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歐洲區域供熱 -市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢和統計、成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Europe District Heating - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計 2025 年歐洲區域供熱市場規模為 621.1 億美元，到 2030 年將達到 827.3 億美元，預測期內（2025-2030 年）的複合年成長率為 5.9%。

歐洲區域供熱市場-IMG1

機器學習、物聯網服務和智慧電錶等新技術的引入有助於最佳化加熱週期，以滿足歐洲各地的不同需求。

關鍵亮點

  • 區域供熱系統有助於提高能源效率並降低住宅和商業用戶的成本。預計該解決方案的需求會很高，尤其是在歐洲。預計未來幾年的投資將會更高。根據歐洲熱路線圖的資料，如果都市化趨勢持續下去並且實施正確的投資，到 2050 年區域供熱可以滿足歐洲近一半的熱量需求。
  • 目前，約有 6,000 萬歐盟公民使用區域供熱，另有 1.4 億歐盟公民居住在至少擁有一個區域供熱系統的城市。根據歐盟和國際能源總署的報告，區域供暖目前透過 6,000 個區域供熱和製冷網路滿足了歐盟約 11-12% 的熱量需求。
  • 世界各國政府越來越重視從石化燃料轉向可再生能源，預計將為區域供熱市場的創新提供重大機會。例如，2022年2月，歐洲暖氣市場同意逐步淘汰化石氣體，這是非政府組織和工業界的聯合計劃。
  • 例如芬蘭計劃在2030年將可再生能源在其能源消耗中的比例提高到50%左右。此外，也公佈了2030年中期氣候變遷計畫。芬蘭計劃在2030年前逐步關閉燃煤熱電聯產電廠，並在2025年前為轉向高效能生質熱電聯產和新供熱技術的營運商提供資金支持。由於電廠退役，區域供熱熱電聯產容量預計會下降。其餘區域供熱熱電聯產電廠可轉換為 100% 生質能。
  • 此外，隨著世界各地（尤其是歐洲）越來越關注脫碳，正在實施多項措施和計劃，促進區域供熱系統從石化燃料轉向再生能源的轉變。此外，Vattenfall AB 計劃對其在該城市的生產組合進行脫碳。脫碳過程將首先涉及2030年逐步淘汰煤炭/煤炭，隨後在2050年取代化石氣體。
  • 然而，安裝區域供熱系統通常需要大量的前期投資成本。這一成本因素可能成為市場成長的限制因素。區域供熱系統可能還需要協助，為較小的供熱負載或電網空間有限的地區提供有效的供熱解決方案。
  • 此外，俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭對全球，特別是歐洲的能源和糧食市場產生重大影響。自2021年下半年以來，該地區能源價格急劇上漲。俄烏戰爭導致燃料價格上漲，也引發民眾對該地區能源供應安全的擔憂。俄羅斯決定切斷對多個歐盟成員國的天然氣供應，進一步影響了局勢。

歐洲暖氣市場的趨勢

住宅終端用戶市場預計將佔據主要市場佔有率

  • 在歐洲，透過區域供熱系統的住宅消費佔有很大佔有率。這導致大量碳排放，阻礙2050年零排放的目標實現。因此，各國政府正在積極制定法規，以有效管理居民的區域供熱。多家公司正在創新有效的解決方案來應對歐洲緊迫的能源挑戰和不斷上升的碳排放。例如，2022年2月，威爾斯啟動了氫氣加熱試驗，以測試「世界上第一個氫混合加熱系統」。
  • 此外，英國政府目前正在為熱泵的初始資本支出提供資助，其中空氣源熱泵的成本和安裝資助最高可達 5,000 英鎊（約 6,110 美元），地源熱泵的資助最高可達 6,000 英鎊（約 7,332 美元）。然而，電熱泵的初始安裝成本仍然是全國許多潛在用戶的障礙。
  • 根據歐盟委員會統計，建築物佔歐洲能源消耗的40%。冷氣、暖氣、生活熱水等各種功能佔居民能源消耗的80%。這顯示家庭和建築物區域供熱系統所需的能源總量，需要更好的能源管理。因此，歐洲向開發更環保的空間供暖和其他中東和北非供暖相關服務解決方案的公司敞開了大門。
  • 歐盟委員會也指出，超過3000萬棟建築物能源消耗過高。這筆超額消耗大約是普通建築物的2.5倍，從而推高了家庭能源費用。這凸顯了歐洲家庭的高能源需求，但同時也顯示實施節能區域供熱解決方案也有空間。公司正在安裝由可再生能源驅動的個人化暖氣解決方案。
  • 隨著電費上漲，家庭每天都依靠天然氣來提供暖氣系統。天然氣也是一種可以儲存並加以充分利用的石化燃料。安裝由太陽能或地熱等可再生能源驅動的暖氣系統可以有效管理能源成本，並為減少二氧化碳排放、實現歐洲 2050 年的環境目標做出積極貢獻。

