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1631618

小水力發電 -市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢/統計、成長預測（2025-2030）

Small Hydropower - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 125 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

小水力發電市場規模預計將從2025年的93.54吉瓦擴大到2030年的110.98吉瓦，預測期間（2025-2030年）複合年成長率為3.48%。

小水電-市場-IMG1

主要亮點

  • 中期來看，小水力發電市場投資增加和綠能需求上升等因素預計將推動市場發展。
  • 另一方面，不穩定的能源供應極大地阻礙了市場的成長。
  • 物聯網與水力發電的整合以及小水力發電維持農村生計的積極前景預計將為小水力發電市場創造巨大機會。
  • 由於電力需求旺盛，亞太地區預計將成為預測期內最大的市場。預計這將導致進一步成長。

小水力發電市場趨勢

1-10MW細分市場預計將主導市場

  • 在預測期內，1-10兆瓦部分預計將擁有小水力發電市場的最大容量。 1-10 MW 電廠的比例如此之高，是由於開發中國家（特別是亞洲）正在開發小型分散的農村電氣化計劃。
  • 此外，1至10兆瓦之間的小水力發電廠每千瓦的投資成本通常低於1兆瓦以下的電站。此外，1～10MW水力發電廠具有水頭高、裝置容量大的優點。
  • 印度和中國等新興經濟體、東南亞和烏茲別克等地區以及英國等歐洲國家都將小水力發電發電工程與其他再生能源來源同等重視。
  • 根據英國能源統計摘要 (DUKES) 的數據，2013 年至英國英國水力發電發電量持續成長。到 2023 年，英國已從小型水力發電設施獲得了 1,377 吉瓦時的電力。預計這種成長率將在預測期內持續下去。
  • 此外，國際可再生能源機構（IRENA）對開發中國家的幾個實際小水力發電發電工程進行了評估，發現度電成本在0.02美元/千瓦時至0.10美元/千瓦時之間。因此，小規模水力發電被定位為電網供電和離網農村電氣化工作的具有成本競爭力的選擇。在這種情況下，許多新興國家的小型發電工程正在蓬勃發展。
  • 例如，20242年4月，肯亞國家發電公司肯亞發電公司（KenGen）邀請合格顧問表達意向。其重點是為開發新的小型水力發電廠進行預可行性研究，並評估現有發電廠修復和再開發的潛力。
  • 因此，由於上述因素，預計1-10兆瓦裝置容量領域將在預測期內主導全球小水力發電市場。

亞太地區預計將主導市場

  • 近年來，亞太地區在小水力發電 (SHP) 市場上佔據主導地位，並可能在預測期內保持其主導地位。截至2023年，亞太地區持續擁有最大的裝置容量和高達10MW的小水力發電潛力。
  • 印度和中國等主要國家將小水力發電發電工程與其他再生能源來源同等重視。例如，2016年，印度魯爾基理工學院對小水力發電的潛力進行了評估。根據結果，小水力發電潛力估計為 21,133 兆瓦，分佈在 7,133 個已確定地點。該評估包括流域、運河和水壩計劃。
  • 根據中央電力局 (CEA) 報告，截至 2024 年 3 月，印度小型水力發電 (SHP)總設備容量為 5,003.25 兆瓦。 2023-24年小水力發電發電容量為948,504萬單位（MU）。
  • 此外，越南於2021年宣布了電力發展計畫8（PDP8），目標是到2045年將可再生能源的佔有率提高到75%。小水力發電總發電量目標是2025年達到4800MW，2030年達到5,000MW，2045年接近6,000MW。政府計劃在電力領域投資130億美元，其中水電佔總總設備容量的17.7%至19.5%。
  • 此外，該地區的小型發電工程也得到了大力發展。例如，2024 年 1 月，梅加拉亞邦政府與 ONGC Tripura Power Company Ltd (OTPC) 簽署了一份合作備忘錄 (MOU)，以採取戰略舉措來利用該州巨大的水力發電潛力。該合作備忘錄設定了雄心勃勃的目標，包括建立抽水蓄能發電工程、大大小小的水力發電企業以及浮體式太陽能發電工程等創新解決方案。
  • 因此，由於上述因素，亞太地區預計將在預測期內主導全球小水力發電市場。

小水電產業概況

全球小水力發電市場是細分的。主要參與企業（排名不分先後）包括 Andritz AG、Voith GmbH &Co.KGaA、Siemens Energy AG、GE Renewable Energy 和 Gilbert Gilkes &Gordon Ltd。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月分析師支持

目錄

第1章簡介

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 研究場所

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章調查方法

第4章市場概況

  • 介紹
  • 到2029年的裝置容量和預測
  • 主要地區小型水力發電裝置容量佔比（2023年）
  • 管道和即將進行的小型發電工程
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府法規和措施
  • 市場動態
    • 促進因素
      • 對清潔和永續電力的需求快速成長
    • 抑制因素
      • 能源供應不穩定
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間敵對關係的強度

第5章市場區隔

  • 發電能力
    • 1MW以下
    • 1～10MW
  • 目的
    • 電力基礎設施
    • 土木工程工作
    • 其他
  • 地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 西班牙
      • 北歐的
      • 土耳其
      • 俄羅斯
      • 歐洲其他地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 馬來西亞
      • 泰國
      • 越南
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 中東/非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 奈及利亞
      • 埃及
      • 南非
      • 其他中東/非洲
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 哥倫比亞
      • 南美洲其他地區

第6章 競爭狀況

  • 併購、合資、聯盟、協議
  • 主要企業策略
  • 公司簡介
    • Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • Andritz AG
    • GE Renewable Energy
    • Siemens Energy AG
    • Gilbert Gilkes & Gordon Ltd.
    • Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • PJSC RusHydro
    • FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • Natel Energy, Inc.
    • Kolektor Group
  • List of Other Prominent Players
  • 市場排名分析

第7章 市場機會及未來趨勢

  • 物聯網與水力發電融合，小水力發電大壩前景看好
簡介目錄
Product Code: 72369

The Small Hydropower Market size in terms of installed base is expected to grow from 93.54 gigawatt in 2025 to 110.98 gigawatt by 2030, at a CAGR of 3.48% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Small Hydropower - Market - IMG1

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, factors like increasing investment in the small hydropower market and increasing demand for clean electricity are expected to drive the market.
  • On the other hand, an unstable energy supply significantly hinders market growth.
  • Nevertheless, integrating IoT with hydropower and the positive outlook toward small hydropower dams to sustain lives in rural communities are expected to create enormous opportunities for the Small Hydropower Market.
  • Asia-Pacific is expected to be the largest market in the forecast period due to the high demand for electricity in the region. This will facilitate further growth.

Small Hydropower Market Trends

The 1-10 MW Segment Expected to Dominate the Market

  • During the forecast period, the 1-10 MW segment is expected to be the most abundant small hydropower market in capacity. This higher proportion of 1-10 MW plants can be attributed to small-scale decentralized projects for rural electrification deployed in developing countries, particularly in Asia.
  • Further, the investment costs per kW for small hydropower plants in the 1 - 10 MW range are generally lower than those for plants under 1 MW. The 1 - 10 MW plants also benefit from a higher head and greater installed capacity.
  • Developing economies, such as India and China, regions in Southeast Asia and Uzbekistan, and countries in Europe, like the United Kingdom, are giving equal priority to small hydropower projects along with other renewable energy sources.
  • According to Digest of UK Energy Statistics (DUKES), From 2013 to 2023, the United Kingdom (UK) saw a consistent rise in electricity generation from small-scale hydro sources. By 2023, the UK harnessed 1,377 gigawatt hours of electricity from its small hydropower facilities. This increase in growth rate is expected to continue during the forecasted period.
  • Moreover, the International Renewable Energy Agency's (IRENA) evaluation of several real-world small hydropower projects in developing countries revealed an LCOE range of USD 0.02 to USD 0.10/kWh. This positions small hydro as a highly cost-competitive choice for grid electricity supply and off-grid rural electrification initiatives. Many developing countries witnessed significant developments in small hydropower projects in such a scenario.
  • For instance, in April 20242, Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen), the state power producer of Kenya, called for expressions of interest from qualified consultants. The focus is on conducting pre-feasibility studies for the development of new small hydropower plants and assessing the potential rehabilitation and redevelopment of existing ones.
  • Therefore, based on the abovementioned factors, the 1-10 MW capacity segment will dominate the small global hydropower market during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific Expected to Dominate the Market

