進口的典型舉動。
2022年對於貨櫃運輸業的從業人員來說是盈利的一年。隨著疫情的結束,預計出貨狀況將比過去兩年更加穩定。 2022年國際貨櫃出口量成長約2-3%。這不僅是去年訂單積壓的原因,也與航運業復甦緩慢有關。此外,未來幾個月,全球港口堵塞預計將恢復正常。然而,這在很大程度上取決於大流行,因為新的 COVID-19 爆發可能會使情況變得更糟。
航空貨運業目前面臨多項挑戰,包括飛機停飛、航線減少、需求減少等。一些跨國航空貨運公司報告稱,與大流行期間相比,需求減少。電商旺季已經開始,距離假期季節開始還有不到兩個月的時間。然而,儘管時機如此,航空貨運業的消費者需求卻在下降,與過去兩年貨物需求的激增形成鮮明對比。簡而言之,由於多種因素,航空貨運公司預計 2022 年第四季將表現疲軟。
客戶需求正在推動全通路技術的發展趨勢。航空公司正在認知到有必要超越傳統的機場到機場航線,航空公司和其他相關人員也已經認知到提供端到端協助的好處。隨著這種趨勢的恢復,航空公司和托運人之間的協議可能會進一步發展。航空運輸未來很可能採取全通路策略,更容易以有限的運能和合理的定價來競爭。除了航空貨運領域的機會外,還有其他挑戰,因為重大權益為貨運和客運以及各行業的公司帶來了招聘危機。
貨運代理市場呈碎片化,由全球、區域和本地參與者組成。當地中小型企業仍然以小型車隊和儲存空間服務市場。然而,前 20 名公司佔據市場主導地位,佔市場總量的 50% 以上。該市場的主要企業包括 DHL Global Forwarding、Kuehne+Nagel International AG、DB Schenker、DSV、Expeditors International 等。貨運代理市場正穩定成長,機會無所不在,要求企業擁抱科技、數位化,提高業務規模和效率。對公司來說,擁有遍布全球的強大網路非常重要。外國投資者對東協物流市場的併購興趣日益濃厚。由於商業和貿易活動的增加,全球物流公司正在向東協地區擴張。
The Freight Forwarding Market size is estimated at USD 176.02 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 215.81 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 4.16% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
As multiple shocks weigh on the global economy, global trade is expected to lose momentum in the second half of 2022 and remain subdued in 2023. WTO economists now forecast a 3.5% growth in global merchandise trade volumes in 2022, up from 3.0% in April 2022. However, they predict a 1.0% increase in 2023, a significant decrease from the previous estimate of 3.4%. Import demand is expected to soften as growth in major economies slows for a variety of reasons. High energy prices caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict will reduce household spending and raise manufacturing costs in Europe. Monetary policy tightening in the United States will have an impact on interest-sensitive spending in areas such as housing, automobiles, and fixed investment.
Canada's merchandise imports increased by 3.9% in February 2022, following a 7.5% decline in January 2022. Meanwhile, exports increased by 2.8% in February 2022, owing primarily to increased exports of energy products. As a result, Canada's global merchandise trade surplus fell from USD 3.1 billion in January to USD 2.7 billion in February. Imports of basic and industrial chemicals, plastics, and rubber products increased 5.6% in February, owing in part to record-high imports of fertilizers, pesticides, and other chemical products (+18.4%). A slew of recent events has had an impact on this industry, including lower Chinese output, new Russian fertilizer export quotas, and the Ukraine conflict. These occurrences raise concerns about the availability and cost of these products, resulting in a typical movement for Canadian fertilizer imports.
For those working in the container shipping industry, 2022 was a profitable year. The end of the pandemic is expected to make the shipping scenario more stable than it has been in the previous two years. The volume of international container exports increased by around 2-3% in 2022. This is due not only to last year's backlogs but also to the maritime shipping sector's slow recovery. Furthermore, port congestion is expected to normalise in the coming months around the world. However, this was heavily dependent on the pandemic, as another COVID-19 outbreak could worsen the situation.
The air freight industry is currently dealing with several issues, including grounded planes, route reductions, and a drop in demand. Some multinational air freight companies are reporting a drop in demand compared to the pandemic period. The peak season for e-commerce has already begun, with less than two months until the start of the holiday season. However, despite the time of year, the air freight sector is experiencing a drop in consumer demand, as opposed to the previous two years' burgeoning demand for goods. Simply put, air freight companies anticipate a subdued fourth quarter of 2022 due to several factors.
Customer needs are fueling a growing trend toward omnichannel techniques. Airlines are recognising the need to expand their operations beyond traditional airport-to-airport routes, and airlines and other stakeholders are already recognizing the benefits of providing end-to-end assistance. As this trend resumes, agreements between airlines and shippers are likely to prosper. Air shipment will most likely adopt an omnichannel strategy in the future, making it easier to compete for limited cargo capacity and reasonable pricing. In addition to the opportunities for air cargo, there are additional challenges, with the significant concession feigning recruitment crises for the business on both freight and passenger positions, as it is for various sectors.
The freight forwarding market is fragmented with a mix of global, regional, and local players. Small- and medium-sized local players still serve the market with small fleets and storage spaces. However, the top 20 players dominate the market, accounting for more than 50% of the total market. Leading players in the market include DHL Global Forwarding, Kuehne + Nagel International AG, DB Schenker, DSV, Expeditors International, and many more. As the freight forwarding market is growing steadily and there exists abundant opportunity, the players need to embrace technologies, become more digitized, and increase the scale and efficiency of their operations. Having a strong network spanning the globe is important for companies. International investors are increasingly interested in mergers and acquisitions in the ASEAN logistics market. Global logistics companies have been expanding in the ASEAN region because of increased commerce and trade activities.