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市場調查報告書
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1635522

亞太地區小水力發電 -市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2025-2030）

Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

亞太小水力發電市場預計在預測期內複合年成長率將超過1.5%。

亞太小水電市場-IMG1

2020 年，市場受到 COVID-19 大流行的負面影響。目前市場處於大流行前的水平。

主要亮點

  • 從中期來看，對可靠電力的需求不斷成長、對氣候可再生和小發電工程的投資增加以及政策舉措等因素將在預測期內推動全球小型水力發電市場的發展。
  • 另一方面，不穩定的能源供應預計將阻礙市場成長，因為發電量將受到季節性高低的影響，並可能在預測期內對小型水力發電設施構成阻礙力。
  • 物聯網與水力發電的融合以及小型水力發電大壩維持農村地區生計的積極前景預計將在未來幾年為全球小水力發電市場創造重大機會。
  • 由於政府在小水力發電開發方面採取的措施等因素，預計越南在預測期內將佔據相當大的市場佔有率；

亞太小水力發電市場趨勢

1-10MW細分市場預計將主導市場

  • 以市場容量計算，1-10 MW 預計在預測期內最受歡迎。 1-10 MW 電廠的高比例（近 80%）歸因於開發中國家（特別是中國、印度、日本、印尼和越南）為農村電氣化部署的小規模分散計劃。
  • 根據國際可再生能源機構（IRENA）的數據，2021年亞太地區水力發電裝置容量已達608.72GW，較2020年（584.23GW）成長4.1%。
  • 小水力發電在印尼農村和離網電氣化中發揮重要作用。截至2020年終，已建成小水力發電廠和5千瓦至400千瓦小電網286座，解決了農村群眾用電問題。此外，從 1992 年到 2018 年，當地非政府組織 IBEKA 在蘇門答臘島、爪哇島、加里曼丹島、蘇拉威西島和努沙登加拉島建造了 65 座小型水力發電發電廠。這些電廠的輸出功率範圍為0.5至170kW，總設備容量為2,636kW。
  • 這導致了印度尼西亞各地小型發電工程的開發。例如，Andritz Energy 於 2022 年 8 月在西爪哇省 Garut運作了1.748 MW x 3 Cikaengan 1 小型水力發電廠。此外，2021年11月，Andritz Energy的3.82MW x 2 Chikaengan 2小型水力發電廠成功取得TOC（接管證書）。
  • 印度設定了2022年實現小型水力發電裝置5GW的國家目標，總體目標是實現累積併網可再生能源裝置175GW。截至2019年終，全國已建成小型水力發電發電工程1,127個，裝置容量467千萬瓦。
  • 因此，由於多個地區政府的支持力度加大以及小水力發電發展的巨大潛力，預計小水電市場在預測期內將顯著成長。

越南佔有很大的市場佔有率

  • 越南是東南亞最大的水力發電市場之一。根據越南電力局（EVN）統計，截至2022年，越南水力發電裝置容量為207.4千萬瓦，佔全國總設備容量的近29.9%。
  • 傳統上，水力發電一直佔有較大比重，佔越南總發電量的30.77%。傳統上，越南經濟嚴重依賴水力發電來滿足國內需求。但隨著國內需求的激增，燃煤發電佔比有所上升，其他可再生能源也穩定成長，但佔發電總量的比重較小。
  • 隨著越南政府發展可再生能源產能，預計未來幾年越南將安裝超過 13GW 的裝置容量。到 2020 年至 2025 年，預計約 70% 的可再生主導轉型將由太陽能和水力發電提供支援。因此，為了實現可再生能源目標並發展能源產業，政府啟動了各種發電工程，預計將在預測期內支持市場成長。
  • 根據IRENA統計，2021年亞太地區水力發電裝置容量已達4,272萬千瓦，較2020年（3,837萬千瓦）成長11.3%。
  • 2021年公佈的電力發展計畫8（PDP8）旨在2045年將可再生能源的比例提高到75%。小水力發電總發電量目標是2025年達到4800MW，2030年達到5,000MW，2045年接近6,000MW。政府計劃在電力領域投資120億美元至130億美元，其中水電佔總總設備容量的17.7%至19.5%。至2030年，整個電力系統的裝置容量將約為130,370至143,839兆瓦。
  • 2022年4月，Flovel Energy宣布簽署越南Nam Thanh 3HPP（8.75MW x 2）水平式混流機組契約。 Truong Thanh投資建設有限公司正在開發該計劃。 Nam Thanh 3發電工程位於越南安沛省，是該公司在該省的第八個計劃。
  • 因此，由於上述因素，預計越南將在預測期內佔據亞太小水力發電市場的重要佔有率。