預計德國將引領歐洲市場成長

  • 根據德國聯邦統計局的數據，截至2022年12月31日，德國人口為8,436萬，高於2021年的8,324萬。根據climate-data.org報導，德國的年平均氣溫約為 8.7 度。這些人口統計數據表明，德國主要屬於寒冷地區，人口密集，是建立區域供熱廠的理想地區。
  • 德國的能源消費價格整體高於其他地區。例如，根據globalpetrolprices.com的數據，2022年9月德國住宅用電價為0.620美元/千瓦時，企業用電價為0.918美元/千瓦時，而全球平均住宅用電價為0.335美元/千瓦時，企業用電價為0.261美元/千瓦時。這清楚地表明了為了應對不斷上漲的電費，建築物對替代熱水和加熱解決方案的需求。因此，德國是區域供熱解決方案和熱泵的一個有前景的市場。
  • 多項政府法規正在促進區域供熱領域採用可再生能源，並鼓勵企業使用先進技術。德國政府制定了 2050 年氣候行動計劃，採取了長期而嚴肅的方針。例如，根據聯邦環境、自然保護、核能安和消費者保護部 (BMUV) 的說法，氣候行動計劃的目標是到 2030 年將二氧化碳排放在 1990 年的基礎上減少 66-67%，到 2050 年在德國全國範圍內實現幾乎氣候中性的供熱。這些熱情的舉措為其他熱衷於在德國實施更環保的區域供熱解決方案的公司鋪平了道路。
  • 在德國，區域供熱幾乎僅用於普通家庭供暖。工業供暖消耗往往高度依賴經濟趨勢，製造業傾向於使用區域供熱和製冷而不是工業製程。在商業和貿易服務中，它用於供暖以及熱水和其他加熱和冷卻過程。
  • 在德國，區域供熱和製冷被視為減少初級能源消耗和提高德國供應安全性的一項特別重要的措施。據區域供熱協會AGFW稱，到2030年，區域供熱與熱電聯產相結合可以減少4%的初級能源消耗和15%的國內能源進口。

歐洲供熱產業概況

歐洲區域供熱市場呈現半整合狀態，主要參與者包括 Vattenfall AB、Danfoss AS、Engie SA、Statkraft AS 和 Logstor AS。市場參與企業正在採取聯盟和收購等策略來加強其產品供應並獲得永續的競爭優勢。

2022 年 9 月，德國政府宣布了一項為期 2026 年的 30 億歐元（32 億美元）補貼計劃，用於支持建設使用至少 75%可再生能源的區域供熱網路。

2023 年 4 月，都柏林理工學院宣布將在都柏林能源機構 Codema 的支持下與南都柏林郡議會 (SDCC) 合作，建造愛爾蘭首個低碳區域供熱系統。非營利 Heatworks 區域供熱網路最初將為都柏林理工大學和聖地亞哥社區學院的 32,800平方公尺公共建築供熱，併計劃到 2025 年擴大到為 133 套經濟適用公寓供熱。

其他福利

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月的分析師支持

目錄

第 1 章 簡介

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 研究範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場動態

  • 市場概況
  • 產業吸引力-波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買家的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭強度
  • 產業價值鏈分析
  • 宏觀經濟趨勢如何影響市場
  • 政府針對區域供熱和製冷轉型的舉措和計劃
  • 區域供熱技術的發展

第5章 市場動態

  • 市場促進因素
    • 對節能、經濟的暖氣系統的需求不斷增加
    • 都市化和工業化進程
  • 市場問題
    • 基礎設施成本高

第6章 市場細分

  • 按最終用戶
    • 住宅
    • 商業/工業
  • 按國家
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 波蘭
    • 捷克共和國
    • 奧地利

第7章 競爭格局

  • 公司簡介
    • Vattenfall AB
    • Danfoss AS
    • Engie SA
    • Statkraft AS
    • Logstor AS
    • Vital Energi Ltd
    • Goteborg Energi
    • Alfa Laval AB
    • Ramboll Group AS

第8章投資分析

第9章：未來市場展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 90809

The Europe District Heating Market size is estimated at USD 62.11 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 82.73 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Europe District Heating - Market - IMG1

Introducing new technologies like machine learning, IoT services, and smart meters has helped optimize the heating cycles according to the varying demands in Europe.

