永續包裝的未來:長期性的策略的預測(～2034年)

主要的事實

• 預計到 2034 年，包裝產業市場規模將達到約 1.8 兆美元，2028 年至 2034 年的複合年增長率為 3.9%。
• 紡織品包裝將成為最大的類別，佔 2023 年包裝材料總消費量的 39.8%。塑膠佔 37.4%，金屬佔 11.9%，玻璃佔 4.6%。

由於模製紙漿應用範圍廣泛且 EPR 較低，預計未來十年將實現最高的複合年增長率。紙板仍將是一種受歡迎的選擇，因為它的原材料可再生、易於回收且 EPR 成本較低。軟塑膠因其高性能、重量輕、成本低以及對回收基礎設施的預期投資，預計將繼續受到歡迎。

本報告分析了全球永續包裝市場，並提供了有關主要趨勢和推動因素、供應商和材料發展以及報廢解決方案的資訊。

目錄

摘要整理

與簡介調查手法

所謂永續包裝

• 定義和市場概要
• 包裝生命週期
  • 原料
  • 製造
  • 運輸
  • 使用中的包裝
  • EOL
• 紙和塑膠的包裝預測

主要市場趨勢與促進因素

• 概要與主要結論
• 地區的法規和法律
  • 歐洲聯盟
  • 歐洲 - 地方層級的法律
  • 開包裝標籤
  • OPRL(包裝回收標誌)
• 技術性影響
  • 數位產品護照(DPP)
  • 其他的包裝資料管理軟體

包裝供應商和材料的開發

• 概要與主要結論
• 紙·紙板
  • 供應商整合
  • 阻隔塗層紙和紙板
  • 紙質運送包裝
  • 其他纖維/纖維素包裝
• 軟質塑膠
  • 單一材料軟塑料
  • 軟包裝循環經濟 - 由業界資助的協會，致力於推廣軟塑膠的循環利用
• 硬質塑膠
  • PET，HDPE，PP
• 生質塑膠
• 案例研究 - Compostable Coalition UK(CCUK)
• 替代材料
  • 海藻基包裝材料
  • 其他植物性材料
  • 無痕材料
  • Fiberpack - 由日本銀草製成的包裝
  • Papierfabrik Meldorf GmbH - 以草為基礎的材料
  • 植物蛋白
• 廢棄物來歷的材料
  • 重新追蹤
  • 放鬆
  • 由洋蔥廢料製成的HUID材料
• 金屬包裝
  • 鋁
• 可重複使用改裝可能的包裝
  • 可重複使用的電子商務包裝案例研究
  • 消費品再利用案例研究

包裝用戶

• 概要與主要結論
• 自發性的配合措施
  • Ellen MacArthur Foundation(EMF)- Global Commitment
• 品牌所有者的mini案例研究
  • 食品包裝
  • 飲料
  • 醫療
  • 個人保養品
  • 其他的消費者
  • 電子商務包裝
• 零售包裝的開發
  • IKEA
  • Tesco
  • Aldi
  • Iceland

EOL解決方案

• 概要與主要結論
• 包裝廢棄物的收集
• 包裝廢棄物的辨別力
  • 增強光學辨識－數位浮水印、電子標籤
  • AI的影響
• 包裝廢棄物的回收
  • 概要
  • 機械回收
  • 化學(先進)回收

永續包裝的全球市場

• 簡介
• 全球概要
  • 歐洲
  • 法國
  • 德國
  • 義大利
  • 西班牙
  • 英國
  • 俄羅斯
  • 波蘭
  • 捷克
  • 其他的歐洲
• 北美
  • 美國
  • 加拿大
  • 墨西哥
• 中南美
  • 阿根廷
  • 巴西
  • 智利
  • 其他的中南美
• 亞太地區
  • 日本
  • 中國
  • 印度
  • 印尼
  • 菲律賓
  • 韓國
  • 澳洲
  • 其他的亞太地區
• 中東·非洲
  • 土耳其
  • 南非
  • 埃及
  • 其他的中東·非洲

Key facts:

• By 2034 the packaging industry will be worth nearly $1.8 trillion, with a CAGR of 3.9% between 2028 and 2034
• Fibre-based packaging is the largest group, with 39.8% of total packaging material consumption in 2023; 37.4% is plastic, metal accounts for 11.9%, while glass makes up 4.6%.

