寒冷地區住宅熱泵

寒冷地區的住宅熱泵市場預計在未來10年將大幅成長。主要得益於變頻驅動壓縮機和冷媒的技術進步，熱泵現在即使在寒冷地區也能表現良好。儘管取得了這些進步，但除了一些歐洲國家和日本外，寒冷地區熱泵技術的採用率仍然相對較低。然而，隨著政府和利益相關者將建築脫碳目標作為更廣泛的氣候行動的一部分，許多人呼籲使用寒冷地區熱泵作為加熱脫碳的手段。類似的舉措很可能成為未來十年寒冷地區採用熱泵的主要動力。

目前市面上的熱泵技術中，適合寒冷地區家庭使用的有空氣對空氣熱泵、空氣對水熱泵、地源熱泵三種。最近的出貨量資料顯示，北美、歐洲和亞太地區較寒冷的地區對上述三種技術的採用日益增加。雖然空氣對空氣熱泵歷來是全球市場的主導技術，但空氣對水熱泵正變得越來越普遍，尤其是在歐洲。熱泵技術在寒冷地區家庭供暖的幾種新應用顯示出成長潛力，包括混合熱泵系統、區域供暖和共享地熱陣列（也稱為共享地源熱泵）。

本報告分析了全球寒冷地區住宅熱泵市場，包括市場基本趨勢、寒冷地區特有的促進和限制因素，以及寒冷地區熱泵技術出貨量和收入趨勢預測（依地區（北美、歐洲、亞太地區）和技術類型（空氣對空氣、空氣對水、地源熱泵）（2024-2032年）調查詳細趨勢。此外，調查各地區的出貨量和收入的成長趨勢，以及各地區成長率的差異及其原因。

目錄

第1章 執行摘要

第2章 市場問題

• 寒冷地區技術趨勢
  • 變速逆變器
• 寒冷地區常用熱泵技術
• 新的應用領域
  • 混合熱泵系統
  • 熱泵和區域供熱
  • 共享地源熱泵系統
• 市場驅動因素
  • 政府政策與市場轉型努力
  • 燃料成本和燃料短缺
• 障礙
  • 天然氣價格下降
  • 電力服務續訂
  • 建築覆層不足
  • 對員工和顧客進行教育
  • 緊急更換

第3章 產業價值鏈

• 住宅暖通空調價值鏈
• 競爭狀況
• 擴大製造能力

第4章 市場預測

• 調查方法
• 全球市場
• 北美
• 歐洲
• 亞太地區

第5章 結論/建議

• 三大要點
• 建議
  • 暖通空調製造商
  • 電力公司
  • 天然氣公用事業
  • 監理機構

第6章 首字母縮寫詞和縮寫詞列表

第7章 目錄

第8章 圖表

第9章 研究範圍、資料來源/研究方法、註

The market for residential heat pumps in cold climates is expected to grow considerably over the next decade. Technological advances, primarily in inverter-driven compressors and refrigerants, have enabled heat pumps to perform well in cold climates. Despite these advances, the adoption of heat pump technologies in cold climates has remained relatively low, apart from a few countries in Europe and Japan. However, as governments and stakeholder organizations pursue building decarbonization goals as part of broader climate initiatives, many are calling for the use of heat pumps in cold climates as a way to decarbonize heating. These efforts are likely to be the primary driver for heat pump adoption in cold climates over the next 10 years.

Three predominant heat pump technologies are on the market today and suitable for homes in cold climates: air to air heat pumps, air to water heat pumps, and ground-source heat pumps. Recent historical shipment data shows growing adoption of each of these technologies in cold climates in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. While air to air heat pumps have historically been the dominant technology in world markets, air to water heat pumps are becoming more common, particularly in Europe. A few emerging applications of heat pump technology for residential heating in cold climates are also showing growth potential, including hybrid heat pump systems, district heating, and shared geothermal arrays (also known as shared ground-source heat pumps).

This Guidehouse Insights report explores these market trends in detail along with market drivers and barriers specific to cold climates. The forecasts evaluate the estimated shipments and revenue of heat pump technologies in cold climates from 2024 to 2033. They are segmented by region (North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific) and technology type (air to air, air to water, and ground-source heat pumps). The forecasts also provide detailed insights into the unique trends in shipments and revenue growth for each region, including explanations of potential reasons why different technologies appear to be growing faster than others in each region

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Technology Trends for Cold Climates
  • 2.1.1 Variable Speed Inverters
• 2.2 Common Heat Pump Technologies in Cold Climates
• 2.3 Emerging Applications
  • 2.3.1 Hybrid Heat Pump Systems
  • 2.3.2 Heat Pumps and District Heating
  • 2.3.3 Shared Ground-Source Heat Pump System
• 2.4 Market Drivers
  • 2.4.1 Government Policies and Market Transformation Efforts
  • 2.4.2 Fuel Costs and Scarcity
• 2.5 Barriers
  • 2.5.1 Low Natural Gas Prices
  • 2.5.2 Electric Service Upgrades
  • 2.5.3 Insufficient Building Envelopes
  • 2.5.4 Workforce and Customer Education
  • 2.5.5 Emergency Replacements

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Residential HVAC Value Chain
• 3.2 Competitive Landscape
• 3.3 Growing Manufacturing Capacity

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 World Markets
• 4.3 North America
• 4.4 Europe
• 4.5 Asia Pacific

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Three Big Takeaways
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 HVAC Manufacturers
  • 5.2.2 Electric Utilities
  • 5.2.3 Natural Gas Utilities
  • 5.2.4 Regulators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Tables

• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033

New Commercially Available Products Designed for Cold-Climate Markets

New Manufacturing Sites for Producing Cold-Climate Heat Pumps

List of Figures

• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenues in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033

Air Source Heat Pump Technologies and Configurations

Ground-Source Heat Pump Configurations

Shared Ground-Source Heat Pumps Compared to Individual Systems

Pictorial Representation of the Residential HVAC Value Chain