小型車電動化：六種車型動力系統全球銷售預測及市場分析（2024-2033年）

Light Duty Vehicle Electrification: Global Sales Forecasts and Market Analysis for Six Vehicle Powertrains, 2024-2033

出版日期: 2024年12月23日 | 出版商:

Guidehouse Insights | 英文 39 Pages | 訂單完成後即時交付

價格

簡介目錄

電動車有望在汽車產業佔有一席之地。電動車發明於 19 世紀，21 世紀初General Motors的EV1 和Tesla的Roadster 再次吸引了全世界的注意。從那時起，電動車隨著電池化學和製造技術的進步而不斷發展，但汽車的電氣化也變得越來越多樣化。 21 世紀初，混合動力電動車因Toyota Prius而在全球流行起來。

21 世紀初，Toyota Prius掀起了全球範圍內的混合動力電動車熱潮。儘管插電式混合動力電動車在技術上早在20 世紀初就已推出，但直到2010年代才實現商業化應用。自從Chevy Volt問世以來，增程型電動車（EREV）也捲土重來。增程型電動車（EREV）對於專為牽引和越野設計的車輛具有特殊的價值，在中國大受歡迎，預計未來十年將擴展到其他市場。

本報告研究了全球小型車的電氣化情況，並研究了未來 10年全球八個地區六種動力系統（ICE、BEV、PHEV、HEV、EREV 和 FCV）的銷售預測和市場佔有率。

EVs are expected to have a permanent place in the vehicle landscape. After being initially invented in the 1800s, the EV reemerged into the global consciousness in the 2000s with General Motors' (GM's) EV1 and the Tesla Roadster. While the EV has since evolved as battery chemistries and manufacturing techniques have advanced, vehicle electrification has diversified significantly as well. Hybrid EVs (HEVs), popularized globally by the Toyota Prius in the early 2000s, have become

more viable as the technology has improved to make hybridization an option for several vehicle sizes. Plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs), technically introduced in the early 1900s but not practical until the 2010s, have been letting many drivers make their daily commute with zero emissions. Extended range EVs (EREVs) have also been making a comeback since the days of the Chevy Volt. Particularly valuablefor vehicles designed for towing or off-road driving, EREVs have been making big waves in China and are expected to do the same in other markets in the coming decade.

This report evaluates the global light duty vehicle (LDV) market with a specific focus on the multiple electrification options that Guidehouse Insights forecasts will make up the entirety of the market in the coming decade. It looks at expected sales and market share for six different LDV powertrains-internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, battery EVs (BEVs), PHEVs, HEVs, EREVs, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCVs)-in eight global regions over the next 10 years.

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Market Overview
1.2 Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1 Drivers
- 2.1.1 Decarbonization Goals
- 2.1.2 Lower Fuel and Maintenance Costs
- 2.1.3 Expanded Electrification Choices
2.2 Barriers
- 2.2.1 Lack of Charging Infrastructure
- 2.2.2 Uncertain Total Cost of Ownership
- 2.2.3 Complex or Overly Restrictive Government Incentives
- 2.2.4 Politicization of Environmental Goals
2.3 Battery Pricing and Other Business Issues

3. Industry Value Chain

3.1 Competitive Landscape
- 3.1.1 Business Model Evolution

4. Market Forecasts

4.1 Definitions and Methodology
4.2 Global Forecasts
- 4.2.1 ICE Vehicles
- 4.2.2 Battery EVs
- 4.2.3 Plug-In Hybrid EVs
- 4.2.4 Hybrid EVs
- 4.2.5 Extended Range EVs
- 4.2.6 Fuel Cell Vehicles
4.3 Regional Forecasts
- 4.3.1 North America
- 4.3.2 Europe
- 4.3.3 China
- 4.3.4 OECD Asia Pacific
- 4.3.5 India
- 4.3.6 Rest of Asia Pacific
- 4.3.7 Latin America
- 4.3.8 Middle East & Africa