高溫熱電化

大約一半的工業熱量需求來自於 400°C 以上溫度下運行的熱處理。這些過程通常發生在熱效率較低的行業，這些行業依賴化石燃料的燃燒來滿足大部分熱能需求，例如鋼鐵、基礎化學品、水泥/石灰、有色金屬和玻璃製造。一般認為大規模實施直接電氣化成本太高，對現有基礎設施破壞太大，而且技術上困難。因此，高溫熱脫碳的方法通常集中在基於燃燒的途徑，例如碳捕獲、氫氣和生物質。

然而，越來越多的證據表明，高溫過程的電氣化將成為工業脫碳的重要驅動力。電氣化已成為某些高溫製程的預設選擇，例如電弧爐二次煉鋼。電熱技術也常用於小規模生產需要高度控制溫度的特殊材料。除了現有應用之外，水泥、化學和其他行業的試點和示範項目表明，從技術上講，電氣化可以滿足比目前更大比例的工業用熱需求。

直接電氣化的好處包括提高製程效率、透過使用低碳電源顯著減少與能源相關的排放以及降低維護成本。

該報告研究了高溫熱電氣化，並提供了2024年至2033年高溫工業製程電加熱產能擴張和設備收入的市場預測。預測按世界地區、產業和技術發展階段進行分類。

目錄

第1章執行摘要

• 市場介紹
• 市場預測

第2章 市場問題

• 促進因素
  • 加強工業電氣化政策支持
  • 提高效率
  • 降低維修成本
  • 靈活性的機會
  • 燃油價格波動
• 抑制因素
  • 高額電費
  • 更換週期長
  • 技術不確定性和流程複雜性
  • 大規模負荷併網困難
• 政策
• 技術
  • 電阻加熱
  • 紅外線加熱
  • 介電加熱
  • 感應加熱
  • 電弧爐
  • 等離子技術
  • 熱電池
  • 衝擊波加熱

第3章產業價值鏈

• 部門
  • 水泥/石灰
  • 化學品
  • 玻璃
  • 有色金屬
  • 鋼鐵製造

第4章 市場預測

• 範圍和方法
• 世界市場概覽
• 區域市場概況
  • 北美
  • 歐洲
  • 亞太地區
  • 拉丁美洲
  • 中東/非洲

第5章結論和建議

第6章 首字母縮寫詞和縮寫詞列表

第7章 目錄

第8章圖表

第9章 研究範圍、資訊來源與研究方法、註釋

Approximately half of industrial heat demand is for thermal processes that operate at temperatures above 400°C. These processes typically occur in hard-to-abate sectors such as iron and steel, basic chemicals, cement and lime, nonferrous metals, and glass production, all of which rely on fossil fuel combustion to supply most of their thermal energy needs. Implementing direct electrification at scale has generally been perceived as too expensive, too disruptive to existing infrastructure, and too technically challenging. Approaches to decarbonizing high temperature heat have therefore often focused on combustion-based pathways such as carbon capture, hydrogen, or biomass.

However, a growing body of evidence suggests that electrification of high temperature processes will be a key driver of industrial decarbonization. Electrification is already the default option for certain high temperature processes such as secondary steelmaking in electric arc furnaces. Electrified heating technologies are also commonly used at smaller scales for manufacturing specialty materials that require a high level of temperature control. Beyond existing applications, pilot and demonstration projects in cement, chemicals, and other sectors have shown that technically, electrification could satisfy a much greater share of industrial heat demand than it does today.

Advantages of direct electrification include improvements to process efficiency, significant reductions in energy-related emissions when using low carbon electricity sources, and lower maintenance costs. This Guidehouse Insights report provides market forecasts for electric heating capacity additions and equipment revenue for high temperature industrial processes from 2024 through 2033. Forecasts are segmented by global region, sector, and technology development stage.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Market Introduction
• 1.2 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Drivers
  • 2.1.1 Increasing Policy Support for Industrial Electrification
  • 2.1.2 Efficiency Benefits
  • 2.1.3 Reduced Maintenance Costs
  • 2.1.4 Opportunities for Flexibilization
  • 2.1.5 Fuel Price Volatility
• 2.2 Barriers
  • 2.2.1 High Electricity Costs
  • 2.2.2 Long Replacement Cycles
  • 2.2.3 Technology Uncertainty and Process Complexity
  • 2.2.4 Difficulty of Securing a Grid Connection for Large Loads
• 2.3 Policy
• 2.4 Technologies
  • 2.4.1 Resistance Heating
  • 2.4.2 Infrared Heating
  • 2.4.3 Dielectric Heating
  • 2.4.4 Induction Heating
  • 2.4.5 Electric Arc Furnaces
  • 2.4.6 Plasma Technologies
  • 2.4.7 Thermal Batteries
  • 2.4.8 Shock Wave Heating

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Sectors
  • 3.1.1 Cement and Lime
    • 3.1.1.1 Key Projects
  • 3.1.2 Chemicals
    • 3.1.2.1 Key Projects
  • 3.1.3 Glass
    • 3.1.3.1 Key Projects
  • 3.1.4 Nonferrous Metals
  • 3.1.5 Steelmaking
    • 3.1.5.1 Key Projects

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Scope and Methodology
• 4.2 Global Market Overview
• 4.3 Regional Market Overview
  • 4.3.1 North America
  • 4.3.2 Europe
  • 4.3.3 Asia Pacific
  • 4.3.4 Latin America
  • 4.3.5 Middle East & Africa

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Key Takeaways
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 Industrial Energy Users
  • 5.2.2 Technology Providers
  • 5.2.3 Policymakers

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes