市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1453931
到 2030 年虛擬電廠(虛擬電廠,VPP)市場預測:按組件類型、部署類型、來源、技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Virtual Power Plant Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Component Type (Hardware, Software, Services and Other Component Types), Deployment Type, Source, Technology, Application, End User, and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2023年全球虛擬電廠(VPP)市場規模將達41億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為20.0%,預計2030年將達到147.1億美元。
虛擬發電廠 (VPP) 虛擬發電廠 (VPP) 是分散式發電資源(例如太陽能電池板、風力發電機和電池儲存系統)的雲端基礎的集中,這些發電資源經過協調後可充當單一整合發電廠。做到了。 VPP透過先進的軟體和控制系統,最佳化分散式能源的運行,提供電網的穩定性、彈性和能源交易服務。實現可再生能源的高效利用,減少對傳統石化燃料發電廠的依賴,並支持向更永續和更有彈性的能源系統過渡。 VPP 在實現可再生能源併入電網方面發揮關鍵作用。
根據國際能源總署(IEA)的報告,2020年全球電力需求將成長4%,達到900太瓦時,成長速度約為所有其他型態能源需求的兩倍。
可再生能源併網
VPP 透過實現分散式能源 (DER) 與電網的無縫整合和最佳化,在這項轉型中發揮關鍵作用。向更永續的低碳能源系統的過渡需要對太陽能和風能等間歇性可再生能源進行有效管理。此外,先進的軟體和控制系統可確保可再生能源的高效利用,最大限度地減少限電,並增強電網的彈性和彈性。
初始成本高
部署 VPP 需要在硬體、軟體和基礎設施方面進行大量前期投資。特別是,高昂的初始成本可能會成為小型組織或財務資源有限的組織的進入障礙,從而阻礙潛在投資者並限制 VPP 的採用。此外,VPP系統的複雜性和對專業技術知識的需求也增加了初始成本,從而逐漸縮小了市場規模。
技術進步
雲端基礎的平台和先進的軟體解決方案可實現不同分散式能源產品組合的無縫整合和集中,從而提高電網的彈性和彈性。數位化、通訊和控制技術的進步正在徹底改變 VPP 的運作方式,從而實現分散式能源的即時監控、控制和最佳化。此外,鋰離子電池、液流電池等儲能系統的技術創新也在VPP市場的成長中發揮重要作用。
缺乏意識和教育
VPP 在能源產業是一個相對較新的概念,許多潛在相關人員對其好處和功能的了解和了解可能有限。政策制定者和監管者可能對法律規範和市場結構缺乏了解,導致缺乏支持性政策、法規和獎勵。此外,這種意識的缺乏導致不願意投資和參與 VPP 計劃,從而阻礙了這個市場。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19大流行對虛擬發電廠(Virtual Power Plant,VPP)市場產生了一些負面影響,主要是由於供應鏈中斷、計劃延誤和經濟不確定性。旅行限制、封鎖措施和社交距離要求正在擾亂位置、審核流程和建設活動。此外,疫情也影響了能源市場,工業活動減少和消費行為變化導致能源需求和價格波動。
軟體部分預計將在預測期內成為最大的部分
軟體部分預計將佔據最大佔有率,因為它在組織和最佳化構成 VPP 的各種分散式能源 (DER) 方面發揮關鍵作用。這些軟體平台利用先進的演算法、人工智慧 (AI) 和機器學習 (ML) 技術來預測能源發電、消費模式和市場狀況。此外,這些軟體平台通常具有方便用戶使用的介面和儀表板,可為相關人員提供支持,從而推動該細分市場的成長。
雲端基礎的細分市場預計在預測期內年複合成長率最高
由於網際網路上託管的遠端伺服器用於管理和調節分散式能源(DER),因此基於雲端基礎的細分市場預計在預測期內將出現最高的年複合成長率。雲端基礎的平台具有多種優勢,包括擴充性、可存取性和即時資料處理能力。此外,這些解決方案集中了分散式能源的控制和管理,實現資源的高效集中、最佳化和調度,以滿足電網需求,從而推動該領域的成長。
由於再生能源來源的採用增加、數位化技術的進步以及能源市場法規的演變,歐洲在預測期內佔據了最大的市場佔有率。德國、荷蘭、丹麥和英國等國家利用成熟的可再生能源產業和支持性法規結構。此外,該地區雄心勃勃的可再生能源目標,以及增強電網彈性和彈性的需求,正在推動對 VPP 解決方案的需求。
由於多樣化的能源格局、支持性的法規環境和市場改革,預計北美在預測期內的年複合成長率最高。北美 VPP 市場得益於資料分析和通訊技術的進步,這些技術實現了即時監控、控制和最佳化。此外,聯邦、州和地方各級的政策舉措正在增加投資,獎勵清潔能源技術的採用,並促進該地區的成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Virtual Power Plant Market is accounted for $4.10 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $14.71 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 20.0% during the forecast period. A virtual power plant (VPP) is a cloud-based aggregation of decentralized power generation sources, such as solar panels, wind turbines, and battery storage systems, coordinated to function as a single integrated power plant. Through advanced software and control systems, a VPP optimizes the operation of distributed energy resources to provide grid stability, flexibility, and energy trading services. It allows for the efficient utilization of renewable energy sources, reduces reliance on traditional fossil fuel power plants, and supports the transition to a more sustainable and resilient energy system. VPPs play a crucial role in enabling the integration of renewable energy into the grid.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) report, the global demand for electricity climbed by 4%, or 900 TWh, in 2020, expanding almost twice as quickly as the demand for all other forms of energy.
Renewable energy integration
VPPs play a crucial role in this transition by enabling the seamless integration and optimization of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the grid. The transition towards a more sustainable and low-carbon energy system necessitates efficient management of intermittent renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power. Moreover, advanced software and control systems ensure efficient utilization of renewable energy, minimize curtailment, and enhance grid flexibility and resilience.
High initial costs
Implementing a VPP requires substantial upfront investments in hardware, software, and infrastructure. The high initial costs can deter potential investors and limit the adoption of VPPs, particularly for smaller organizations or those with limited financial resources, creating a barrier to entry. Furthermore, the complexity of VPP systems and the need for specialized technical expertise also contribute to the initial costs, which gradually impede this market size.
Technological advancements
Cloud-based platforms and advanced software solutions enable seamless integration and aggregation of diverse DER portfolios, enhancing grid flexibility and resilience. Advances in digitalization, communication, and control technologies have revolutionized the way VPPs operate, allowing for real-time monitoring, control, and optimization of DERs. In addition, technological innovations in energy storage systems, such as lithium-ion batteries and flow batteries, have also played a crucial role in the growth of the VPP market.
Lack of awareness and education
VPPs are a relatively new concept in the energy industry, and many potential stakeholders may have limited knowledge or understanding of their benefits and functionalities. Policymakers and regulators may have a limited understanding of the regulatory frameworks and market structures, resulting in a lack of supportive policies, regulations, and incentives. Moreover, this lack of awareness can lead to a reluctance to invest in or participate in VPP programs, hindering this market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has had several negative impacts on the virtual power plant (VPP) market, primarily due to disruptions in supply chains, project delays, and economic uncertainty. Travel restrictions, lockdown measures, and social distancing requirements have hindered site inspections, permitting processes, and construction activities. Furthermore, the pandemic has impacted energy markets, with reduced industrial activity and changes in consumer behavior leading to fluctuations in energy demand and pricing.
The software segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The software segment is estimated to hold the largest share due to its pivotal role in orchestrating and optimizing the diverse array of distributed energy resources (DERs) that make up the VPP. These software platforms leverage advanced algorithms, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) techniques to forecast energy generation, consumption patterns, and market conditions. Moreover, these often feature user-friendly interfaces and dashboards that empower stakeholders, which are driving this segment's expansion.
The cloud-based segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The cloud-based segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period, due to the use of remote servers hosted on the internet to manage and coordinate distributed energy resources (DERs). Cloud-based platforms offer several advantages, including scalability, accessibility, and real-time data processing capabilities. Furthermore, these solutions centralize the control and management of DERs, allowing efficient aggregation, optimization, and dispatch of resources to meet grid demand, thereby boosting this segment's growth.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to the increasing deployment of renewable energy sources, advancements in digitalization technologies, and evolving energy market regulations. Countries such as Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, and the United Kingdom are leveraging their mature renewable energy sectors and supportive regulatory frameworks. In addition, the region's ambitious renewable energy targets, along with the need to enhance grid flexibility and resilience, are driving demand for VPP solutions.
North America is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to the region's diverse energy landscape, supportive regulatory environment, and market reforms. North America's VPP market is benefiting from advancements in data analytics and communication technologies, enabling real-time monitoring, control, and optimization. Furthermore, policy initiatives at the federal, state, and provincial levels are raising investments, incentivizing the adoption of clean energy technologies, and propelling the growth of this region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Virtual Power Plant Market include Next Kraftwerke, Siemens, Centrica, Tesla, Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions, ABB, Sunverge Energy, Inc., Hitachi, Ltd., Limejump Limited, AutoGrid Systems, Inc., General Electric, Sonnen, Lumenaza GmbH, Schneider Electric and Shell.
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Table Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.