Key Highlights

  • A district heating system helps achieve energy efficiency and reduces the cost for both residential and commercial users. The demand for the solutions is expected to be particularly high in Europe. It is expected to see higher investments over the coming years. According to the Heat Roadmap Europe data, if the urbanization trend continues and appropriate investments are implemented, district heating could meet almost half of Europe's heat demand by 2050.
  • Approximately 60 million EU (European Union) citizens are currently served by district heating, with an additional 140 million people living in cities with at least one district heating system. According to EU and the IEA reports, DH currently meets around 11-12 percent of the EU's heat demand via 6,000 district heating and cooling networks.
  • The increasing focus on the shift toward renewable energy sources, instead of fossil fuels, by the governments of multiple countries across the globe is expected to offer great opportunities for innovations in the district heating market. For instance, in February 2022, the European heating market agreed to phase out fossil gas, a joint decision undertaken by NGOs and industry.
  • For instance, Finland plans to increase the renewable energy share in its energy consumption to about 50 percent by 2030. Further, a medium-term climate change plan for 2030 was released. Finland plans to close coal-fired CHP plants slowly by 2030, along with financially supporting operators that switch to efficient biomass CHP and new heating technologies by 2025. It is expected to decrease the district heating CHP capacity due to the decommissioning of plants. The remaining district heating CHP plants can be converted to 100 percent biomass.
  • Additionally, the increasing decarbonization initiatives across the globe, specifically in Europe, led to initiatives and programs that fuel the transition of district heating systems from fossil fuels to renewables. Moreover, Vattenfall AB has plans to decarbonize its production portfolio in the cities. The decarbonization process is expected to be implemented first, with the coal/peat phase-out by 2030, followed by the replacement of fossil gas by 2050.
  • However, the installation of district heating systems often requires significant initial investment costs. This cost factor can act as a restraint on the market growth. The district heating systems may also need help in providing efficient heating solutions for small heating loads or in areas with limited space for distribution grids.
  • Moreover, Russia's invasion of Ukraine has highly impacted energy and food markets across the globe, especially in Europe. Since the second half of 2021, there has been a sharp increase in energy prices in the region. The price of fuels has risen as a consequence of the Russia-Ukraine war, which has also led to concerns related to the security of the energy supply in the region. Russia's decision to suspend gas deliveries to several EU member states has further impacted the situation.

Europe District Heating Market Trends

Residential End User Segment is Expected to Hold Significant Market Share

  • The residential consumption from the district heat systems accounts for a major share in Europe. This leads to many carbon emissions, hampering the countries' zero-emission goals of 2050. Hence, governments are actively forming regulations to manage district heat among residents efficiently. Several companies are innovating efficient solutions to cope with the pressing energy problems and increasing carbon emissions in Europe. For instance, in February 2022, a hydrogen heating trial began in Wales to test the 'world's first hydrogen hybrid heating system.
  • Further, the UK Government is presently offering contributions to the initial capital outlay on heat pumps, with GBP 5,000 (~USD 6,110) of the cost and installation of an air source heat pump and GBP 6,000 (~USD 7,332) for ground source heat pumps. However, the initial installation costs of an electric heat pump are still an off-putting hurdle to many potential users in the country.
  • According to the European Commission, Buildings account for 40 percent of Europe's energy consumption. Various functions like cooling, heating, and domestic hot water form 80 percent of the energy consumed by the citizens. This indicates the total energy requirement for district heating systems for households and buildings, demanding better energy management. Hence, the European region is open to companies developing greener solutions for space heating and other district heating-related services.
  • The European Commission also indicates that more than 30 million building units consume excessive energy. This excess consumption accounts for nearly 2.5 times more than average buildings, which drives up households' energy bills. It highlights the high energy requirements for families in Europe, but it also makes room for energy-efficient district heating solutions. Companies are introducing individual heating solutions using renewable energy resources.
  • As the electricity prices hike, households rely on natural gas to fuel their heating systems daily. Natural gas is another fossil fuel that can be preserved and put to better use. Introducing heating systems fueled by renewable energy resources like solar energy, geothermal energy, and others will help manage the energy expenses effectively and contribute actively to reducing the CO2 emission footprint for 2050 environmental goals in Europe.

