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危險物質物流:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢/統計、成長預測(2024-2029)Hazardous Goods Logistics - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029) |
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危險物質物流市場規模預計到2024年為2,590.5億美元,預計到2029年將達到3,479.7億美元,在預測期內(2024-2029年)年複合成長率為6.08%,預計將會成長。
由於化學工業的顯著成長,危險化學品佔貨運總量的比例迅速增加。大約三分之二的運輸危險物質的運輸公司也運輸易燃石油液體,例如煤油、汽油、液化石油氣和石腦油。與其他類型的貨物相比,這些化合物在運輸過程中更有可能發生事故。發生交通事故可能會造成可怕的後果,包括火災、爆炸、傷害、財產損失和環境損害。
易燃液體的運輸佔需求的大部分。例如,到2021年,歐洲公路運輸危險物品貨運量的一半以上將與易燃液體有關,其次是壓縮氣體和腐蝕性物質。
在美國,到 2021 年,57% 的運輸 3 類易燃液體的鐵路罐車將按照新的 DOT-117 或 DOT-117R 標準製造。 2021 年沒有逐步淘汰的最後期限。下一個關鍵期限將於 2023 年到來,屆時所有 DOT-111 和 CPC-1232 罐車將被限制運輸乙醇。到 2021 年,大多數(78%)攜帶乙醇的車輛將滿足新的 DOT-117 要求。根據 DOT-111 和 CPC-1232 標準使用的 7,473 輛運載乙醇的油輪將被 DOT-117 車輛取代。根據研究結果,預計2022年將建造或改裝8,322輛DOT-117和DOT-117R戰車。
2021 年,3 級易燃材料透過 103,312 輛鐵路罐車運輸,比五年前增加了 57%。 DOT-117罐車在原油運輸車隊中的佔有率從2020年的81%增加到2021年的87%。
預計各國化學製造業產量的成長將在預測期內推動危險材料物流的需求。美國化學工業因貿易緊張局勢和 COVID-19 導致產量疲軟兩年,預計 2021 年產量將大幅增加。但二月,冬季風暴「烏裡」為墨西哥灣沿岸帶來了嚴寒和停電,導致大部分化學和其他工業產能關閉。由於原料短缺,其他幾家工廠被迫關閉或縮減營運規模。八月,颶風艾達使許多重要化學品的生產停止了一個多月。今年一些化學品的需求下降也是由於主要最終使用地區的供應鏈問題所造成的。未來的前景是光明的。
新興國家的化工產業也呈現高成長率。例如,由於國內需求改善以及化學品價格上漲帶來的變現率提高,預計印度化學品製造業的中小企業收益將成長約20%。疫情後國內需求的復甦和強勁的出口正在推動印度化工產業的生產。
危險材料物流市場是一個分散的市場,有全球和本地參與者。領先公司包括 DHL、DSV、Ceva Logistics、Bollore Logistics 和 DGD Transport。合約、合作、合資和夥伴關係是這些公司為保持競爭力和滿足不斷成長的客戶需求而實施的許多其他策略。此外,我們也致力於研究和開發,以加強我們的產品組合併擴大市場佔有率。本土企業在技術、產品、服務、庫存管理等方面的能力都有所提升。隨著危險品物流法規的日趨嚴格,越來越多的貨運代理能夠獨立提供危險品物流全鏈條服務。
The Hazardous Goods Logistics Market size is estimated at USD 259.05 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 347.97 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 6.08% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
The share of hazardous chemicals in all freight traffic is rising quickly due to the chemical industry's tremendous growth. About two-thirds of the carriers that transport hazardous commodities also transport flammable petroleum liquids, including kerosene, petrol, LPG, naphtha, etc. Such compounds are more likely to be involved in accidents during transportation than other types of cargo. Involvement in a traffic accident can have disastrous results, including fire, explosion, injury, loss of property, and environmental damage.
The flammable liquid shipments account for most of the demand. For instance, in 2021, more than half of the freight traffic in dangerous goods transportation by road in Europe will be related to flammable liquids, followed by compressed gasses and corrosives.
57% of all rail tank cars in the United States carrying Class 3 flammable liquids were constructed in 2021 to the new DOT-117 or DOT-117R criteria. In 2021, there were no phase-out deadlines. The next significant deadline comes in 2023, when the transport of ethanol will be restricted on all DOT-111 and CPC-1232 tank cars. By 2021, the vast majority (78%) of ethanol-carrying vehicles would have met the new DOT-117 requirements.7,473 tank cars carrying ethanol were in service under the DOT-111 and CPC-1232 standards; these vehicles will be replaced by DOT-117 vehicles. According to survey findings, 8,322 DOT-117 and DOT-117R tank cars are expected to be produced or upgraded in 2022.
Class 3 flammable substances were transported in 103,312 rail tank cars in 2021, up 57% from just five years earlier. The percentage of DOT-117 tank cars in the fleet for crude oil alone increased from 81% in 2020 to 87% in 2021.
The growth in the output of chemical manufacturing from countries across the world is expected to drive the demand for dangerous goods logistics over the forecast period. The U.S. chemical industry was ready for significant production increases in 2021 after two years of weakness attributed to trade tensions and COVID-19. But in February, a huge swath of chemical and other industrial capacity was shut down when winter storm Uri brought icy conditions and power outages to the Gulf Coast. Due to a lack of raw materials, some other facilities had to shut down or scale back their operations. The manufacture of numerous essential chemicals was halted for more than a month in August due to Hurricane Ida. This year's lower demand for some chemicals was also influenced by supply chain problems in significant end-use areas. In the future, things look promising.
Exports of organic compounds from the United States in December 2022 were up toUSD 4.4 billion, while imports were up to USD 5.44 billion, resulting in a USD 1.04 billion trade deficit. The exports of organic chemicals from the United States rose by USD 338 million (8.32%) between December 2021 and December 2022, from USD 4.06 billion to USD 4.4 billion, while imports fell by USD 143 million (-2.57%), from USD 5.58 billion to USD 5.44 billion. In December 2022, organic chemicals were primarily imported from Ireland (USD 1.75B), China (USD 962M), Mexico (USD 526M), Switzerland (USD 360M), Germany (USD 278M), and India (USD 264M). They were primarily shipped to Austria (USD 606M), Mexico (USD 526M), China (USD 395M), Belgium (USD 345M), and Canada (USD 344M).
In December 2022, a rise in exports to Mexico (USD 222M or 53.5%), Belgium (USD 203M or 71%), and South Korea (USD 144M or 82.3%) was the main factor contributing to an increase in Organic chemicals' year-over-year exports. The decline in imports of organic chemicals from Singapore (USD 190M or -49.3%), Argentina (USD -38.7M or -96.4%), and Belgium (USD 38.5M or -29.4%) in December 2022 can be attributed mainly to these declines.
The chemicals sector has also been attracting high growth rates in developing countries. For instance, the SMEs in the Indian chemical manufacturing sector are expected to witness revenue growth of around 20% owing to an improvement in domestic demand and higher realization due to the high prices of chemicals. A revival in domestic demand post-pandemic and robust exports are driving the chemical industry's production in India.
The Hazardous Goods Logistics Market is fragmented by nature, with a mix of global and local players. Some of the strong players include DHL, DSV, Ceva Logistics, Bollore Logistics, and DGD Transport. Contracts, collaborations, joint ventures, and partnerships are among many other strategies that have been implemented by these players to stay ahead of the competition and meet the expanding needs of their clients. Furthermore, they are engaging in research and development operations to strengthen their portfolios and gain market share. The capabilities of local players in terms of technology, items handled, service offered, and inventory management are all improving. With the tightening of hazardous goods logistics regulations, an increasing number of freight forwarding businesses have emerged that can provide competent hazardous goods logistics full-chain services independently.