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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1662721
2030 年磷酸鹽市場預測:按類型、資源、應用和地區分類的全球分析Phosphates Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type, Resource, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2024 年全球磷酸鹽市場價值為 182.9 億美元,預計到 2030 年將達到 243.7 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 4.9%。磷酸鹽是由氧和磷組成的必需無機化合物,經常與鈉、鉀和鈣等其他元素混合。磷酸鹽對於生物和工業應用都至關重要。磷酸鹽是DNA、RNA和ATP的重要組成部分,因此在生物體的細胞能量轉移、遺傳和代謝等生物過程中起著關鍵作用。肥料利用它們作為農業的主要養分,從而提高作物產量和土壤肥力。磷酸鹽在工業中廣泛用作食品添加劑、清潔劑,並在水處理過程中起到清洗、乳化和緩衝的作用。
根據美國地質調查局 (USGS) 的數據,2023 年 5 月美國可銷售磷礦產量估計為 186 萬噸,較 4 月增加 15%,較 2022 年 5 月下降 4%。
人們對肥料的興趣日益濃厚
聯合國預測,到2050年,地球人口將達到近100億,對糧食生產的需求將持續增加。磷酸鹽對於根部生長、開花和植物的整體健康至關重要,因此是肥料的關鍵成分。為了維持作物的高產量,中國、印度和美國等農業部門規模較大的國家都嚴重依賴磷酸鹽肥料。此外,精密農業和土壤肥力管理的推動導致客製化磷肥的使用增加,以最大限度地提高養分輸送和效率。
採礦相關的環境問題
磷酸鹽開採和加工對環境的重大影響包括溫室氣體排放、棲息地破壞和水污染。採礦作業經常會產生大量廢棄物,這些廢物會透過放射性元素和重金屬污染附近的水體。此外,化學肥料生產和開採會釋放灰塵和有毒氣體,也會造成空氣污染。對這些環境問題的認知不斷提高,導致對採礦作業的監管不斷加強,從而推遲了磷酸鹽生產商的新採礦計劃並提高了合規成本。
磷酸鹽回收技術開發
隨著人們對永續性和資源保護的關注,磷酸鹽回收現在提供了許多機會。鳥糞石結晶和生物回收技術等創新技術使得從污水、污水污泥和農業徑流中提取磷成為可能。這些技術不僅減少了對採礦的依賴,也減少了磷徑流對環境造成的污染。此外,世界各國政府和組織都在資助研發,以提高回收效率。
其他營養來源的競爭加劇
傳統磷酸鹽市場正日益受到合成生物學解決方案、生物肥料和有機肥料等替代營養源發展的威脅。這些替代方案對於有意減少農業對環境影響的消費者和立法者來說很有吸引力。此外,隨著生物技術的發展,其有效性和可負擔性得到了提高,減少了對磷酸鹽肥料的需求,這些替代品可能會佔據很大一部分市場。
磷酸鹽市場受到了新冠肺炎疫情多方面的影響。停工、運輸限制和勞動力短缺擾亂了供應鏈,導致採礦和生產活動暫時停止。然而,由於糧食安全成為危機期間的主要問題,農業部門被指定為重點產業,對磷肥的需求得以維持。同時,由於工業活動和消費者支出的減少,磷酸鹽在化學品和清潔劑等工業應用中的使用量有所下降。這場疫情也凸顯了當地自給自足的必要性,促使人們對供應鏈依賴性進行審查,並促使為當地磷酸鹽生產和回收計劃提供資金。
預計磷酸銨板塊在預測期內將佔據最大佔有率
由於磷酸銨在農業中廣泛用作肥料,預計在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。磷酸二銨(DAP)和磷酸一銨(MAP)等磷酸銨肥料因其高營養成分而備受推崇。它結合磷和氮來提高作物產量並促進植物生長。這些肥料對於種植穀物、穀類和其他重要作物尤其重要。此外,全球人口的成長、糧食需求的增加以及農業集約化都促進了這一領域的主導地位。
預計預測期內,製藥業將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
由於營養補充劑、膳食補充劑和藥物配方中磷酸鹽的使用越來越多,預計預測期內製藥業將出現最高成長。在製藥工業中,磷酸鹽用作緩衝劑、穩定劑和賦形劑,對於維持藥物的穩定性和功效至關重要。全球人口老化、慢性病發病率上升以及醫療成本上升推動了對磷酸鹽類藥物的需求。此外,藥物輸送系統的發展以及磷酸鹽化合物在生物製藥和腫瘤學等專門療法中的使用日益增多也推動了這一領域的爆炸性成長。
預計預測期內亞太地區將佔據最大的市場佔有率。亞太地區是世界上最大的磷酸鹽市場,主要原因是農業對磷酸鹽的需求很高,尤其是在中國和印度等農業部門對其經濟至關重要的國家。該地區廣泛的農業實踐和為支持擴大糧食生產而不斷成長的肥料需求也大大導致了磷酸鹽產品的消費量。此外,該地區快速的工業化和人口成長也導致對磷酸鹽的需求量很大。
預計預測期內中東和非洲的複合年成長率最高。這一成長的主要驅動力是農業領域對磷酸鹽的需求不斷增加,特別是為了提高作物產量和確保糧食安全而生產的肥料。該地區各國正在提高磷酸鹽生產能力,其中包括主要磷酸鹽出口國摩洛哥。中東和非洲是世界上成長最快的磷礦市場。目前該地區越來越重視提高糧食生產效率和農業永續性。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Phosphates Market is accounted for $18.29 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $24.37 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period. Phosphates are necessary inorganic compounds made up of oxygen and phosphorus that are frequently mixed with other elements like sodium, potassium, or calcium. In both biological and industrial applications, they are essential. Phosphates play a crucial role in the biological processes of cellular energy transfer, genetics, and metabolism in living things because they are essential building blocks of DNA, RNA, and ATP. Fertilizers use them as a primary nutrient in agriculture, thereby increasing crop yield and soil fertility. Phosphates are used extensively in industry for their cleaning, emulsifying, and buffering qualities in food additives, detergents, and water treatment procedures.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), U.S. marketable phosphate rock production in May 2023 was estimated to be 1.86 million metric tons, which was 15% higher than in April and 4% lower than in May 2022.