Germany is anticipated to Drive the Market Growth in Europe

  • According to the Federal Statistical Office (Germany), in 2022, the population in Germany, as of December 31 of that year, amounted to 84.36 million people, an increase from 83.24 million in 2021. The average annual temperature in Germany, reported by climate-data.org, is about 8.7 degrees Celsius. These demographics show Germany's primarily cold and densely populated demography, making it a perfect region for district heating facilities.
  • The overall prices for energy consumption are higher in Germany compared to other regions. For instance, according to globalpetrolprices.com, the electricity prices in Germany in September 2022 accounted for USD 0.620 USD per kWh for households and 0.918 USD for businesses, compared to the world average electricity prices of USD 0.335/kWh for households and USD 0.261/kWh for businesses. This clearly states how the demand for alternative hot water and heating solutions for buildings becomes necessary to tackle the high electricity prices. Hence, Germany is a promising district heating solutions and heat pumps market.
  • Several Government regulations promote the adoption of renewable energy resources in the district heating sector, encouraging the companies to use advanced technologies. The German government takes serious and long-term steps under the Climate Action Plan 2050. For instance, according to BMUV (Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Nuclear Safety, and Consumer Protection), the Climate Action Plan aims to reduce CO2 emissions by 66-67 percent by 2030 compared to the emissions in 1990, to achieve virtually climate-neutral heat by 2050 across Germany. Such dedicated measures pave the way for companies looking forward to introducing greener district heating solutions in the country.
  • In German private households, district heating is used for the most part for space heating. Heating consumption in the industry tends to be more dependent on economic developments; manufacturing businesses tend to use district heating and cooling instead of industrial processes. In the commerce/trade/services sector, in addition to using space heating, use for heating water and other heating and cooling processes also plays a role.
  • In Germany, district heating and cooling are considered a particularly important instrument in reducing primary energy consumption and improving Germany's security of supply. According to the district heating association AGFW, until 2030, the combined use of district heating and combined heat and power production could reduce primary energy consumption by 4 percent and national energy imports by 15 percent.

Europe District Heating Industry Overview

The European district heating market is Semiconsloidated, with the presence of major players like Vattenfall AB, Danfoss AS, Engie SA, Statkraft AS, and Logstor AS. Players in the market are adopting strategies such as partnerships and acquisitions to enhance their product offerings and gain sustainable competitive advantage.

In September 2022, The German government announced the EUR 3 billion (USD 3.20 billion) subsidy scheme until 2026 that would sustain the construction of district heating grids that use at least 75 percent renewable energy.

In April 2023, TU Dublin, in collaboration with South Dublin County Council (SDCC) with the assistance of the Dublin energy agency, Codema, announced that it would be part of Ireland's first low-carbon sourced district heating system, with its Tallaght campus part of an innovative, low-carbon initiative. The not-for-profit Heatworks district heating network will initially provide heat to 32,800 sq mts of local public buildings at TU Dublin and SDCC, expanding to heat 133 affordable apartments in 2025.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Defnition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.2.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.2.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.2.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.2.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.3 Industry Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.4 The Impact of Macroeconomic Trends on the Market
  • 4.5 Government Initiatives and Programs on District Heating/Cooling Transition
  • 4.6 Development of District Heating Technology

5 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 5.1 Market Drivers
    • 5.1.1 Augmented Demand for Energy-efficient and Cost effective Heating Systems
    • 5.1.2 Rising Urbanization and Industrialization
  • 5.2 Market Challenges
    • 5.2.1 High Infrastructure Cost

6 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 6.1 By End User
    • 6.1.1 Residential
    • 6.1.2 Commercial and Industrial
  • 6.2 By Country
    • 6.2.1 Germany
    • 6.2.2 France
    • 6.2.3 Poland
    • 6.2.4 Czech Republic
    • 6.2.5 Austria

7 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 7.1 Company Profiles
    • 7.1.1 Vattenfall AB
    • 7.1.2 Danfoss AS
    • 7.1.3 Engie SA
    • 7.1.4 Statkraft AS
    • 7.1.5 Logstor AS
    • 7.1.6 Vital Energi Ltd
    • 7.1.7 Goteborg Energi
    • 7.1.8 Alfa Laval AB
    • 7.1.9 Ramboll Group AS

8 INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

9 FUTURE OUTLOOK OF MARKET