市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1420244
電力與分散式能源十大成長機會:2024年Top 10 Growth Opportunities in Power and Distributed Energy, 2024 |
「全球電力脫碳加速,投資水準創歷史新高」
2023年是發電投資創紀錄的一年,全球計劃投資額達 8,400 億美元,高於2022年的 6,110 億美元。2023年再生投資佔大部分,太陽能和風電投資總額將達5,280億美元。氣候承諾和支持性監管是全球成長的核心。近年來,中國大幅提高了再生能源目標(目的是支持國內科技公司)。2022年通過的美國通膨控制法案將提供前所未有的投資者獎勵措施,鼓勵國內供應鏈的投資。隨著能源安全成為全球大趨勢,俄羅斯在2022年入侵烏克蘭促使歐洲採取行動。
通膨壓力是2022年和2023年電力產業面臨的主要挑戰。太陽能光電成本在2022年有所上升,並在2023年初進一步上升,但現已開始下降,部分原因是全球供應大幅擴張導致組件成本下降。太陽能發電已經與石化燃料相比具有成本競爭力,並且很可能會繼續保持其優勢。對於風電而言,情況更為複雜,儘管擴大全球供應鏈仍面臨諸多挑戰,但預計價格將在2024年下半年開始下降。
"Record-breaking Investment Levels as Power Decarbonisation Accelerates Globally."
2023 was a record-breaking year for power generation investment, with $840 billion invested in projects globally, up from $611 billion in 2022. Renewable energy dominated investment in 2023; solar PV and wind power combined accounted for $528 billion. Climate commitments and supportive regulations are the mainstays of global growth. China has significantly increased its renewable targets in recent years (in part to support domestic technology companies). The US Inflation Reduction Act passed in 2022 provides a degree of investor certainly never seen before and incentives for investment in domestic supply chains. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has galvanized Europe to take action, as energy security has become a global megatrend.
Inflationary pressures have been a major challenge for the power sector in 2022 and 2023. Solar PV costs increased in 2022 and increased further early in 2023, but they have already started to fall, mainly because of lower module costs reflecting the massive expansion in global supply. Solar PV, already cost competitive with fossil fuels, will continue to gain an advantage. For wind power, the situation is more complex, with plenty still to do in the expansion of the global supply chain, but prices should start to decline in the second half of 2024.