Growing interest in fertilizers
The United Nations predicts that by 2050, there will be close to 10 billion people on the planet, which will increase demand for food production. Because they are essential for root growth, flowering, and general plant health, phosphates are a key component of fertilizers. To sustain high crop yields, nations with sizable agricultural sectors-like China, India, and the United States-heavily depend on fertilizers based on phosphates. Additionally, the use of customized phosphate fertilizers that maximize nutrient delivery and efficiency has grown as a result of the move toward precision agriculture and soil fertility management.
Issues with the environment related to mining
Significant environmental effects of phosphate mining and processing include greenhouse gas emissions, habitat destruction, and water pollution. Large volumes of waste are frequently produced by mining operations, which can also cause radioactive elements and heavy metals to contaminate adjacent water bodies. Furthermore, air pollution is also caused by the release of dust and toxic gases during fertilizer production and mining. Stricter rules on mining operations have resulted from growing awareness of these environmental problems; this has slowed down new mining projects and raised compliance costs for phosphate producers.
Technological developments in phosphate recycling
Phosphate recycling now offers a lot of opportunities as sustainability and resource conservation gain more attention. It is now possible to extract phosphorus from wastewater, sewage sludge, and agricultural runoff owing to innovative technologies like struvite crystallization and biological recovery techniques. In addition to lowering dependency on mining, these techniques lessen the pollution that phosphorus runoff causes to the environment. Moreover, to increase recycling efficiency, governments and organizations around the world are funding research and development (R&D).
Growing rivalry from other sources of nutrients
The conventional phosphate market is increasingly under threat from the development of substitute nutrient sources, such as synthetic biology-based solutions, bio-fertilizers, and organic fertilizers. Customers and legislators who are interested in lessening the environmental impact of agriculture find these substitutes appealing since they are frequently seen as more environmentally friendly and sustainable. Additionally, these substitutes may take a sizable portion of the market as biotechnology developments increase their effectiveness and affordability, which would lower the need for fertilizers based on phosphates.
