市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1617224
浮體式核能發電廠EPC市場至2030年的預測:按類型、組件、技術、應用和地區的全球分析Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Small Modular Reactors, Molten Salt Reactors, Pressurized Water Reactors and Other Types), Component, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC的資料,2024年全球浮體式核能發電廠EPC市場規模達75億美元,預估預測期間內年複合成長率為8.1%,到2030年將達121億美元。
浮體式核能發電廠(FNPP)EPC(設計、採購和施工)是一種用於在海上平台上開發和部署這些核電廠的綜合計劃執行模式。 EPC方法涵蓋了從設計到試運行的整個計劃生命週期。工程階段將重點放在安全性、效率和對海上條件的適應性。採購階段包括採購專用零件並確保品質並符合核能安標準。施工階段包括在浮體式平台上組裝工廠、整合系統並準備部署。
增加能源需求並推廣低碳能源解決方案
都市化、工業化和人口成長,推高全球能源需求。偏遠的工業中心、沿海地區和離島都面臨可靠電力的挑戰。 FNPP 無需使用傳統電網基礎設施即可提供可靠且擴充性的發電。實現淨零排放的國家承諾和《巴黎協定》等國際協議將重點放在能源產業脫碳、增加對 FNPP計劃的需求以及為 EPC 承包商開闢新視野。
複雜的法規環境
浮體式核能發電廠(FNPP)缺乏明確的法律規範為相關人員帶來了不確定性。現有法規主要針對陸基核能發電廠,有空白,無法解決浮體式核子反應爐帶來的獨特挑戰。這種不確定性可能會導致考慮 FNPP計劃的投資者和公司猶豫不決,不確定合規要求和潛在責任。此外,公眾對 FNPP 的反對可能會導致進一步的監管監督以及計劃的取消或修改。
核能技術的進步
被動安全系統和小型模組化反應器(SMR)等現代核能技術降低了事故和人為參與的風險,顯著提高了 FNPP 的安全性和可靠性。對於 EPC 承包商來說,這些技術可以減少部署時間並簡化對國際標準的遵守,簡化計劃核准。借助數位雙胞胎技術和預測維修系統,可以持續監控和最佳化核子反應爐性能,降低營運風險並推動市場成長。
資金成本高
FNPP計劃的高資本成本和長建設時間可能會拖累投資者和金融機構,特別是在經濟和能源需求成長不確定的地區。此外,高昂的初始成本和較長的建設時間共同延長了投資回收期,使得 FNPP計劃對偏好更快、更具成本效益的能源解決方案(例如再生能源)的私人公司和政府的吸引力降低。
COVID-19 的影響
COVID-19大流行嚴重影響了浮體式核能發電廠(FNPP)EPC市場,導致全球供應鏈中斷,並因勞動力短缺而導致計劃進度延誤。旅行限制和封鎖阻礙了建造和採購活動,增加了成本並延長了計劃工期。經濟不確定性減少了對包括 FNPP 在內的大型能源基礎設施的投資。
小型模組化反應器區隔預計將在預測期內成為最大的
小型模組化核子反應爐設計具有先進的安全功能和較小的佔地面積,使其成為浮體式應用的理想選擇。其模組化特性使其易於建造和擴充性,適合在偏遠地區和海上使用。中小型反應器還改進了安全通訊協定,可以減少公眾對核能的擔憂並緩解監管障礙。
預計先進核子反應爐設計領域在預測期內將經歷最高的年複合成長率。
先進核子反應爐設計的模組化建造技術允許在受控環境中預製,縮短施工進度並最大限度地減少現場組裝,使得先進核子反應爐設計領域預計在預測期內表現出最高的年複合成長率。這對於安裝在海上或偏遠地區的FNPP 尤其有利,使 EPC 公司能夠更快地完成計劃並滿足日益成長的能源需求,同時降低風險和成本。
核燃料顆粒廠(FNPP)市場面臨複雜的監管流程,其中美國核能管理委員會監督監管許可,加拿大核能安委員會負責監管安全和許可,預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率。先進的核子反應爐設計必須滿足這些機構的要求。同時,北美各國政府探索促進核能作為清潔能源來源的政策,包括聯邦獎勵措施、稅額扣抵和研究經費。
包括中國、印度、日本和韓國在內的亞太國家正關注低碳能源解決方案,以滿足不斷成長的能源需求。由 FNPP動力來源的先進核子反應爐設計不會直接排放碳,這使其成為這些國家的合適選擇。地緣政治緊張局勢和能源獨立的需求也促使這些國家探索 FNPP 等替代能源解決方案,以減少對石化燃料進口的依賴並加強能源安全。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC Market is accounted for $7.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $12.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.1% during the forecast period. A Floating Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) is a comprehensive project execution model for developing and deploying these power plants on maritime platforms. The EPC approach covers the entire lifecycle of the project, from design to commissioning. The Engineering phase focuses on safety, efficiency, and adaptability for marine conditions. The Procurement phase involves sourcing specialized components, ensuring quality and compliance with nuclear safety standards. The Construction phase involves assembling the plant on a floating platform, integrating systems, and preparing it for deployment.