Over the next decade, moulded pulp is expected to see the highest CAGR due to its wide range of applications and low EPR fees. Board will continue to be a popular choice due to its raw materials being renewable, the ease of recycling and low EPR fees. Flexible plastics are expected to continue to be popular due to high performance, low weight, low cost and expected investment in recycling infrastructure.

'Sustainable packaging' is developed using eco-design principles, minimising the environmental and social impacts at every stage of its lifecycle. Sustainable packaging has a lower carbon footprint from reduced, or eliminated, use of fossil raw materials. It maximises the use of post-consumer recycled content without compromising the opportunity for the materials used in its production to be utilized on multiple occasions, whether via reuse, recycling or composting.

Key Questions:

• How will the EU's Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR) affect packaging design, material recovery, and brand owner strategies across the next 10 years?
• What will sustainable packaging look like in 10 years' time?
• How will the market react to the competing claims of a new generation of fibre-based materials, PCR plastic formats, bioplastics, and packaging made from alternative fibre sources?
• Where and when will chemical (advanced) recycling become a viable option for cutting the carbon impact of packaging?

This report is essential to:

• Packaging raw material suppliers
• Packaging converters and manufacturers
• Retailers and brand owners

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and methodology

• Introduction
• Report objective
• What is sustainable packaging?
• Market segmentation
  • Packaging materials
  • Geographies
• End-use segments
• Methodology
  • Data and forecasting methodology
• Scope
• Glossary
• Acronyms used

What is sustainable packaging?

• Definition and market overview
• Packaging lifecycle
  • Raw materials
  • Manufacturing
  • Transport
  • Packaging in-use
  • End of life
• What is the outlook for paper vs plastic packaging?

Key market trends and drivers

• Overview and key conclusions
• Regional regulation and legislation
  • European Union
  • Europe - Local level legislation
  • On-pack labelling
  • OPRL (on-pack recycling logo)
• Technological influences
  • Digital product passports (DPP)
  • Other packaging data management software

Packaging supplier and material developments

• Overview and key conclusions
• Paper and board
  • Supplier consolidation
  • Barrier-coated paper and board
  • Paper-based transit packaging
  • Other fibre-based and cellulose-based packaging
• Flexible plastics
  • Mono-material flexible plastics
  • Circular Economy for Flexible Packaging - an industry-funded association driving circularity in flexible plastics
• Rigid plastics
  • PET, HDPE and PP
• Bioplastics
• Case study - Compostable Coalition UK (CCUK)
• Alternative materials
  • Seaweed based packaging materials
  • Other plant-based materials
  • Traceless Materials
  • Fiberpac - miscanthus-based packaging
  • Papierfabrik Meldorf GmbH - grass-based materials
  • Plant Proteins
• Materials from waste
  • ReStalk
  • Releaf
  • HUID materials made from onion waste
• Metal packaging
  • Aluminium
• Reusable and refillable packaging
  • Reusable e-commerce packaging case studies
  • Consumer products reuse case studies

Packaging users

• Overview and key conclusions
• Voluntary commitments
  • Ellen MacArthur Foundation (EMF) - Global Commitment
• Brand owner mini case studies
  • Food packaging
  • Beverages
  • Healthcare
  • Personal care
  • Other consumer
  • E-commerce packaging
• Retail packaging developments
  • IKEA
  • Tesco
  • Aldi
  • Iceland

End-of-life solutions

• Overview and key conclusions
• Collection of packaging waste
• Sorting packaging waste
  • Enhanced optical recognition - digital watermarks and electronic tagging
  • The impact of AI
• Recycling packaging waste
  • Overview
  • Mechanical recycling
  • Chemical (advanced) recycling

Global market for sustainable packaging

• Introduction
• Global overview
  • Europe
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • United Kingdom
  • Russia
  • Poland
  • Czech Republic
  • Other Europe
• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• South & Central America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Other South & Central America
• APAC
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Philippines
  • South Korea
  • Australia
  • Other APAC
• Middle East & Africa
  • Turkiye
  • South Africa
  • Egypt
  • Other Middle East & Africa

List of Figures

• Packaging lifecycle
• Crude oil to plastic manufacturing process
• Bioplastics value chain
• SuperBin collection and sorting in South Korea
• Global plastic waste by volume and region
• Hierarchy of European legislative framework
• Objectives of the European Green Deal
• Plastic packaging recycling failure in Europe
• The PPWR timeline
• Henkel's Persil laundry detergent
• PPWR compliance case study
• US EPR coverage and development
• Eco-fee modulation: Coldseal Paper vs oPP 20/20
• Microwave meal EPR calculation - paperboard vs PET
• Fiorini International's paper-based packaging, including PFAS free
• OPRL labelling examples in the United Kingdom
• Timeline of APCO's legislative framework to reduce packaging waste
• Digital product passport value chain
• Packaging specification insights, using R-Cycle DPP system
• Example output from the Recyda assessment tool
• Digi-Cycle waste management app
• UPM barrier-coated flexible paper packaging solutions
• Alaska grease barrier-coated board
• Jonsac's paper e-commerce mailing bag variants
• Mondi Advantage Stretch Wrap
• Pulpac dry moulded pulp applications
• The environmental credentials of
• Stora Enso's Formed Fibre packaging
• Transcend Packaging's fibre-based packaging solutions
• Blue Ocean Closure fibre-based caps
• Paptic's end-use applications
• VTT's cellulose-based protective packaging
• Forewood product range
• Packnatur wood-based produce nets
• Sulapac's plastic-free personal care packaging
• Breakdown of flexible plastics in key
• Euro market recycling streams
• Circular Economy for Flexible Packaging: Demand driven circular economy model
• Circular Economy for Flexible Packaging forecasts on plastic recycling rates in Europe to 2030
• UK FlexCollect pilot scheme
• Constantia Flexibles mono-material flexible packaging solutions
• Bobst's OneBARRIER flexible packaging offer
• Berry's Sustane
• Mechanically recycled flexible plastic
• Sabic - branded products using chemically recycled PCR
• Coca Cola and I Lohas brands in APAC, label-less and 100% rPET bottles
• CJ weight reduction and colourless PET in South Korea
• Coca Cola initiatives in the Philippines
• Listerine wash-off sleeve and 30% rPET bottle
• Unilever's Magnum ice cream tub using 100% chemically recycled PP
• Compostable Coalition development programme
• Compostable packaging - key target applications
• TIPA compostable films - examples of end-use applications
• Properties of Futamura's NatureFlex compostable film
• Futamura NatureFlex used by German confectionery brand Cool
• Vegware's compostable packaging portfolio
• Bioplastics recycling lifecycle
• PLA recycling process
• Notpla's seaweed-based barrier coating for cartonboard packaging
• Kelpi - seaweed as a 'miracle crop'
• PlantSea's packaging related applications
• Zero Circle's seaweed-based films
• B'Zeos seaweed-based pellets - a 'drop in plastic substitute'
• Traceless Materials - plastic substitute from agri-waste
• Fiberpac - miscanthus-infused fibrebased packaging
• Papierfabrik Meldorf's grass-based packaging materials
• Xampla Morro - plant protein-based packaging materials
• ReStalk's raw material from agriwaste
• Releaf 'paper'
• HUID onion skin-based packaging material
• Waste hierarchy
• EMF 4 Reuse Models
• German Packaging Act and Reuse Targets
• CITEO's ReUse initiative
• RePack's reusable e-com bag range
• ReZip reusable e-com packaging lifecycle
• ReZip packaging range
• Hipli's e-com packaging variants
• Kiud's 'recommerce' model
• L'Oreal's packaging targets to 2030
• EMF Global Commitment signatories by type
• EMF Global Commitment targets and progress
• EMF Global Commitment - achievements against PCR targets
• Kit Kat packaged in paper flow wrap
• Quality Street paper-based chocolate packaging
• Smarties paper-based chocolate packaging
• Mars, Milky Way and Snickers paper flow wrap in Australia
• Mondelez confectionery packaging using chemically recycled PCR
• Compostable PHA barrier-coated cartonboard food containers for the microwave
• Closed loop chemical recycling for Hetbahn food products
• Chemically recycled PCR (up to 30%) for Hetbahn plastic tubs
• DRS system for Hetbahn bowls
• Johnnie Walker whiskey in a paper bottle
• Twinings mono-material standup pouches
• Rezorce mono-material PP carton lifecycle
• Haleon mono-material blister packaging development
• Examples of PCR use in Haleon healthcare packaging
• Lush packaging using labels made from 'ocean bound plastic'
• Wilkinson Sword's ISCC+ certified bio-based PCR plastic packaging
• Who Gives A Crap and Sainsbury's own-label toilet tissue wrapped in paper
• Henkel's Pril washing detergent bottle and refill pouch
• P&G's use of paper-based packaging innovations
• Lego's paper-based pre-pack bags and cardboard 'pick a brick' box
• Mattel's Barbie toy using 70% ISCC+ certified chemically recycled plastic
• Rema 1000 Maskinrens bottle made from recovered plastic fishing nets
• Amazon's evolution from FFP to SIOC
• Mondi's Protective Mailer used by Amazon in Europe
• H&M's shift from polybags to paper mailing bags
• Zalando's move to a paper-based packaging portfolio
• An example of how IKEA is eliminating plastics from its packaging
• IKEA's EPS reduction programme
• Tesco's Packaging - preferred material and format guidelines
• Some paper-based hi-cone replacements
• Pringles' 90% paper tube - in conjunction with Sonoco
• Aldi's flat wine bottles
• Iceland's plastic packaging elimination for own brand products
• Main roadblocks hindering global plastic recycling
• Segregated packaging waste collection
• DRS collection point in Malta
• Holy Grail 2.0 and Pellenc
• Polytag DDRS
• Greyparrot's AI based sorting technology
• Greyparrot's packaging waste insight
• Recycleye's packaging waste sorting technology
• 4Evergreen's strategy for 90% recycling of fibre-based packaging paper in Europe
• Plastic recycling volumes in Europe
• European mechanical recycling infrastructure
• Plastic recycling volumes in Europe by plastic type
• Plastic recycling capacity by key European country
• Plastic packaging recycling forecast for Europe
• Chemical recycling by process
• Chemical recycling processes by polymer type
• Global plastic recycling forecasts by process
• World age distribution forecasts to 2100
• Comparison of demographic composition of the world's largest nations
• Forecast population pyramids for China and India to 2050
• World - circular packaging forecast, 2023-34
• Europe - circular packaging forecast, 2023-34

For each country:

• Circular packaging forecast, 2023-34

List of countries:

• France
• Germany
• Italy
• Spain
• United Kingdom
• Russia
• Poland
• Czech Republic
• Other Europe
• North America
• US
• Canada
• Mexico
• S&C America
• Argentina
• Brazil
• Chile
• Other S&C America
• APAC
• Japan
• China
• India
• Indonesia
• Philippines
• South Korea
• Australia
• Other APAC
• Middle East & Africa
• Turkiye
• South Africa
• Egypt
• Other MEA

List of Tables

• Forecasts for global circularity rates, by packaging material 2023-34
• Key packaging trends, by end-use segment and packaging material, 2024 and forecast 2034
• Timeline of recycling by material
• World - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• World - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)
• Europe - economic and demographic indicators
• Europe - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Europe - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

For each country:

• Economic and demographic indicators
• Packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

List of countries:

• France
• Germany
• Italy
• Spain
• UK
• Russia
• Poland
• Czech Republic
• Other Europe
• North America - economic and demographic indicators
• North America - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• North America - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

For each country:

• Economic and demographic indicators
• Packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

List of countries:

• US
• Canada
• Mexico
• S&C America - economic and demographic indicators
• Total S&C America - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• S&C America - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

For each country:

• Economic and demographic indicators
• Packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

List of countries:

• Argentina
• Brazil
• Chile
• Other S&C America
• APAC - economic and demographic indicators
• APAC - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• APAC - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

For each country:

• Economic and demographic indicators
• Packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

List of countries:

• Japan
• China
• India
• Indonesia
• Philippines
• South Korea
• Australia
• Other APAC
• Middle East & Africa - economic and demographic indicators
• Middle East & Africa - packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Middle East & Africa - packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

For each country:

• Economic and demographic indicators
• Packaging material consumption 2023-34 ($ million)
• Packaging material circularity forecasts ('000 tonnes, million units)

List of countries:

• Turkiye
• South Africa
• Egypt
• Other MEA