The market for phosphates was affected in a variety of ways by the COVID-19 pandemic. Lockdowns, transportation restrictions, and a shortage of workers caused supply chains to break down, temporarily slowing mining and production operations. However, as food security became a top concern during the crisis, the demand for phosphate-based fertilizers was sustained by the agricultural sector's designation as an essential industry. On the other hand, decreased industrial activity and consumer spending led to a decline in the use of phosphates in industrial applications, such as chemicals and detergents. The necessity of regional self-sufficiency was also brought to light by the pandemic, which prompted a closer examination of supply chain dependencies and encouraged funding for regional phosphate production and recycling projects.
The Ammonium Phosphate segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The ammonium phosphate segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it is widely used in the agricultural industry as a fertilizer. Ammonium phosphate fertilizers, like diammonium phosphate (DAP) and monoammonium phosphate (MAP), are prized for their high nutrient content. They combine phosphorus and nitrogen to boost crop yields and encourage plant growth. For the cultivation of cereals, grains, and other vital crops, these fertilizers are particularly crucial. Moreover, the world's population growth, rising food demand, and intensifying agriculture all contribute to the segment's dominance.
The Pharmaceuticals segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the pharmaceuticals segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate because phosphates are increasingly being used in dietary supplements, nutraceutical, and medication formulations. In the pharmaceutical industry, phosphates are used as buffering agents, stabilizers, and necessary excipients that are crucial to preserving the stability and effectiveness of medications. The demand for phosphate-based drugs is being driven by the aging of the world's population, the increasing incidence of chronic illnesses, and rising healthcare costs. Additionally, the segment's explosive growth is also being fueled by developments in drug delivery systems and the growing use of phosphate compounds in specialized treatments like biopharmaceuticals and oncology.
During the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. Asia-Pacific's position as the world's largest phosphate market is largely due to the high demand for phosphates in agricultural applications, especially in nations like China and India where the agricultural sector is vital to the economy. The region's large-scale farming practices and growing need for fertilizers to support expanding food production also contribute significantly to the high consumption of phosphate-based products. Furthermore, the region's rapid industrialization and population growth also contribute to the high demand for phosphates.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. The primary cause of this growth is the growing need for phosphates in the agricultural sector, particularly for the production of fertilizer, which is motivated by the need to increase crop yields and guarantee food security. The region's nations are increasing their phosphate production capabilities, including Morocco, a major phosphate exporter. MEA is the phosphate market with the fastest rate of growth in the world. Moreover, this is due to the region's increasing emphasis on improving food production efficiency and agricultural sustainability.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Phosphates market include EuroChem Group AG, Innophos Holdings, Inc., Jordan Phosphate Mines Co. PLC, Yara International ASA, The Mosaic Company, OCP Group, PhosAgro AG, Solvay SA, ICL Group Ltd., Nutrien Ltd., Aditya Birla Chemicals Ltd., Israel Chemicals Ltd., Ma'aden-Saudi Arabian Mining Company, Haifa Chemicals Ltd. and Avantor Inc.
In July 2024, Yara and Atome sign Heads of Terms for offtake from Atome's renewable CAN project in Villeta, Paraguay. Global demand for food is growing with the population, pushing the need for higher crop yields and more efficient fertilizer. Agriculture and food companies need cleaner and cost-effective fertilizers to reduce their carbon footprints.
In June 2024, Jordan Phosphates Mines Company (JPMC) is pleased to announce a strategic partnership with Waterise, a pioneering Norwegian start-up specialising in deep sea environmentally friendly desalination. Together, they will embark on an ambitious deep sea desalination project in the Gulf of Aqaba to meet the increasing water demand at JPMC's facilities.
In April 2024, Ma'aden and the Mosaic Company has announced that they have entered into a share purchase and subscription agreement. The agreement provides for the sale by Mosaic of all its shares in Ma'aden Wa'ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company, a joint venture investment among Ma'aden, Mosaic and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, to Ma'aden in exchange for newly issued shares in Ma'aden.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.