亞太小水電產業概況

亞太小水電市場是細分的。該市場的主要企業包括（排名不分先後）東芝能源系統及解決方案公司、FLOVEL Energy Private Limited、Gesto-Energia SA、通用電氣公司和中國電力建設集團公司。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月分析師支持

目錄

第1章簡介

  • 調查範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 研究場所

第 2 章執行摘要

第3章調查方法

第4章市場概況

  • 介紹
  • 至2027年裝置容量及預測（單位：GW）
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府法規和措施
  • 市場動態
    • 促進因素
    • 抑制因素
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間敵對關係的強度

第5章市場區隔

  • 按容量
    • 1MW以下
    • 1～10MW
  • 按用途
    • 電力基礎設施
    • 土木工程工作
    • 其他
  • 按地區
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 印尼
    • 越南
    • 其他亞太地區

第6章 競爭狀況

  • 併購、合資、聯盟、協議
  • 主要企業策略
  • 公司簡介
    • Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • Gesto-Energia SA
    • General Electric Company
    • Power Construction Corporation of China
    • Andritz AG
    • Siemens Energy AG
    • Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
    • Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • Stantec Inc.

第7章市場機會與未來趨勢

簡介目錄
Product Code: 92992

The Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 1.5% during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific Small Hydropower - Market - IMG1

The market was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Presently, the market has reached pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, factors such as the rising demand for reliable electricity, increasing investments for renewable and small hydropower projects in response to climate change, and policy initiatives are expected to drive the global small hydropower market during the forecast period.
  • On the other hand, an unstable energy supply is expected to hinder market growth because the energy generated depends on seasonal highs and lows and can act as a deterrent for small hydropower installations during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, the integration of IoT with hydropower and the positive outlook toward small hydropower dams to sustain lives in rural communities are expected to create significant opportunities for the global small hydropower market in the coming years.
  • Vietnam is expected to have a significant share in the market during the forecast period due to factors such as government policies in developing small hydropower,

APAC Small Hydropower Market Trends

The 1-10 MW Segment Expected to Dominate the Market

  • The 1-10 MW segment is projected to be the most abundant small hydropower plant type by capacity in the market during the forecast period. This higher share of 1-10 MW plants (almost 80%) can be attributed to the small-scale decentralized projects deployed in developing nations, especially in China, India, Japan, Indonesia, and Vietnam, for rural electrification.
  • According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), in 2021, there was already 608.72 GW of hydropower capacity in the Asia-Pacific region, which is 4.1% higher than in 2020 (584.23 GW).
  • Small hydro plays an essential role in rural and off-grid electrification in Indonesia. By the end of 2020, 286 SHP plants and mini-grid with a range of capacity from 5 to 400 kW have been installed to provide people in rural areas with access to electricity. Additionally, during 1992-2018, IBEKA, a local NGO, constructed 65 SHP plants in Sumatera, Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and Nusa Tenggara. These plants range between 0.5 and 170 kW, with a total installed capacity of 2,636 kW.
  • This has kickstarted the development of several small-scale hydropower projects all over Indonesia. For instance, in August 2022, Andritz Energy commissioned the 3 x 1.748 MW Cikaengan 1 Mini Hydropower Plant in Garut, West Java. Additionally, in November 2021, Andritz Energy's 2 x 3.82 MW Cikaengan 2 mini hydropower plant successfully obtained the TOC (Taking Over Certificate).
  • India has set a national target of achieving 5 GW of small hydropower capacity in 2022 under overall targets of achieving a cumulative grid-connected renewable energy capacity of 175 GW. The country has already installed 4.67 GW of small hydropower capacity by the end of 2019 through 1,127 small hydropower projects.
  • Therefore, with increasing support from several regional governments and a huge potential for SHP to be developed, the small hydropower market is expected to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Vietnam to have a Significant Share in the Market