  • The Asia-Pacific region has dominated the small hydropower (SHP) market in recent years and will likely maintain its dominance during the forecast period. As of 2023, Asia-Pacific continues to have the largest installed capacity and potential for small hydropower up to 10 MW.
  • Major countries such as India and China are giving equal priority to small hydropower projects along with other renewable energy sources. For instance, in 2016, the Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, conducted an assessment of the potential for Small Hydropower. According to their findings, Small Hydropower has an estimated potential of 21,133 MW, spread across 7,133 identified sites. This assessment encompasses Run-of-River, Canal-based, and Dam-toe projects.
  • As of March 2024, the total installed capacity for small-hydro power (SHP) in India reached 5,003.25 MW, as reported by the Central Electricity Authority (CEA). In the fiscal year 2023-24, SHP plants generated 9,485.04 million units (MUs).
  • Furthermore, Vietnam published Power Development Plan 8 (PDP8) in 2021, which targets a share of 75% for renewable energy by 2045. The total capacity of small hydropower sources is targeted to reach 4,800 MW in 2025, 5,000 MW in 2030, and nearly 6,000 MW by 2045. The government plans to invest USD 13 billion in the power sector, and hydropower would account for 17.7% -19.5% of the total installed capacity.
  • Further, the region witnessed significant developments in small-scale hydro projects. For instance, in January 2024, the government of Meghalaya signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with ONGC Tripura Power Company Ltd (OTPC), marking a strategic initiative to tap into the state's vast hydropower potential. The MOU sets ambitious goals, including establishing a Pump Storage Hydro Power Project, various large and small-scale hydroelectric power ventures, and innovative solutions like floating solar projects.
  • Therefore, based on the abovementioned factors, Asia-Pacific is expected to dominate the global small hydropower market during the forecast period.

Small Hydropower Industry Overview

The global small hydropower market is fragmented. Some major players (in no particular order) include Andritz AG, Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA, Siemens Energy AG, GE Renewable Energy, and Gilbert Gilkes & Gordon Ltd., among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Installed Capacity and Forecast, till 2029
  • 4.3 Small Hydropower Installed Capacity Share, by Major Region, 2023
  • 4.4 Small Hydropower Projects in Pipeline and Upcoming
  • 4.5 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.6 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.7 Market Dynamics
    • 4.7.1 Drivers
      • 4.7.1.1 Surge in Demand for Clean and Sustainable Power
    • 4.7.2 Restraints
      • 4.7.2.1 Unstable Energy Supply
  • 4.8 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.9 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.9.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.9.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.9.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.9.4 Threat of Substitute Products and Services
    • 4.9.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Capacity
    • 5.1.1 Up to 1 MW
    • 5.1.2 1-10 MW
  • 5.2 Application
    • 5.2.1 Power Infrastructure
    • 5.2.2 Civil Works
    • 5.2.3 Other Applications
  • 5.3 Geography
    • 5.3.1 North America
      • 5.3.1.1 United States
      • 5.3.1.2 Canada
      • 5.3.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.3.2 Europe
      • 5.3.2.1 Germany
      • 5.3.2.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.3.2.3 France
      • 5.3.2.4 Italy
      • 5.3.2.5 Spain
      • 5.3.2.6 Nordic
      • 5.3.2.7 Turkey
      • 5.3.2.8 Russia
      • 5.3.2.9 Rest of Europe
    • 5.3.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.3.3.1 China
      • 5.3.3.2 India
      • 5.3.3.3 Japan
      • 5.3.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.3.3.5 Malaysia
      • 5.3.3.6 Thailand
      • 5.3.3.7 Vietnam
      • 5.3.3.8 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.3.4 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.3.4.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.3.4.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.3.4.3 Nigeria
      • 5.3.4.4 Egypt
      • 5.3.4.5 South Africa
      • 5.3.4.6 Rest of Middle East and Africa
    • 5.3.5 South America
      • 5.3.5.1 Brazil
      • 5.3.5.2 Argentina
      • 5.3.5.3 Colombia
      • 5.3.5.4 Rest of South America

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • 6.3.2 Andritz AG
    • 6.3.3 GE Renewable Energy
    • 6.3.4 Siemens Energy AG
    • 6.3.5 Gilbert Gilkes & Gordon Ltd.
    • 6.3.6 Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • 6.3.7 PJSC RusHydro
    • 6.3.8 FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • 6.3.9 Natel Energy, Inc.
    • 6.3.10 Kolektor Group
  • 6.4 List of Other Prominent Players
  • 6.5 Market Ranking Analysis

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

  • 7.1 Integrating IoT with Hydropower and the Positive Outlook toward Small Hydropower Dams