市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1324374
2030 年核融合能源市場預測 - 按燃料、技術和地區分類的全球分析Fusion Energy Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Fuel (Deuterium, Deuterium Tritium, Deuterium Helium 3 and Proton Boron), Technology (Inertial Confinement and Magnetic Confinement) and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的數據,2023年全球核融合能源市場規模為3068億美元,預計到2030年將達到5755億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為9.4%。核聚變導致核融合能源的產生。
當暴露在陽光下時也會發生同樣的情況。太陽由持續的核聚變提供動力,因此即使沒有氧氣它也能產生能量。在當今世界,能源是基本必需品。當兩個或多個輕核結合時,會發生釋放大量能量的反應。這種能量是由於過程中的品質差異而產生的。生產清潔、安全、環保的能源。
根據國際能源論壇的報導,核聚變產生的能量是煤炭、石油、天然氣產生的能量的400萬倍。
隨著人們越來越意識到化石燃料等傳統能源對環境的負面影響,對安全、可靠、環保的替代能源的需求日益成長。核融合能源有能力滿足這些要求,因為它利用核聚變發電,不會排放溫室氣體,也不會產生半衰期長的放射性廢棄物。因此,核融合能源市場的研發資金和建設計畫不斷增加。
法規和公眾批准方面的困難就是其中之一,因為聚變發電設施的安全和營運風險可能會出現問題。由於可再生能源的激烈競爭,外國直接投資正在下降,許多地方的核能發電行業投資預計將阻礙市場擴張。這些因素可能會阻礙核融合能源技術的廣泛使用並推遲其商業化。
考慮到對聚變發電廠安全和風險的擔憂,另一個挑戰是獲得法規和公眾的批准。來自可再生能源的激烈競爭預計將減少外國直接投資,而核能發電領域的投資將阻礙許多地區的市場擴張。這些要素可能會延遲核融合能源技術的商業化並阻止其廣泛使用。
核融合能源技術的開發和部署高成本且技術複雜。核融合能源需要極高的溫度和壓力來啟動和維持聚變過程,這需要先進的材料和複雜的工程解決方案。由於創造該技術的高成本和技術複雜性,一些投資者和政府可能不會將核融合能源作為一種實用能源。
COVID-19 的爆發嚴重擾亂了全球供應線。此次疫情,核能和燃料行業供需雙方均受到影響。短期內,鈾市場供應方面受到的影響最為強烈,一些礦山和核燃料循環設施因健康問題而停止營運。然而,在疫情期間,利用現有核能發電能力提供了可靠、低排放的電力。
氘氦 3 領域預計將出現良好的成長。氘-氦-3 反應需要使用氦-3(氦的同位素)。 Hel-3 在地球上極為稀有,因此必須從太空開採或通過其他核反應生產。氕和硼11的結合會引起副反應,但它們不直接產生中子。核聚變的主要燃料是氫、氘和氚的較重同位素。
預計慣性約束領域在預測期內將以最快的年複合成長率成長。慣性約束裝置使用離子或雷射束將氘氚燃料芯塊壓縮至非常高的密度。一旦達到臨界閾值,顆粒就會被沖擊波加熱點燃。這種方法可用於創建每秒可多次點燃燃料芯塊的聚變發電廠。然後,利用該熱量產生的蒸汽為發電渦輪機動力來源。
由於預計全球人口成長以及新興國家的經濟和工業成長,預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。該地區還擁有出色的融合技術活動。預計新競爭的市場進入將在預測期內對該地區的成長做出重大貢獻。
預計歐洲在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。核聚變可能成為本世紀晚些時候的主要能源,如果歐洲的資源管理得當,它就能夠引領潮流。該領域的發展得益於許多公共和商業性團體的積極努力,推進聚變發電的研究並增加對新發電設施建設的投資。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fusion Energy Market is accounted for $306.8 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $575.5 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period. Nuclear fusion results in the production of fusion energy. The same thing occurs when exposed to the sun. The sun is powered by the ongoing nuclear fusion, which is why it emits energy even if it lacks oxygen. In today's world, energy is a basic necessity. When two or more light nuclei combine, a reaction is created that releases a huge quantity of energy. As a result of the process's mass differences, this energy is produced. Clean, secure, and ecologically friendly energy is generated.
According to an article from International Energy Forum, nuclear fusion is capable of producing energy that is 4 million times more than energy generated from coal, oil, and gas.
There is an increasing need for alternative energy sources that are secure, dependable, and environmentally responsible as people become increasingly aware of the negative effects that conventional energy sources like fossil fuels have on the environment. Fusion energy has the ability to satisfy these requirements since it creates electricity by utilising nuclear fusion, which generates no greenhouse gas emissions or radioactive waste with a long half-life. As a result, there is an increase in funding for fusion energy market research and development as well as plans to construct large-scale fusion power plants.
The difficulty of regulatory and public approval is another one, as there can be doubts about the security and the dangers of operating fusion power facilities. Strong competition from renewable energy is reducing FDI, and market expansion is anticipated to be hampered by investments in the nuclear power sector across a number of locations. These elements might prevent fusion energy technology from becoming widely used and postpone its commercialization.
Another challenge is getting regulatory and public clearance because there may be concerns about the safety and risks of operating fusion power stations. Strong competition from renewable energy is lowering FDI, and it is projected that investments in the nuclear power sector in a number of places would hinder market expansion. These factors could delay the commercialization of fusion energy technology and prevent it from becoming extensively used.
Fusion energy technology development and implementation are expensive and technically complex. In order to start and maintain the fusion processes, fusion energy needs extremely high temperatures and pressures, which calls for sophisticated materials and intricate engineering solutions. Some investors and governments might be discouraged from pursuing fusion energy as a practical energy source due to the high expense and technical complexity of creating the technology.
Global supply lines were significantly disrupted by the COVID-19 outbreak. Both the supply and demand sides of the nuclear power and fuel industries were impacted by the epidemic. Since some mines and nuclear fuel cycle facilities stopped operating due to health concerns, the impact on the supply side of the uranium market was felt most acutely in the short term. However, the use of available nuclear power capacity provided dependable, low-emission electricity throughout the outbreak.
The deuterium helium 3 segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. The deuterium helium-3 reaction necessitates the use of helium-3, an isotope of helium that is so scarce on earth that it would have to be mined from space or produced through other nuclear reactions. The protium/boron-11 combination can yield side reactions, but it does not directly produce neutrons, which is why researchers want to use it in the future. The main fuels for nuclear fusion are the heavier isotopes of hydrogen deuterium and tritium.
The inertial confinement segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Inertial confinement devices compress sized deuterium tritium fuels pellet to exceptionally high densities using ion or laser beams. When a crucial threshold is reached, the shock wave heating ignites the pellet. This method might be used to create a fusion power plant that could ignite fuel pellets several times per second. The steam produced by the heat is then used to power energy-generating turbines.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to projected global population growth as well as the economic and industrial growth of developing countries. Excellent nuclear fusion technology activities are also being carried out in the region. The entry of new competitors joining the market is likely to contribute significantly to the region's growth over the forecast period.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Nuclear fusion could become the primary source of energy in the second half of this century, and Europe is well-positioned to lead the way if its resources are managed properly. The development of this area is credited to the existence of numerous public and commercial groups that are actively working to advance fusion power research and increase investments in the construction of new power facilities.
Some of the key players profiled in the Fusion Energy Market include: General Fusion, Helion Energy Inc., Kyoto Fusioneering Ltd., Hyperjet Fusion Corporation, HB11 Energy Holdings Pty Ltd, Agni Fusion Energy, First Light Fusion, Zap Energy Inc., TAE Technologies, Inc., Tokamak Energy Ltd., Marvel Fusion,, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Commonwealth Fusion Systems, Renaissance Fusion, Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) and National Ignition Facility (NIF).
In May 2023, Helion Energy (Helion) today announced an agreement to provide Microsoft electricity from its first fusion power plant. Constellation will serve as the power marketer and will manage transmission for the project.
In November 2022, Canadian Nuclear Laboratories (CNL) and General Fusion announced that they have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to pursue a series of joint projects to accelerate the deployment of commercial fusion power in Canada.