  • Vietnam is one of the largest hydropower markets in Southeast Asia. According to the Electricity Authority of Vietnam (EVN), as of 2022, Vietnam had 20.774 GW of hydropower, accounting for nearly 29.9% of the country's total installed capacity.
  • Traditionally, hydropower has accounted for a significant share of the country's gross electricity generation mix, accounting for nearly 30.77% of the country's total electricity generation. Traditionally, the Vietnamese economy has relied heavily on hydroelectricity to satiate domestic demand. However, as domestic demand has increased rapidly, the share of coal-fired generation in electricity has grown, along with other renewables that have also grown at a steady pace but occupy a relatively smaller share of the total electricity generation mix.
  • As the Vietnamese government develops renewable energy capacity, over 13 GW of installations is anticipated to be installed in Vietnam within the next few years. Around 70% of this renewable-led transition is expected to be supported by solar PV and hydropower by 2020-2025. Thus, to achieve the renewable energy target and to develop its energy sector, the government has initiated various hydropower projects, which are expected to support the market's growth during the forecast period.
  • According to IRENA, in 2021, there was already 42.72 GW of hydropower capacity in the Asia-Pacific, which is 11.3% higher than in 2020 (38.37 GW).
  • Power Development Plan 8 (PDP8), published in 2021, targets a share of 75% for renewable energy by 2045. The total capacity of small hydropower sources is targeted to reach 4,800 MW in 2025, 5,000 MW in 2030, and nearly 6,000 MW by 2045. The government plans to invest USD 12-13 billion in the power sector, and hydropower would account for 17.7% -19.5% of the total installed capacity. The total installed capacity for the whole power system will come to around 130,370-143,839 MW by 2030.
  • In April 2022, Flovel Energy announced the signing of the contract for Nam Tang 3 HPP (2 x 8.75 MW) in Vietnam with Horizontal Francis units. Truong Thanh Investment Construction Company Limited is developing the project. Nam Tang 3 Hydro Project is located in Yen Bai Province, Vietnam, and is the company's eighth Project in the Yen Bai province.
  • Therefore, based on the above-mentioned factors, Vietnam is expected to have a significant share in the Asia-Pacific small hydropower market during the forecast period.

APAC Small Hydropower Industry Overview

The Asia-Pacific small hydropower market is fragmented. Some of the key players in the market (in no particular order) include Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation, FLOVEL Energy Private Limited, Gesto-Energia SA, General Electric Company, and Power Construction Corporation of China, among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Installed Capacity and Forecasts in GW, till 2027
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 By Capacity
    • 5.1.1 Up to 1 MW
    • 5.1.2 1-10 MW
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Power Infrastructure
    • 5.2.2 Civil Works
    • 5.2.3 Other Applications
  • 5.3 By Geography
    • 5.3.1 China
    • 5.3.2 India
    • 5.3.3 Japan
    • 5.3.4 Indonesia
    • 5.3.5 Vietnam
    • 5.3.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
    • 6.3.2 FLOVEL Energy Private Limited
    • 6.3.3 Gesto-Energia SA
    • 6.3.4 General Electric Company
    • 6.3.5 Power Construction Corporation of China
    • 6.3.6 Andritz AG
    • 6.3.7 Siemens Energy AG
    • 6.3.8 Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
    • 6.3.9 Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • 6.3.10 Stantec Inc.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS