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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1454082
到 2030 年乏核燃料廢棄物管理市場預測:按核子反應爐類型、處置類型、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Reactor Type (Boiling Water Reactor, Pressurized Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor and Other Reactor Type), Disposal Type, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2023 年全球乏核燃料廢棄物管理市場規模為 62 億美元,預計在預測期內將以 3.0% 的年複合成長率成長,到 2030 年達到 77 億美元。
乏核燃料(SNF)廢棄物管理涉及核子反應爐乏核燃料的安全處理、儲存、運輸和處置。這是核能生命週期的一個重要方面。目前的方法包括現場儲存和深層地質儲藏庫探勘。挑戰包括監管核准、公眾意識以及開發長期解決方案的先進技術。
對清潔能源來源的需求不斷增加
對包括核能在內的清潔能源來源的需求不斷成長,將對乏核燃料(SNF)廢棄物管理市場產生正面影響。隨著對清潔能源(尤其是核能)需求的增加,乏核燃料廢棄物管理市場面臨一把雙面刃。需求增加會產生更多廢棄物,需要儲存、運輸和潛在的再處理能力。但它也將鼓勵投資於更安全、更永續的解決方案,例如深層地質處置庫和先進的後處理技術。這個市場的促進因素是管理不斷增加的廢物量並與更嚴格的法規和社會問題取得平衡的需要。
嚴格的法規和許可要求
高合規標準給產業參與者帶來了沉重的財務負擔,並阻礙了廢棄物管理技術的投資和創新。此外,漫長而複雜的法規核准流程減緩了關鍵設施的建立,並阻礙了解決方案的及時實施。此外,嚴格的法律規範增加了不確定性,阻礙了潛在投資者並限制了市場成長。
乏核燃料增加
乏核燃料的累積增加了先進和永續廢棄物管理解決方案的迫切性,並推動了儲存、後處理和處置技術的創新。政府和行業相關人員被迫投資有效的管理策略,以解決安全問題並遵守嚴格的法規。這種不斷成長的庫存正在推動研究和開發舉措並推動市場擴張。
缺乏合適的處置場所
缺乏合適的乏核燃料儲存庫為廢棄物管理市場帶來了重大挑戰。如果沒有確定和核准的處置場,現場長期儲存會增加風險並引發安保和安全問題。缺乏合適的處置庫還會導致計劃規劃和執行的不確定性和延誤,從而阻礙業界負責任地管理放射性廢棄物的能力。缺乏進展可能會削弱公眾信心並加劇對核能及其產品的反對。
COVID-19 的影響
供應鏈中斷、勞動力限制和建設活動限制正在阻礙核能計劃的進展,包括廢棄物管理設施的開發。經濟活動放緩也可能影響政府預算和核能項目的資金籌措。此外,疫情也提高了健康和安全意識,影響了公眾對核能計劃的看法和監管。
預計沸水式反應爐部分在預測期內將是最大的
沸水式反應爐部分預計將出現良好的成長,因為與壓水式反應爐核子反應爐。不過,垃圾量的差異並不大,不會對整體市場規模或成長產生重大影響。此外,沸水堆燃料的具體特性(例如熱值和放射性)可能會影響地質儲存庫的要求。這反過來又會影響乏燃料管理的整體策略。
深層地質處置領域預計在預測期內年複合成長率最高。
由於深層地質處置被認為是從環境中隔離放射性廢棄物的安全方法,預計深層地質處置領域在預測期內將以最高年複合成長率成長。如果被接受並成功實施,這種方法可以提高公眾對核能的認知,並減輕對乏燃料處置長期安全性的擔憂。因此,隨著市場適應深層地質處置計劃的需求,專門從事這些技術的公司可能會有成長機會。
由於該地區核能發電廠的增加,預計亞太地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國、日本、印度和韓國是亞太地區核能發電投資的主要國家。這些國家也致力於開發新技術來安全有效地管理乏核燃料,推動該地區的市場成長。
由於美國和加拿大已經建立了乏核燃料倉儲設施,預計北美在預測期內將呈現最高的年複合成長率。在美國,內華達州的絲蘭山儲存庫被提案作為長期儲存解決方案,但其發展面臨各種挑戰和爭議。此外,放射性廢棄物管理的法律規範也是一個重要因素。美國美國核能管理委員會(NRC)和加拿大核能安委員會(CNSC)在監管和監督核能活動(包括乏燃料管理)方面發揮重要作用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market is accounted for $6.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $7.7 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 3.0% during the forecast period. Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) Waste Management involves the safe handling, storage, transportation, and disposal of used nuclear fuel from reactors. It is a critical aspect of the nuclear energy lifecycle. Current methods include on-site storage and research on deep geological repositories. Challenges include regulatory approvals, public perception, and developing advanced technologies for long-term solutions.
Increasing demand for clean energy sources
The increasing demand for clean energy sources, including nuclear power, positively impacts the Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) Waste Management Market. As the need for clean energy grows, particularly nuclear power, the spent nuclear fuel waste management market faces a double-edged sword. The rising demand generates more waste, requiring increased storage, transportation, and potentially reprocessing capabilities. However, this also fuels investment in safer and more sustainable solutions like deep geological repositories and advanced reprocessing techniques. This market will be driven by the need to balance managing the growing waste volume with stricter regulations and public concerns.
Stringent regulations and licensing requirements
The high compliance standards impose substantial financial burdens on industry participants, hindering investment and innovation in waste management technologies. Moreover, the lengthy and complex regulatory approval processes delay the establishment of critical facilities, impeding the timely implementation of solutions. Moreover, the rigid regulatory framework amplifies uncertainties, discouraging potential investors and limiting the growth of the market.
Growing stockpile of spent nuclear fuel
The accumulation of SNF heightens the urgency for advanced and sustainable waste management solutions, fostering innovation in storage, reprocessing, and disposal technologies. Governments and industry stakeholders are compelled to invest in efficient management strategies to address safety concerns and comply with stringent regulations. This growing stockpile propels research and development initiatives, spurring market expansion.
Lack of suitable disposal sites
The lack of suitable disposal sites for spent nuclear fuel poses significant challenges for the waste management market. Without identified and approved repositories, there is a heightened risk of prolonged onsite storage, increasing security and safety concerns. The absence of suitable sites also leads to uncertainty and delays in project planning and execution, inhibiting the industry's ability to responsibly manage radioactive waste. This lack of progress can erode public trust, exacerbating opposition to nuclear energy and its by-products.
Covid-19 Impact
Disruptions in supply chains, workforce limitations, and restrictions on construction activities have hindered the progress of nuclear projects, including the development of waste management facilities. The slowdown in economic activities has also affected government budgets, potentially influencing funding for nuclear programs. Moreover, the pandemic has heightened awareness of health and safety considerations, impacting public perception and regulatory scrutiny of nuclear projects.
The boiling water reactor segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The boiling water reactor segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because generally produce slightly less spent nuclear fuel compared to pressurized water reactors (PWRs), the dominant reactor type globally. However, the difference in waste volume is not substantial and doesn't significantly impact the overall market size or growth. Moreover the specific characteristics of BWR fuel, such as its heat generation and radioactivity, can impact the requirements for geological repositories. This, in turn, may influence the overall strategy for spent fuel management.
The deep surface disposal segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The deep surface disposal segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as deep geological disposal is considered a safe method for isolating radioactive waste from the environment. If this method gains acceptance and is successfully implemented, it may enhance public perception of nuclear energy and reduce concerns related to the long-term safety of spent fuel disposal. Thus companies specializing in these technologies may experience growth opportunities as the market adapts to the demands of deep surface disposal projects.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the increasing number of nuclear power plants in the region. China, Japan, India, and South Korea are the major countries in the Asia Pacific region that are investing in nuclear power generation. These countries are also focusing on developing new technologies for the safe and efficient management of spent nuclear fuel driving the growth of the market in this region.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the United States and Canada established storage facilities for spent nuclear fuel. In the U.S., the Yucca Mountain repository in Nevada was proposed as a long-term storage solution, but its development faced various challenges and controversies. Moreover the regulatory framework for nuclear waste management is an essential aspect. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) play crucial roles in regulating and overseeing nuclear activities, including spent fuel management.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market include Veolia Environnement S.A., Holtec International, Waste Control Specialists LLC, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc., Bechtel Group, Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc., Augean PLC, BHI Energy, Svensk Karnbranslehantering AB, US Ecology Inc, Ansaldo Energia SPA, and EnergySolutions,
In March 2024, Veolia unveiled its new strategic program, GreenUp, for 2024-2027. The program's goal is to become the link missing in ecological transformation by greening and deploying replicable solutions that depollute, decarbonize, and regenerate resources.
In February 2024, Veolia launches its new strategic plan to accelerate ecological transformation to meet growing global demand. Their rapid, large-scale deployment will help erasing 18 million tons of Scope 43 CO2 emissions by 2027 and preserve 1.5 billion m3 of water.
In January 2023, Waste Control Specialists launches bilingual website. This is the latest move in WCS' effort to re-engage with the community and maintain a productive dialogue with neighbors and interested parties.