Increasing energy demands and the push for low-carbon energy solutions
Urbanization, industrialization, and population growth particularly in emerging economies are driving up global energy demand. Isolated industrial centers, coastal regions, and remote islands all have challenges in obtaining consistent electricity. FNPPs provide reliable and scalable power generation without using conventional grid infrastructure. With national pledges to attain net-zero emissions and international accords such as the Paris Agreement, the emphasis on decarbonizing the energy industry has increased which increases demand for FNPP projects and opens up new prospects for EPC contractors.
Complex regulatory environment
The lack of a clear regulatory framework for floating nuclear power plants (FNPPs) creates uncertainty for stakeholders, as existing regulations primarily focus on land-based nuclear power plants, leaving gaps that don't address the unique challenges posed by floating reactors. This uncertainty can lead to hesitation among investors and companies considering FNPP projects, as they may be unsure about compliance requirements and potential liabilities. Moreover, public opposition to FNPPs can potentially lead to additional regulatory scrutiny and project cancellations or modifications.
Advances in nuclear technologies
Modern nuclear technologies, such as passive safety systems and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), have greatly increased the safety and dependability of FNPPs by reducing the dangers of accidents and human involvement. For EPC contractors, these technologies expedite deployment times and facilitate project approval by streamlining compliance with international norms. Reactor performance is continuously monitored and optimized thanks to digital twin technology and predictive maintenance systems, their by lower operational risks propelling the growth of the market.
High capital costs
High capital costs and extended construction timelines for FNPP projects can deter investors and financial institutions, especially in regions with uncertain economic or energy demand growth. This restricts deployment to wealthier or economically stable regions, narrowing the overall market and the combination of high initial costs and extended construction timelines can lead to prolonged ROI periods, reducing the attractiveness of FNPP projects for private companies and governments who prefer faster, more cost-effective energy solutions like renewable.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the Floating Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) EPC market by causing delays in project timelines due to disrupted global supply chains and workforce shortages. Travel restrictions and lockdowns hampered construction and procurement activities, increasing costs and prolonging project schedules. Economic uncertainty reduced investments in large-scale energy infrastructure, including FNPPs.
The small modular reactors segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The small modular reactors is expected to be the largest during the forecast period because small modular reactors, designed with advanced safety features and smaller footprints, are ideal for floating applications. Their modular nature allows for easier construction and scalability, making them suitable for isolated or offshore areas. SMRs also have improved safety protocols, reducing public concerns about nuclear energy and potentially easing regulatory hurdles.
The advanced reactor designs segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The advanced reactor designs segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period owing to modular construction techniques in advanced reactor designs enable pre-fabrication in controlled environments, accelerating construction timelines and minimizing on-site assembly. This is especially beneficial for FNPPs deployed in offshore or remote areas, enabling EPC companies to complete projects faster and meet increasing energy demands with reduced risk and cost.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period because nuclear fuel pellet plant (FNPP) market faces complex regulatory processes, with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission overseeing approvals and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission regulating safety and licensing. Advanced reactor designs must comply with these bodies' requirements. On the other hand North American governments are exploring policies to advance nuclear power as a clean energy source, including federal incentives, tax credits, and research funding.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to Asia Pacific countries, including China, India, Japan, and South Korea, are focusing on low-carbon energy solutions to meet rising energy demand. Advanced nuclear reactor designs, powered by FNPPs, produce no direct carbon emissions, making them a suitable option for these countries. Geopolitical tensions and the need for energy independence have also driven these countries to explore alternative energy solutions, such as FNPPs, to reduce reliance on fossil fuel imports and strengthen energy security.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Floating Nuclear Power Plant EPC market include China National Nuclear Corporation, Areva, Rosatom, Westinghouse Electric Company, Korea Electric Power Corporation, Vattenfall, Siemens, NuScale Power, TerraPower, Holtec International, Babcock and Wilcox, General Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Toshiba and Korea Electric Power Corporation.
In November 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) and Hokuetsu Corporation, one of Japan's leading paper manufacturers, launched a CO2 capture demonstration test at Niigata Mill (Niigata City), in November. This demonstration test aims to capture CO2 from a chemical recovery boiler that produces the steam and electricity needed for paper manufacturing.
In November 2024, GE Aerospace announced its official launch as an independent public company defining the future of flight, following the completion of the GE Vernova spin-off. GE Aerospace will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker "GE".